Electronic Theses and Dissertations (Masters)
Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://hdl.handle.net/10539/38009
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Item Investigating the impact of the land reform policy on land use and land cover changes, in Ngaka Modiri Molema district of the North West province(University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, 2024) Mmangoedi, Molebogeng Precious; Adam, ElhadiThe purpose of this study was to assess how land reform policies affected changes in land use and land cover in the province of North West's Ngaka Modiri Molema district municipality. The study employed remote sensing technologies to analyse changes in land use and land cover (LULC) resulting from the implementation of land reform programs between 1985 and 2015. The primary objective of the research was to systematically map Land Use and Land Cover types across five-year intervals spanning from 1985 to 2024, leveraging Landsat earth observation data in conjunction with a random forest classifier. These methodologies were employed to facilitate the identification of spatial patterns and trends associated with the implementation of land reform policies within the study area. Furthermore, the study utilized Landsat data and advanced change detection algorithms to quantitatively assess LULC changes over the specified timeframes. Through the application of spatial analysis techniques, the research aimed to elucidate the relationship between the implementation of land reform measures and corresponding shifts in LULC patterns across the research study area. The findings of the investigation indicated a noticeable expansion in built-up areas between the years 1985 and 2024 which was approximately 10.86%. This expansion was primarily attributed to the growth experienced by the municipality during this period. Additionally, more opportunities might have risen from the agricultural farming activities and also from the land reform policy being implemented. However, as the ownership changed due to land redistribution and more land was being acquired by black people through the land reform policy, agricultural farming decreased slightly throughout the years. The reduction was due to the factors that arose from inefficient policy implementation. The study also recommends that remote sensing techniques should be utilised to carry out studies to determine LULC changes that derive from land policies aiming at dealing with socio-economic factors and urbanisation. An incorporated agrarian reform sustainable programme has vast potential in cultivating the production of the projects, particularly if it involves packages in rural infrastructure, support services, and co-operatives. The major role of such an approach should be in the trainings conducted for the farmers, obtaining, and distributing agricultural resources and equipment to agrarian reform or beneficiaries of the land reform projects. Additionally, there should be an allowance for special grants which will be useful in supporting the government’s efforts.Item Modelling for Rainwater Harvesting Structures Using Geospatial Techniques(University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, 2024-10) Makaringe, Precious Nkhensani; Atif, IqraClimate change poses a significant threat, leading to droughts, floods, and hindering sustainable development. Water scarcity is a growing concern, particularly in developing countries like South Africa, where limited freshwater resources are further strained by climate variability. This research explores the potential of rainwater harvesting (RWH) as a strategy to address water scarcity in such regions. This study aims to model potential rainwater harvesting sites in Lynwood Park, Pretoria, South Africa, utilising geospatial techniques. Object-Based Image Classification (OBIC) was employed to extract building footprints from high-resolution satellite imagery. Microsoft and Google building footprints were utilised to determine the suitable automated building footprints for Lynnwood Park. ArcGIS Pro software served as the primary platform for spatial data analysis and mapping potential RWH sites. Data integration included high-resolution satellite imagery, a Digital Elevation Model (DEM), building footprints, and rainfall data. Additionally, questionnaires were distributed to estimate population and water demand within the study area. The research demonstrates the efficacy of geospatial tools in identifying suitable locations for RWH systems. Indicating that steeper slopes in the southern region of Lynnwood Park have limited collection from large rooftops, while the flatter north offered greater potential. Rainfall graphs and PRWH results suggest that over half of Lynwood Park's annual water demand could be met through rooftop rainwater collection. However, factors such as system losses due to evaporation, inefficiencies in collection and storage, and variability in rooftop sizes across different buildings would need to be incorporated into more detailed models, as well as water quality analysis for rooftop harvested water in future studies. This study highlights the potential of RWH as a viable water security strategy in water-scarce regions. The findings contribute to the development of geospatial approaches for RWH implementation, promoting water security and sustainability in a changing climate.Item Study of the influence of gust fronts and topographical features in the development of severe thunderstorms across South Africa(University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, 2024) Mofokeng, Puseletso Samuel; Engelbrecht, Francois A.; Bopape, Mary-Jane M.; Grab, Stefan W.South Africa experiences a variety of severe thunderstorms which occasionally leads to a large quantity of small-sized or large-sized hailstones, heavy rain and flash flooding, strong damaging straight-line winds, and/or even tornadoes. For the base period, June 2016 to June 2021, a significant percentage of these severe storms was triggered by topographic features. The Unified Model (UM) at 4 km horizontal grid resolution was used and found to be unable to predict topography-generated vertical wind shear and the associated severe thunderstorms. This inability of the model necessitated the development of a conceptual model by relating the rapid cooling of the cloud-top temperatures with high resolution topographic maps. This means, satellite images were used to deduce the connection of atmospheric fluids (gust fronts) with near linear, concave and/or downslope topographical features. Severe thunderstorms included those connected to the large amounts of vorticity advection (e.g. 500 hPa level), development of low-level mesoscale circulations within the synoptic settings and the resultant vertical wind shear in the lower tropospheric levels. Large amounts of negative vorticity advection are typical with strong horizontal shear and curvature; they are often correlated with trough axes that lean from the south-west to north-east. The usage of large amounts of negative vorticity advection transcends to whether discrete severe thunderstorms will be characterised by heavy rain and flash-flooding or hail with damaging winds. Moreover, the interaction of topography with gust fronts of the upwind thunderstorms linked with large amounts of negative vorticity advection is also investigated. The impacts of storms studied in this dissertation posed a major threat to property, livelihood, agriculture, human and animal lives or even immediate to residual economic loss. This research is aimed at improving the service level for the benefit of disaster management agencies and the public at large. An in-depth study of microscale events such as tornadoes and landspouts was also conducted to improve lead-time for their nowcasting.Item Assessing the effectiveness of wetlands in the Krugersdorp Game Reserve in attenuating pollution from mines on the West Rand, South Africa(University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, 2023) Sawuka, Noluthando Thulisile; Evans, Mary; Masindi KhulisoIn South Africa, 48% of the country’s wetlands are critically endangered because of anthropogenic activities. Wetlands are an important part of the landscape and play a critical role including but not limited to improving water quality, habitat provision, and water storage. This research aimed to assess the effectiveness of wetland systemsin attenuating pollution from water discharged from abandoned gold mines in the Krugersdorp Game Reserve (KGR), West Rand. Eight (8) water samples were collected in the study site. Physico-chemical parameters were measured in situ, and chemical parameters were measured in the lab. The measured physico–chemical parameters from the majority of the sampled wetlands exceeded at least one of the stipulated water quality legislations, which included the General Authorization Limit Section 21f and h, 2013; Unit for TWQGR; Mine Health and Safety Act; and WUL wastewater in terms of the recorded pH, total dissolved solids, and salinity variables. Overall, a decreasing trend in pH level was observed from wetlands sampled upstream of the KGR to wetlands sampled downstream of the KGR, with the highest recorded pH level (Alkalinity: 8.9) obtained from the sampled wetland that was closest to the adjacent mining site upstream of theKGR whilst the lowest recorded pH level (Acidity: 3.9) obtained from a wetland sampling point that was further from the adjoining mine and downstream in the KGR. A weak and positive correlation (r=0.040) was obtained between the measured total dissolved solids and pH levels from the sampled wetlands, indicating minimal spatial variability. However, a strong positive correlation (r=0.999, Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level) was obtained between the measured total dissolved solids and salinity from the sampled wetlands. At least one of the limits stipulated by the water quality legislation was exceeded in terms of the analysed inorganic constituents from the sampled wetlands. The dominant ions recorded in the wetlands in increasing order are F, K, Cl, Mg, Na, Ca, and SO4. Mn and Si were the dominant metal concentrations recorded in most wetlands, with the former also showing exceedances when compared to the stipulated water quality guidelines. The recorded data from the measured physico–chemical parameters and analysed chemical variables indicated poor water quality in wetlands sampled downstream of the KGR and upstream of the KGR. Stringent measures in water quality monitoring need to be implemented to mitigate the environmental impacts associated with wastewater discharge into the receiving environment.Item Assessment of disposal methods of construction and demolition waste: A case study of south-eastern industrial and residential areas in Johannesburg, South Africa(University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, 2024) Jager, Vasti de; Kubanza, Nzalalemba SergeIn a world where all strive for further development, construction and demolition play alarge role in that process. The waste generated in construction and demolition projects is of great magnitude and needs to be dealt with and disposed of appropriately, however, is this truly the case? Gauteng is a province where landfills are easily accessible and a cheap disposal option. This study set out to assess disposal methods of construction and demolition waste in south-east Johannesburg, South Africa. Landfills and recycling were the prevalent disposal methods, and these were compared to other countries’ disposal methods. Policy and legislation regarding solid waste management were analysed and a gap between written documents and implementation was identified. The question of sustainability also played a role in the synthesis of the studyItem Monitoring and evaluating urban land use land cover change using machine learning classification techniques: a case study of Polokwane municipality(University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, 2023) Funani, Tshivhase; Mhangara, PaidaRemote sensing is one of the tools which is very important to produce Land use and land cover maps through the process of image classification. Image classification requires quality multispectral imagery and secondary data, a precise classification technique, and user experience skill. Remote sensing and GIS were used to identify and map land-use/land-cover in the study region. Big Data issues arise when classifying a huge number of satellite images and features, which is a very intensive process. This study primarily uses GEE to evaluate the two classifiers, Support Vector Machine, and gradient boosting, using multi-temporal Landsat-8 images, and to assess their performance while accounting for the impact of data dimension, sample size, and quality. Land use/Landcover (LULC) classification, accuracy assessment, and landscape metrics comprise this study. Gradient Tree Boost and SVM algorithms were used in 2008, 2013, 2017, and 2022. Google Earth Engine was used for supervised classification. The results of change detection showed that urbanization has occurred and most of the encroachments were on agricultural land. In this study, XG boost, and support vector machine (SVM)) were used and compared for image classification to oversight spatio-temporal land use changes in Polokwane Municipality. The Google Earth Engine has been utilized to pre-process the Landsat imagery, and then upload it for classification. Each classification method was evaluated using field observations and high-resolution Google Earth imagery. LULC changes were assessed, utilizing Geographic Information System (GIS) techniques, as well as the dynamics of change in LULCC were analysed using landscape matrix analysis over the last 15 years in four different periods: 2008–2013, 2018 and 2022. The results showed that XGBoost performed better than SVM both in overall accuracies and Kappa statistics as well as F-scores and the ratio of Z-score. The overall accuracy of gradient boosting in 2008 was 0.82, while SVM showed results of 0.82 overall accuracy and kappa statistics of 0.69. The average F-score for SVM in 2008 was from 0.58- 1.00, in 2013 an average of 0.86-0.97, and in 2022 it was 0.76. Z values were not statistically significant as all values were below the z score of 1.96. The ratios for the two classifiers were also taken to know which classifier performs the best. The results showed 212:212 which indicates that during 2008 SVM and XG boost performed the same way as they classified the same number of cases. During 2013 the ratio was 345:312 which shows that XGBoost performed better than SVM. The results of 2017 show 374:316 which shows that XGBoost performed better than SVM. Lastly, in 2022 the ratio was 298:277 which shows that XGBoost performed better than SVM. Overall zscores result show that XGBoost performs better than SVM. Overall, this study offers useful insight into LULC changes that might aid shareholders and decision makers in making informed decisions about controlling land use changes and urban growthItem Exploring Spatio-Temporal Climate Dynamics over Central Southern Africa: A Cross Border Analysis(University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, 2023-07) Welff, Megan; Fitchett, Jennifer; Esterhuysen, AmandaUnderstanding the diverse nature of climate dynamics in southern Africa is imperative in the face of climate change. Ground-based meteorological stations provide high-resolution climate data that can be used to investigate and analyse climate in detail. However, southern African countries monitor and manage meteorological stations independently which presents various challenges when attempting cross-border studies. While there are many meteorological-station-based climate studies conducted for South Africa or Botswana, there are few that combine meteorological datasets from both these countries to investigate climate dynamics across political boundaries. In this study, meteorological data from Botswana Meteorological Services and the South African Weather Service spanning 1912-2019 is pre-processed, cleaned and combined to produce a cross-border dataset. A total of 44 stations covers the Gauteng and North West provinces in South Africa and the southern, Kweneng, Kgatleng, South-east and Kgalagadi districts of Botswana. The combined cross-border dataset includes the average monthly summer, winter and annual rainfall (RS, RW and RA respectively) and the average monthly minimum and maximum summer, winter and annual temperatures (TSmin, TSmax, TWmin, TWmax, TAmin and TAmax respectively). From the linear regression analysis, an overall increasing trend for temperature is identified barring two stations (TSmin and TAmin for Mahalapye Met station, and TWmin for Vaalharts). Additionally, for rainfall there is a significant decreasing trend identified. Lastly, the spatial variability of the region is determined using an Inverse Distance Weighted interpolation in the GIS Software, ArcMap, to interpolate between stations. From this a west to east reduction in rainfall and a north-western to south-eastern decreasing temperature gradient is identified across the study region.