Investigating the impact of the land reform policy on land use and land cover changes, in Ngaka Modiri Molema district of the North West province

Abstract

The purpose of this study was to assess how land reform policies affected changes in land use and land cover in the province of North West's Ngaka Modiri Molema district municipality. The study employed remote sensing technologies to analyse changes in land use and land cover (LULC) resulting from the implementation of land reform programs between 1985 and 2015. The primary objective of the research was to systematically map Land Use and Land Cover types across five-year intervals spanning from 1985 to 2024, leveraging Landsat earth observation data in conjunction with a random forest classifier. These methodologies were employed to facilitate the identification of spatial patterns and trends associated with the implementation of land reform policies within the study area. Furthermore, the study utilized Landsat data and advanced change detection algorithms to quantitatively assess LULC changes over the specified timeframes. Through the application of spatial analysis techniques, the research aimed to elucidate the relationship between the implementation of land reform measures and corresponding shifts in LULC patterns across the research study area. The findings of the investigation indicated a noticeable expansion in built-up areas between the years 1985 and 2024 which was approximately 10.86%. This expansion was primarily attributed to the growth experienced by the municipality during this period. Additionally, more opportunities might have risen from the agricultural farming activities and also from the land reform policy being implemented. However, as the ownership changed due to land redistribution and more land was being acquired by black people through the land reform policy, agricultural farming decreased slightly throughout the years. The reduction was due to the factors that arose from inefficient policy implementation. The study also recommends that remote sensing techniques should be utilised to carry out studies to determine LULC changes that derive from land policies aiming at dealing with socio-economic factors and urbanisation. An incorporated agrarian reform sustainable programme has vast potential in cultivating the production of the projects, particularly if it involves packages in rural infrastructure, support services, and co-operatives. The major role of such an approach should be in the trainings conducted for the farmers, obtaining, and distributing agricultural resources and equipment to agrarian reform or beneficiaries of the land reform projects. Additionally, there should be an allowance for special grants which will be useful in supporting the government’s efforts.