Capability of multi-remote sensing satellite data in detecting and monitoring cyanobacteria and algal blooms in the Vaal dam, South Africa

Abstract

Vaal Dam is a large dam in South Africa. It is the primary source of potable water for the metropolitan and industrial areas of Gauteng province and other surrounding areas. The dam's surface area is about 320 km². It’s the second biggest dam in South Africa in terms of surface area, and it drains a catchment area of approximately 38,000 km². The dam's total capacity is about 2.603 × 10⁶ m³ (Haarhoff and Tempelhoff, 2007). The dam catchment area holds various anthropogenic activities, including major agricultural activities, mining, and some industrial activities (Obaid et al., 2023, Du Plessis, 2017), as well as many formal and informal settlements. The dam water is strongly affected by such activities, releasing chemical, physical, and biological contaminants and dissolved urban effluents, most of which enrich the nutrients that reach the dam water in some way. Water resources assessment and monitoring are crucial practices due to their direct contribution to the effective use of such resources. They require precise information about the water quantity and quality. Monitoring of inland water resources has been conducted using in-situ sampling and in-vitro measurement of the water quality constituents. However, these methods have limitations such as high cost, labor-intensive limited spatial and temporal coverage, and time consumption. Over the last few years, remote sensing has been examined for water quality monitoring as a cost- effective system. This research has tested satellite remote sensing to detect some water quality parameters in the Vaal Dam of South Africa. The main objective of this research is to examine the recent generation multispectral satellite sensors, Sentinel-2 MSI, and Landsat-8 OLI data to detect and assess chlorophyll-a and cyanobacteria in the Vaal Dam, South Africa to be used as a cost-effective monitoring tool. To achieve the objective, the research first aimed to understand how the spatial and temporal dynamics of land use, and land cover (LULC) impact algal growth in the dam reservoir. Land use land cover classification was conducted in the catchment area of the Vaal Dam using a pixel-based classification method. Landsat data for the period from 1986 to 2021 were classified using a random forest (RF) classifier in seven-year intervals (1986, 1993, 2000, 2007, 2014, and 2021). Applying the RF classifier revealed that overall classification accuracies (OA) ranged from 87% in the 2014 classified image to 95% in the 2007 image. The change-detection analysis revealed the continuous increase of the settlement class owing to the continuous population growth. A lot of anthropogenic activities associated with population growth have been recognized to release contaminants into the surrounding environment and might end up reaching the water resources causing significant deterioration. As a result, Vaal Dam encounters significant nutrient input from multiple sources within its catchment. This situation raised the frequency of the Harmful Algal Blooms (HABs) within the dam reservoir during recent years. The study also performed a time series analysis for the potential nutrients expected to be the enhancing factors for algal blooms in the Vaal Dam. Using chlorophyll−a (Chl−a) as a proxy of HABs, along with the concentrations of potential nutrients, statistical measures, and water quality data were applied to understand the trend of selected water quality parameters. These parameters were: Chl−a, total phosphorus (TP), nitrate and nitrite nitrogen NO₃NO₂_N), organic nitrogen (KJEL_N), ammonia nitrogen (NH₄_N), dissolved oxygen (DO) and the water temperature. The results reveal that the HAB productivity in the Vaal Dam is influenced by the levels of TP and KJEL_N, which exhibited a significant correlation with Chl−a concentrations. From the Long- term analysis of Chl−a and its driving factors, some very high values of Chl−a concentrations and its driving factors TP and KJEL_N were recorded in erratic individual dates which suggested some nutrients rich in wastes find their way to the dam. Another important notice was that the average Chl-a concentration significantly increased during the period of the study (1986 to 2023) it increased from 4.75 μg/L in the first decade (1990–2000) to 10.51 μg/L in the second decade (2000–2010) and reaching 16.7 μg/L in the last decade (2010–2020). Additionally, Chl−a data extracted from Landsat-8 satellite images was utilized to visualize the spatial distribution of HABs in the reservoir. The satellite data analysis during the last decade revealed that the spatial dynamics of HABs are influenced by the dam’s geometry and the levels of discharge from its two feeding rivers, with higher concentrations observed in meandering areas of the reservoir, and within zones of restricted water circulation. These spatial distribution patterns of HABs are associated with spatial variations of algal species in term of domination through the seasons of the year. The research also examined the utility of remote sensing techniques for mapping algal blooms using the current generation Sentinel-2 and Landsat-8 data. The effectiveness of some band ratio indices in the blue-green and red-near infrared wavelengths was tested. The results suggested that the blue-green band ratio of Landsat-8 [Rrs(560)/Rrs(443)], and red/NIR of Sentinel-2 [Rrs(705)/Rrs(665)] were found to be the best indices for Chl-a retrieval in the Vaal Dam. Results for the Landsat OLI dataset showed R² = 0.89; RMSE = 0.36 μg/L, P < 0.05, and the Sentinel MSI dataset revealed R² = 0.75; RMSE = 0.48 μg/L, P < 0.05 which is a high degree of accuracy. As the potential toxicity comes from the cyanobacterial bloom, the study examines different models to assess and map cyanobacteria concentration in the dam reservoir. Sentinel-2 and in-situ hyperspectral data have been used. None of the Sentinel-2 band ratios showed a significant correlation with the laboratory-measured values of the cyanobacteria. The in-situ measured Hyperspectra showed strong correlations between the band ratios Rrs(705)/Rrs(655) and Rrs(705)/Rrs(620), and the measured cyanobacteria (R² = 0.96 and R² = 0.95 respectively). Chlorophyll−a concentration was retrieved using band ratio indices in the red-NIR region. The strongest correlation was found between the retrieved Chl−a of band ratio Rrs(705)/Rrs(665) and the laboratory-measured Chl−a concentrations for both reflectance datasets. This correlation resulted in an R² value of 0.78 for Sentinel-2 reflectance data and an R² value of 0.93 for in-situ hyperspectral data. A Semi-analytical algorithm for estimating the Chl−a and phycocyanin (PC) pigments has also been examined. The algorithm uses the ratio of the calculated Chl−a absorption at 665 and phycocyanin absorption at 620 nm to their specific absorption coefficients a∗ (655) and a∗ (620) to estimate the concentration of Chl−a and phycocyanin respectively. It resulted in a strong correlation with measured chlorophyll-a, R² = 0.95. The algorithm also strongly correlated with measured cyanobacteria using the absorption to specific absorption ratio at 620 nm (R² = 0.97). However, the estimated values of cyanobacteria using a Semi-analytical algorithm resulted in cyanobacterial concentration values a little bit higher compared to the measured ones, hence, some factors used by the model need to be adjusted to the Vaal Dam site for better estimations. This research revealed that using band ratio indices of Landsat-8 and Sentinel-2 data are valuable tools for mapping chlorophyll-a in the Vaal Dam, a key indicator of phytoplankton biomass. Furthermore, using the semi-analytical algorithm with hyperspectral data is key for estimating the cyanobacteria concentration in the dam water. Models developed in this research will significantly improve near-real-time and long-term chlorophyll-a monitoring of the Vaal Dam. It will effectively help researchers and environmental agencies monitor changes in algal biomass of the dam water to address public health issues related to water quality. It helps to identify areas of high nutrient input and assess the effectiveness of water quality management strategies. It is of prime importance that the developments within the catchment of the Vaal Dam be carefully considered as it is one of the primary sources of dam water. The research recommends implementing the existing regulatory policies for effluent dispersal within the catchment to protect ecosystem functioning and water resources from further deterioration in their quality. It also recommends regular monitoring to detect real-time changes in HABs using satellite remote sensing.