Distortions in the foreign exchange market in Zimbabwe

dc.contributor.authorNyagweta, Farai Chantal
dc.contributor.supervisorSchaling, Eric
dc.date.accessioned2026-10-28T12:58:55Z
dc.date.issued2025
dc.descriptionA research report submitted in fulfillment of the requirements for the Master of Management, in the Faculty of Commerce, Law and Management, Wits Business School, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, 2025
dc.description.abstractThe existence of the parallel market in Zimbabwe has been a prevailing issue for policymakers for many years. The parallel market rate premium has continued to increase which has caused significant price distortions in the real economy. This quantitative study used monthly data to examine the determinants of the parallel market rate premium in Zimbabwe for the period 2019 to 2023 using the monetarist approach. The ARDL methodology was used to investigate the effect that inflation rate, money supply, and expected rate of devaluation have on the parallel market rate premium. The empirical results showed that all three variables had a long run relationship with the parallel market rate premium whilst only money supply, and inflation rate had a short run relationship with the premium. The inflation rate and expected rate of devaluation both had positive effects on the premium in the long run. Whilst money supply, unexpectedly had a negative relationship with the premium in the long run. In the short run the inflation rate had a negative impact on the premium, and money supply had a positive effect. The paper concluded that the government policy that aims to reduce inflationary pressures in the economy is vital in narrowing the parallel market rate premium.
dc.description.submitterMM2026
dc.facultyFaculty of Commerce, Law and Management
dc.identifier.citationNyagweta, Farai Chantal . (2025). Distortions in the foreign exchange market in Zimbabwe [Master`s dissertation, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg]. WIReDSpace.
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10539/50234
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherUniversity of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg
dc.rights© 2025 University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg. All rights reserved. The copyright in this work vests in the University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg. No part of this work may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, without the prior written permission of University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg.
dc.rights.holderUniversity of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg
dc.schoolWITS Business School
dc.subjectUCTD
dc.subjectPARALLEL MARKET PREMIUM
dc.subjectBLACK MARKET,
dc.subjectZIMBABWE
dc.subject.primarysdgSDG-8: Decent work and economic growth
dc.titleDistortions in the foreign exchange market in Zimbabwe
dc.typeDissertation

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