The Role of Atherosclerosis in HIV-Related Stroke in South Africa

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University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg

Abstract

Stroke in people living with HIV (PLWH) is an incompletely understood entity. The purpose of this cross-sectional research was to study a population of PLWH who have suffered a stroke in a low-and-middle-income country at the epicentre of the world’s HIV epidemic. Of particular interest was exploring the role of atherosclerosis, which appears to be the primary mechanism mediating HIV-related stroke in data from high-income countries. This study was conducted at a quaternary-level hospital in Johannesburg, South Africa, between August 2014 and November 2017. Patients with new-onset stroke were recruited and assessed using investigations including CT angiography and echocardiography. Validated non- invasive biomarkers of subclinical atherosclerosis, namely carotid intima-media thickness and aortic pulse wave velocity, were used to assess the role of atherosclerosis in patients with strokes of different aetiologies. A total of 346 patients were recruited, of which 87 (25.1%) were PLWH. Of these, 33 (37.9%) were newly diagnosed with HIV on presentation with stroke. In the PLWH with ischaemic stroke (n=85, mean age 43.4±12.5 years), vasculopathy was the most common stroke aetiology (28/85, 32.9%), of which only four were due to atherosclerosis (4.7%). There was no evidence of subclinical atherosclerosis in the other 24 PLWH with vasculopathy nor in those with undetermined stroke aetiology. HIV status had no impact on carotid intima-media thickness in multivariate regression models. Vasculopathy was due to varicella-zoster virus in 8/28 PLWH with vasculopathy (21.4%). This was despite excluding patients with abnormal basic cerebrospinal fluid examination and the unavailability of optimal varicella-zoster diagnostics, suggesting the likely under-diagnosis of this potentially treatable stroke risk factor. Routine testing for varicella-zoster in the cerebrospinal fluid of all PLWH with stroke is thus recommended. In the first 6 months of starting antiretroviral therapy, 32.1% of patients had a stroke, translating to a 3.5 times greater stroke risk in this period compared to beyond 6 months (p=0.0002). This was despite excluding all patients with opportunistic infections, suggesting a novel role of the Immune Reconstitution Inflammatory Syndrome as a stroke risk factor in the absence of such infections. This was also shown to be independent of atherosclerosis. xi Cardioembolism accounted for 20% of strokes, compared to 4-9% in previous regional literature. This likely indicates the under-diagnosis of such conventional stroke aetiologies due to resource limitations. Cardiomyopathy was the predominant aetiology of cardioembolic stroke (76.4%), emphasising the need for a cost-effective and accessible biomarker in a region with limited access to echocardiography. In conclusion, our findings of a low atherosclerotic burden, covert varicella-zoster-related strokes, and the role of immune reconstitution in the absence of opportunistic infections are examples of an alternative view to that in the current literature from high-income countries. This may be more applicable to the management of the vast majority of PLWH globally, who mostly reside in low-and-middle-income countri

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A research report submitted in fulfillment of the requirements for the Doctor of Philosophy, in the Faculty of Health Sciences, School of Pathology, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, 2025

Citation

Sadiq, Mohammad Eitzaz. (2025). The Role of Atherosclerosis in HIV-Related Stroke in South Africa [PhD thesis, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg]. WIReDSpace. https://hdl.handle.net/10539/50006

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