Electronic Theses and Dissertations (PhDs)
Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://hdl.handle.net/10539/37966
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Item Design of a Capability Maturity Framework for Resilient Infrastructure Management in Category B4 Municipalities in South Africa(University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, 2025) Ngomane, LuyandaThis doctoral study sought to examine how a self-improvement evaluation tool can be used to help South African category B4 municipalities acquire resilient infrastructure management capabilities. Category B4 municipalities are defined as mostly the rural municipalities with only one or two minor towns, characterised mainly with the failure to procure and manage sustainable infrastructure services. The study assumed that previous local government initiatives that were used to deploy professional support engineers to improve infrastructure management and service provision in category B4 municipalities, omitted the aspect of resilience as part of the support model. The study conceived the use of a capability maturity framework (CMF) as a self-improvement evaluation tool to help standardize organisational performance improvement towards resilience. This framework incorporates the mapping of project management knowledge areas into capability maturity improvement areas. It is postulated that these capability maturity improvement areas are critical in modelling the continuous capability improvement pathway required in managing infrastructure in category B4 municipalities towards resilience. As the infrastructure management capabilities progressively mature, so do the capability improvement areas collectively contribute towards resilience. This assumption is premised on the understanding that the more an organisation’s infrastructure capabilities improve and mature, the more likely the management of infrastructure is to become resilient in improving service provision. The study situated the concept of resilience as a context within which the design parameters of the capability maturity framework should be considered to model the infrastructure management for application in under-capacitated municipalities. This study identified 14 capability areas that provided a conceptual framework for assessing resilience in local government infrastructure management. These capability areas included budget alignment and infrastructure delivery cycles, development of construction procurement documentation, cost management, contract management. Since the CMF is centred on an ongoing improvement pathway of critical capacities on many levels with corresponding key process areas ii at each level, this thesis should be seen as contributing to the improved understanding of how local government actions, processes, and measures can inform unique progression characteristics that are crucial in modelling a continuous improvement pathway towards resilient infrastructure management by Category B4 municipalities. The approach to investigating this problem was to use a case-study research methodology. The qualitative investigation was conducted using semi and unstructured interviews, triangulated with a document review. Thematic data analysis was used and the OPM3 knowledge analysis (KA), assessment analysis (AA), and critical improvement areas (CIA) were well-organized as analysis components. The findings of the thesis reveal how organisations ought to deal with organisational capability realities based on the capability improvement tools and models rooted in and linked to the dynamic organisational circumstances. The use of this framework is therefore recommended to support the building of capability maturity through the layered development of infrastructure management knowledge across the category B4 municipalities. In South Africa, the National and Provincial governments establish local government outcomes, with the objective of strengthening the strategic focus on government’s service provision priorities. These service provision priorities allow municipalities and other sector departments to effectively carry out their constitutional and legislative obligations while also holding them accountable for their performance. Therefore, the implication of using the infrastructure management capability framework is that, category B4 municipalities will have a better understanding of and resilience in their infrastructure management responsibilities and advancement in terms of providing basic services.Item Women in Construction: Retention of Professional Female Talent within the Construction Industry in South Africa(University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, 2023) Sangweni, Nondumiso Zamangwane; Ozumba, ObinnaProfessional women in the construction industry, still face challenges that hinder their long term stay in the industry, despite necessary knowledge, skills, competencies, training, and work experience. Most studies in this area look at identified barriers and challenges of professional females within the industry, with little or no specific suggestions for female talent retention. Recruiting and retaining workers from underrepresented groups remains a challenge for the construction industry. This research seeks to identify organizational factors that influence women's decisions to remain in the construction industry and to devise a strategy for increasing human capital in this industry. To achieve the objectives of the research, this study utilized a mixed methods approach. Interviews were conducted via Microsoft Teams with 15 leading women working within the various roles in the Built Environment & this data was analyzed via content analysis. And a total of 180 structured questionnaires were distributed to construction professionals. A total of 148 completed questionnaires were returned, representing 82% return rate. SPSS was used to analyze quantitative date data, which included tests such as frequencies, percentages, mean score, and factor analysis. The study's findings indicate that career development variables, such as management policy and organizational policy, together with human resources considerations, play a significant role in effectively promoting the retention of female professional talent within the construction industry in South Africa. While discrimination and patriarchy in society negatively affect employee retention. This study adds to the understanding of HR professionals, line managers, and organizational leaders about retention challenges and effective retention strategies for top and middle-level managers in the construction industry. While the Female Talent Retention framework (FTRF) addresses the context of South Africa, it can be used as a theoretical foundation for future research on women's retention in the construction industry. The study also suggests policymakers in the construction industry take note of its findings and recommendations. South Africa is a developing country that requires long-term sustainable in both technology and human resources.Item Intrinsic Valuation of REITs(University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, 2024) Manda, Tamala AmeliaThis thesis investigates, models and presents the financial health and financial positions of the South African real estate investment trusts (from here, REITs). In order to address that investigation, this thesis is anchored on three essays-(i) dynamic cash flows, (ii) bankruptcy prediction and (iii) smart betas. The first study (i.e. chapter 3) uses different discounted cash flows (DFCs, hereafter) to determine values of REITs and those DCFs are anchored by the organisational capital structure. The second study (i.e. chapter 4) is shaped on Altman (1968) for predicting bankruptcy. Altman (1968) is one of the earliest studies that explored corporate bankruptcy. The third study (i.e. chapter 5) presents smart beta strategies, based on qualitative and quantitative betas. The first study confirms that the value of REITs, as measured by DCFs, is sensitive to the capital structure. The second study illustrates that bankruptcy is well accounted for, when using probabilistic and multilinear models. Notably, the second study accurately predicted the default of the Rebosis Property Fund in 2022 based on 2014-2018 time series, using different selected macroeconomic variables. A 5-year accurate prediction in any sector of capital markets is unheard of! The third study exemplifies that qualitative betas better measure the quality of management, while quantitative betas appropriately detect financial health and financial position of REITs. The implications of this study are as follows. First, depending on the type-funding injected by investors, appropriate DCF valuation should be used to illustrate values, in particular, market values. Second, REITs, just like any other firms, are prone to bankruptcy, partly because the large portion of net profits are distributed to unitholders as dividends at the end of financial years. The funds from operations (FFOs), a widely acceptable REIT performance measure, equally, predict bankruptcy of these firms. Third, quantitative and qualitative betas should be used jointly in determining whether a REIT firm is investable or not.Item Determinants of Professional Service Output Quality in the South African Construction Industry(University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, 2024) Govender, Neil; Laryea, Samuel; Watermeyer, RonThe debate regarding the relationship between fees and the quality of professional services in the construction industry has persisted since the 1980s. In the South African context, members of professional industry bodies have strongly suggested that the declining quality of professional service outputs (PSOs) in the construction industry is due to low fees. While various studies in the construction literature have asserted that low or “discounted” fees are one of the main factors influencing the quality of PSOs, other studies have rejected this assertion. However, a comprehensive investigation into the major built environment professions, aimed at identifying and evaluating various factors influencing PSO quality, as well as understanding how and to what extent quality is specifically influenced by fees, is notably absent from the construction literature. To address this gap, a three-stage research design was employed. This design included an industry-wide survey with 604 participants, a survey of nine industry experts averaging 38 years of experience, and case studies conducted with seven built environment consulting companies. The data analysis involved a combination of content analysis, descriptive analysis, and thematic analysis. The study revealed nuances in the key factors influencing PSO quality across various built environment professions. While fees were identified as a key factor influencing PSO quality, other key factors, such as the time required to produce PSOs, experience, available information, and project briefs, were also identified. This highlights the need for project stakeholders to effectively manage professional fees in conjunction with these other key factors to ensure the quality of PSOs is not diminished. The findings of this study provide both clients and professionals with the knowledge to navigate the complex interplay between fees and PSO quality, ultimately fostering more successful and efficient projects.Item A Comparative Approach to Market Wide Herding(University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, 2024) Zwane, Sibongile; Sebehela, TumellanoThis thesis prices, investigates and models market wide herding for selected emerged economies (i.e., U.S. and UK) and named emerging markets (i.e., Taiwan and South Africa) for bonds, equities and real estate sectors. To investigate the mentioned theme/topic, this study develops three hypotheses: (i) the selected indices are prone to market wide herding, (ii) there are systematic volatility patterns during herding process, and finally, (iii) there is positive herding in the real estate sector. The findings are as follows. First, there are persistent herding behaviour of the used indices and moreover, herding behaviour is both within and in between indices. The latter statement is consistent with the findings of Kola (2021). Second, herding exists in volatility towards to the developed economies from emerging markets, irrespective of the product type. Finally, there is definitive herding in the real estate industry, in particular, in indices and not so much in stand-alone REITs. Interestingly, evidence of herding is model sensitive. Finally, the implications are as follows. First, when you invest in bonds, equities and real estate indices, investors should mitigate against herding effects. Second, integration of products, in the context of bonds, equities and real estate, should be encouraged as that increases the levels of information symmetry. The latter statement implies that investing in financial markets would be risky (See; Kola 2021 and Sibongile 2021). Third and finally, intraday investors should have deep insights about emerging markets as emerging financial markets herd towards to emerged markets.Item The use of integrated project delivery (ipd) to reduce construction claims in South African mining capital projects(University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, 2024) Shoniwa, Kuda John; Saghatforous, Ehsan; Laryea, SamuelThe current traditional Design-Bid-Build (DBB) method on capital projects, results in adversarial relationships, insufficient collaboration, poorly defined scopes of work, inadequate designs, unsatisfactory upfront planning, and diminished integration. This often leads to various changes to planned or agreed contractor scope, schedule, cost or quality during construction resulting in numerous and expensive construction claims for additional costs and time which can be reduced by incorporating Integrated Project Delivery (IPD) benefits. In this research, reference to construction claim means a request by contractor for additional cost or extension of time during construction due to changes in planned or agreed scope, schedule, cost or quality. This research study explores the use of IPD benefits to reduce construction claims in South African mining capital projects, contracted under the traditional DBB method. The research question for this study is therefore, “How can IPD benefits be incorporated into the traditional Design-Bid-Build method so as to reduce construction claims in South African mining capital projects?”. The researcher utilised literature review, survey and focus groups, as mixed research methods. Meta-synthesis, questionnaires and interviews were employed, as data collection techniques. Qualitative analysis incorporating descriptive and pattern coding and quantitative analysis were used for data analysis. In answering the research question, a literature review meta-synthesis identified 28 major causes of construction claims including: changes in design and scope, unclear risk allocation, unclear design documents and specifications, inadequate planning and poor communication. Furthermore, 17 benefits of IPD essential to reducing construction claims were identified and included: early involvement of key participants, collaboration, joint decision making, and open communication. The findings show that there is an opportunity to use aspects of IPD and infusing them into the traditional Design-Bid-Build project delivery method to reduce construction claims. IPD benefits present an opportunity to minimize changes later in the projects which in turn assists in reducing construction claims. By understanding the root causes of construction claims and reviewing the effectiveness and deficiencies of current practices used to reduce the claims, a framework that uses identified IPD benefits as remedies to causes of construction claims in capital projects can be developed. The researcher then developed a framework incorporating IPD benefits into the traditional DBB method for South African mining capital projects, to reduce construction claims. This framework will enable project stakeholders to collaborate and integrate early to deliver quality, within budget and on-time projects so that beneficial use of the assets can commence and generate value for stakeholders. Learnings from this research will promote the required changes in behaviour and attitudes in the construction industry which can lead in the direction of full IPD implementation in the future.Item Essays on the Corporate Governance Evolution and South African Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)(University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, 2024) Moloi, Nosipho; Chyuan, Wong Woei; Akinsomi, OmokoladeThere has been substantial attention on corporate governance globally, representing a key area of research interest. Focusing on REITs as a natural experiment to study corporate governance and disclosure polices in SA is distinctive, particularly in that results are mixed globally. Studies by Campbell et al. (2011), Chong et al. (2016), and Chong et al. (2017) found an optimistic association with corporations that adopt CG and profitability; however, Bianco et al. (2007) and Bauer et al. (2010) reported adverse results. The study conducts three separate empirical studies that cover the following aspects of REITs: (a) the impact of corporate governance and corporate social responsibility on SA REITs performance; (b) the impact of corporate governance and foreign investor trading: An SA REIT perspective; (c) Black Economic Empowerment (BEE) and its influence on SA REIT liquidity. This thesis consists of three independent essays. The first essay employs a Corporate Governance Index (CGI) formulated from the King III and King IV reports to investigate the link concerning corporate performance and superiority of CG and the corporate social responsibility (CSR) of SA REITs listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE). The CGI index is created from the King III and IV reports to measure the compliance of 33 SA REITs listed on the JSE as of January 2023. These REITs are assessed from 2013. The empirical investigation using multiple correspondence analysis (MCA) reveals that CG practices have a positive influence on firms’ performance (such as total share return and return on assets). The results imply that CG’s standard principles influence the performance of firms’ SA REITs with a higher magnitude. Managers and investors that observe CG principles will notice improved firm performance. The CSR index is created from the King reports, and MCA was used to analyse CSR compliance to determine that SA REITs, which comply with CSR regulations, will improve returns. The second essay investigates CG and foreign investment activity of SA REITs. REITs offer a natural experiment in CG. These leave little cash flow for management, thereby reducing agency problems. A CGI Index was formulated from the King III and IV reports to examine the association concerning foreign investment and the quality of CG. A sample of 33 SA REITs from 2013 until 2022 is documented. The study adopted the unique multiple correspondence analysis (MCA) to form a matrix for the CG, and the foreign investment was formulated by adopting the Buy and Sell Index (BSI) to capture foreign investment. With a well-balanced panel, it was found that corporate governance (CG) significantly influences foreign investment with a greater magnitude. Additionally, SA REITs that are cross-listed with better CG in place 10 were documented as this has been linked with attracting more foreign investors. Due to the nature and effectiveness of the CG and the lack of this type of investigation in South Africa (SA), this study will inform SA REITs and policy makers in understanding the importance of complying with CG and the practical implications for its influences on foreign investment activity. The third essay examines the liquidity of SA REITs and their relationship to the BEE score. The contribution of this section to the literature is on SA REIT liquidity and its relationship with BEE policy. Firm liquidity has long been an area of interest of research (Yun, 2009). The paper adopts the BEE score for all SA REITs to measure their compliance levels and the link to a REIT liquidity. Thirty-three REITs are adopted from 2013 until 2022. To capture the different dimensions of a securitised REIT, more than one liquidity measure is used. This analysis uses four proxies to calculate REIT liquidity using ordinary least squares models (OLS). The study finds that the BEE has a positive association with an SA REIT liquidity, implying that REITs that comply with BEE policy are likely to have improved liquidity. Complying with government policy has been linked with firms’ good financial standing. Highly compliant REITs wanting to maintain their liquidity levels should consider the influence of the macro-economic factors, particularly the adverse relationships that negatively affect REIT liquidity such as employment levels. This is the first study to probe the BEE and REIT liquidity in the South African context.Item An analysis of the effectiveness of the infrastructure delivery management system in the South African government(University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, 2024) Melete, Refiloe Minah; Khatleli, NthatisiGovernments face inherent obstacles in the provision of infrastructure at a global level. The decline or degradation of societal infrastructure and the limited accessibility to public services for the entire South African population can be ascribed to factors such as inadequate provisioning and upkeep of infrastructure. The adverse implications of construction project failures attributed to a variety of factors, such as delayed provision and increased costs directly impact economic well-being of individuals. South Africa's government is guided by a complicated system of broad and sector-specific policies with distinct objectives. The South African government has implemented various strategies and initiatives to enhance infrastructure delivery, and the effectiveness of developing infrastructure delivery methods for public infrastructure initiatives remains questionable. Despite substantial study on infrastructure delivery difficulties, there remains a paucity of complete evidence about the efficacy of certain infrastructure delivery changes. Previous research identified by academic research has mostly focused on challenges such as public protests, corruption, delays in service delivery, inefficient operations, and inadequate quality management, leaving a knowledge gap about the overall efficacy of various delivery reforms and restricting insights into broader system performance. The South African government has adopted the infrastructure delivery management system (IDMS), a comprehensive approach that integrates planning, implementation ,monitoring and maintenance of infrastructure projects, as its preferred framework for implementation. The system’s effectiveness has not been tested. To close this gap the research analyses the effectiveness of IDMS in infrastructure provision. The study’s objectives were achieved through a qualitative methods, involving in-depth interviews and thematic and content analysis was employed. A purposive selection process was employed to choose a cohort consisting of senior managers, project managers, and external service providers. This resulted in a total of 100 individuals who were chosen to participate in the study. Interviews were conducted with these individuals. A response rate of 72% was attained, indicating a high level of participant engagement and data reliability. The study posits that various infrastructure delivery methods have been tried by both emerging and developed nations, but with limited success rate. Without a universally diverse and integrated infrastructure delivery, the current state of deterioration will continue. South Africa, as a developing nation, has the potential to reap substantial benefits by placing emphasis on the preservation, expansion, and enhancement of its infrastructure delivery. The findings of the study suggest that there are constraints with the current delivery system on adherence to regulations and implementation of system components. The study reveal a significant prevalence of inconsistencies in the application of the system. Lack of transparency in government policies impedes their implementation, causing a multitude of obstacles that contribute to additional project delays. The project's effectiveness is impeded by its inability to run efficiently due to the impact of the changing political environment on laws and industry reform. The study identified significant relationship between competency and governance, and how each impacts the effectiveness of the delivery management system. Consistently assessing policy iii and enhancing the implementation of legislation is vital for properly harnessing industry principles and endeavours. In order to achieve a balanced approach and encourage stakeholder ownership and commitment, collaborative interaction with industry professionals is essential. Improving infrastructure delivery requires implementing an integrated framework with clear goals, enhancing governance structures, a well-defined capacitation strategy to implement the framework, clearly defined roles and responsibilities. and promoting collaboration among government stakeholders for decision making and defined timelines for processing decisions in infrastructure delivery. Additionally, it is essential to streamline processes and cultivate technical expertise within infrastructure departments. The presence of strong governance structures, streamlined processes, and efficient human resource management are strong factors recommended for an integrated delivery framework. This study offers a significant contribution to the current body of literature on public sector infrastructure delivery methods. The research offers study offers valuable insights and contributes to creating efficient and sustainable infrastructure delivery methods and serves as a guiding resource for developing government policies and decision making.