Supervised Machine Learning for Predicting SMME Sales: An Evaluation of Three Algorithms

dc.article.end-page21en_ZA
dc.article.start-page1en_ZA
dc.citation.doihttps://doi.org/10.23962/10539/31371en_ZA
dc.contributor.authorZhou, Helper
dc.contributor.authorGumbo, Victor
dc.date.accessioned2021-05-31T23:31:26Z
dc.date.available2021-05-31T23:31:26Z
dc.date.issued2021-05-31
dc.description.abstractThe emergence of machine learning algorithms presents the opportunity for a variety of stakeholders to perform advanced predictive analytics and to make informed decisions. However, to date there have been few studies in developing countries that evaluate the performance of such algorithms—with the result that pertinent stakeholders lack an informed basis for selecting appropriate techniques for modelling tasks. This study aims to address this gap by evaluating the performance of three machine learning techniques: ordinary least squares (OLS), least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO), and artificial neural networks (ANNs). These techniques are evaluated in respect of their ability to perform predictive modelling of the sales performance of small, medium and micro enterprises (SMMEs) engaged in manufacturing. The evaluation finds that the ANNs algorithm’s performance is far superior to that of the other two techniques, OLS and LASSO, in predicting the SMMEs’ sales performance.en_ZA
dc.description.librarianCA2021en_ZA
dc.facultyHumanitiesen_ZA
dc.identifier.citationZhou, H., & Gumbo, V. (2021). Supervised machine learning for predicting SMME sales: An evaluation of three algorithms. The African Journal of Information and Communication (AJIC), 27, 1-21. https://doi.org/10.23962/10539/31371en_ZA
dc.identifier.issn2077-7213 (online version)
dc.identifier.issn2077-7205 (print version)
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10539/31371
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.23962/10539/31371
dc.journal.issue27en_ZA
dc.journal.linkhttp://www.wits.ac.za/linkcentre/ajicen_ZA
dc.journal.titleThe African Journal of Information and Communication (AJIC)en_ZA
dc.language.isoenen_ZA
dc.orcid.idZhou: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8492-7844en_ZA
dc.orcid.idGumbo: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5219-9902en_ZA
dc.publisherLINK Centre, University of the Witwatersrand (Wits), Johannesburgen_ZA
dc.rightsThis article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0) licence: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0en_ZA
dc.schoolSchool of Literature, Language and Media (SLLM)en_ZA
dc.subjectsupervised machine learning, algorithms, sales predictive modelling, ordinary least squares (OLS), least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO), artificial neural networks (ANNs), small, medium and micro enterprises (SMMEs)en_ZA
dc.titleSupervised Machine Learning for Predicting SMME Sales: An Evaluation of Three Algorithmsen_ZA
dc.typeArticleen_ZA
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