Changing boundaries: Overcoming modifiable areal unit problems related to unemployment data in South Africa.

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dc.citation.doi10.17159/sajs.2016/20150115en_ZA
dc.citation.issue3/4en_ZA
dc.contributor.authorWeir-Smith, G
dc.date.accessioned2017-01-09T09:22:14Z
dc.date.available2017-01-09T09:22:14Z
dc.date.issued2016-03
dc.description.abstractThe longitudinal comparison of census data in spatial format is often problematic because of changes in administrative boundaries. Such shifting boundaries are referred to as the modifiable areal unit problem (MAUP). This article utilises unemployment data between 1991 and 2007 in South Africa to illustrate the challenge and proposes ways to overcome it. Various censuses in South Africa use different reporting geographies. Unemployment data for magisterial districts of census 1991 and 1996 were re-modelled to the 2005 municipal boundaries. This article showed that areal interpolation to a common administrative boundary could overcome these reporting obstacles. The results confirmed more accurate interpolations in rural areas with standard errors below 3300. Conversely, the largest errors were recorded in the metropolitan areas. Huge increases in unemployment between 1996 and 2001 statistics were also evident, especially in the metropolitan areas. Although such areas are more complex in nature, making it more difficult to accurately calculate census data, the increase in unemployment could also be the result of census taking methods. The article concludes that socio-economic data should be available at the smallest possible geographic area to ensure more accurate results in interpolation. It also recommends that new output areas be conceptualised to create a seamless database of census data from 1991 to 2011 in South Africa.en_ZA
dc.description.librarianNCS2016en_ZA
dc.identifier.issn0038-2353
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10539/21601
dc.journal.titleSouth African Journal of Scienceen_ZA
dc.journal.volume112en_ZA
dc.language.isoenen_ZA
dc.publisherAcademy of Science of South Africa (ASSAf)en_ZA
dc.rights© 2016. The Author(s). Published under a Creative Commons Attribution Licence.en_ZA
dc.subjectAreal interpolationen_ZA
dc.subjectCensusen_ZA
dc.subjectData aggregationen_ZA
dc.subjectSocio-economic trendsen_ZA
dc.subjectUnemploymenten_ZA
dc.titleChanging boundaries: Overcoming modifiable areal unit problems related to unemployment data in South Africa.en_ZA
dc.typeArticleen_ZA
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