Generalizing the number of states in Bayesian belief propagation, as applied to portfolio management.

dc.contributor.authorKruger, Jan Walters.
dc.date.accessioned2018-12-18T12:12:41Z
dc.date.available2018-12-18T12:12:41Z
dc.date.issued1996
dc.descriptionA research report submitted to the Faculty of Science, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of' Science.en_ZA
dc.description.abstractThis research report describes the use or the Pearl's algorithm in Bayesian belief networks to induce a belief network from a database. With a solid grounding in probability theory, the Pearl algorithm allows belief updating by propagating likelihoods of leaf nodes (variables) and the prior probabilities. The Pearl algorithm was originally developed for binary variables and a generalization to more states is investigated. The data 'Used to test this new method, in a Portfolio Management context, are the Return and various attributes of companies listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange ( JSE ). The results of this model is then compared to a linear regression model. The bayesian method is found to perform better than a linear regression approach.en_ZA
dc.description.librarianAndrew Chakane 2018en_ZA
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10539/26225
dc.language.isoenen_ZA
dc.subjectBAYESIAN STATISTICAL DECISION THEORY.en_ZA
dc.subjectPROBABILITIES.en_ZA
dc.subjectPORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT--MATHEMATICAL MODELS.en_ZA
dc.subjectALGORITHMS.en_ZA
dc.titleGeneralizing the number of states in Bayesian belief propagation, as applied to portfolio management.en_ZA
dc.typeThesisen_ZA
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