Conflict early warning systems: The case of the Republic of Benin

Abstract

Conflict early warning systems are being implemented by regional economic communities in Africa amidst major challenges in regard to the methodology of and mechanisms for conflict prevention and management. This study is an exploration of the potential and need for country-specific models and indicators within regional early warning systems such as ECOWARN. The study develops an understanding of conflict early warning systems through an investigation and description of indicators and models suitable to the socioeconomic and political dispensation of the Republic of Benin. The findings of the research point to the value of a country-specific and layered approach to conflict early warning, and make recommendations as to the use of such an approach in addressing the unique nature of tensions prevailing, or those that may arise in West Africa.