School of Animal, Plant and Environmental Sciences (ETDs)
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Item South African Podocarpaceae distribution interpreted from a physiological and population genetics perspective(University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, 2023-09) Twala, Thando Caroline; Fisher, Jolene T.; Glennon, Kelsey L.Podocarpaceae (podocarp) are the most diverse conifer family with a Southern Hemisphere distribution. Podocarps occur in Afrotemperate and Afromontane forests at high elevations that are cool and humid. Podocarps once dominated the forest canopy but due to their slower growth rate and photosynthetic rates they have are in competition withangiosperms which have faster growing and higher photosynthetic rate. Due to the competition between podocarps and angiosperms, Bond (1989) proposed that podocarps were excluded to nutrient poor and unfavourable environments due to their limited competitive ability. However, podocarps persist under the forest canopy until conditions become favourable. This power dynamic shifts with climate oscillations where podocarps distributions expand and dominate when conditions become cooler. Owing to podocarps being the most diverse and widespread conifers they make for a good study system. This thesis focuses on understanding the climatic variables driving the current and future distribution of podocarps, how their seedling physiology may influence their ability to recruit and establish under climate change, and how this can influence their ability to disperse in their South African distribution. Ensemble species distribution modelling was used to characterise the current and future distribution of podocarps and identify the climatic variables that influence their distribution. The current and future environmental niche was quantified using environmental niche modelling. I found that variables predicting rainfall seasonality were the most important at determining the distribution of podocarps in South Africa. Afrocarpus falcatus and P. latifolius were predicted to have the largest geographic distribution, with P. henkelii and P. elongatus having restricted distributions. Both A. falcatus and P. latifolius were predicted to occur in the Limpopo, Mpumalanga, KwaZulu-Natal, Eastern Cape and Western Cape provinces of South Africa. Podocarpus henkelii was predicted to occur in the KwaZulu-Natal and Eastern Cape provinces. Podocarpus elongatus is endemic to the Western Cape Province. All four podocarps were predicted to expand to higher altitudes (up the escarpment) under climate change and contract in its coastal distribution. Although P. elongatus was predicted to occupy the smallest geographic distribution it was predicted to have the widest environmental niche than the other species, which was predicted to contract under climate change. The environmental niche of P. latifolius and P. henkelii was predicted to remain stable. Afrocarpus falcatus, P. latifolius, and P. henkelii showed niche conservatism, however, P. elongatus under RCP 4.5 → current and the RCP 8.5↔ current niche comparisons showed niche divergence. Podocarpus elongatus was predicted to expand to an environment it currently does not occupy. Ecophysiological and morphological experiments were conducted to understand how podocarp seedlings respond to drought and elevated temperatures. The experiments indicated that P. henkelii seedlings were more drought and heat tolerant than A. falcatus seedlings. Conditions are predicted to become hotter and drier in some parts of South Africa, and this study has shown that P. henkelii seedlings will be able to tolerate these conditions better than A. falcatus seedlings. Furthermore, this suggests that the distribution of P. henkelii is not constrained by its physiology but rather by other mechanisms such as competition, reproductive biology, and/or shade tolerance. Microsatellites were used to inform us about possible podocarp dispersal patterns in A. falcatus, P. latifolius and P. henkelii in South Africa. The results suggested that podocarp populations in South Africa were shown to have higher genetic diversity than other podocarps globally, however these results may be due to the limited number of microsatellites used in this study, smaller population sizes in comparison to other studies and methods used to measure population structure and diversity. As expected, the geographically widespread species (A. falcatus and P. latifolius) are more diverse than the geographically restricted P. henkelii. Geographically distant A. falcatus and P. henkelii populations showed higher differentiation than geographically proximal populations. In P. latifolius South African populations, there was strong isolation by distance. Although the distribution of podocarps is disjunct, there is dispersal between populations. Podocarps are resilient to climate change as was demonstrated by the work in this thesis, and by their paleodistribution expanding and contracting with climate oscillations. In this thesis I considered climate, ecophysiology and genetics as determinants of podocarps distribution. Under climate change, podocarps are predicted to expand to higher elevations to track favourable climatic conditions. Seasonal drought is the most important climatic determinant of podocarp distribution. The ability of these species to tolerate drought and heat stress suggests that the seedlings might be able to tolerate short periods of drought and heat stress, however prolonged exposure may lead to seedling mortality, but populations will then be maintained by adults. Populations show evidence of gene flow, indicating they will be able to persist through changing climates, as they have done in the past. This thesis has highlighted that the factors constraining podocarp distributions might be demographic, and future works should investigate the role of fire in podocarp seedling establishment and longevity, as well as their interactions with angiosperm competitors.Item Characterizing microclimates as potential thermal buffers for reptiles, birds, and mammals in an arid-zone environment(University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, 2023) Warner, Grace M.; Alexander, Graham J.; Fuller, AndreaAridification, increases in air temperatures and frequency of extreme weather events, such as heat waves, are predicted to intensify under climate change, suggesting dire consequences for dryland animals. Microhabitats may buffer dryland animals against the changing climate, yet microclimatic data remains scarce from Africa and arid regions. The distribution, abundance, and thermal buffering capacity of five microhabitat types (burrows, nests, rock crevices, tree hollows and vegetation) were investigated across three habitat types (dunes, plains, and mountains) in the Kalahari. The distribution and abundance of microhabitats were assessed via strip transects, while thermal buffering capacity was evaluated by comparing miniature black globe temperatures from 70 representative sheltered microhabitats with 12 localised exposed-site microhabitats. The data generated have provided a baseline measure of the abundance and distribution of microhabitats in the Kalahari and have produced a year-long fine-resolution microclimatic thermal dataset. Microhabitat types and abundance were found to differ per habitat type and across topographic gradients. Abiotic drivers, such as soil type and fire frequency, along with drivers such as biotic community composition, were highlighted as potential causes of these microhabitat distribution patterns. Burrows were the best buffered microhabitat across all tested temporal and spatial gradients, providing an average maximum decrease of -29.5 ˚C during the day, and an average maximum increase of 20.1 ˚C during the night. Well-buffered microhabitats were rare within the field-site, whereas some of the poorest buffering microhabitats (Vegetation) were abundant and widespread. Thus, competition for well-buffered microhabitats may increase under climate change, whilst the risk of traversing large distances between microhabitats may become too great for smaller animals as exposure risk to extreme temperatures increases. Furthermore, birds and large mammals may likely be at a high risk of extreme temperature exposure, as their size and structural adaptations may restrict them from access to well-buffered microhabitats. Therefore, the need for the concurrent assessments of microhabitat distribution, abundance and buffering capacity in future species vulnerability assessments is highlighted, as it is the combination of these factors that are likely to impact population viability under climate change.Item Factors limiting karoo shrub populations in the Nama-Karoo(University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, 2023-09) Hebbelmann, Lisa; O’Connor, Tim; Witkowski, EdThe Nama-Karoo Biome occupies the central and western region of South Africa. Nama-Karoo shrublands are dominated by karoo dwarf shrubs and in the wetter eastern regions annual and perennial grasses are interspersed among shrubs. Rainfall and grazing are the main drivers of vegetation change in the Nama-Karoo. Stocking rate, season of grazing and animal type are important influences on vegetation community composition, and rainfall determines shrub growth and the abundance of grass. More recently, fire has been identified as a driver of vegetation change. Understanding vegetation change is important for land managers in the Nama-Karoo as changes in karoo shrub communities have implications for forage availability. This thesis is focused on understanding how grazing, fire, grass-shrub competition, and soil moisture and temperature affect the composition, structure, growth and phenology of karoo shrubs in the Eastern Upper Karoo. Livestock type and stocking rate vary greatly over the greater Nama-Karoo area. Plant composition data from the Afrikaner-Hereford grazing trial at Grootfontein show that grazing has a strong legacy effect on Karoo rangelands and grazing-induced compositional and structural changes are clear many years after grazing has ceased. Different sheep breeds affect karoo shrub communities in different ways. There was a severe negative effect of heavy stocking with dorper sheep on karoo shrub communities and their structure; the impacts of merino sheep were significant but less severe. Effects of animal type and stocking rate were not consistent across the sites but appear to be dependent on edaphic factors. Soil physical properties appear to play an important part in determining the long term effects of grazing on karoo shrub communities. Fire is a novel disturbance in the Karoo. Nine sites which had experienced fire for the first time in history were studied for the effect of fire on the composition and structure of their shrub communities. The immediate effect of fire on karoo shrub communities was severe and the legacy effect of fire was significant. The nature of recovery after a fire depended on the abundance of fire-intolerant obligate reseeder shrubs that are killed by fire compared to the abundance of fire-tolerant resprouting shrubs. Rainfall and grazing management were important determinants of shrub recovery after a fire. As rainfall increases, grass biomass is predicted to increase, and this may result in fire becoming a more frequent occurrence in the Nama-Karoo. During periods of high rainfall, the biomass of grass in the Nama-Karoo increased at the expense of shrub cover. The effect of grass-shrub competition on shrub growth and phenology is not adequately explained by existing hypotheses of niche separation and succession. A field experiment which examined the growth and phenology of karoo shrubs in the presence of grass (unclipped control) and the absence of grass (grass removed by clipping) did not provide evidence of a competitive effect from grass on shrub growth or phenology. It did, however, provide valuable insight into how shrub growth and phenology are influenced by soil moisture and temperature. Rainfall in the Nama-Karoo is sporadic and a karoo shrub’s ability to utilise soil moisture will determine its ability to grow and successfully recruit. Shrub growth, with or without grasses in the vicinity, was strongly correlated with rainfall, but this was modified by temperature. Similarly, soil moisture and temperature were important for stem growth and phenology. Flowering occurred in response to soil moisture all year round but seeding occurred mainly during summer. Patterns of growth and phenology can be used by land managers to optimise shrub production while allowing phenological processes to take place. The findings of this study provide further insight into how grazing, fire, competition, soil moisture and temperature influence shrub populations and their structure, and these are discussed in the context of an existing state-and-transition model for the Eastern Upper Karoo. The importance of animal type and stocking rate, and how they vary across Nama-Karoo landscapes, is highlighted. The legacy of both grazing and fire reveal that the transitions between the alternate states of Nama-Karoo shrublands are not easily reversed in a management timeframe. It may take decades for a community changed by grazing or fire, acting independently or in conjunction, to return to their former state even under benign management. These findings along with a description of how soil moisture and temperature influence shrub growth and phenology have been used to make ecologically sound recommendations for the management of Nama-Karoo rangelands. Future research is needed to improve our understanding of how edaphic factors limit and influence karoo shrub populations across a variety of karoo landscapes, how repeat fires might change karoo vegetation, and whether temperature and the presence of pollinators influences shrub seed set. An assessment of the economic implications of vegetation change in the Nama-karoo is warranted so that management recommendations can be made with both ecology and economy in mind.Item Heat-related health impacts: the responses of local governments to current and emerging heat extremes in the Gauteng province(University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, 2024) Riley, Bradley; Vogel, ColeenIn recent years, particularly during the last few summer seasons across the globe, there has been growing attention to the impacts of heat on human health due to unprecedented extreme heat and heatwave events. Cities and urban areas are especially at risk due to enhanced urbanisation and anthropogenic activities, leading to increased heat-related deaths and hospitalisation. Although many cities globally have developed adaptation approaches to address the current and emerging heat risks, heat adaptation strategies and planning in an African context have been poorly recognised despite the continent warming at double the rate of global temperatures. The high vulnerability of African cities due to poverty and poor socio-economic conditions, coupled with these temperature extremes, puts African societies at the forefront of future heat-related health impacts. South Africa is one African country that has recognised these growing heat risks and provided frameworks in their national and municipal policy and planning instruments. However, implementing and mainstreaming heat action across institutional structures remains a challenge. This study investigated the extent of current heat responses within three metropolitan municipalities in the Gauteng Province, South Africa, in the cities of Tshwane, Ekhuruleni and Johannesburg; to advance heat action within the local government and institutional structures of the province. In this mixed-methods research design, local officials from the municipality’s Environmental Health Department in each metro were interviewed, and a perception-informed assessment of vulnerability to heat-related health impacts was developed using Principal Component Analysis. Through interviews with the local Environmental Health Officials, it was revealed that extreme heat is not a priority within the Department, as heat action is neither mandated nor budgeted for, leading to a misalignment between policy and implementation. The ability of the Department to unlock its full potential for heat action is constrained by many challenges, highlighted by three central themes: (1) Resource capacity and the ripple effects, (2) Policy-implementation gap and (3) Interdepartmental coordination. Despite this, the Department has the potential to unlock many opportunities for future heat responses, highlighted by four central themes: (1) Existing systems: connecting the dots, (2) Power in unity: embracing a collaborative approach, (3) Mandated heat action and (4) Specialised heat action units. Additionally, this study demonstrated how a heat vulnerability assessment tool could be created using heat-specific socio-economic variables. This reveals the spatial distribution of vulnerability throughout the metro’s and highlights high levels of vulnerability within rural and informal settlements due to poverty, lack of access to resources and services and poor living conditions in these areas. Such an approach can offer valuable insights into the populations and areas most susceptible and at risk of heat-related health impacts, which can aid in developing targeted heat action responses and plans. Finally, this study contributesItem Characterisation of Drought Using Hydrological and Meteorological Indices: A Case Study of Bethlehem, South Africa(University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, 2023) Tshabalala, Khanyisile; Evans, Mary; Masindi, KhulisoThe study aims to assess the severity and evolution of drought/s in Bethlehem using the hydrological: Streamflow Drought Index (SDI), Reconnaissance Drought Index (RDI), Effective Reconnaissance Drought Index (eRDI) and meteorological: Standardised Precipitation Index (SPI), Agricultural Standardised Precipitation Index (aSPI), and Precipitation Deciles (PD) indices. These indices were computed using the Drought Indices Calculator (DrinC). The RDI, eRDI, aSPI, and SPI identified three drought events between 1980 and 2017. The PD on the other hand, identified particular years between 1980 and 2017 that received below-normal to much below- normal precipitation. Further, the years identified to have received below normal to much below normal precipitation fell between the drought periods identified by the other indices, such as the 1980 – 1990 drought identified by the SPI, RDI, aSPI, and eRDI; the PD identified 1982, 198, 1985, and 1986 as specific years the received significantly low precipitation within the decade long drought. Of critical note is the absence of the SDI results, stream levels data was not available at the time the results presented in this report were computed. The unavailability of SDI values did not compromise or negatively affect the results presented in this study as the computed indices had a strong correlation, implying the reliability of the results presented in this reportItem The effects of elevated carbon dioxide on the secondary metabolites and biological activities in Moringa oleifera Lam. and Moringa peregrina Forssk(University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, 2023) Moloi, Thato; Dukhan, Shalini; Ramalepe, Phillemon; Risenga, IdaClimate is crucial for the distribution and survival of medicinal plants as it can influence phytochemicals and regulatory hormones that are responsible for the normal growth and development, as well as their interactions with the environment. Thus, it is important to understand how climate change will impact these crucial plant compounds and hormones that play a significant role in the plant’s survival and development. With the increasing CO2 in the atmosphere, it is expected that climate change effects will be devastating to the world and Southern Africa. The present study intended to achieve two aims, the first being to investigate the impacts of elevated CO2 (eCO2) on the secondary metabolites and biological activities of two important Moringa species, Moringa oleifera Lam. (M. oleifera) and Moringa peregrina - (Forssk.) Fiori (M. peregrina). The second aim was to investigate how the use of M. oleifera leaf extract (MLE) based and commercial (PhytoStim®) biostimulants influence the productivity as well as the adaptability of M. oleifera and M. peregrina under elevated eCO2. The first set of three-month-old potted plant samples were exposed to 400 ppm (control), 600 ppm and 800 ppm for three months, respectively. The second set of plants were placed in the greenhouse and sprayed (foliar application) with 200 mL of M. oleifera leaf extract (MLE) and 200 mL commercial biostimulant PhytoStim® every second week for three months, respectively. The control samples were unsprayed. The third set of plants were exposed 600 ppm and 800 ppm (separately) and simultaneously sprayed with 200 mL of M oleifera leaf extract (MLE) and 200 mL commercial PhytoStim® (separately) every second week for three months to assess the influence of biostimulants on the adaptability of the Moringa species under eCO2. The control samples under 400 ppm were unsprayed. In this study, 80% methanolic extracts from all the above mentioned treatments of M. oleifera and M. peregrina were screened for 17 secondary metabolite groups (tannins, saponins, flavonoids, quinones, phenols, terpenoids, cardiac glycosides, coumarins, steroids, phlobatannins, anthracyanine, volatile oils, phytosterols, triterpenoids, proteins and amino acid, glycosides, carbohydrates) using qualitative methods. Quantitative analyses were performed to determine the total phenolic content (TPC), total flavonoid content (TFC), total tannin content (TTC) and total proanthocyanidin content (TPAC). The antioxidant assays were performed to determine the reducing, scavenging and chelating abilities against DPPH, H2O2 and metal (Iron) chelating. The antimicrobial activities against gram negative Escherichia coli and gram-positive Staphylococcus aureus, Streptomyces albulus were assessed by using the agar well diffusion assay. In the control samples, out of 17 screened secondary metabolites, four (phytosterols, volatile oils, anthocyanin and phlobatannins) were not detected in both species’ extracts. On average, M. peregrina showed higher total content of tannins, phenolics, flavonoids and proanthocyanidins. M. peregrina showed stronger antioxidant activity against iron chelating and H2O2, whilst M. oleifera showed stronger antioxidant activity against DPPH. Both M. oleifera and M. peregrina extracts displayed an acceptable bacterial growth inhibition capability (ZOI ≥10 mm) with only S. albulus being resistant to the control of M. oleifera. Qualitative phytochemical analysis indicated the presence of secondary metabolites such as tannins, saponins, flavonoids under 600 ppm and a slight decline under 800 ppm in both species. The quantitative analysis indicated an increase in the total content of phenols, flavonoids (flavanols), tannins, and proanthocyanidins. An increase in CO2 resulted in an increase in the activity of antioxidants and antibacterial for both species. On average, Moringa peregrina showed higher accumulation of secondary metabolites, higher antioxidant and antibacterial activities in comparison to Moringa oleifera. The foliar application of MLE and PhytoStim® showed an increase in some secondary metabolites and decrease in metabolites such as tannins and phenols in M. oleifera. The application of biostimulants (MLE and PhytoStim®) also resulted in an increase in TPC, TTC and TPAC in M. peregrina, with a decline in total contents of these compounds in M. oleifera. However, the decline did not negatively impact both species' pharmacological abilities (antioxidant and antimicrobial activities), as they exhibited stronger antioxidant and antimicrobial activities when compared to the untreated plants (control samples). The use of the above mentioned plant based biostimulants resulted in an enhanced adaptability as indicated by the increase in the accumulation of selected screened secondary metabolites plant samples that exhibited signs of stress. The higher accumulation of secondary metabolites was observed under 600 ppm, in combination with PhytoStim® for either species. The combined CO2 and biostimulant treatments improved the total phenolic content (TPC) of both M. oleifera and M. peregrina significantly, with M. oleifera showing higher TPC content when compared to M. peregrina. On average, both M. oleifera and M. peregrina exhibited lower total flavonoid content (TFC), total tannin content (TTC) and total proanthocyanidins (TPAC), with M. oleifera showing higher contents of the above-mentioned phytochemicals in comparison to M. peregrina. The study also highlighted a decline in biological activities for all treatments, with the controls showing higher biological activities for both species. In the three antioxidant assays conducted, the leaf extracts of the controls had significant lower IC50 values for DPPH and H2O2, when compared to the stressed M. oleifera and M. peregrina. Antimicrobial assays also showed no significant difference in the bacterial inhibition capabilities of M. peregrina and M. oleifera under 600 ppm and 800 ppm with either biostimulant application. M. peregrina and M. oleifera controls showed high ZOI for the selected bacterium. The study has demostrated that biostimulants (MLE and PhytoStim®) enhanced the adaptability of both species under potential stress coursed by eCO2. The present study has demonstrated that the exposure to elevated CO2 could alter the accumulation and biological processes (such as antioxidant activity and antimicrobial activity) in both M. oleifera and M. peregrina. Moringa peregrina exhibited more tolerance to elevated CO2 when compared to Moringa oleifera and showed higher antioxidant and antimicrobial activity which might be attributed to the stronger presence of phytochemicals such as flavonoids, phenols and tannins. The data also suggests that both Moringa oleifera and M. peregrina can adapt to high levels of CO2 concentrations (~600 ppm), however, as medicinal plants, it might be difficult to sustain the acclimatisation and tolerance due to membrane oxidation and DNA damage. Therefore, foliar application of the biostimulants could enhance the adaptability and productivity of both species under high levels of CO2. This study may contribute towards better planning on conservation efforts to improve the chances of survival of the Moringa oleifera and M. peregrina and could aid with food security.