4. Electronic Theses and Dissertations (ETDs) - Faculties submissions

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    Impact analysis of institutional quality on foreign direct investment inflows into the Southern African Development Community (SADC) region
    (University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, 2022) Malindini, Kholiswa; Pillay, Pundy
    The quality of governance has increasingly become a significant determinant of foreign direct investment inflows in recipient countries. Although extensive research has been conducted internationally to examine the role of institutional quality on foreign direct investment inflows, this concept has not been thoroughly interrogated in the Southern African Development Community (SADC) context. The region is poverty-stricken, unemployment rates are skyrocketing, economic growth is deteriorating, and the region only accounts for only one percent of global FDI. Thus, this study sought to examine three main objectives critically: first, the effect of institutional quality on foreign direct investment inflows into the SADC region; second, the influence of the financial development on the FDI-institutional quality nexus and thirdly, to assess whether countries’ income levels matter for attracting FDI inflows. FDI as a percentage of GDP was measured as a dependent variable, while institutional quality, financial development, natural resource availability, and GDP growth were the main explanatory variables. The study controlled for inflation rates, trade openness, and trade policy. An interaction term was generated to evaluate the effect of financial development on the FDI-institutional quality nexus in the SADC region. In order to achieve the research objectives, a mixed-methods approach was adopted, and a convergence research design was applied. Secondary data for other macroeconomic variables were drawn from the World Bank Development Indicators. In contrast, data for financial development were drawn from the International Monetary Fund’s Financial Development Index database, and data for governance indicators were drawn from the Worldwide Governance Indicators’ database. Primary data was collected through semi-structured interviews and survey questionnaires. Econometric models were developed to analyse panel data from 2011 – 2018 for 15 SADC member states to achieve the set objectives quantitatively. Specifically, the study adopted the Generalised System Methods of Moments (GMM) as the appropriate and efficient estimation technique for the analysis. Using a Pillar Integration Process, the data were integrated. The overall findings suggested that, while GDP growth, trade openness, and natural resources positively influence FDI inflows into the region and are statistically significant, institutional quality, inflation, trade policy and financial development are negatively and statistically significant coefficients towards FDI. The results revealed that a poor regulatory environment, the rule of law, and weak accountability are the main disincentives to improved quality of governance. The overall results indicated that weak institutional quality is still a significant challenge as far as inward FDI attraction is concerned; the lack of an enforcement mechanism directly impacts foreign investor property rights protection and eventually deters foreign investment inflows. Also, the unstable political framework that fails to sufficiently support economic institutions and ensure certainty, and the lack of political will, particularly by heads of government to implement and prioritize regional objectives over national interests, is a significant problem and stifles progress towards more profound integration. It also transpired that the financial markets and institutions within the region are not efficiently developed and are still fragmented, and this is attributed to macroeconomic instability and weak macroeconomic convergence. The findings also revealed that the countries’ income levels do not matter as far as FDI attraction is concerned. Based on these results, it may be necessary for SADC member states to adopt an institutional framework that promotes collaboration in the region and ensures effective and efficient implementation of the potential protocols. Given the dominance of national sovereignty over regional objectives, it may be worth examining the regimes that govern the member states; based on the view that sometimes non-compliance by member states emanates from the regime, which may sometimes not support regionalism. Convergent bilateral and multilateral arrangements are necessary for the region. The region needs to raise its export competitiveness by attracting domestic and foreign investments, and a rigorous trade integration process is a prerequisite. Policymakers in the region should focus on working together with institutions to promote development in the banking sector. Further, given the adverse effects of financial development on FDI inflows due to rising domestic credit by the banking sector, efforts should be made to maintain domestic credit levels to allow room for more FD
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    The Energy Crisis and Sustainable Electricity: An Analysis of SADC’s role in the promotion of Climate Justice in the Regions’ Electricity Industry
    (University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, 2022) Kamurai, Rumbidzai Lindsay
    Long having depended on fossil fuels to sustain its socio-economic aims, in the face of rolling blackouts and the emerging renewable energy mix the SADC region is under pressure to implement sustainable practises to meet electricity demands and ensure energy security. All in the hopes of attaining regional climate justice. This report aims to access the regions renewable energy and low carbon emitting alternative options as supported by SADC policy in order to understand how far these policies and potential can address the regions prevalent energy crisis. In so doing ,it outlines what an energy crisis is in the SADC context in order to more thoroughly evaluate SADC policies and projects implemented to meet this crisis. Having accessed the successes and failures of these, it endeavours to suggest possible ways forward in the context of the regions renewable energy potential. This report speaks to the role political will and overt nationalism have played in the regions failed energy policies, how current regional implementation is moving at too slow a pace to match socio-economic development and is thereby worsening the electricity crisis, that diversification of the renewable energy mix has been neglected and the fact that climate change must play a greater role in developing energy policies than it is currently, if climate justice is to be seriously attained. The impact of climate change on the region and its energy options is too great a factor to ignore and is used to back the use of regional SPV over the short-sightedness of hydro.
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    Economic and Institutional determinants of financial development for bank dominated and stock market-based economies in the SADC region
    (University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, 2022) Mogale, Etumeleng; Mahonye, Nyasha
    The study examines the determinants of financial development from the bank-dominated economies (Angola, Lesotho and Madagascar) versus the bank and stock market-based economies’(Mauritius, Namibia and South Africa) point of view for the selected SADC countries. The study further examines which economies develop more over time between economies that are bank-dominated and those that have both the banking sector and the stock markets. Using a panel dataset that spans from 1996 to 2018 - which was sourced from the World Development Indicators (WDI) - the study utilized the Autoregressive Distributive lag (ARDL) techniques to separately model for the banking system and the stock market which allowed for the unpacking of any short-run and long-run contributors to the financial sector development and thus capture any possible links between the explanatory variables and the financial development proxies, domestic credit to the private sector and market capitalization. The study found that the banking sector development is influenced by GDP growth rate, foreign direct investment, governments debts, trade openness and the rule of law while the stock markets are largely driven by GDP growth rate, inflation, trade openness, rule of law and regulatory quality. Furthermore, the study found that the banking sector does benefit from the presence of stock markets and that over time economies with both financial sectors tend to develop more than bank-dominated economies and that they are less prone to external shocks. The contributions to the existing body of literature are by critically looking at the drivers or deterrents of financial development in the SADC region so that the appropriate policy prescriptions can be formulated and implemented with the broader view of closing the infrastructure gap that exists within the region. By separately modelling the two financial sectors the study was able to see indicators that are the driving force in each sector and which economies – bank-dominated vs stock market-based - tend to do well over time.
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    Effects of external debt capacity on infrastructure investment in the SADC region
    (University of the Witswatersrand, Johannesburg, 2023) Matla, Lindokuhle P.; Ojah, Kalu
    This report examines the effects of external public debt on infrastructure investment in the Southern African Development Community (SADC) region, and particularly assesses member countries’ borrowing capacity against the SADC Convergence Target. A multiple regression analysis is conducted on a panel data of 2004-2019 to examine the cross-country dynamics of the 16 SADC countries. The surprising research findings indicate an insignificant relationship between infrastructure investment and external public debt in the SADC region. Furthermore, macroeconomic variables such as Official Development Assistance, Political Stability, Gross National Savings, Gross Government Debt, and Consumer Price Index, individually have a significant and positive association with infrastructure investment. The findings of this research suggest that although government debt is theoretically expected to be an important factor in determining infrastructure investment, other factors appear to be more statistically significant in influencing infrastructure investment.
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    Determinants of successful coopetition between SMEs in SADC countries – implications for strategy and firm performance
    (2021) Feela, Tshepo
    The purpose of the study was to investigate the existence of coopetition (the simultaneous competition and collaboration between two or more firms) amongst the SMEs in the SADC as well as to ascertain whether these relationships have a positive effect on firm performance. Firm performance is divided into financial performance, strategic performance, and innovation performance. Furthermore, an additional aim is to investigate which variable(s) (foresight, risk aversion and exploiting opportunities) moderate the relationship between coopetition and firm performance. The results show that there is strong coopetition amongst SMEs in SADC and that coopetition has a positive and significant effect on firm performance. However, although no variable moderates this relationship, risk aversion has a positive and significant direct effect on firm performance