(University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, 2023) Same, Sinethemba; Alovokpinhou, Sedjro Aaron
The focus of this research paper is to examine the relationship between public debt and government guarantees. The analysis considers various macroeconomic indicators, including short-term and long-term interest rates, budget deficits and real GDP growth rate, as control variables. The study predominantly concentrates on 16 European countries, with South Africa being the only African country in consideration. The study employed Generalized Methods of Moments (GMM) which
is a Dynamic Panel Data technique, and Fixed Effect in establishing this relationship. The study found a positive association between public debt and government guarantees, short-term real interest rate, and its lag as estimators using the Fixed Effect model. However, budget deficit, real GDP growth, and long-term interest rates exhibit a negative and significant relationship
