Mortality in children 5 years with severe acute respiratory illness in urban and rural areas, South Africa, 2009-2013

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2017

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Adetayo, Ayeni Oluwatosin

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Background Reducing severe acute respiratory illness (SARI)-associated mortality in African children remains a public health priority and an immense challenge. The pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) was introduced into the South African routine immunization programme in 2009. The objectives of this study were: I. To describe the demographic characteristics, clinical presentation, respiratory pathogens of children aged <5 years hospitalized with SARI in an urban (Chris Hani-Baragwanath Hospital, Soweto) and a rural (Matikwana and Mapuleng Hospitals, Mpumalanga) setting in South Africa from 2009-2013 and II. To compare the factors associated with mortality among children aged <5 years hospitalized with SARI in these two sites separately. Methods Hospitalized children with SARI were enrolled into an active, prospective sentinel surveillance program. Clinical and epidemiologic data were collected until discharge. Nasopharyngeal aspirates were tested for influenza (A and B) and eight other respiratory viruses. In-hospital case-fatality proportion (CFP) and risk factors for mortality were determined for each hospital site separately using unconditional logistic regression. Results The in-hospital CFP was significantly higher in the rural (6.9%, 103/1486) than the urban (1.3%, 51/3811) site (p<0.001). This was observed among both HIV-infected (urban: 6.6%, 17/257) vs. (rural: 12.9%, 30/233) (p=0.019) and HIV-uninfected children (urban: 0.6%, 13/2236) vs. (rural: 4.2% 36/857) (p<0.001). In the urban site the only factor that is independently associated with death on multivariate analysis was HIV infection (odds ratio (OR) 12.1, 95% confidence interval (CI) 5.8-25.2). In the rural site HIV infection (OR 3.5, 95% CI 1.7-6.9), age <1 year (OR 3.5, 95% CI 2.0-6.1) vs. 1-4 years, any respiratory virus detected (OR 0.4, 95% CI 0.2-0.6), pneumococcal infection(OR 4.5, 95% CI 1.8-10.8) and malnutrition (OR 12.8, 95%CI 1.2-134.6) were independently associated with mortality. Conclusion SARI mortality was higher in the rural setting. Even in the era of PCV availability pneumococcus is still associated with mortality in rural areas. Efforts to prevent and treat HIV infections in children and reduce malnutrition may reduce SARI deaths.

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A research report submitted to the Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science in Epidemiology (Epidemiology and Biostatistics). 2016

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