Estimates of Employment in South Africa Under the Five-Level Lockdown Framework SCIS Working

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dc.article.end-page12
dc.article.start-page1
dc.contributor.authorFrancis, David
dc.contributor.authorRamburuth-Hurt, Kamal
dc.contributor.authorValodia, Imraan
dc.date.accessioned2022-12-21T12:33:28Z
dc.date.available2022-12-21T12:33:28Z
dc.date.issued2020-05
dc.departmentSouthern Centre for Inequality Studies (SCIS)
dc.description.abstractDuring the COVID-19 pandemic and response, an important question, from both a health and economic policy perspective, is how many workers are able to return to work as the lockdown is eased and tightened in response to the spread of the virus. Using a static analysis derived from industry subsectors, we estimate employment allowed under each level of the five-level lockdown framework. We estimate that under level five of the lockdown framework, 40% of total employment is permitted, or 6.6 million workers. This rises to 55% (9.2 million) under level four; 71% (11.8 million) under level three; 94% (15.6 million) under level two and 100% under level one. This is a static analysis and assumes that no jobs are lost as a result of a lockdown. As such, its principle use is as a distributional analysis of the share of workers permitted to work under each level of the lockdown.
dc.description.librarianES2022
dc.description.sponsorshipSouthern Centre for Inequality Studies (SCIS)
dc.description.sponsorshipUniversity of the Witwatersrand
dc.facultyFaculty of Commerce, Law and Management
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10539/33955
dc.language.isoen
dc.orcid.id0000-0003-1494-9308
dc.orcid.id0000-0002-5607-6595
dc.publisherSouthern Centre for Inequality Studies (SCIS)
dc.publisherUniversity of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg
dc.relation.ispartofseriesSCIS Working Paper; 4
dc.rights©2020 Southern Centre for Inequality Studies (SCIS)
dc.schoolSouthern Centre for Inequality Studies (SCIS)
dc.subjectLabor markets
dc.subjectCOVID-19 pandemic
dc.subjectHealth and economic policy
dc.subjectEmployment in South Africa
dc.titleEstimates of Employment in South Africa Under the Five-Level Lockdown Framework SCIS Working
dc.typeWorking Paper
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