School of Public Health (Journal Articles)

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    Alcohol industry involvement in the delayed South Africa Draft Liquor Amendment Bill 2016: a case study based on freedom of information requests
    (BioMed Central, 2025-03) Goldstein, Susan; Mitchell, Gemma; Siwela, Pfumelani; Diedericks, Aadielah Maker
    Background South Africa is reported to have one of the highest per capita rates of alcohol consumption among drinkers globally, with alcohol harms exacerbating socio-economic inequalities in the country. The Draft Liquor Amendment Bill 2016 proposed new restrictions on alcohol advertising, availability, and liability of retailers and manufacturers for harm related to any contravention of the regulations. To date, the Bill has not progressed through the legislative process. The alcohol industry is known to use a diverse set of strategies to delay evidence-based policies globally. Methods We aimed to explore Bill-related activity by industry within the National Economic and Development Labour Council, a multi-stakeholder forum that assesses socio-economic policies before they reach parliament. On 06 July 2023 we made a Request for Access to Record, using form two of the Promotion of Access to Information Act (PAIA), no. 2 of 2000 to the National Economic and Development Labour Council for access to minutes of all meetings, reports, and any other publications related to the Bill between January 2016 and December 2022. Informed by Ulucanlar et al’s (2023) model and taxonomies of corporate political activity, we extracted data on industry Bill-related activity and thematically analysed key events, presented here as a narrative synthesis. Results We identified activity by 14 alcohol industry organisations related to the Bill between 2016 and 2022. Industry representation on five National Economic and Development Labour Council-related committees identified between 2017 and 2021 facilitated their involvement in Bill-related discussions and supported access to other government departments. Community representation was low in all committees compared to industry, labour, and government. Industry funded two socio-economic assessments of the Bill in 2017 and 2022, despite an independent socio-economic impact assessment having already been completed. The 2017 report delayed progress of the Bill, and the 2022 ‘re-evaluation’ was more critical of the proposed measures, with the differing conclusions attributed to different methodologies. During the covid-19 pandemic, industry used a ‘carrot and stick’ approach of legal threats and donations to attempt to move towards self-regulation via a social compact. The National Economic and Development Labour Council confirmed in 2023 that the social compact was unsuccessful. Conclusions Early ‘regulatory capture’ gave the alcohol industry the opportunity to shape assessment of the Bill within the National Economic and Development Labour Council. Our findings are in line with previous studies on corporate influence on policy globally, and support calls for a reassessment of the role and proportion of industry representation within the National Economic and Development Labour Council locally.
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    Trends in national and ethnic burden of ovarian cancer mortality in South Africa (1999–2018): a population based, age-period-cohort and join point regression analyses
    (BioMed Central, 2025-03) Olorunfemi, Gbenga; Libhaber, Elena; Musenge, Eustasius; Ezechi, Oliver C.
    Ovarian cancer is the most lethal and third leading cause of gynaecological cancers globally and in South Africa (SA). However, its current mortality trends have not been evaluated in most sub-Saharan African Countries including South Africa that is currently undergoing epidemiological and health transitions. We evaluate the trends in the ovarian cancer mortality rates in SA over 20 years (1999–2018). Methods: Crude (CMR) and age standardised mortality rates (ASMR) of ovarian cancer was calculated based on national mortality data of South Africa. The overall and ethnic trends of ovarian cancer mortality among women aged 15 years and older from 1999 to 2018 was assessed using the Join point regression model, while Age-period-cohort regression analysis was conducted to evaluate the underlying impact of age, period and cohort on ovarian cancer mortality. Results: In all, 12,721 ovarian cancer deaths were reported in South Africa from 1999 to 2018 and the mortality rates increased from 2.34 to 3.21 per 100,00 women at 1.8% per annum. In 2018, the overall mean age at ovarian cancer death in South Africa was 62.30±14.96 years while the mean age at death among Black women (58.07±15.56 years), was about 11 years earlier than among White women (69.48±11.71 years). In 2018, the White ethnic group (4.93 deaths per 100,000 women) had about doubled the ovarian cancer ASMR for the non-Whites (Indian/Asians, 2.92/100,000 women, mixed race, 2.49/100,000 women and Black women (2.36/ 100,000 women). All the ethnic groups had increased ASMR with Black women (Average annual percent change, [AAPC]: 4.7%, P-value<0.001) and Indian/Asian women (AAPC: 2.5%, P-value<0.001) having the highest rise. Cohort mortality risk ratio of ovarian cancer increased with successive birth cohort from 0.35 among 1924–1928 birth cohorts to 3.04 among 1999–2003 cohort and the period mortality risk increased by about 13% and 7.5% from 1999 to 2003 to 2004–2008 (RR: 0.87, 95% CI: 0.80–0.94), and from 2004 to 2008 to 2009–2013 (RR: 1.075, 95% CI:1.004–1.152) respectively. The longitudinal age analysis revealed that ovarian cancer increased with age, but there was an exponential increase from 55 years. Conclusions: Our study showed that there was increasing trends in ovarian cancer mortality among all the South African ethnic groups, driven partly by increasing cohort and period mortality risks. We therefore highlight the huge burden of ovarian cancer in SA and the need for targeted intervention. Public health interventions geared towards reducing ovarian cancer mortality should be instituted and ethnic disparity should be incorporated in the cancer control policy
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    T‑cell responses to ancestral SARS‑CoV‑2 and Omicron variant among unvaccinated pregnant and postpartum women living with and without HIV in South Africa
    (Nature Research, 2024-09) Madhi, Shabir A.; McMahon, William C.; Kwatra, Gaurav; Izu, Alane; Jones, Stephanie A.; Mbele, Nkululeko J.; Jafta, Nwabisa; Lala, Rushil; Shalekof, Sharon; Tiemessen, Caroline T.; Nunes, Marta C.
    SARS-CoV-2 cell-mediated immunity remains understudied during pregnancy in unvaccinated Black African women living with HIV (WLWH) from low- and middle-income countries. We investigated SARS-CoV-2-specifc T-cell responses 1 month following infection in 24 HIV-uninfected women and 15 WLWH at any stage during pregnancy or postpartum. The full-length spike (FLS) glycoprotein and nucleocapsid (N) protein of wild-type (WT) SARS-CoV-2, as well as mutated spike protein regions found in the Omicron variant (B.1.1.529) were targeted by flow cytometry. WT-specific CD4+and CD8+T cells elicited similar FLS- and N-specific responses in HIV-uninfected women and WLWH. SARS-CoV 2-specifc T-lymphocytes were predominantly TNF-α monofunctional in pregnant and postpartum women living with and without HIV, with fever cells producing either IFN-γ or IL-2. Furthermore, T-cell responses were unaffected by Omicron-specific spike mutations as similar responses between Omicron and the ancestral virus were detected for CD4+ and CD8+ T cells. Our results collectively demonstrate comparable T-cell responses between WLWH on antiretroviral therapy and HIV-uninfected pregnant and postpartum women who were naïve to Covid-19 vaccination. Additionally, we show that T cells from women infected with the ancestral virus, Beta variant (B.1.351), or Delta variant (B.1.617.2) can cross-recognize Omicron, suggesting an overall preservation of T-cell immunity.