ETD Collection

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    African frontier markets: extent of illiquidity and inherent private equity investment opportunities
    (2013-08-27) Du Toit, Willem Johannes
    This study investigates the current private equity market in African frontier markets as well as inherent investment opportunities in these African frontier markets. The research includes an analysis of, inter-alia, the following: the development of capital markets in Africa, the classification of African frontier markets, the measurement of liquidity, the relationship between liquidity and asset prices and the history of private equity. This study will highlight to policymakers both in African and in donor capitals the need to implement strategies that will support investment (especially private equity investment) into the continent. The research carried out in this study should contribute to a better understanding of illiquidity risks of African frontier markets and show how these can be mitigated. This study will also provide key information on African frontier markets to investors and fund managers in order for them to understand that a typical investment strategy for investing in developed markets cannot be applied to frontier markets. The study analyses data of listed stocks on selected African stock exchanges and compares this to data for similar stocks listed on developed world stock markets to examine the relationship between liquidity, earnings multiples and market capitalisations for these stocks. Interestingly, results show that, while there is no relationship between the liquidity of stocks and the Price Earnings (PE) multiples of stocks, there is strong evidence to suggest that a relationship exists between the liquidity of stocks and the Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) multiples of stocks. Furthermore, we find strong evidence that African frontier market stocks are significantly less liquid and have lower earnings multiples than stocks with similar market capitalisations listed on stock exchanges in the developed world.
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    Dividend yield investment strategies in the South African stock market
    (2013-08-26) Erasmus, Nelmarie
    The subject of this study posits the profitability of an investment strategy focused on high-dividend yielding securities from the South African stock market over the period of 10 years from 2002 to 2012. The study follows an expected dividend yield model, similar to the model proposed by Hsu and Lin (2010), for the construction of a high-dividend yielding portfolio. Financial data of listed companies’ dividends and other financial information is used to estimate these expected current dividend yields by employing multiple regression analysis. It is suggested that these expected yields better reflect companies’ future profitability than traditional current dividend yields. The results of the study show that the performance differences between the portfolios based on the expected dividend yield model and the benchmark portfolios are significant; however the tests of the model suggest that the model is not a good fit for the data.