Browsing by Author "Jacques Du Toit"

Now showing 1 - 2 of 2
  • Thumbnail Image
    Item
    Indirect effects of COVID-19 on maternal and child health in South Africa
    (2022-11-25) Evelyn Thsehlaa; Adam Balusik; Micheal Kofi Boachie; Winfrida Tombe-Mdewa; Chodziwadziwa Kabudula; Jacques Du Toit; Kathleen Kahn; Francesc Xavier Gómez-Olivéc; Stephen Tollman; Susan Goldsteina; Karen Hofmana
    Background: The unfinished burden of poor maternal and child health contributes to the quadruple burden of disease in South Africa with the direct and indirect effects of the COVID19 pandemic yet to be fully documented. Objective: To investigate the indirect effects of COVID-19 on maternal and child health in different geographical regions and relative wealth quintiles. Methods: We estimated the effects of COVID-19 on maternal and child health from April 2020 to June 2021. We estimated this by calculating mean changes across facilities, relative wealth index (RWI) quintiles, geographical areas and provinces. To account for confounding by underlying seasonal or linear trends, we subsequently fitted a segmented fixed effect panel model. Results: A total of 4956 public sector facilities were included in the analysis. Between April and September 2020, full immunisation and first dose of measles declined by 6.99% and 2.44%, respectively. In the follow-up months, measles first dose increased by 4.88% while full immunisation remained negative (−0.65%) especially in poorer quintiles. At facility level, the mean change in incidence and mortality due to pneumonia, diarrhoea and severe acute malnutrition was negative. Change in first antenatal visits, delivery by 15–19-year olds, delivery by C-section and maternal mortality was positive but not significant. Conclusion: COVID-19 disrupted utilisation of child health services. While reduction in child health services at the start of the pandemic was followed by an increase in subsequent months, the recovery was not uniform across different quintiles and geographical areas. This study highlights the disproportionate impact of the pandemic and the need for targeted interventions to improve utilisation of health services.
  • Thumbnail Image
    Item
    Significant Improvement in Blood Pressure Levels Among Older Adults With Hypertension in Rural South Africa
    (2023-08-08) Enrico G. Ferro; Shafika Abrahams-Gessel; David Kapaon; Brian Houle; Jacques Du Toit; Ryan G. Wagner; F. Xavier Gómez-Olivé; Alisha N. Wade; Chodziwadziwa W. Kabudulah; Stephen Tollman; Thomas A. Gaziano
    Background:Sub-Saharan Africa is undergoing an epidemiologic transition from infectious diseases to cardiovascular diseases. From 2014 to 2019, sociodemographic surveillance was performed in a large cohort in rural South Africa. Methods:Disease prevalence and incidence were calculated using inverse probability weights. Poisson regression was used to identify disease predictors. The percentage of individuals with controlled (<140/90 mm Hg) versus uncontrolled hypertension was compared between 2014 and 2019. Results:Compared with 2014 (n=5059), study participants in 2019 (n=4176) had similar rates of obesity (mean body mass index, 27.5±10.0 versus 27.0±6.5) but higher smoking (9.1% versus 11.5%) and diabetes (11.1% versus 13.9%). There was no significant increase in hypertension prevalence (58.4% versus 59.8%; age adjusted, 64.3% versus 63.3%), and there was a significant reduction in mean systolic blood pressure (138.0 versus 128.5 mm Hg; P<0.001). Among hypertensive individuals who reported medication use in 2014 and 2019 (n=796), the proportion with controlled hypertension on medication increased from 44.5% to 62.3%. Hypertension incidence was 6.2 per 100 person-years, and age was the only independent predictor. Among normotensive individuals in 2014 (n=2257), 15.2% developed hypertension by 2019, with the majority already controlled on medications by 2019. Conclusions:The hypertension prevalence and incidence are plateauing in this aging cohort. There was a statistically and clinically significant decline in mean blood pressure and a substantial increase in individuals with controlled hypertension on medication. The prevalence of cardiometabolic risk factors did not decrease over time, suggesting that the blood pressure decrease is likely due to increased medication access and adherence, promoted by local health systems.