Identification of nucleus industries with higher growth potential for focused interventions and impact evaluation: case of South Africa

Simple item page
dc.contributor.authorMukandila, Andrew Kabulu
dc.date.accessioned2015-11-10T09:14:28Z
dc.date.available2015-11-10T09:14:28Z
dc.date.issued2015
dc.descriptionThesis (M.Com. (Development Theory and Policy))--University of the Witwatersrand, Faculty of Commerce, Law and Management, School of Economic and Business Sciences, 2015.en_ZA
dc.description.abstractThis study aims at providing a scientific approach on how to identify nucleus sectors which have great potential for growth and positive impact on the rest of the economy for government interventions. The term “nucleus sectors” refers to sectors with potential to greatly impact on other sectors. The rationale for targeting available resources into sectors that have potential for enhancing growth in the rest of the economy is driven by the low level of investment in the productive sector over the past 20 years. The study uses the Input Output model and the Dynamic Social Accounting Matrix (DySAM) model to determine sub-sectors with higher multiplier effects to the rest of the economy. The nucleus of sectors is then identified by ranking sectors according to their multiplier effect on the rest of the economy through both backward and forward linkages. The South African Macroeconometric Model (MEMSA) is then used for the validation of the study results. The study identified 10 subsectors based on their potential to contribute to both economic growth and employment creation. The following sectors were identified, Leather and leather products; Furniture; Tobacco; Footwear; Textiles; Motor vehicles, parts and accessories; Wearing apparel; Paper and paper products ; Rubber products; and Professional and scientific equipment. The study also concluded that the gradual decline in the manufacturing share of employment coupled with the steady increasing employment share of services should not be interpreted as takeover of manufacturing by services. The manufacturing subsector still remains strategic for economic growth.en_ZA
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10539/18800
dc.language.isoenen_ZA
dc.titleIdentification of nucleus industries with higher growth potential for focused interventions and impact evaluation: case of South Africaen_ZA
dc.typeThesisen_ZA
Files
Original bundle
Now showing 1 - 1 of 1
No Thumbnail Available
Name:
Research Work - Edited pdf version_04 June 2015.pdf
Size:
2.36 MB
Format:
Adobe Portable Document Format
Description:
Download
License bundle
Now showing 1 - 1 of 1
No Thumbnail Available
Name:
license.txt
Size:
1.71 KB
Format:
Item-specific license agreed upon to submission
Description:
Download
Collections
ETD Collection