African Development Bank Group DEVELOPING KNOWLEDGE FOR ECONOMIC ADVANCEMENT IN AFRICA Prof. John C. Anyanwu Lead Research Economist Development Research Department African Development Bank TRA, Tunis, Tunisia * The views expressed here are those of the author and in no way reflect those of the AfDB and its Executive Directors. KEYNOTE ADDRESS DELIVERED AT THE 2ND INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON AFRICAN DIGITAL LIBRARIES AND ARCHIVES (ICADLA-2), JOHANNESBURG, SOUTH AFRICA, 17 NOVEMBER 2011 Outline of Presentation I. BRIEF STYLIZED FACTS ON AFRICA’S ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE II. A SNAPSHOT OF THE CONCEPT OF KNOWLEDGE AND ITS ROLE IN ECONOMIC ADVANCEMTENT III. THE STATE OF KNOWLEDGE IN AFRICA IV. RECOMMENDATIONS AND NEXT STEPS V. CONCLUSION 2 • Robust Growth in Africa 3 BRIEF STYLIZED FACTS ON AFRICA’S ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE -20.0 -15.0 -10.0 -5.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 20022003200420052006 200720082009 2010 Africa China India Russia Brazil South Africa 4 BRIEF STYLIZED FACTS ON AFRICA’S ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE Increases in real GDP growth have not translated into significant poverty reduction in Africa 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 P e rc e n t Sub-Saharan Africa South Asia East Asia & Pacific Latin America & Caribbean Europe & Central Asia Middle East & North Africa Regional Headcount Index for International Poverty Line of US$1.25 a day, 1981-2005 5 BRIEF STYLIZED FACTS ON AFRICA’S ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE Increases in real GDP growth have not translated into reduction of the number of the poor in Africa 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 M ill io n Sub-Saharan Africa South Asia East Asia & Pacific Latin America & Caribbean Europe & Central Asia Middle East & North Africa Regional Breakdown of Number of Poor (Millions) for International Poverty Line of US$1.25 a day, 1981-2005 Comparative Global Competitiveness Index (GCI) Performance on Broad Indices, 2010/2011 SUBINDEXES GCI 2010-2011 Basic requirements Efficiency enhancers Innovation and sophistication factors Economy Score Score Score Score North Africa 4.1 4.5 3.7 3.3 Sub-Saharan Africa 3.5 3.7 3.4 3.1 BRICs 4.4 4.6 4.4 3.9 Latin America & Caribbean 4.0 4.3 3.9 3.4 Southeast Asia 4.3 4.6 4.2 3.7 6 BRIEF STYLIZED FACTS ON AFRICA’S ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE Source: WEF, WB and AfDB (2011) Africa is less competitive than other regions 7 BRIEF STYLIZED FACTS ON AFRICA’S ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE Source: WEF, WB and AfDB (2011) Africa is less competitive than other regions Global Competitiveness Index: Comparative Scores, 2010/2011 1. Institutions 2. Infrastructure 3. Macroeconomic environment 4. Health and primary education 5. Higher education and training 6. Goods market efficiency 7. Labor market efficiency 8. Financial market development 9. Technological readiness 10. Market size 11. Business sophistication 12. Innovation Economy Score Score Score Score Score Score Score Score Score Score Score Score Africa 3.8 2.9 4.1 4.3 3.1 3.8 4.2 3.7 2.9 2.9 3.4 2.9 BRICs 3.8 4.1 4.8 5.7 4.2 4.0 4.4 4.2 3.6 6.0 4.2 3.6 Latin America & Caribbean 3.6 3.7 4.4 5.6 4.0 3.9 4.0 4.1 3.6 3.6 3.8 2.9 Southeast Asia 4.1 3.9 5.0 5.5 4.0 4.4 4.7 4.3 3.6 3.9 4.1 3.4 OECD 4.9 5.2 4.9 6.3 5.2 4.7 4.7 4.6 5.0 4.8 4.9 4.3 8 BRIEF STYLIZED FACTS ON AFRICA’S ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE Africa lags behind its comparators and developed regions in key social indicators Table 3: Comparative Basic and Social Indicators Indicator Year Africa Developing Countries Developed Countries Basic Indicators Area ('000 Km²) 30322.57 80975.97 54658.39 Total Population (millions) 2010 1031.47 5628.53 1068.73 Urban Population (% of Total) 2010 40.04 44.76 77.66 Population Density (per Km²) 2010 3.40 66.60 23.10 GNI per Capita (US $) 2009 1525.42 2780.29 39688.06 Demographic Indicators Dependency Ratio (%) 2010 78.12 52.80 .. Life Expectancy at Birth - Total (years) 2010 56.02 65.68 79.81 Infant Mortality Rate (per 1,000) 2010 77.95 53.09 5.75 Child Mortality Rate (per 1,000) 2010 127.22 51.38 6.30 Total Fertility Rate (per woman) 2010 4.44 2.67 1.77 Maternal Mortality Rate (per 100,000) 2008 530.21 440.00 10.00 Health & Nutrition Indicators Physicians (per 100,000 people) 2007 46.71 77.00 287.00 Access to Safe Water (% of Population) 2008 64.93 83.99 99.58 Access to Health Services (% of Population) 2000 65.32 80.00 100.00 Access to Sanitation (% of Population) 2008 40.82 54.60 99.85 Percent. of Adults (aged 15-49) Living with HIV/AIDS 2007 4.56 161.86 14.14 Child Immunization Against Tuberculosis (%) 2008 85.05 89.00 99.00 Child Immunization Against Measles (%) 2008 83.72 76.00 92.62 Daily Calorie Supply per Capita 2007 2461.74 2675.20 3284.70 Public Expenditure on Health (as % of GDP) 2008 2.41 4.00 6.87 Education Indicators Primary School – Total 2009 102.51252 106 101.4997 Secondary School – Total 2005 36.827545 62.31893 100.28181 Adult Literacy Rate - Total (%) 2006 64.796857 19.02674 .. Percentage of GDP Spent on Education 2008 4.563138 .. 5.41659 Sources : ADB Statistics Department Databases; World Bank: World Development Indicators UNAIDS; UNSD; WHO, UNICEF, WRI, UNDP; Country Reports. Note : … : Data Not Available. Explicit knowledge as a Implicit/Tacit knowledge Public good Private good On-market acquisition - -Purchase of patents, licenses, software - Contracted research -Hiring and service contracts with carriers of implicit knowledge Off-market acquisition -Apprenticeship in public institutions -Learning through texts and software Spillover in the form of: - Reverse engineering - Learning-by-watching - Learning on basis of patent documentation Spillover in the form of: - Learning-by-doing -Learning-by-watching -Learning-by-interacting 9 A SNAPSHOT OF THE CONCEPT OF KNOWLEDGE AND ITS ROLE IN ECONOMIC ADVANCEMTENT Forms of Knowledge and Ways of their Acquisition . Knowledge is a multi-dimensional concept, consisting of ideas, facts, mental constructs, information, stories, pictures, data, instructions, and the sum total of symbolic structures possessed by individuals, institutions, and societies, which guide behaviour in all walks of life and in all spheres of public and private activity. Source: Kober (2009) 10 A SNAPSHOT OF THE CONCEPT OF KNOWLEDGE AND ITS ROLE IN ECONOMIC ADVANCEMTENT Source: Newman and Conrad (1999) The General Knowledge Model • Relationships of Knowledge Index and Indicators 11 A SNAPSHOT OF THE CONCEPT OF KNOWLEDGE AND ITS ROLE IN ECONOMIC ADVANCEMTENT Knowledge Index (KI) Education Index Innovation Index ICT Index Adult literacy rate Secondary enrollment Tertiary enrollment R & D researchers Patent count Journal articles Telephones Computers Internet users Source: Adapted from World Bank Institute (2007) • The Three Interactive Pillars of the Knowledge Interacting with Economic and Institution Regime (EIR) 12 A SNAPSHOT OF THE CONCEPT OF KNOWLEDGE AND ITS ROLE IN ECONOMIC ADVANCEMTENT Source: Adapted from World Bank Institute (2007) Education An educated and skilled population can use knowledge effectively Innovation system A system of organizations that can tap into global knowledge to assimilate and adapt it, as well as create local knowledge Facilitates the effective communication, processing and dissemination of information Information Infrastructure EIR provides incentives for the efficient creation, dissemination, and use of existing knowledge Economic and Institutional Regime (EIR) • Effects of Knowledge on Competitiveness and Economic Advancement 13 A SNAPSHOT OF THE CONCEPT OF KNOWLEDGE AND ITS ROLE IN ECONOMIC ADVANCEMTENT Source: Adapted from World Bank Institute (2007) Intangible investments Education Training R&D ICT Higher skill levels Innovations in products and processes Incorporation of new technologies Greater competitiveness Lower costs Access to new markets Increased quality Increased GDP per capita Higher salaries and wages Improvements in external balances • Illustration of Knowledge as the Foundation of Economic Advancement: South Korea vs Ghana 14 A SNAPSHOT OF THE CONCEPT OF KNOWLEDGE AND ITS ROLE IN ECONOMIC ADVANCEMTENT Source: Adapted from World Bank Institute (2007) 15 THE STATE OF KNOWLEDGE IN AFRICA 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 In d e x Knowledge Index Scores by Regions and Income Groups, 2009 Knowledge Index Innovation Index Education Index ICT Index In terms of knowledge index, Africa is trumped by other regions 16 THE STATE OF KNOWLEDGE IN AFRICA 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Knowledge Index Innovation Index Education Index ICT Index Africa's Knowledge Scorecard (2009) is Abysmally Poor  G7  Western Europe Africa Europe and Central Asia East Asia and the Pacific Latin America USA 17 THE STATE OF KNOWLEDGE IN AFRICA 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Royalty Payments and receipts(US$/pop.) S&E Journal Articles / Mil. People Patents Granted by USPTO / Mil. People Adult Literacy Rate (% age 15 and above) Gross Secondary Enrollment rateGross Tertiary Enrollment rate Total Telephones per 1000 People Computers per 1000 People Internet Users per 1000 People Africa is Lagging on All Components of Knowledge Africa G7 Western Europe East Asia & the Pacific Europe and Central Asia Latin America USA 18 THE STATE OF KNOWLEDGE IN AFRICA 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 Knowledge Index Innovation Index Education Index ICT Index Declining Knowledge in Africa 2009 2000 19 THE STATE OF KNOWLEDGE IN AFRICA Retreating Knowledge in Africa :estern (urope * (urope and &entral $sia (ast $sia and the 3acific $ll &ountries 0iddle (ast and 1orth $frica /atin $merica Sub-Saharan Africa 6outh $sia +igh ,ncome 8pper 0iddle ,ncome /ower 0iddle ,ncome /ow ,ncome Africa 2 4 6 8 1 0 2 0 0 9 2 4 6 8 10 2000 Knowledge Index Fitted values Knowledge Index: Relative Performance Over Time by Region and Income Group Improvement Regression 20 THE STATE OF KNOWLEDGE IN AFRICA Retreating Knowledge in Africa Algeria Angola Benin Botswana Burkina Faso Cameroon Cape Verde Cote d'Ivoire Djibouti Egypt, Arab Rep. Eritrea Ethiopia Ghana Guinea Kenya Lesotho Madagascar Malawi Mali Mauritania Mauritius Morocco Mozambique Namibi Nigeria Rwanda S negal Sierr Leone South Africa Sudan Swaziland Tanzania Tunisia Uganda Zambi Zimbabwe 1 2 3 4 5 2 0 0 9 1 2 3 4 5 6 2000 KI Fitted values Knowledge Index: Relative Performance Over Time Improvement Regression 21 THE STATE OF KNOWLEDGE IN AFRICA Africa is poorest in Adult Literacy 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 1985-1994 1995-2004 2005-2009 1985-1994 1995-2004 2005-2009 1985-1994 1995-2004 2005-2009 A d u lt L it e r a c y R a te ( % ) Comparative Adult Literacy Rate (%) World Africa North America South America Asia Europe Oceania 22 THE STATE OF KNOWLEDGE IN AFRICA SSA’s primary school Enrolment is Improving 40 60 80 100 120 140 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 G r o s s E n r o lm e n t R a ti o Comparative Gross Enrolment Ratio - Primary Education Middle East and North Africa Central and Eastern Europe Central Asia East Asia and the Pacific Latin America and the Caribbean North America and Western Europe South and West Asia Sub-Saharan Africa 23 THE STATE OF KNOWLEDGE IN AFRICA SSA trails behind all the regions of the world on secondary school enrolment 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 G r o s s E n r o lm e n t R a ti o Comparative Gross Enrolment Ratio - Secondary Education Middle East and North Africa Central and Eastern Europe Central Asia East Asia and the Pacific Latin America and the Caribbean North America and Western Europe South and West Asia Sub-Saharan Africa 24 THE STATE OF KNOWLEDGE IN AFRICA SSA trails below the rest of the regions in terms of tertiary education enrolment 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 G r o s s E n r o lm e n t R a ti o Comparative Gross Enrolment Ratio - Secondary Education Middle East and North Africa Central and Eastern Europe Central Asia East Asia and the Pacific Latin America and the Caribbean North America and Western Europe South and West Asia Sub-Saharan Africa 25 THE STATE OF KNOWLEDGE IN AFRICA Africa lags behind other regions by a wide margin in terms of research and development (R&D) investment 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 Americas Europe Africa Asia Oceania B il li o n P P P $ Comparative R& D Expenditure (in billion PPP$) 2002 2007 26 THE STATE OF KNOWLEDGE IN AFRICA Africa lags behind other regions by a wide margin in terms of research and development (R&D) investment 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 Americas Europe Africa Asia Oceania P P P $ Comparative R&D Per Capita (in PPP$) 2002 2007 27 THE STATE OF KNOWLEDGE IN AFRICA Africa also has relatively the lowest levels in terms of the number of researchers in R&D per million people 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 Americas Europe Africa Asia Oceania R e s e a r c h e r s p e r m il li o n i n h a b it a n ts Comparative Number of Researchers Per Million Inhabitants 2002 2007 28 THE STATE OF KNOWLEDGE IN AFRICA Africa has the lowest levels of mobile cellular subscriptions & fixed telephone lines 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Mobile Cellular Subscriptions (Per 100 Inhabitants) Africa Arab States Asia & Pacific CIS Europe The Americas 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Fixed Telephone Lines (Per 100 Inhabitants) by Region Africa Arab States Asia & Pacific CIS Europe The Americas 29 THE STATE OF KNOWLEDGE IN AFRICA Africa has the lowest levels of active mobile broadband subscriptions & Internet users 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 2007 2008 2009 2010 Active Mobile Broadband Subscriptions (per 100 Inhabitants) by Region Africa Arab States Asia & Pacific CIS Europe The Americas 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Internet Users (per 100 Inhabitants) by Region Africa Arab States Asia & Pacific CIS Europe The Americas 30 THE STATE OF KNOWLEDGE IN AFRICA Africa has the lowest levels of fixed broadband subscriptions 0 5 10 15 20 25 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Fixed (Wired) Broadband Subscriptions (per 100 Inhabitants) by Region Africa Arab States Asia & Pacific CIS Europe The Americas 31 THE STATE OF KNOWLEDGE IN AFRICA Positive Correlation between Knowledge and Current Economic Performance – Dominance of Advanced Economies AlbaniaAlgeriaAngola Argentina Australia Austria Azerbaijan Bahrain Bangladesh Barbados Belarus Belgium Benin Bolivia Bosnia and Herzegovina Botswana Brazil Bulg ria Burkina FasoC mbo ia C m roon Canada Cape Verde Chile Chi a Colombia Costa Rica Cote 'Ivoire Croatia Cyprus Czech Republic Denmark Djibouti Dominic Dominic n Republic Ecuador Egypt, Arab Rep. El S lvador Eritrea E tonia Ethiop a Fiji Finland France Georgia Germ ny Ghana Greece Guatemala Gu n Guyana Honduras Hong Kong, China Hungary Iceland India Indon sia Iran, Isl mic Rep. Ireland Israel Italy J a a Japan Jor Kazakhstan Ke ya Kor a, Rep. Kuwait Kyrgyz Rep.La PDR Latvia Leb non Lesoth Lithuania Luxembourg Mac donia, FYR M dag sc rMalawi Malaysi M li Malta M uritania Mauritius Mexico M ldovaMongolia M r cco Moz mbique N mibia Nepal Netherlands New Zealand Nic raguaNigeria Norway Oman P kist Panama Par g y Peru Philip ines Poland Portugal Qatar Romania Russi n Federation Rwand Saudi Arabia S egal S rbi Sierr L on Singapore Slovak Republic Slovenia Sout Afric Spain ri Lanka Sud Sw zil nd Swe en Switzerland Syrian A b Republic TajikistanT z nia Th iland Trinidad and Tobag Tun i Turkey U Ukraine United Arab Emirates United Kingdom Un ted States Uruguay Uzbekista Venezuela, RB Vietn mYem n, ep.Zamb Zimb bw0 2 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 0 8 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 G D P P e r C a p i t a 0 2 4 6 8 10 Knowledge Index GDP per capita (current US$)2009 Fitted values Knowledge Index and GDP Per Capita in 2009 32 THE STATE OF KNOWLEDGE IN AFRICA Close correlation between the Knowledge Index and GDP per Capita in Africa Algeria Angola Benin Botswana Burkina Faso Cameroon Cape Verde Cote d'IvoireDjibouti Egypt, Arab Rep. EritreaEthiopia Ghana Guinea Kenya Lesotho M dagascar Malawi Mali Mauritania Mauritius Morocco Moz mbique Namibia Nig ria R anda Senegal Sierra Leone South Africa Sudan Swaziland Tanz nia Tunisia Ug nda Zambia Zimbabwe 0 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 8 0 0 0 G D P P e r C a p i t a 1 2 3 4 5 Knowledge Index GDP per capita (current US$)2009 Fitted values Knowledge Index and GDP Per Capita of African Countries in 2009 33 THE STATE OF KNOWLEDGE IN AFRICA Close correlation between the Knowledge Index and Economic Growth in Africa Algeria Angola Benin Botswana Burkina Faso Cameroon Cape Verde Cote d'Ivoire Djibouti Egypt, Arab Rep. Eritrea Ethiopia Ghana Guinea Kenya Lesotho Madagascar Malawi Mali Mauritania Mauritius Morocco Mozambique Namibia Nigeria Rwanda Senegal Sierra Leone South Africa Sudan Swaziland Tanzania Tunisia Uganda Zambia Zimbabwe - 5 0 5 1 0 R e a l G D P G r o w t h R a t e ( % ) 1 2 3 4 5 Knowledge Index GDP growth (annual %)2009 Fitted values Knowledge Index and Economic Growth of African Countries in 2009 34 THE STATE OF KNOWLEDGE IN AFRICA Close correlation between the Knowledge Index and Human Development in Africa Algeria Angola Benin Botswana Burkina Faso Cameroon Cape Verde Cote d'Ivoire Djibouti Egypt, Arab Rep. Ethiopia Ghana Guinea Kenya Lesotho Madagascar Malawi Mali Mauritania Mauritius Morocco Mozambique Namibia Nigeria Rwanda Senegal Sierra Leone South Africa Sudan Swaziland Tanzania Tunisia Uganda Z mbia Zimbabwe . 2 . 4 . 6 . 8 1 H u m a n D e v e l o p m e n t I n d e x 1 2 3 4 5 Knowledge Index human development index Fitted values Knowledge Index and HDI of African Countries in 2009 35 THE STATE OF KNOWLEDGE IN AFRICA African countries that score higher on the Knowledge Index have higher levels of economic development 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 In d e x Africa's First-11 Knowledge Index 'Players', 2009 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 U S $ Africa's First-Eleven GDP Per Capita 'Players', 2009 36 THE STATE OF KNOWLEDGE IN AFRICA Knowledge accumulation is associated with higher rates of future per capita GDP in Africa Algeria Angola Benin Botswana Burkina Faso Cameroon Cape Verde &{te d¶,voire Djibouti Egypt Eritrea Ethiopia Ghana Guinea Kenya Lesotho Madagascar Malawi Mali Mauritania Mauritius Morocco Mozambique Namibia Nigeria Rwanda Senegal Sierra Leon South Africa Sudan Swaziland Tanzania Tunisia Ug nda Z mbia Zimbabwe 5 6 7 8 9 1 0 P e r C a p i t a G D P i n 2 0 0 5 - 2 0 0 9 0 .5 1 1.5 2 Knowledge Index in 2000 (mean) lgdppc20052009 Fitted values Knowledge Index in 2000 and Per Capita GDP of African Countries in 2005-2009 R2=0.82 37 THE STATE OF KNOWLEDGE IN AFRICA A one-unit improvement in the KI leads to an increase of 0.90 percentage point in per capita GDP Variable Coefficient KI2000 Investment rate Trade openness Share of urban population Inflation rate Constant 0.899 (2.76**) 0.872 (1.87*) 0.366 (1.33) 0.516 (2.54**) 0.032 (0.26) 0.426 (0.29) Simple Regression of the Effect of Knowledge on Future per Capita GDP, Dependent Variable is per Capita GDFP in 2005-2009 ** Significant at 5% significant level; * significant at 10% significant level. • Developing Educated and Skilled Workers Creating a culture of continuous learning and openness to new ideas is critical for creating a knowledge-based economy in Africa. Setting up a computer-based functional literacy (CBFL) programme to arrest adult illiteracy.  Investing in hiring more qualified teachers and improved pupil-teacher ratios in schools. A new system to focus on learning, rather than on schooling, and promote creativity. 38 RECOMMENDATIONS AND NEXT STEPS • Developing Educated and Skilled Workers Drastically upgrading higher education - improved training programmes and closer links between tertiary and vocational educational institutions o as well as private sector. Emphasize the enrolment and teaching of sciences, math, and engineering technology  Stronger university-industry linkages  Increased involvement of the private sector, Missions and NGOs – including PPPs in education provision 39 RECOMMENDATIONS AND NEXT STEPS • Creating an Efficient Innovation System  Increasing R&D investment; strengthening African countries’ R&D infrastructure, developing technological innovations and altering the mind-set of its people toward better creation, acquisition, and use of technology 40 RECOMMENDATIONS AND NEXT STEPS Impact on national economy and society Investments Results Direct effects  Renewing business structure  Affluence  Regional vitality  Employment  Environment and health  Security and safety  Social well-being  Start-ups, new business areas and services  Growth and globalization of companies  Productivity  Competence  New knowledge  New business models  Networking  Innovations: products and services, methods and processes, organizational innovations  R&D investment • Creating an Efficient Innovation System Innovation policies and increased R&D investments are needed in each country in addition to regional strategies Science and Technology Councils are necessary at the Presidency or Prime Minister levels Collaboration and linkages among local firms, universities, and research institutes and the worldwide R&D network of multinationals Leveraging abundant Diaspora knowledge 41 RECOMMENDATIONS AND NEXT STEPS • Creating an Efficient Innovation System Leapfrogging to innovation-driven economy 42 RECOMMENDATIONS AND NEXT STEPS Path to Knowledge-Based Economy: African Countries Need to Leap-Frog to Reach the Knowledge- Based Economy Stage Soon Factor Driven Economy Investment Driven Economy Country is a Source of… Innovation Driven Economy Knowledge-Based Economies …cheap and abundant natural resources …additional value beyond basic manufacturing Local Companies … …occupy a small part of the value chain …focus on product design, distribution, and marketing Workers… …are uneducated and focus on low-value added tasks …have basic education but lack technical skills Country Examples :  Nigeria  Ang ola  Morocco  Other African Countries  Saudi Arabia  China  Brazil …unique high- value products and services …driven advances in technology and business methods …are well educated and highly skilled  United States  South Korea  Finlan d • Creating an Efficient Innovation System Establishment of science and technology parks Encouraging venture capital development and angel funds Develop communication and other infrastructure for R&, Creating an attractive environment to motivate R&D investments, including favourable tax, and other incentives. 43 RECOMMENDATIONS AND NEXT STEPS • Creating an Efficient Innovation System Attracting more foreign direct investment (FDI) Changing the way students are trained–-a process that will require changes in the education system, labour markets, and government policies Establishing incubators 44 RECOMMENDATIONS AND NEXT STEPS • Building a dynamic information infrastructure Having national and regional ICT Plans (including broadband plans) with a Digital Agenda Improving the overall environment for innovation and ICT Establishing an innovation-friendly environment and setting the ICT vision for the future Providing firms and consumers with incentives to extract value from the use of broadband 45 RECOMMENDATIONS AND NEXT STEPS • Building a dynamic information infrastructure Efficiently allocating assets that the public sector controls or influences Encouraging the deployment, adoption, and use of broadband in areas where the market alone is not enough Ensuring robust competition in telecommunications, including digital democracy Ensuring robust competition (including privatization) in the power sector 46 RECOMMENDATIONS AND NEXT STEPS • Strengthening the Economic and Institutional Regime – a number of African countries have made giant strides in reforms 47 RECOMMENDATIONS AND NEXT STEPS Algeria Angola Benin Botswana Burkina Faso Cameroon Cape Verde &{te d¶,voire Djibouti Egypt Eritrea Ethiopia Ghana Guinea Kenya Lesotho Madagascar Malawi Mali Mauritania Mauritius Morocco Mozambique Namibia Nigeria Rwanda Senegal Sierra Leone South Africa Sudan Swaziland TanzaniaTu sia Uganda Zambia Zimbabwe 0 2 4 6 8 E c o n o m i c a n d I n s t i t u t i o n a l R e g i m e I n d e x i n 2 0 0 9 0 10 20 30 40 50 Countries in Alphabetical Order Economic Incentive Regime Fitted values Economic and Institutional Regime Index By Country in 2009 Algeria Angola Benin Botswana Burkina Faso Cameroon Cape Verde &{te d¶,voire Djibouti Egypt Eritrea Ethiopia Ghana Guinea Kenya Lesotho Madagascar Malawi Mali Mauritania Mauritius Morocco Mozambique Namibia Nigeria Rwanda Senegal Sierra Leone South Africa Sudan Swazil nd Tanzania Tunisia Uganda Zambia Zimbabwe 0 2 4 6 8 2 0 0 9 0 2 4 6 2000 Economic Incentive Regime Fitted values Eco omic and Institutional Regime Index: Relative Performance Over Time • Strengthening the Economic and Institutional Regime Consolidating macroeconomic stability; Strengthening banking systems to enhance domestic resource mobilization; Developing capital markets by improving the regulatory framework, reforming labor market practices; Accelerating the pace of privatization and broadening the domestic investor base. measures to attract larger volumes of foreign private capital inflows. 48 RECOMMENDATIONS AND NEXT STEPS • Strengthening the Economic and Institutional Regime Reforming and strengthening judicial and legal systems and putting in place effective and transparent regulatory frameworks Physical infrastructure (including ICT infrastructure) development Strengthening governance through the development of participatory decision-making processes  Improving public service delivery, strengthening capacities, and ensuring greater accountability and transparency in public administration. 49 RECOMMENDATIONS AND NEXT STEPS • More than money, needed: political, commitment, transparency & accountability, collaborative spirit to formulate the requisite policies, strategies, plans and collective action as well as the institutional changes needed for leapfrogging to a knowledge-based and innovation-driven economy for economic advancement of Africa. • African countries to redouble their efforts to mobilize domestic revenues • Leveraging resources from emerging partners like the BRICs • Conference to provide answers to key digitization questions • Africa is reborn with a new optimistic face & at a turning point, in spite of challenges. 50 CONCLUSION Thank you for Your Kind Attention 51