Perceived impact of fintech on financial inclusion in South Africa Leonard Runyowa WITS Business School Thesis presented in partial fulfilment for the degree of Master of Business Administration to the Faculty of Commerce, Law, and Management, University of the Witwatersrand ii DECLARATION I, Leonard Runyowa declare that this research report entitled “Perceived impact of fintech on financial inclusion in South Africa” is my own unaided work. I have acknowledged, attributed, and referenced all ideas sourced elsewhere. I am hereby submitting it in partial fulfilment of the requirements of the degree of Master of Business Administration at the University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg. I have not submitted this report before for any other degree or examination to any other institution. Leonard Runyowa Signed at Johannesburg Name of candidate Leonard Runyowa Student number 720361 Telephone numbers 0712966241 Email address runyowa@gmail.com First year of registration 2019 Date of proposal submission 30-11-2020 Date of report submission 09-06-2021 Name of supervisor Dr Chengete Chakamera mailto:runyowa@gmail.com iii ABSTRACT Author: Leonard Runyowa Supervisor Chengete Chakamera Thesis title: Perceived impact of fintech on financial inclusion in South Africa Globally, financial inclusion has been recognised as a critical pillar to alleviate poverty, reduce inequality, and increase economic growth. As an emerging economy, South Africa is still facing challenges of poverty and inequality and is ranked one of the unequal countries in the world (World Bank, 2013). Financial inclusion by leveraging fintech has been identified as a critical enabler for delivering affordable financial services to under-served population segments (National Treasury, 2020). The primary purpose of this study is to determine the perceived impact of financial technology on financial inclusion in the South African context. The study's specific objectives are (i) to determine if the adoption and usage of fintech influences financial inclusion in South Africa; (ii) to determine if fintech can influence financial inclusion barriers and (iii) to determine if awareness of the benefits and risks associated with fintech influence the adoption and usage of fintech. The study used a quantitative research strategy with a cross-sectional or survey design. An online self-completion questionnaire was used as a data collection instrument and non-probability sampling with convenience sampling method to select the respondents. One hundred twenty-five respondents completed the online survey, and data were analysed using descriptive statistics, correlation, and regression analysis. The findings indicate that fintech adoption and usage has a positive influence on financial inclusion. The study also found that fintech influences financial inclusion barriers like distance to the nearest branch, transport costs, transaction costs, and lack of proper documentation. Consumers who use fintech products and services no longer perceive these barriers as a hindrance to financial access. Lastly, it was also found that awareness of the benefits iv associated with fintech influences fintech adoption and usage. In contrast, awareness of the risks associated with fintech does not influence fintech adoption and use among the respondents. This study will contribute to the fewer studies that have looked at the impact of fintech on financial inclusion in the South African context. The study can help the government and financial institutions understand the impact of fintech on financial inclusion and improve the current strategies implemented to increase financial inclusion in South Africa. Johannesburg, June 2021 Keywords: digital financial inclusion, financial technology, financial inclusion, technology acceptance model v TABLE OF CONTENTS DECLARATION .............................................................................................. ii Abstract .................................................................................................. iii TABLE OF CONTENTS .................................................................................. v List of Tables................................................................................................ viii List of figures.................................................................................................. ix List of Tables and figures in the appendices ................................................... x ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS .............................................................................. xi Definition of key terms and concepts ............................................................ xii ABBREVIATIONS ........................................................................................ xiii 1. Introduction to the research ..................................................................... 1 1.1 Context of and background to the study .......................................... 1 1.2 Research conceptualisation ............................................................ 3 1.2.1 The research problem statement .......................................... 3 1.2.2 The research purpose statement .......................................... 4 1.2.3 The research questions and research hypotheses ............... 4 1.3 Delimitations and assumptions of the research study ..................... 5 1.4 Significance of the research study .................................................. 5 1.5 Preface to the research report ........................................................ 6 2. Literature review ...................................................................................... 7 2.1 Research problem analysis ............................................................. 7 2.1.1 Definition of key terms ......................................................... 7 2.1.2 Financial exclusion in detail .................................................. 8 2.1.2.1Dimensions of financial exclusion ........................................ 9 2.1.3 Financial inclusion in detail ................................................. 10 2.1.3.1 Measuring financial inclusion – dimensions. .................... 10 2.1.4 Digital Financial Inclusion ................................................... 12 2.1.5 Consequences of poor financial inclusion........................... 14 2.2 Research knowledge gap analysis ................................................ 15 2.2.1 Existing knowledge gaps ...................................................... 17 2.3 Framework for interpreting research findings ................................ 17 2.3.1 Technology acceptance model - TAM ................................ 17 2.3.2 Technology acceptance model 2 – TAM2........................... 19 2.3.3 Diffusion of innovation theory ............................................. 20 2.3.4 Integrated TAM and TPB with “perceived risk and perceived benefit.” ............................................................................... 21 2.3.5 Integrated TAM2 with perceived cost, perceived risk, and trust..................................................................................... 22 2.4 Conclusion .................................................................................... 24 3. Research strategy, design, procedure and methods ............................. 26 3.1 Research strategy ......................................................................... 26 vi 3.2 Research Design ........................................................................... 27 3.3 Research procedure and methods ................................................ 28 3.3.1 Research data and information collection instrument(s) .... 28 3.3.2 Research target population and selection of respondents .. 28 3.3.3 Ethical considerations when collecting research data. ....... 29 3.3.4 Research data collection procedure ................................... 30 3.3.5 Research data processing and analysis ............................. 30 3.4 Research strengthens – reliability and validity measures applied. 34 3.5 Research weaknesses – technical and administrative limitations . 35 3.6 Conclusion .................................................................................... 36 4. Presentation of research results ............................................................ 37 4.1 Reliability and Validity ................................................................... 37 4.2 Descriptive statistics ...................................................................... 38 4.2.1 Response Rate ................................................................... 38 4.2.2 Demographic information .................................................... 39 4.3 Effect of fintech adoption and usage on financial inclusion. .......... 42 4.3.1 Descriptive statistics ........................................................... 42 4.4.1 Statistical hypothesis testing ............................................... 46 4.4.2 Comparison of research findings ....................................... 48 4.4 Effect of fintech on barriers to financial inclusion .......................... 48 4.4.1 Descriptive statistics ........................................................... 48 4.4.2 Statistical hypothesis testing ............................................... 51 4.4.3 Comparison of research findings .......................................... 54 4.5 Effect of fintech benefits and risk awareness on fintech adoption and usage ..................................................................................... 54 4.5.1 Descriptive statistics ........................................................... 55 4.5.2 Statistical hypothesis testing ............................................... 56 4.5.3 Comparison of research findings ....................................... 59 5. Discussion of research findings ............................................................. 60 5.1 Effect of fintech adoption and usage influence on financial inclusion 60 5.1.1 Hypothesis testing discussion ............................................. 62 5.2 Effect of fintech on barriers to financial inclusion .......................... 63 5.2.1 Hypothesis testing discussion ............................................. 66 5.3 Effect of fintech benefits and risks awareness on fintech adoption and usage. .................................................................................... 67 5.3.1 Hypothesis testing discussion ............................................. 68 5.4 Conclusion .................................................................................... 69 5. Summary, conclusions, implication, limitations, and recommendations 70 6.1 Summary ....................................................................................... 70 6.2 Conclusions ................................................................................... 72 6.3 Implications of the results .............................................................. 72 vii 6.4 Limitations ..................................................................................... 73 6.5 Policy Recommendations .............................................................. 73 6.6 Recommendations for future research .......................................... 74 References ................................................................................................ 75 Appendix 1.1: Data collection instrument(s) ............................................... 82 Appendix 2.1: One-page bio of the researcher including declaration of interest in the research and funders, if any ............................. 88 Appendix 2.2: Ethic documentation ............................................................. 89 viii LIST OF TABLES Table 4.1: Reliability statistics ...................................................................... 38 Table 4.2: Sub-scale reliability statistics ...................................................... 38 Table 4.3: Pearson correlation - fintech usage, adoption, and financial inclusion ................................................................................................ 46 Table 4.4: Regression coefficients – fintech usage and adoption ................ 47 Table 4.5: Model summary – fintech usage, adoption, and financial inclusion .............................................................................................................. 48 Table 4.6: Correlations - fintech and financial inclusion barriers .................. 52 Table 4.7: Association between fintech and financial inclusion barriers ....... 53 Table 4.8: Model summary - fintech and financial inclusion barriers ............ 54 Table 4.9: Correlations - fintech adoption, usage, benefits, and risks awareness ............................................................................................ 57 Table 4.10: Association between fintech usage, and benefits and risk awareness ............................................................................................ 58 Table 4.11: Model summary – fintech usage, benefits, and risks awareness .............................................................................................................. 58 Table 4.12: Association between fintech adoption and benefits and risks awareness ............................................................................................ 59 Table 4.13: Model summary – fintech adoption, benefits, and risks awareness .............................................................................................................. 59 ix LIST OF FIGURES Figure 2.1: Technology acceptance model .................................................. 18 Figure 2.2: Technology acceptance model 2 ............................................... 19 Figure 2.3: Diffusion of innovation theory ..................................................... 21 Figure 2.4: Integrated TAM and TPB model with perceived risk and benefit 22 Figure 2.5: Integrated TAM2 with perceived cost, perceived risk, and trust . 23 Figure 4.1: Gender responses ..................................................................... 39 Figure 4.2: Race responses ......................................................................... 39 Figure 4.3: Age responses ........................................................................... 40 Figure 4.4: Educational qualification responses ........................................... 40 Figure 4.5: Employment status responses ................................................... 41 Figure 4.6: Frequently used fintech products and services .......................... 42 Figure 4.7: Flexibility and control of costs .................................................... 43 Figure 4.8: Technology adoption.................................................................. 43 Figure 4.9: Online financial products and services usage ............................ 44 Figure 4.10: Safety and convenience ........................................................... 44 Figure 4.11: Access to financial products and services ............................... 45 Figure 4.12: Access to financial products and services - family and friends 45 Figure 4.13: Geographical distance barrier .................................................. 49 Figure 4.14: Transport costs barrier ............................................................. 49 Figure 4.15: Transaction costs or fees barrier ............................................. 50 Figure 4.16: Documentation barrier ............................................................. 50 Figure 4.17: Online benefits awareness ...................................................... 55 Figure 4.18: Online risk awareness .............................................................. 56 x LIST OF TABLES AND FIGURES IN THE APPENDICES Appendix 1.1: Data collection instrument(s) ............................................... 82 Appendix 2.1: One-page bio of the researcher including declaration of interest in the research and funders, if any ............................. 88 Appendix 2.2: Ethic documentation ............................................................. 89 xi ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS I want to thank the following people for the tremendous support throughout my MBA study journey: ➢ My Supervisor, Dr Chengete Chakamera, for the patience, guidance and valuable support throughout the writing of this study. ➢ All the respondents who took part in the online survey. ➢ My mother Mrs B. Runyowa, my sister, and my brothers for always encouraging me throughout this study journey. This is for you Mom. ➢ My cousin Cosmas Runyowa and his family for the constant support throughout the study period ➢ My sister-in-law Fortune Gowera-Makamanzi and her family for the constant support throughout the study period ➢ My two special sons, Tinotendaishe and Tadiwa Runyowa for always keeping me company during those long study nights. ➢ Last but not least, I would like to thank my wife, Tsitsi Joyleen Runyowa, for her tremendous support throughout this MBA study journey. Words alone cannot express my appreciation for everything you have done for the family and me during this study period. Your valuable support is forever appreciated. I Love You. xii DEFINITION OF KEY TERMS AND CONCEPTS Word in Title Meaning using English Dictionary Meaning according to academic articles Impact have a strong effect on someone or something “The positive and negative changes produced by a development intervention, directly or indirectly, intended or unintended” (Chianca, 2008, p. 43). Technology the application of scientific knowledge for practical purposes, especially in industry “A system created by humans that uses knowledge and organization to produce objects and techniques for the attainment of specific goals” (Volti, 2009, p. 6) Sustainable the ability to be maintained at a certain rate or level. “Securing the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs.” (Brundtland, 1987, p. 16) Inclusion the action or state of including or of being included within a group or structure. “A philosophy where the belief is that everyone has a basic right to participate fully in society” (Peters, 1999, p. 15) xiii ABBREVIATIONS Acronym Full description ABSA Amalgamated Banks of South Africa AFI Alliance for Financial Inclusion ATM Automated teller machine CGAP Consultative Group to Assist the Poor FNB First National Bank ICASA Independent Communication Authority of South Africa IMF International Monetary Fund MTN Mobile Telephone Network OECD Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development SABRIC South African Banking Risk Information Centre SPSS Statistical Package for Social Sciences TAM Technology acceptance model TPB Theory of planned behaviour 1 1. INTRODUCTION TO THE RESEARCH This research determines the perceived impact of fintech on financial inclusion in South Africa. Before getting to research conceptualisation in Section 1.2, the following section introduces the context and background of the study. First, the research conceptualisation Section 1.2 discusses the research problem statement Section 1.2.1, research purpose statement Section 1.2.2, research questions and research hypothesis Section 1.2.3. Next, section 1.3 discusses the delimitations and assumptions of the research study. Finally, section 1.4 discusses the significance of the research study, and the chapter closes with a preface of the research study in Section 1.5. 1.1 Context of and background to the study Globally issues relating to financial inclusion, providing affordable financial products and services to all population segments have been a top priority for governments worldwide and different organisations (World Bank, 2014). Yet, more than 1.7 billion adults worldwide remain unbanked without a transaction account at a bank or a mobile money services provider (Demirguc-Kunt, Klapper, Singer, Ansar, & Hess, 2017). In 2010 at the G20 Summit in Seoul, financial inclusion was recognised by G20 leaders as one of the critical pillars to increase economic growth, end poverty and inequality around the world (Timmermann 2017). Research has shown the positive impact of financial inclusion in increasing national economic growth, reducing income inequality, poverty alleviation and raising productivity growth (Barajas, Beck, Belhaj, & Naceur, 2020; Demirguc-Kunt, Klapper, & Singer, 2017). Access to formal financial systems allow people to make payments, remittances, savings, insurance, credit, wealth management efficiently and safely without fear of losing their money (Demirguc-Kunt, Klapper, & Singer, 2017). The Global Financial Crisis of 2008 was the catalyst that saw the sudden rise of fintech companies worldwide. Fintech companies are “financial service 2 firms whose product or service is built upon technology, often resulting in highly innovative, pioneering services” (Gelis & Woods, 2014, p. 3). Governments can utilise these innovative technologies in the financial services industry to expand financial inclusion to previously excluded segments of the population by reducing the barriers to financial access in areas like mobile payments, remittances, credit access, insurance, savings etc (World Bank, 2014). Since the advent of democracy in 1994, which saw the end of apartheid rule in South Africa, significant gains have been achieved in social equity and reduction of extreme poverty; however, the country still has challenges of poverty and inequality (Philip, Tsedu, & Zwane, 2014). South Africa is ranked one of the unequal countries in the world, with a highly polarised society where the gap between the rich and the poor is very high (World Bank, 2013). Furthermore, with over 55 million people (StatsSA, 2016), the country is still facing severe challenges addressing historical economic imbalances. Slow economic growth, high unemployment has hampered government efforts to reduce poverty and inequality (NationalTreasury, 2020). The country boasts of a sophisticated, well-regulated, and well-developed financial sector with proper infrastructure; however, the biggest challenge has been the slow pace by the private sector to engage with low-income segments and tap into this market (National Treasury & AFI, 2014). In 2004 the government of South Africa, in partnership with four big private banks - FNB, Nedbank, ABSA, Standard Bank, working closely with Postbank, launched the Mzansi account, which was a low-cost entry-level transactional account (Kostov, Arun & Annim, 2015). The Mzansi account initiative was a success in promoting the adoption of bank accounts and extending financial services to the previously excluded adults in South Africa; however, the usage of the bank accounts was shallow (National Treasury & AFI, 2014). In its draft financial inclusion policy framework, the National Treasury has identified the leveraging of fintech to promote and support financial inclusion in South Africa as one of its key priorities (National 3 Treasury, 2020). The main objective of this study is to determine the perceived impact of fintech on financial inclusion in the South African context. 1.2 Research conceptualisation 1.2.1 The research problem statement South Africa is one of the world's most unequal countries, with a highly polarised society where the poor and the rich gap is very high (Dessus & Hanusch, 2018). The country's economy has a dual economy, with a well- developed high-end economy co-existing with a less developed low-end economy functioning in the townships, informal settlements, and rural areas (Bojabotseha, 2011). Among the several strategies taken by the South African government to address the problems of poverty and inequality, financial inclusion through leveraging fintech has been identified as a critical enabler to deliver quality and affordable financial services to the previously disadvantage and under-served segments of the population (National Treasury, 2020). However, fintech has not been influential in South Africa, as evidenced by the failure of M-PESA launched by Vodacom SA in 2010 in partnership with Nedbank (Rouse & Verhoef, 2016). Despite this viewpoint, studies such as Kinsman (2019), Finscope (2017), Nyoka (2019) and Chigada and Hirshfelder (2017) have presented an opposite view that the use of technology has made progress towards increasing financial inclusion in South Africa. In addition, limited studies focused on the impact of fintech on financial inclusion in the South African context. Given the above, the main problem is whether the implied financial inclusion in South Africa is associated with the adoption and usage of fintech on the ground. For example, the Mzansi account initiative managed to increase the adoption of transactional bank accounts but failed to address usage issues, propensity to save and sustainability (National Treasury & AFI, 2014). 4 An accompanying sub-problem of interest in this study is whether fintech influences the barriers to financial inclusion in the South African context. Some of the reasons why most South Africans are not using banks are high bank fees, mistrust of the formal financial sector in fear of exploitation, fraud, sense of trust with community groups like stokvels, too much documentation required by banks, and most people run their businesses informally (Kessler et al., 2017a) Another sub-problem of interest is whether awareness of the benefits and risks associated with the use of fintech can influence the adoption and usage of online financial products and services in South Africa. The use of digital technology is creating benefits for consumers to engage with financial services; however, some risks come with using these technologies (National Treasury, 2020). 1.2.2 The research purpose statement The primary purpose of this study is to determine the perceived impact of fintech on financial inclusion in South Africa. The specific objectives of the study are: • To determine if adoption and usage of fintech can influence financial inclusion. • To determine if fintech can influence barriers to financial inclusion. • To determine if awareness of benefits and risks associated with fintech influence the adoption and usage of fintech. 1.2.3 The research questions and research hypotheses • Does fintech adoption and usage influence financial inclusion? H0: Fintech adoption and usage does not influence financial inclusion. H1: Fintech adoption and usage can influence financial inclusion. • Does fintech influence barriers to financial inclusion? H0: Fintech does not influence barriers to financial inclusion. 5 H1: Fintech can influence barriers to financial inclusion. • Does awareness of benefits and risks associated with fintech influence adoption and usage? H0: Awareness of benefits and risks associated with fintech does not influence adoption and usage. H1: Awareness of benefits and risks associated with fintech influence adoption and usage. 1.3 Delimitations and assumptions of the research study During the data collection process, the researcher assumed the respondents answered all the questionnaire questions truthfully. Unfortunately, due to the Covid-19 pandemic, time constraints and limited resources, data collection for this study was limited to adults living in South Africa who could read and write with access to an electronic device connected to the internet. The researcher chose to focus on fintech ahead of other factors that can impact financial inclusion because this is a new trend. Due to technology, it is easier and quicker for people to adopt it than other factors mentioned below. Previous studies related to the use of technology and financial inclusion have focused more on the impact of mobile money on improving financial inclusion in developing economies and not fintech. The study did not focus on other factors that impact financial inclusion like demographic factors, financial literacy, language barriers, religious beliefs, legal framework, and institutional factors like governance. 1.4 Significance of the research study According to the World Bank (2018), financial inclusion is considered one of the key enablers to reduce poverty and inequality and boost developing economies like South Africa. South Africa is among the world's unequal countries, where the poor and the rich gap is very high (Dessus & Hanusch, 2018). Thus far, the South African government's measures to address these 6 issues have benefited only a few black elites and left the general population in extreme poverty (Ponte, Roberts, & Sittert, 2007). Therefore, the impact of fintech in promoting and supporting financial inclusion in the South African context is one of the key priorities in the recently drafted financial inclusion policy framework for South Africa by the National Treasury department (National Treasury, 2020). This study aims to investigate the perceived impact of fintech on financial inclusion in South Africa. This study is essential to the government and the financial services sector as it addresses priority 16 in the draft financial inclusion policy framework by National Treasury, “Leveraging fintech disruptors to promote and support financial inclusion” (National Treasury, 2020, p. 4). Studying the impact of fintech on South Africa's financial inclusion is of great significance, provide insights into the country's battle to reduce poverty and inequality through financial inclusion. The study will also contribute to the already limited academic literature on the perceived impact of fintech on financial inclusion in the South African context. 1.5 Preface to the research report To this end, the report has six chapters. Following this introductory chapter, Chapter 2 provides a literature review covering the research problem analysis, the previous studies, the explanatory framework, research knowledge gap analysis and the conceptual framework. Chapter 3 discusses the research strategy, design, procedures, reliability, validity measures, and limitations. Chapter 4 presents the research results, statistical analysis, reliability, and validity. Chapter 5 presents the research findings, and finally, Chapter 6 closes off the research report by presenting the research summary, conclusions, and recommendations for future studies. 7 2. LITERATURE REVIEW This chapter has three broad objectives: understanding the research problem, identifying the knowledge gap, and developing a framework for interpreting the results and research findings. Specifically, in Section 2.1, we detail the research problem. Then, in Section 2.2, we review the literature on studies that have attempted similar research. Finally, with this knowledge, identify and describe a framework that we will use to interpret our research findings in Section 2.3. 2.1 Research problem analysis South Africa is facing severe challenges in trying to addressing the post- independence challenges of high inequality and poverty. The country has about 2.9 million adults still excluded from the formal financial systems, still not fully utilising the financial access benefits (National Treasury, 2020). On the surface, the country looks inclusive, but the high adoption of transaction accounts is not matched by increased usage of the products and services (Kessler et al., 2017a). In partnership with the private sector, the government of South Africa has made initiatives like the implementation of the Mzansi account to try and increase the country's financial inclusion. However, these initiatives have managed to increase the adoption of transactional bank accounts but failed to address usage issues, propensity to save and sustainability (National Treasury & AFI, 2014). In addition, lack of awareness and experience with technology are significant challenges that impact the adoption of digital services among low-income groups; technology can help reduce some financial inclusion barriers (Tobbin, 2012). 2.1.1 Definition of key terms Financial exclusion It is “a process whereby people encounter difficulties accessing and or using financial services and products in the mainstream market that are appropriate 8 to their needs and enable them to lead a normal social life in the society in which they belong” (Anderloni, Bayot, Blędowski, Iwanicz-Drozdowska, & Kempson, 2008, p. 9). Individuals can be financially excluded when they cannot access financial products and services at an affordable cost and appropriate way (Kodan & Chhikara, 2013). Financial inclusion “It refers to all initiatives that make formal financial services available, accessible, and affordable to all segments of the population. This requires particular attention to specific portions of the population that have been historically excluded from the formal financial sector either because of their income level and volatility, gender, location, type of activity, or level of financial literacy” (Triki & Faye, 2013, p. 25). In the South African context, National Treasury defines financial inclusion as “the delivery of financial services at an affordable cost to vast sections of the population that are historically excluded or under-served by the formal financial sector” (National Treasury, 2020, p.1). Financial technology - fintech Financial technology provides or delivers financial and banking services using technological innovation driven by computer software and complex algorithms (Ozili, 2018). 2.1.2 Financial exclusion in detail It's essential first to comprehend financial exclusion to understand financial inclusion fully (Abrahams, 2017). Financial exclusion can be categorised as voluntary self-exclusion; individuals who have access to financial services choose not to use them because there is no need, cultural or religious reasons (Cámara & Tuesta, 2014). The second category is involuntary exclusion, where barriers like physical distance, lack of proper infrastructure, low income, discrimination, high costs, the product does not meet the customer needs comes into play (Demirgüç-Kunt, Beck, & Honohan, 2008). Finally, most financially excluded individuals are the youth, elderly, illegal migrants, who 9 struggle with proper documentation, unemployed, and minorities (Bimha, 2015). 2.1.2.1 Dimensions of financial exclusion Many factors cause people to be financially excluded from using formal financial systems, as discussed below: Geographical exclusion - Geographical location can impact access to financial services in many ways, and it can lead to the closure of bank branches in remote areas, poor infrastructure like roads and telecommunication systems which forces financial services to shun these isolated areas (Kempson, 2000; Kempson, Whyley, Caskey, & Collard, 2000). In addition, the lack of financial services in these remote areas deprives these communities of a chance of participation in the mainstream economy (Corr, 2006). Access exclusion - Risk assessment by financial institutions might lead to financial exclusion as many people in low-income communities might not meet the standards required by these institutions to grant access to credit (Kempson et al., 2000). Condition exclusion - Financial service providers sometimes can attach certain conditions to access their financial products, and these conditions might not be appropriate for the low-income consumer's needs (Kempson et al., 2000). In addition, the profit nature of these institutions forces them to create sophisticated products that are only suitable for their profitable customers (Corr, 2006). Price exclusion - The bank charges or fees paid to maintain these financial products can be unaffordable for many people, leading to using traditional channels that are cheaper or at no cost (Kempson et al., 2000). Marketing exclusion - Target marketing and sales strategies by financial service providers can lead to financial exclusion, and these institutions could 10 target only their high income or profitable customers. In addition, marketing exclusion can lead to information exclusion or blackout for low-income customers (Corr, 2006). 2.1.3 Financial inclusion in detail 2.1.3.1 Measuring financial inclusion – dimensions. Data is available from various sources for the supply-side and demand-side data to measure financial inclusion in a country or region. The supply-side information is available from multiple sources like CGAP, World Bank, African Development Bank, IMF. At the same time, Finscope, OECD, World Bank - Global Findex provide demand-side data (Triki & Faye, 2013). To understand financial inclusion deeper, we need to look at it from a multi- dimensional perspective rather than looking at it from the included or not included view (Triki & Faye, 2013). Financial inclusion should not only be about the availability of financial services, but it should also consider if other financial systems dimensions are working appropriately to meet the supply and demand side, and it should be sustainable (Arcdic, Chen, & Latortue, 2012). Various indicators determine the dimensions below from the demand side - consumers and supply-side - financial service providers (Cámara & Tuesta, 2014). • Access - Availability of regulated financial service providers with little or no potential barriers like distance to the physical branches, automated teller machines and agent locations (Arcdic et al., 2012; Cámara & Tuesta, 2014). • Usage – Usage of the available financial products and services, frequency and duration of use (Arcdic et al., 2012). • Quality – Product-market fit, do the products address customers' needs and segmentation (Arcdic et al., 2012). • Sustainability - The whole financial services ecosystem is beneficial to all stakeholders, and the consumers have access to affordable financial 11 products. At the same time, the financial service providers also profit from their products and services (Kessler et al., 2017). When analysing data to get the extension of financial inclusion, it is vital to combine the data from all the dimensions because access does not imply usage, and usage does not mean the product or service meets the customer needs (Cámara & Tuesta, 2014). 2.1.3.2 Barriers to financial inclusion The barriers to financial inclusion vary from region to region, and these barriers are sometimes complex and interlinked (Abrahams, 2017). Lack of money, transaction costs, transport costs, physical distance to the nearest bank branch, and lack of proper documentation are the most common barriers among African adults (Zins & Weill, 2016). Globally lack of money is the most common barrier to financial inclusion for adults, and some self-reported barriers like distance to the nearest branch, high bank costs, lack of trust in the financial system and lack of proper documentation (Allen, Demirguc-Kunt, Klapper, & Peria, 2012; Zulfiqar, Chaudhary, & Aslam, 2016). Financial inclusion barriers can be demand or supply barriers. The demand- side barriers are related to the customer perceptions that influence their choice of using the formal financial systems like financial service provider reliability, product design, product simplicity, transparency, fees, and distance to the nearest branch (Imaeva, Lobanova, & Tomilova, 2014). On the other hand, supply-side barriers include distance to the nearest branch, inappropriate and complex products, limited product range, policy regulation, lack of proper technology infrastructure (Bhuvana & Vasantha, 2016). In addition, for many financial service providers, high operating costs due to outdated technology, legacy business models and limited innovations make the processing of small transactions unprofitable, leading to the neglect of creating products that meet low-income consumers' needs (Pazarbasioglu et al., 2020a). 12 2.1.3.3 Sustainable financial inclusion Sustainable financial inclusion in an economy must address all facets of the financial ecosystem, the demand side - consumer needs, supply-side - financial service providers operating models, and the regulatory environment - public-private sector cooperation in creating a conducive environment for business (Kessler et al., 2017). Financial services providers do not create products and services that meet the needs of low-income segments because it is not profitable (Corr, 2006). According to Kessler et al. (2017), when financial inclusion is sustainable in a country, it means the following: • Transaction accounts - Bank fees are affordable to the consumer, and a bank's operating costs are compatible with those fees. • Credit - Loan repayments are affordable to consumers, and the service providers’ cost structure is compatible with the payments. • Insurance - Consumers are paying affordable premiums, and insurance providers operating costs are compatible with the premiums. • Savings - Savings must benefit the consumer, and the operating costs of the service provider are compatible with the interest rates. 2.1.4 Digital Financial Inclusion Digital financial inclusion is providing formal financial services to low-income consumers, unbanked and the underbanked using digital technology channels (Duoguang et al., 2016). This process ensures that all economy members have easy access, availability, and usage of financial systems through digital technologies (Kesuh, Ngong, & Manasseh, 2020). In addition, digital innovations in the financial services industry have reduced access and costs barriers among the financially excluded population in various areas like digital payments and remittances, digital savings, digital wealth management, digital credit service, and digital insurance (Patwardhan, Singleton, & Schmitz 2018). Notable digital technology success stories worldwide include mobile money transfer M-PESA in Kenya, mobile banking in India, and peer-to-peer lending platforms in China (Arner, Buckley, & Zetzsche, 2018; Guild, 2017). According 13 to Zhang and Yang (2019), the integration of finance, innovation and digital technology has ushered in a new era of inclusive finance, which presents opportunities to promote economic growth and poverty alleviation in a sustainable way. In addition, the use of various technologies like the internet of things, big data, cloud computing, blockchain, and artificial intelligence can help reduce costs, increase efficiency, and optimise different operations in financial services (Zhang & Yang, 2019). 2.1.4.1 Digital financial inclusion opportunities Digital technologies can increase financial inclusion through the rapid growth in mobile payments, mobile banking and the use of biometric data, which can reduce costs, physical distance barriers and documentation barriers (Bimha, 2015). These technologies offer cost-effective, easy, convenient, and efficient ways for poor households and small businesses to save, access credit, insurance and make secure payments (Pearce, Michaels, Kachingwe, & Iravantchi, 2017). Digital technologies are transforming financial business models in payments, remittances, lending, insurance, wealth management and financial planning, all providing an opportunity to create cost-effective products that meet the needs of all segments of society (Pazarbasioglu et al., 2020). The use of digital technologies can also help improve the government efficiency in the payment of grants or social benefits to the poor, which can also help to reduce crime, corruption (Shipalana, 2019). According to Pazarbasioglu et al. (2020), digital finance combined with technology can help financial service providers reduce cost, increase efficiency, security, optimisation, transparency, eliminate physical distance barriers and tailor products for the poor sustainably. It has been evident during the Covid-19 pandemic, where mobile money payments and online transactions have enabled individuals to transact with little or no physical contact (Pazarbasioglu et al., 2020). 14 2.1.4.2 Digital financial inclusion risks and challenges Despite all the benefits of digital finance, technology to improve financial inclusion comes with risks and challenges to the consumers and service providers. The use of digital finance poses data governance and privacy protection challenges, cybersecurity challenges, financial integrity challenges, and fair competition issues where big companies can monopolise the industry (Pazarbasioglu et al., 2020). According to Shipalana (2019), service providers can use unethical practices to increase profits and lure unsuspecting customers, and heavy regulation can impact investment in the industry which can reduce competition. This can severely impact both consumers and the service providers, and consumers will lose trust in the system and digital technology, leading to further exclusion (Shipalana, 2019). The profit nature of corporations can lead to further exclusion through marketing exclusion and withdrawal of services to remote geographical areas like rural areas with poor infrastructure (Ozili, 2018). Other challenges might include consumer over-indebtedness through digital credit, data security and confidentiality issues, discrimination via digital credit scoring, and those will literacy issues will be excluded (Pazarbasioglu et al., 2020). 2.1.5 Consequences of poor financial inclusion Poor financial inclusion can lead to financial, social, and economic repercussions. Financially excluded individuals might suffer from over- indebtedness (Gloukoviezoff, 2007; Russell, Maître, & Donnelly, 2011), social exclusion and mental health issues (Hajaj, 2002). Financially excluded individuals have difficulties finding employment, accessing credit, meeting some of the financial commitments that might need services of financial services providers like paying for electricity bills and rentals. They end up resorting to risk and expensive channels like cash payments or accessing credit via informal systems with high interests rates (Kodan & Chhikara, 2013; Smyczek & Matysiewicz, 2014). 15 2.2 Research knowledge gap analysis First, evidence from China includes Huang, Wang, and Wang (2020) investigated the impact of mobile payments on China's financial inclusion. The study used a sample of 15926 household observations, and their findings suggest that the use of mobile money payments systems improves risk- sharing among the consumers, increases small and medium business or entrepreneurship opportunities, and has a positive impact on financial inclusion (Huang, Wang, & Wang, 2020). Second, in terms of evidence from India, Nandhi (2012) conducted a study to explore how mobile banking affects the savings behaviour of low-income consumers in Dehli, India. The study revealed four key findings. First mobile banking helped the customers to save compared to the traditional way of keeping their money in cash. Second, customers found saving through mobile banking to be effective, simple, secure, and trustworthy and dependency on risky saving methods reduced drastically among the customers. Third, customers found mobile banking to be a viable substitute to traditional banking and informal ways of savings. Fourth, customers were now using mobile banking in conjunction with the other saving practices (Nandhi, 2012). These results agree with Kozma (2016) analysing mobile money's impact on financial inclusion in Sub-Saharan Africa (Kozma, 2016). Suri and Jack (2011) also found similar results that mobile money is not a competitor but a complimentary service for making savings for M-PESA customers in Kenya (Jack & Suri, 2011). Third, evidence from Africa excluding the SADC region include Wakaba and Wepukhulu (2019), who conducted a study to find the effect of mobile money on Kenya's financial inclusion. The quantitative research study used secondary data between 2013 and 2018 collected from a sample of 4 telecoms companies in Kenya. The study showed a positive and significant relationship between Kenya's financial inclusion and the use of mobile money for deposits, savings, payment of bills and agency banking (Wakaba & Wepukhulu, 2019). Findings from this study concurred with studies like Vong, Fang and Insu 16 (2012) on mobile deposits, who noted that the high number of mobile deposits indicates financial inclusion (Vong, Fang, & Insu, 2012). Furthermore, Ouma, Odongo and Were (2017), on the issue of savings, noted that when unbanked and underserved have access to mobile savings service, it increases financial inclusion (Ouma, Odongo, & Were 2017). In addition, Kya, Rugemintwari and Sauviat (2017) showed that mobile money encouraged a saving culture among the low-income groups (Kya, Rugemintwari, & Sauviat, 2017). Fourth, evidence from the SADC region excluding South Africa. Mutsonziwa and Maposa (2016) investigated mobile money in a developing country using Zimbabwe as a case study. The study used credible and reliable Finscope national survey data collected in Zimbabwe in 2011 and 2014, with a sample size of 4000 adults each year. The study found that mobile money was popular among the adult population, with more than 45% using it, over 65% saying it's convenient, and 36% saying it's affordable (Mutsonziwa & Maposa, 2016). Mago and Chitokwindo (2014) conducted a qualitative research study in Zimbabwe to investigate the impact of mobile banking on financial inclusion in the country. Using data collected through a descriptive survey from four districts in Masvingo province, the study used a sample size of 270 respondents. The results showed that low-income households previously excluded from the financial system have accepted and adopted mobile banking because they find it easily accessible, convenient, cheaper, easy to use and secure to send and receive money (Mago & Chitokwindo, 2014). Fifth, in South Africa, Kinsman (2019) examined the underbanked consumers' perceptions and intentions on card-less banking in Nelson Mandela Metropolitan. The quantitative research study used a sample of 175 respondents of underbanked consumers in the province who reside in townships. The results revealed if card-less banking is simpler to use and less complex, more unbanked consumers would be willing to adopt it. These results show that underbanked consumers can embrace technology for their day to day transactions as long as it's easily accessible, cheaper, simpler and convenient to them (Kinsman, 2019). 17 2.2.1 Existing knowledge gaps The studies discussed above all agree that mobile money has a positive impact on financial inclusion. However, there is a gap in the literature, especially for research studies that looked at other technologies other than mobile money for financial inclusion like fintech in the South African context. For example, Dragoş (2017) looked at how blockchain technology impacts financial inclusion in the United States. Danho (2019) investigated the perceived usefulness of blockchain technology on mobile money services in Sub-Saharan Africa. Yermack (2018) looked at fintech products that have succeeded and failed in Africa. However, literature on the impact of fintech on financial inclusion in South Africa is very scarce. Studies that have attempted to investigate the effect of technology on financial inclusion in South Africa include Kinsman (2019). He examined the impact of card-less banking on financial inclusion in Nelson Mandela province. Abrahams (2017) reviewed financial inclusion in South Africa looked at technologies that have succeeded in the country. This research study intends to narrow this gap by investigating the perceived impact of fintech on financial inclusion in the context of South Africa. 2.3 Framework for interpreting research findings This section looks at the theories and models for interpreting the research findings. Theories and models play a critical role in research as they provide frameworks for designing and interpreting the results in research studies (Kim & Crowston, 2011). 2.3.1 Technology acceptance model - TAM Davis (1989) developed the technology acceptance model, influenced by reasoned action theory and reasoned behaviour theory (Kim & Crowston, 2011). TAM is used to forecast how an organisation will adopt new technology (Aiolfi & Bellini, 2019). In addition, Davis (1989) added two new constructs, “perceived usefulness and perceived ease of use” (p.320). Davis (1989) defined the two constructs as follows: 18 • Perceived usefulness – “the degree to which a person believes that using a particular system would enhance his or her job performance” (Davis, 1989, p. 320) • Perceived ease of use – “the degree to which a person believes that using a particular system would be free of effort” (Davis, 1989, p. 320) Davis (1989) claimed if a user believed the system was beneficial to their performance at work and easier to use, they are more likely to adopt and accept it. Figure 2.1 depicts the technology acceptance model. Figure 2.1: Technology acceptance model Source: (Davis & Venkatesh, 1996, p. 20) The technology acceptance model has utilised in several studies. It was first used at IBM in Canada to test the adoption of email service, and a file editor and the findings on perceived usefulness validated the model (Sharma & Mishra, 2014). In addition, King and He (2006) found it to be a “valid and robust” model that can be beneficial in many areas (King & He, 2006). However, many researchers have criticised the technology acceptance model for being constantly modified, and it's not easy to understand which version is acceptable considering the fast-changing technology environment (Benbasat & Barki, 2007; Otieno, Liyala, Odongo, & Abeka, 2016). It has also been criticised for being suited to be used only in an organisational setting and not in other everyday settings (Lule, Omwansa, & Waema, 2012; Venkatesh & Davis, 2000). 19 2.3.2 Technology acceptance model 2 – TAM2 Technology acceptance model 2 (TAM2) is an extension of the original technology acceptance model. According to Venkatesh and Davis (2000), “TAM2 incorporates additional theoretical constructs spanning social influence processes (subjective norm, voluntariness, and image) and cognitive instrumental processes (job relevance, output quality, result demonstrability, and perceived ease of use)” (Venkatesh & Davis, 2000, p. 187). Figure 2.2 depicts the technology acceptance model 2. Figure 2.2: Technology acceptance model 2 Source: (Venkatesh & Davis, 2000, p. 188). When consumers perceive advantages and serviceability when using fintech, they are more likely to adopt and use these products and services. Additionally, when fintech products and services are easier to understand and use, consumers will be more inclined to adopt and use these products and services. The technology acceptance models - TAM and TAM2 will help this study make sense of the observations and results. The constructs “perceived usefulness” and “perceived ease of use” will help us understand how they influence “behavioural intention” to adopt and use fintech products and services. The 20 model will be used to hypothesise the correlation or linear relationship between the dependant and independent variables (Pigott, 2017). 2.3.3 Diffusion of innovation theory Rogers (1995) defined diffusion as the process of communicating an innovation over a certain period among the population, where innovation can be an idea or behaviour the people perceive as new. The theory focuses on reinventing the product or idea to meet the people's needs than persuading the people to adopt the change (Robinson, 2009). According to Rogers (1995), the adoption rate is the speed of adoption or the number of people who adopt the innovation over a specified period. The following variables determine the rate of adoption: • Relative advantage – the degree to which the new idea, technology or behaviour is perceived as better than its predecessor by the audience regarding its performance, convenience, cost, or risk. The audience should view it as advantageous (Rogers, 1995). • Compatibility – The degree to which the new idea or innovation is consistent with the current norms, previous experiences, and the audience's needs (Rogers, 1995). • Complexity – The level of difficulty to use or understand the innovation (Rogers, 1995). • Trialability – the extent to which the new idea or innovation can be experimented with (Rogers, 1995). • Observability – the extent to which the audience can see the new idea or innovation (Rogers, 1995). “Innovations that are perceived by individuals as having a greater relative advantage, compatibility, trialability, observability, and less complexity will be adopted more rapidly than other innovations” (Rogers, 2002, p. 990). Figure 2.3 depicts the diffusion of innovation theory. 21 Figure 2.3: Diffusion of innovation theory Source: (Rogers, 1995, p. 207). The diffusion of innovation constructs “relative advantage, compatibility, trialability and observability” will help understand how they influence users’ perceptions to adopt and use fintech products and services. 2.3.4 Integrated TAM and TPB with “perceived risk and perceived benefit.” The model was developed by Lee (2009) after integrating the technology acceptance model and the theory of planned behaviour with the perceived risk theory in a mobile banking adoption study. The perceived risk theory is always used to explain consumer behaviour. Perceived risk has the following dimensions: • Performance risk – the potential loss due to the product not working as designed or advertised, hence failing to deliver the promised benefits (Lee, 2009). • Social risk – potential loss or diminished social standing results from adopting the product or service (Lee, 2009). • Financial risk – potential money lost after buying the product or transactional errors (Lee, 2009). 22 • Security risk – potential loss due to security breach on the system, fraud or hacking leading to loss of personal information (Lee, 2009). • Convenience/time risk – potential time lost learning or using the system only for the product failing to perform as expected (Lee, 2009). • Physical risk – potential harm resulting from purchasing the product. Perceived benefit – According to Lee (2009), the perceived benefits can be direct or indirect advantages. Direct advantages are tangible benefits that users get from using the system like improved performance, increased security, lower transaction fees, automation of tasks etc. Indirect advantages are the benefits that are intangible and not easy to measure, like convenience (Lee, 2009). Figure 2.4 depicts the integrated TAM and TPB model. Figure 2.4: Integrated TAM and TPB model with perceived risk and benefit Source: (Lee, 2009, p. 133) Studies that have utilised the perceived risk construct in technology adoption studies include (Masinge, 2010; Tan & Teo, 2000; Wu & Wang, 2005). 2.3.5 Integrated TAM2 with perceived cost, perceived risk, and trust Masinge (2010) proposed a new model that used original TAM2 constructs of perceived usefulness and perceived ease of use, combined with the five 23 characteristics of perceived risk, and added two more constructs, perceived cost, and trust. Figure 2.5 depicts the integrated model. Figure 2.5: Integrated TAM2 with perceived cost, perceived risk, and trust Source: (Masinge, 2010, p. 27) Perceived cost – defined as the degree to which a user believes using a system will cost them money, including fees, transaction costs, mobile data costs, and device costs (Masinge, 2010). The more consumers understand the perceived benefits and risks associated with the use of fintech products and services, the more likely they are to make an informed decision to adopt and use them. Furthermore, when the perceived benefits and perceived costs outweigh the perceived risks, they will be more inclined to use and adopt fintech products and services. The constructs perceived risk, perceived benefit, perceived cost discussed in the integrated model above in Section 2.3.4 and Section 2.3.5 would help us understand how they influence users' behavioural intention to adopt and use fintech products and services. 24 2.4 Conclusion A literature review was presented in this chapter which examined three general objectives for understanding the research problem, identifying the knowledge gap, and developing an interpretation framework for the research results and findings. The literature has shown that barriers to financial inclusion vary from region to region, and these barriers can be complex and interrelated (Abrahams, 2017). Lack of money, geographical distance to the nearest bank branch, lack of proper documentation, high transaction and transport costs, and lack of trust in the financial systems are some of the barriers to financial inclusion (Allen, Demirguc-Kunt, Klapper, & Peria, 2012; Zulfiqar, Chaudhary, & Aslam, 2016). According to literature, leveraging financial technologies in the areas of payments, remittances, lending, insurance, wealth management, etc. can be helpful for financial inclusion and reduce the barriers to financial inclusion (Bimha, 2015). Despite the opportunities, financial technologies come with risks and challenges for both consumers and service providers, such as data governance and privacy protection, cybersecurity, fraud, etc. (Pazarbasioglu et al., 2020). Research studies on financial technology and financial inclusion are important as they can provide strategy recommendations and policies that will help improve financial inclusion in the country for the government, financial institutions, and other organizations. Literature also indicates that not many studies have been conducted on fintech and financial inclusion in South Africa, and those that have been conducted have mainly dealt with mobile banking and mobile money. Literature on the technology acceptance model (TAM) has demonstrated that perceived usefulness and perceived ease of use are the two main constructs that determine intentions to adopt and use technology. TAM has been further extended by authors by adding other constructs such as perceived risk, perceived benefit, and trust. The constructs are important to help us 25 understand how they influence users' behavioural intentions to adopt and use technology. 26 3. RESEARCH STRATEGY, DESIGN, PROCEDURE AND METHODS Chapter 2 reviewed the literature and presented frameworks used to interpret and discuss the research questions results and findings. The three research questions posed in Section 1.2.3 are: 'Does fintech adoption and usage influence financial inclusion?', 'Does fintech influence barriers to financial inclusion?', and 'Does awareness of benefits and risks associated with fintech influence adoption and usage?'. Chapter 3 discusses the research strategy in Section 3.1; research design in Section 3.2; research procedure and methods in Section 3.3; research strengthens – reliability and validity in Section 3.4 and research weakness – administrative and technical limitations in Section 3.5. 3.1 Research strategy Research strategy or research paradigm or research approach is the general orientation, method, or plan to conduct research (Bryman, 2012). It involves breaking down the problem into sub-problems and evaluating each sub- problem against the data (Neuman, 2014). Research strategies can be qualitative, quantitative, or mixed methods (Bryman, 2012). Looking at the research questions, literature review, framework for interpreting research findings and strategies used in similar research studies, this study will utilise a quantitative research strategy. Quantitative research strategy emphasises quantification or numerical data collection and analysis (Bryman, 2012), and it's “characterised by deductive approaches to the research process aimed at proving, disproving, or lending credence to existing theories” (Leavy, 2017, p. 9). Wakaba and Wepukhulu (2019) in Kenya and Kinsman (2019) in South Africa applied a quantitative research strategy. Using a quantitative research strategy has several benefits. First, quantitative data analysis saves time because the study can use software like SPSS (Eyisi, 2016). Second, scientific methods to collect and analyse data generalise the results possible (Queirós, Faria, & Almeida, 2017). Third, the researcher can perform correlation, 27 regression, multivariate analysis and other statistical tests on the data. (Queirós et al., 2017). Fourth, hypothesis testing means the researcher does not need to make intelligent decisions or guesswork because of clear guidelines and set objectives (Eyisi, 2016). Lastly, surveys for data collection in quantitative research studies eliminate researcher bias and subjectivity (Queirós et al., 2017). Using a quantitative research strategy in this study simplified data collection, processing, interpreting, analysis, and it was cost-effective. 3.2 Research Design Research designs provide a foundation, structure, or framework for collecting, interpreting, and analysing data (Bryman, 2012). They are procedures of inquiry found in qualitative, quantitative and mixed methods strategies that guide a research study (Creswell & Creswell, 2018). These five types of research designs are: “experimental design, cross-sectional or survey design, longitudinal design, case study design and comparative design” (Bryman, 2012, p. 50). This study utilised a cross-sectional or survey design. The cross-sectional research design involves collecting quantitative data from more than one case to establish variation among the variables. The researcher can also collect data at a single point in time (Bryman, 2012). Abor, Amidu and Issahaku (2018) also used a cross-sectional design. The benefits of using a cross-sectional design are that the researcher can collect data from different places quickly (Johnson & Christensen, 2014). It is simple, cheaper, and the researcher can use collected data for other research types (Neuman, 2014). Using a cross-sectional design enables the researcher to examine relationships between variables, and the researcher can use it for descriptive analysis (Bryman, 2012). 28 3.3 Research procedure and methods 3.3.1 Research data and information collection instrument(s) Data collection is one of the most critical components of a research project. A researcher needs to decide when choosing the data collection instruments and the type of data collected. Data can be managed using different data collection instruments like a structured interview schedule or self-completion questionnaire and observation schedule (Bryman, 2012). This study utilised a fully structured interview schedule or self-completion questionnaire, which was sent online to all respondents to complete independently. According to Johnson and Christensen (2014), in a self- completion questionnaire, no interviewer is involved; the participants must read and answer the questions alone. Therefore, the questionnaire should have more closed questions and few open-ended questions, questions should be easy to follow and answer, and the questions should be short and precise to avoid boring the respondent. Kinsman (2019) in South Africa used a self-completion questionnaire in a related study. A self-completion questionnaire has the following benefits. First, a self-completion questionnaire is cheaper and quicker to administer; it can be sent via post or completed online. (Bryman, 2012; Neuman, 2014). Second, using a self-completion questionnaire eliminates interview effects and interviewer variability when asking questions because no interviewer is present when respondents complete the questionnaire (Bryman, 2012). Lastly, respondents can complete the questionnaire during their own free time at their speed, bringing many conveniences (Bryman, 2012; Neuman, 2014). 3.3.2 Research target population and selection of respondents 3.3.2.1 Target population A target population is a large group or set of all elements which the researcher wants to learn about or generalise for his / her sample (Johnson & Christensen, 2014). Neuman (2014) described it as “the concretely specified large group of many cases from which a researcher draws a sample, and to which results 29 from the sample are generalised” (p.252). The target population for this study were adults above the age of 18 who reside in South Africa with an electronic device that can access the internet. 3.3.2.2 Sampling or selection of respondents from the target population A sample is a subset or segment of the population that the researcher will select for the study (Bryman, 2012). Neuman (2014) described a sample as a subset or part of cases selected from a large pool by the researcher, and it is generalised to the population. Probability and non-probability sampling are two of the most popular research studies sampling techniques (Bryman, 2012). Due to time constraints, a non-probability sampling technique was used in this research study. The researcher used the convenience sampling method because of its simplicity and accessibility to the sample. Convenience sampling means collecting data from participants conveniently available to the researcher to participate in the study (Bryman, 2012). The researcher sent the online questionnaire link to the respondents via different online communication channels like WhatsApp, Telegram, email, LinkedIn, and Facebook. 3.3.3 Ethical considerations when collecting research data. According to Leavy (2017), “ethics involves morality, integrity, fairness, and truthfulness” (p.24). The principles and morals guide our behaviour and help us uphold things we value (Johnson & Christensen, 2014). For this study, the researcher followed the following ethical considerations. The safety and security of the respondents were of paramount importance to ensure no harm to the participants. The researcher sent out an informed consent letter to all respondents, letting them know that their participation was voluntary; they were free to withdraw their participation in the study at any time with no ramifications. The researcher assured respondents of anonymity and that all the information they provided was strictly private and confidential. The 30 data collected was only for academic purposes, and the study results would be made available upon request. All data collected was stored in a password- protected database application. The researcher always kept all information extracted from the database in a password-protected word processor. A full informed consent letter sent to all respondents is attached see Appendix 1.1. 3.3.4 Research data collection procedure Data collection is one of the essential steps for any research, and it involves collecting data from the respondents for analysis to answer the research questions (Bryman, 2012). Data for the research study is collected using online surveys, online self-completion questionnaires, and interviews (Johnson & Christensen, 2014). This study collected data using an online self-completion questionnaire created on the Survey Monkey platform. The researcher shared the online link with the respondents via different online communication channels like WhatsApp, Telegram, email, and social media platforms like LinkedIn. Responses collected from the respondents were only accessible to the researcher who had the username and password to access the Survey Monkey database. The researcher exported raw data from the Survey Monkey database to a password protected excel sheet and prepared it for processing. 3.3.5 Research data processing and analysis 3.3.5.1 Research data processing Once the data is collected, it needs processing for analysis. Data processing involves “editing, coding, classification and tabulation of collected data so that they are amenable to analysis” (Kothari, 2004, p. 122). Data coding involves re-organising raw data systematically for easy analysis with statistical software packages and data cleaning, looking for blank responses and assigning a value to them (Neuman, 2014). Data was collected using an online self-completion questionnaire created on the Survey Monkey platform, and the data was captured and automatically 31 coded through the platform. The researcher could export survey data from the platform in various formats such as excel, pdf, CSV, and SPSS ready format. By default, data exported to SPSS format from the Survey Monkey platform was already assigned with numeric codes for each response, eliminating the need to do manual coding. Most of the survey questions were closed-ended, and the numeric codes posted by Survey Monkey were already sufficient. Only question 9 ('Please indicate which online financial products and services do you use the most?') required coding because it involved entering multiple responses. The researcher performed data cleaning to remove or modify incorrectly captured data, missing values or not correctly formatted. The researcher conducted data cleaning in three steps: • Missing value analysis - In SPSS descriptive statistics, the researcher ran frequency tests to identify variables with missing values; the researcher found no missing values. • Out of the range value analysis – In SPSS descriptive statistics, frequency tests were also run to identity the minimum and maximum values for each variable. There were no out of range values because Survey Monkey assigned the appropriate codes for each response during data collection. • Detecting and removing outliers – In SPSS descriptive statistics, the researcher explored all variables to identify any outliers; there were no outliers in the data collected. 3.3.5.2 Research data analysis Data analysis is “the numerical representation and manipulation of observations for the purpose of describing and explaining the phenomena that those observations reflect” (Babbie, 2010, p. 422). A researcher can use various methods to analyse data in quantitative research like correlation analysis, regression analysis, cluster analysis, content analysis (Babbie, 2010; Johnson & Christensen, 2014). 32 This study analysed data using Statistical Package for Social Sciences (SPSS) Version 27. The researcher used descriptive statistics to describe and summarise the data, which included frequencies and bar graphs. Statistical inference tests done in this study included statistical significance tests, correlation analysis. Data were also analysed using regression analysis. Regression analysis is a set of statistical methods used to explain or estimate the relationship between a single dependent variable based on the value(s) of one or more independent variables (Leavy, 2017). The benefit of using regression analysis is the flexibility to adjust for control variables simultaneously and the ability to determine the impact of one or more independent variables on the dependent variable (Neuman, 2014). The following linear regression models were used to test each hypothesis: Objective 1: To determine if the adoption and usage of fintech can influence financial inclusion. This study considers a multivariate linear model of the form: 𝐹𝐼𝑖 = 𝛼𝑖 + 𝛽𝐹𝑇𝑢𝑠𝑎𝑔𝑒 + 𝛽𝐹𝑇𝑎𝑑𝑜𝑝𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 + 𝜀𝑖 (2) Where: 𝐹𝐼 - shows a financial inclusion variable, measured by the financial access to transactional bank accounts, credit, insurance, and savings by all population segments. 𝐹𝑇𝑢𝑠𝑎𝑔𝑒– shows a fintech variable, measured by the individuals who frequently use technology for their day-to-day transactions than visiting a brick 'n' mortar branch. 𝐹𝑇𝑎𝑑𝑜𝑝𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 -- shows a fintech variable, measured by individuals who have access and have adopted technology for their day-to-day transactions – transactional banking, credit, insurance, and savings. 𝛽 – coefficient of interest that measure the effect of FT_usage or FT_adoption on FI 𝛼 – is the constant parameter 𝜀 – is the error term Objective 2: To determine if fintech influence the barriers to financial inclusion. This study considers a univariate linear model of the form: 33 𝐹𝐼_𝑏𝑎𝑟𝑟𝑖𝑒𝑟𝑠𝑖 = 𝛼𝑖 + 𝛽𝐹𝑇𝑖 + 𝜀𝑖 (1) Where: 𝐹𝐼_𝑏𝑎𝑟𝑟𝑖𝑒𝑟𝑠 - shows a financial inclusion barrier variable, which includes: geographical distance to the nearest branch – respondents who agree or disagree that fintech reduces the distance barrier. Transport costs to the nearest bank branch – respondents who agree or disagree that fintech reduces the transport costs barrier. Transaction costs or fees – respondents who agree or disagree that fintech reduces the transaction costs barrier. Lack of proper documentation – respondents who agree or disagree that fintech lowers the documentation barrier. 𝐹𝑇 – shows a fintech variable, measured by the usage of online financial products and services for transaction accounts, credit, insurance, and savings 𝛽 – coefficient of interest that measure the effect of FT on FI_barriers 𝛼 – is the constant parameter 𝜀 – is the error term Objective 3: To determine if awareness of benefits and risks associated with fintech influence adoption and usage. This study considers a multivariate linear model of the form: 𝐹𝑇𝑎𝑑𝑜𝑝𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 = 𝛼𝑖 + 𝛽𝐵𝑒𝑛𝑒𝑓𝑖𝑡𝑠 𝑎𝑤𝑎𝑟𝑒𝑛𝑒𝑠𝑠𝑖 + 𝛽𝑅𝑖𝑠𝑘 𝑎𝑤𝑎𝑟𝑒𝑛𝑒𝑠𝑠 + 𝜀𝑖 (3a) 𝐹𝑇𝑢𝑠𝑎𝑔𝑒 = 𝛼𝑖 + 𝛽𝐵𝑒𝑛𝑒𝑓𝑖𝑡𝑠 𝑎𝑤𝑎𝑟𝑒𝑛𝑒𝑠𝑠 + 𝛽𝑅𝑖𝑠𝑘 𝑎𝑤𝑎𝑟𝑒𝑛𝑒𝑠𝑠 + 𝜀𝑖 (3b) Where: 𝐹𝑇𝑢𝑠𝑎𝑔𝑒– shows a fintech variable, measured by the individuals who frequently use technology for their day-to-day transactions than visiting a brick 'n' mortar branch. 𝐹𝑇𝑎𝑑𝑜𝑝𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 -- shows a fintech variable, measured by individuals who have access and adopted technology for their day-to-day transactions – transactional banking, credit, insurance, and savings. 𝐵𝑒𝑛𝑒𝑓𝑖𝑡𝑠 𝑎𝑤𝑎𝑟𝑒𝑛𝑒𝑠𝑠 – shows a benefits awareness variable, measured by the individuals who are aware of benefits associated with fintech before adoption or usage. 34 𝑅𝑖𝑠𝑘 𝑎𝑤𝑎𝑟𝑒𝑛𝑒𝑠𝑠 – shows a risk awareness variable, measured by individuals aware of risks associated with fintech before adoption or usage. 𝛽 – coefficient of interest that measure the effect benefits and risk awareness on FTusage and FTadoption 𝛼 – is the constant parameter 𝜀 – is the error term 3.3.5.3 Description of the respondents The respondents to be used for this study were adults above 18 who are resident in South Africa. Since the data collection was through an online survey, the respondents needed to have an electronic device with access to the internet and read and write. The use of an online questionnaire made it possible to reach people in all provinces in South Africa. 3.4 Research strengthens – reliability and validity measures applied. Reliability is “the dependability or consistency of the measure of a variable” (Neuman, 2014, p. 212). If we apply the same technique on the same object several times, we should always get the same result (Babbie, 2010). A measure is reliable when it is always stable over time with no fluctuations. In addition, it should have internal reliability, which means scale or index indicators should remain consistent, and inter-observer consistency - in a case where subjective judgement is involved, all observer decisions need to stay the same (Bryman,2012). Validity is “the issue of whether an indicator (or set of indicators) that is devised to gauge a concept measures that concept” (Bryman,2012, p.171). Its more to do with truthfulness, how close an idea is to actual reality (Neuman, 2014), the integrity of research findings or conclusion (Bryman, 2012). In quantitative research, the researcher can measure validity in four ways which are: - 35 • Measurement validity – a device should measure what it claims to measure, and its results should be consistent; the measure should always reflect the concept it measures (Bryman, 2012). • Internal validity – the research design has no internal errors that might lead to false findings or conclusions (Neuman, 2014). • External validity – degree or how far can we generalise the findings across the population (Bryman, 2012) • Ecological validity – the findings or results can be generalised to the real-world setting (Leavy, 2017). Reliability and validity are essential in research because they help us establish how truthful, credible, and believable our research findings are, increasing our confidence in our results (Neuman, 2014). Face validity was conducted by sending the questionnaire to the supervisor to check for any repeated, confusing, and leading questions. The researcher then performed a pilot survey with a few selected respondents to ensure he had captured all the questions correctly with no errors. The researcher used the feedback from the respondents to ensure the questionnaire was correct before the actual survey. However, the researcher did not include results from this pilot survey in the final study. The researcher also used Cronbach's alpha to test for internal reliability because it's versatile and tested in many situations (Johnson & Christensen, 2014). A Cronbach’s alpha value greater than 0.6 was considered acceptable for internal reliability. 3.5 Research weaknesses – technical and administrative limitations The study faced many challenges; data collection from low-income segments was a challenge as most of these respondents did not have electronic devices with access to the internet. In some cases, some of the respondents did not respond to the request to complete the questionnaire. In addition, since this was an online survey, it was impossible to capture the emotions and behaviour of the respondents, and the reliability of data was dependent on the quality of responses (Choy, 2014). 36 Time constraints for the data collection and presentation of findings and the final report also challenged the researcher to collect data using a non- probability sampling technique - convenience sampling, and 125 respondents participated in the study. 3.6 Conclusion This chapter presented the research strategy, design, procedure and methods. A quantitative research strategy and a cross-sectional or survey design were used to collect data from the participants. Non-probability sampling using the convenience sampling method was used to collect data, where an online questionnaire link was sent to the respondents via different online communication channels like Whatsapp, email, social media platforms etc. Data were processed and analyzed using SPSS. Ethical considerations, research strengths (reliability and validity measures), weaknesses (technical and administrative limitations) have been highlighted. 37 4. PRESENTATION OF RESEARCH RESULTS Chapter 3 presented the research strategy, research design, research procedure and methods, research data and information collection processing and analysis, research strengthens (reliability and validity) and research weaknesses (technical and administrative limitations). This chapter presents the research results by making use of bar graphs and statistical tables. Section 4.1 presents reliability and validity tests. Section 4.2 presents the descriptive statistics for the demographic information. Section 4.3 presents results for the first research question- 'Does fintech adoption and usage influence financial inclusion?'. Section 4.4 presents results for the second research question- 'Does fintech influence barriers to financial inclusion, and Section 4.5 present results for the third research question- 'Does awareness of benefits and risks associated with fintech influence adoption and usage?'. The researcher will use the words “online financial products and services” interchangeably with “fintech” in this study. 4.1 Reliability and Validity The data collection instrument was tested for internal consistency and construct reliability. Cronbach's alpha (α) coefficient test internal consistency. The questionnaire consisted of 18 items related to the research questions and nine demographic questions. The researcher used a 5-point Likert scale ranging from 1-5 (1=Strongly Agree, 2=Agree, 3=Neither agree nor disagree, 4=Disagree, 5=Strongly disagree) to collect responses for the research questions. After running reliability checks, the researcher deleted two items to improve the internal consistency of the data collection instrument. A Cronbach's alpha (α) coefficient greater than 0.6 was considered acceptable. Research questions items tested for internal consistency. The researcher did this to check the consistency of the indicators that make up the scale or index to see scores if the indicators are related (Bryman, 2012). Table 4.1 presents the overall Cronbach's alpha (α) was 0.865, which was acceptable internal consistency. 38 Table 4.1: Reliability statistics Cronbach's Alpha Cronbach's Alpha Based on Standardised Items No. of Items 0,865 0,869 16 The researcher tested sub-scale internal consistency. As presented in Table 4.2, the results indicate the sub-scale Cronbach's alpha (α) - financial inclusion barriers (0.6), fintech usage (0.704), fintech adoption (0.718), and benefits and risk awareness (0.634). Table 4.2: Sub-scale reliability statistics Construct Cronbach's Alpha No. of items retained Financial Inclusion Barriers 0.6 4 Fintech Usage 0.704 5 Fintech adoption 0.718 5 Benefits and risk awareness 0.634 2 Overall Cronbach’s Alpha 0.865 16 Face validity was conducted by sending the questionnaire to the supervisor to check for any repeated, confusing, and leading questions. The researcher then performed a pilot survey with a few selected respondents to ensure he had captured all the questions correctly with no errors. Finally, the researcher used the feedback from the respondents to ensure the questionnaire was correct before the actual survey. However, the analysis and interpretation of the final results did not include results from this pilot survey in the final presentation. 4.2 Descriptive statistics 4.2.1 Response Rate The researcher sent the online survey questionnaire to 200 respondents via different online communication channels like email, social media platforms - 39 WhatsApp, LinkedIn, and Telegram. As a result, 125 responses were completed successfully and were deemed useful for further analysis, which gave a response rate of about 62.5%. 4.2.2 Demographic information The results show that most of the respondents were males (71.2%), and 28.8% of the respondents were females, as presented in Figure 4.1. Figure 4.1: Gender responses Most respondents were Africans (85.6%) regarding race, followed by mixed- race (8%). Indians and whites were 3.2% and 2.4%, respectively, while Asians were the least represented with 0.8% of the total sample, as presented in Figure 4.2. Figure 4.2: Race responses As presented in Figure 4.3, the results show that the age of the respondents ranged from 18-64 years, and the age group, 35-44, had most respondents 0 20 40 60 80 Female Male P e rc e n t Gender 0 20 40 60 80 100 African Asian Colored Indian White P e rc e n t Race 40 (54.3%), followed by 25-34 (24.8%). Age groups 18-24 and 55-64 had the least number of respondents, 1.6% and 0.8%, respectively, of the total sample. Figure 4.3: Age responses The respondents held different academic qualifications. Figure 4.4 presents the descriptive statistics of educational qualifications. Respondents with a master’s degree (37.6%) were the majority, followed by honours degree (23.2%), bachelor's degree (15.2%), diploma (12.8%), matric (6.4%) and, PhD and other qualifications were the least represented by 2.4% each of the total sample. These results were helpful in this study because they provided data regarding the respondents and determine if the sample was representative of the target population when results are generalised. Figure 4.4: Educational qualification responses 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 P e rc e n t Age 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Matric Diploma Bachelors degree Honors degree Masters degree PhD Other P e rc e n t Highest qualification 41 In terms of employment status, as presented in figure 4.5, most of the respondents were employed (80%), while 16.8% were self-employed, unemployed (1.6%), student (0.8%) and other (0.8%). These results were helpful in this study because they showed if employment status played a role in financial access. Figure 4.5: Employment status responses The respondents had to indicate a list of online financial products and services they frequently use on a day-to-day basis. As shown in Figure 4.6, the results show the majority of the respondents use online mobile payments and remittance applications (96.8%), e-wallets applications (48.8%) and price comparisons applications (34.3%). The results also show that blockchain and cryptocurrency applications (14.4%), investment and robotic advising applications (12.8%), budgeting applications (12.8%), other applications (10.4%), insurance technology applications (8%), crowdfunding applications (5.6%). There were no responses for online lending applications. These results are significant because it shows which products are popular among the respondents for their day-to-day transactions. 0 20 40 60 80 100 Student Employed Self-employed Not employed Other P e rc e n t Employment status 42 Figure 4.6: Frequently used fintech products and services 4.3 Effect of fintech adoption and usage on financial inclusion. Section 4.3 presents the results and hypothesis testing for research question 1 – “Does fintech adoption and usage increase financial inclusion”. The research question seeks to understand if the adoption and usage of online financial products and services increase financial inclusion. Sustainable financial inclusion should match the broad adoption of transaction accounts, credit, insurance, and savings products with significant usage, which is sustainable to consumers and service providers (Kessler et al., 2017). 4.3.1 Descriptive statistics As presented in Figure 4.7, the results show that 44% of the respondents strongly agree that they can control and manage their transaction fees or any other additional charges by using online financial products and services. In comparison, 39.2% agree, 12% could neither agree nor disagree, 4% of the respondents disagree, and 0.8% strongly disagree. 0.0% 20.0% 40.0% 60.0% 80.0% 100.0% 120.0% Mobile payments & remmittances… Blockchain and cryptocurrency apps Crowdfunding applications InsurTech Applications Investments and Robotic Advising… Budgeting applications Lending applications E-wallets Price Comparisons applications Other platforms Frequently used products and services 43 Figure 4.7: Flexibility and control of costs As presented in Figure 4.8, the results show that 45.6% of the respondents strongly agree they are quick to adopt new online financial products and services on the market if they perceive them as easy to use and valuable. In comparison, 43.2% agree, 6.4% neither agree nor disagree, 4% of the respondents disagree, and 0.8% strongly disagree. Figure 4.8: Technology adoption As presented in figure 4.9, the results show that the respondents preferred to use online financial products and services for making their payments, savings, budgets, trading than visiting a brick 'n' mortar branch. Of the total sample, 52% of the respondents strongly agree they will transact online, 44% agreed, 3.2% neither agree nor disagree, while 0.8% disagree, no respondents strongly disagreed. 0 10 20 30 40 50 Strongly agree Agree Neither agree nor disagree Disagree Strongly disagree P e rc e n t Flexibility and control of costs 0 10 20 30 40 50 Strongly agree Agree Neither agree nor disagree Disagree Strongly disagree P e rc e n t Technology adoption 44 Figure 4.9: Online financial products and services usage As presented in figure 4.10, the respondents also indicated that they used online financial products and services because it was more convenient and safer than visiting the nearest brick 'n' mortar branch. The results show that 54.4% of the respondents strongly agree, 36% agree, 8.8% neither agree nor disagree, 0.8% disagree, and no respondents strongly disagree. Figure 4.10: Safety and convenience The respondents indicated if the availability of affordable online financial and banking products and services improved their access to financial products and services that meet their day to day needs like payments, savings, credit, and insurance. As presented in figure 4.11, the results indicate that 41.6% strongly agree that online products and services improved their financial access, 55.2% 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Strongly agree Agree Neither agree nor disagree Disagree Strongly disagree P e rc e n t Online financial products and services usage 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Strongly agree Agree Neither agree nor disagree Disagree Strongly disagree P e rc e n t Safetly and convinience 45 agree, 2.4% neither agree nor disagree, 0.8% disagree, and no respondents strongly agree. Figure 4.11: Access to financial products and services As presented in figure 4.12, the respondents indicated if they believed the availability of affordable online financial products and services improved their friends and family's financial access. The results show that 37.6% of the respondents strongly agree that online products and services improved the financial access for their family and friends, 53.6% strongly agree, 7.2% neither agree nor disagree, 1.6% disagree, and no respondents strongly disagree. Figure 4.12: Access to financial products and services - family and friends 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Strongly agree Agree Neither agree nor disagree Disagree Strongly disagree P e rc e n t Access to financial products and services 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Strongly agree Agree Neither agree nor disagree Disagree Strongly disagree P e rc e n t Access to financial products and services - family and friends 46 4.4.1 Statistical hypothesis testing In this section, the researcher ran correlation and regression analysis to check for the relationship between the variables and reject or not reject the null hypothesis. Hypothesis H0 says, “Fintech adoption and usage does not influence financial inclusion”. The dependant variable was financial inclusion, measured as the financial access to transactional bank accounts, credit, insurance, and savings by all population segments. The independent variables were fintech adoption measured as individuals who have adopted online financial products and services for their day-to-day transactions – transactional banking, credit, insurance, and savings. The other independent variable was fintech usage, measured as the individuals who use fintech products and services for their day-to-day transactions than visiting a physical branch. 4.4.1.1 Correlation analysis A Pearson product-moment correlation test determined the relationship between the dependant variable (financial inclusion) and the two independent variables, fintech adoption and fintech usage. Table 4.3 presents the correlations between the variables. The results show that the financial inclusion variable and fintech usage variable have a moderate positive correlation (r=0.438, p<0.001), which is statistically significant, the financial inclusion variable and fintech adoption variable have a moderate positive correlation (r=0.506, p<0.001) which is statistically significant. In addition, the variables fintech usage and fintech adoption also have a moderate positive correlation (r=0.583 p<0.001), which is also statistically significant. Table 4.3: Pearson correlation - fintech usage, adoption, and financial inclusion fintech usage fintech adoption financial inclusion fintech usage 1 - - fintech adoption 0.583** 1 -