Factors influencing entrepreneurial intentions of women in the South African digital ecosystem. Nombulelo Danisa A research report submitted to the Faculty of Commerce, Law and Management, University of the Witwatersrand, in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Management in the field of Digital Business. Johannesburg, 2021 ii ABSTRACT In line with Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), there have been increasing calls in support of female entrepreneurship in Sub Saharan Africa. The entrepreneurial gender disparity against women in South Africa is a cause for concern considering the important role of female entrepreneurs in the economy. Potential female entrepreneurs face challenges and hostile environments that discourage entrepreneurial spirit. However, with the advent of the digital ecosystem, it is hoped that these institutional barriers would be overcome. Thus, an investigation on the influence of institutional factors and the digital environment on entrepreneurial intentions of women is imperative. Utilising the Theory of Planned Behaviour within an institutional embedded perspective, a model for the digital economy was inferred to analyse factors affecting female entrepreneurial intention in the South African digital ecosystem. This quantitative study utilised cross sectional data collected for a final sample of 302 females across South Africa. Results reflected that entrepreneurial intentions of women are positively influenced by favourable perceptions of the cognitive and normative institutional dimensions. However, the regulatory dimension had a positive but insignificant influence with no evidence that the digital environment interacts with the institutional environment to influence entrepreneurial intentions. Therefore, it is recommended that government and policy makers play a leading role in promoting a culture that values female entrepreneurship. This would assist in creating favourable perceptions of the institutional environment and in turn encourage aspiring female entrepreneurs to start their own business. Keywords: female entrepreneurship, entrepreneurial intention, institutional factors, digital ecosystem, South Africa iii DECLARATION I, NOMBULELO DANISA, declare that this research report is my own work except as indicated in the references and acknowledgements. It is submitted in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Management in the field of Digital Business at the University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg. It has not been submitted before for any degree or examination in this or any other university. Name: Nombulelo Danisa Signature: Signed at Johannesburg. On the 5th day of February 2021 iv DEDICATION This thesis is dedicated to my father, the late Justin Danisa, who encouraged me to never stop learning. I hope I continue to make you proud. v ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS I wish to express my gratitude to my Supervisor Dr Jabulile Msimango-Galawe who, with great patience, helped me through the completion of this report. I remain in awe and I am inspired by your knowledge, wisdom, and ability to impart what seemed at first to be impossible, in such a simple manner. I am grateful to everyone I have had the pleasure to exchange ideas with and learn from, my colleagues in the 2019 MMDB Part-time Cohort who were more than eager to help me clarify my idea, especially my colleague Hasheel Govind. He encouraged me when I doubted myself and wanted to give up; his constant motivation helped me complete my thesis. I wish to thank my bosses Doug T Munatsi and Beki Moyo who encouraged me to keep learning and had to suffer some balls dropping in the office because I was not entirely present after sleepless nights of research. Most importantly I wish to thank my family, my loving husband Ishmael who was my sounding board for every idea I had, from choosing my topic and supporting me right to the end, while patiently listening and offering a new perspective when I was at crossroads. My son Darren, whose energy and encouragement kept me going when I did not feel like writing. Thank you both for your love and support through my studies. To the rest of my family who were denied my physical presence at important family gatherings, or whose calls I returned after a month or still have not returned, thank you for your patience. vi TABLE OF CONTENTS ABSTRACT ..................................................................................... ii DECLARATION .............................................................................. iii DEDICATION ................................................................................. iv ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS ................................................................ v LIST OF TABLES ........................................................................... ix LIST OF FIGURES ......................................................................... xi LIST OF ACRONYMS ................................................................... xii CHAPTER 1. INTRODUCTION ...................................................... 1 1.1 PURPOSE OF THE STUDY .................................................................... 1 1.2 CONTEXT OF THE STUDY ..................................................................... 1 1.3 RESEARCH PROBLEM ......................................................................... 4 1.4 RESEARCH OBJECTIVES ...................................................................... 5 1.5 SIGNIFICANCE OF THE STUDY .............................................................. 5 1.6 DELIMITATIONS OF THE STUDY............................................................. 7 1.7 DEFINITION OF TERMS ........................................................................ 7 1.8 ASSUMPTIONS ................................................................................... 8 1.9 REPORT STRUCTURE ......................................................................... 8 CHAPTER 2. LITERATURE REVIEW ......................................... 10 2.1 INTRODUCTION ................................................................................ 10 2.2 BACKGROUND DISCUSSION ............................................................... 10 2.3 THEORY OF PLANNED BEHAVIOUR (TPB) – ENTREPRENEURIAL INTENTIONS (EI) .............................................................................. 11 ATTITUDE TOWARDS BEHAVIOUR ........................................................................... 13 SUBJECTIVE NORM ............................................................................................... 13 PERCEIVED BEHAVIOURAL CONTROL ..................................................................... 14 2.4 INSTITUTIONAL THEORY OF ENTREPRENEURSHIP – INSTITUTIONAL FACTORS ......................................................................................... 14 REGULATIVE DIMENSION ....................................................................................... 15 vii HYPOTHESIS 1 (H1) ............................................................................................. 17 COGNITIVE DIMENSION ......................................................................................... 18 HYPOTHESIS 2 (H2) ............................................................................................. 19 NORMATIVE DIMENSION ........................................................................................ 19 HYPOTHESIS 3 (H3) ............................................................................................. 21 2.5 THE DIGITAL ECOSYSTEM ................................................................. 21 2.5.1 THE DIGITAL ECOSYSTEM, INSTITUTIONS AND ENTREPRENEURSHIP ........................... 23 2.5.2 HYPOTHESIS 4A (H4A) ............................................................................................. 25 2.5.3 HYPOTHESIS 4B (H4B) ............................................................................................. 25 2.5.4 HYPOTHESIS 4C (H4C) ............................................................................................. 25 2.6 CONCLUSION OF LITERATURE REVIEW ............................................... 25 CHAPTER 3. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY .............................. 27 3.1 RESEARCH APPROACH ..................................................................... 27 3.2 RESEARCH DESIGN .......................................................................... 28 3.3 POPULATION AND SAMPLING FRAME ................................................... 28 POPULATION ........................................................................................................ 28 SAMPLE AND SAMPLING METHOD ........................................................................... 29 3.4 THE RESEARCH INSTRUMENT ............................................................ 30 MEASUREMENT OF FOCAL VARIABLES .................................................................... 31 3.5 PROCEDURE FOR DATA COLLECTION .................................................. 33 3.6 VALIDITY AND RELIABILITY ................................................................. 33 3.7 DATA ANALYSIS ................................................................................ 36 MISSING VALUES ANALYSIS ................................................................................... 36 DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS ...................................................................................... 36 CORRELATION ANALYSIS ...................................................................................... 36 REGRESSION ASSUMPTIONS ................................................................................. 37 HIERARCHICAL MULTIPLE LINEAR REGRESSION ....................................................... 39 MODERATION ANALYSIS ........................................................................................ 40 3.8 LIMITATIONS OF THE STUDY ............................................................... 42 3.9 ETHICAL CONSIDERATIONS ................................................................ 42 3.10 CONCLUSION ................................................................................... 42 CHAPTER 4. PRESENTATION OF RESULTS ............................ 44 4.1 SAMPLE CHARACTERISTICS AND DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILES OF RESPONDENTS ................................................................................. 44 4.2 RELIABILITY OF MEASUREMENT SCALE ............................................... 46 ENTREPRENEURIAL INTENTION .............................................................................. 47 REGULATIVE DIMENSION ....................................................................................... 48 COGNITIVE DIMENSION.......................................................................................... 48 NORMATIVE DIMENSION ........................................................................................ 49 DIGITAL ENVIRONMENT ......................................................................................... 50 SUMMARY OF RELIABILITY ANALYSIS ...................................................................... 51 4.3 EXPLORATORY FACTOR ANALYSIS (EFA) .......................................... 51 SUMMARY OF VALIDITY AND RELIABILITY ANALYSIS ................................................. 55 4.4 DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS .................................................................. 55 4.5 CORRELATION ANALYSIS ................................................................... 56 viii 4.6 REGRESSION ANALYSIS .................................................................... 57 REGRESSION ASSUMPTIONS ................................................................................. 57 HIERARCHICAL MULTIPLE LINEAR REGRESSION RESULTS ........................................ 60 MODERATION ANALYSIS ........................................................................................ 64 4.7 RESULTS AND HYPOTHESES .............................................................. 66 4.8 CHAPTER SUMMARY ......................................................................... 67 CHAPTER 5. DISCUSSION OF RESULTS ................................. 70 5.1 INTRODUCTION ................................................................................ 70 5.2 DISCUSSION PERTAINING TO THE HYPOTHESES ................................... 70 REGULATIVE DIMENSION AND EI ............................................................................ 70 COGNITIVE DIMENSION AND EI .............................................................................. 71 NORMATIVE DIMENSION AND EI ............................................................................. 72 DIGITAL ENVIRONMENT AND INSTITUTIONAL DIMENSIONS ON EI ............................... 73 5.3 CONCLUSION ................................................................................... 74 CHAPTER 6. CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATONS ....... 75 6.1 INTRODUCTION ................................................................................ 75 6.2 CONCLUSIONS OF THE STUDY ........................................................... 75 6.3 RECOMMENDATIONS ........................................................................ 76 6.4 SUGGESTIONS FOR FURTHER RESEARCH ........................................... 78 References ................................................................................... 80 APPENDIX A: Research Instrument............................................ 88 APPENDIX B: Consistency Matrix ............................................ 111 APPENDIX C: Ethics Certificate ................................................ 112 APPENDIX D: Additional Results .............................................. 113 ix LIST OF TABLES Table 1: Research Techniques ........................................................................ 30 Table 2: Research Instrument .......................................................................... 31 Table 3: Age ..................................................................................................... 44 Table 4: Ethnic group ....................................................................................... 45 Table 5: Education level ................................................................................... 45 Table 6: Province ............................................................................................. 45 Table 7: Summary of reliability analysis ........................................................... 46 Table 8: Inter-item correlations (Entrepreneurial Intention) .............................. 47 Table 9: Inter-item correlations (Regulative dimension) ................................... 48 Table 10: Inter-item correlations (Cognitive dimension) ................................... 49 Table 11: Inter-item correlations (Normative Dimension) ................................. 49 Table 12: Item total statistics (Digital environment) .......................................... 50 Table 13: Inter-item correlations (Digital environment) ..................................... 50 Table 14: KMO test .......................................................................................... 52 Table 15: Total variance explained .................................................................. 52 Table 16: Pattern matrix ................................................................................... 53 Table 17: Factor correlation matrix ................................................................... 55 Table 18: Descriptive statistics ......................................................................... 56 Table 19: Pearson correlation matrix ............................................................... 57 x Table 20: Correlation matrix ............................................................................. 58 Table 21: Model summary ................................................................................ 61 Table 22: ANOVA ............................................................................................. 62 Table 23: Regression coefficients .................................................................... 63 Table 24: Regression results of regulative dimension with the digital environment as moderator. ................................................................................................... 64 Table 25: Cognitive dimension and EI with digital environment as moderator . 65 Table 26: Normative dimension and EI with moderation .................................. 65 Table 27: Summary of hypotheses ................................................................... 68 xi LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1: Illustration of TBP .............................................................................. 13 Figure 2: Conceptual Model of the Digital Ecosystem ...................................... 22 Figure 3: Research Model ................................................................................ 26 Figure 4: Scree Plot ......................................................................................... 53 Figure 5: Plot of Residuals ............................................................................... 60 Figure 6: Homoscedasticity Test……………………………………………………61 xii LIST OF ACRONYMS CD – Cognitive Dimension DEE - Digital Entrepreneurship Ecosystem DTI - Department of Trade and Industry EFA - Exploratory Factor Analysis EI – Entrepreneurial Intent GEM - Global Entrepreneurship Monitor ITE - Institutional Theory of Entrepreneurship ND – Normative Dimension RD – Regulative Dimension SDGs- Sustainable Development Goals SPSS - Statistical Package for Social Sciences TPB – Theory of Planned Behaviour 1 CHAPTER 1. INTRODUCTION 1.1 Purpose of the study The purpose of this quantitative method of study is to investigate factors that ignite female entrepreneurial intentions in the South African digital ecosystem. This report focuses on institutional factors, and how these influence the formation of entrepreneurial intentions among females in the digital environmental context. 1.2 Context of the study Globally, there has been an increase in the number of women venturing into entrepreneurship (Meyer & Mostert, 2016). There has been a general acceptance among policy makers that entrepreneurship can potentially help women achieve their dreams and overcome barriers to career development (Hytti, 2010). This does not end with the individual, but extends through to country level, where employment levels and the economy are positively impacted (Okeke-Uzodike, Okeke-Uzodike & Ndinda, 2018). Despite the benefits of female empowerment, South Africa still lags in female entrepreneurship development (Gore & Fal, 2019). The Global Entrepreneurship Monitor (GEM) 2017/2018 report revealed that in South Africa, men account for a greater percentage in early entrepreneurial activity (Herrington & Kew, 2018). The GEM statistics show that for every 10 male entrepreneurs, 7 female entrepreneurs engage in early-stage entrepreneurship. The report further shows a decrease in female opportunity driven entrepreneurship, from 71.6 percent in 2016 to 65.7 percent in 2017, as well as an increase in necessity driven entrepreneurship. This, according to Herrington and Kew (2018) is due to lower education levels, poor business networking, capital constraints, family responsibilities, lack of confidence and cultural and social influences. The Entrepreneurial Dialogues highlights family responsibility as a major factor that contributes to the gender gap in entrepreneurship, as 2 females usually devote more time to family than men, which leads to men obtaining more time to explore business opportunities (Gore & Fal, 2019). It is hoped that with the advent of the digital economy, female entrepreneurs now have an opportunity to overcome entrepreneurial barriers through leveraging digital enablers that enhance ease of doing business (Malik, 2017). South Africa has a diverse range of participants in the digital ecosystem. The environment is characterised by dynamic venture development and improved inclusive entrepreneurial support initiatives, which is a stark contrast from the segregated Apartheid era. However, despite these changes, the South African economy continues to experience low growth rates, with unemployment and inequalities prevalent among the youths (National Treasury, 2020). The Global Entrepreneurship and Development Institute (GEDI) 2017 report ranks South Africa at 65th globally, pointing out that it still lags in technology adoption and digital inclusion. This report recommends that South Africa ramps up its digital inclusion efforts by making digital technologies in the form of broadband, spectrum, and information technology (IT) connectivity accessible and easy to use for the country’s greater population. According to the 2014 United Kingdom (UK) Digital Inclusion Strategy, “helping more people to go online can also help tackle wider social issues, support economic growth and close equality gaps” (GEDI, 2017). The role of female entrepreneurs in economic development should not be overlooked, as research revealed that support for female entrepreneurs is lacking (Mandipaka, 2014). Women in South Africa continue to face credit access barriers, skills development, and educational opportunity exclusions (Gore & Fal, 2019). The lack of digital entrepreneurship training and knowledge sharing, and access to capital and financial skills continues to be a barrier to entrepreneurship for female entrepreneurs. Improvements in awareness and perception of entrepreneurship is important for economic transformation (Swartz, Marks, & Scheepers, 2020). Several formal organisations including university-based initiatives were established to support entrepreneurs. These include the University of Cape 3 Town, University of Pretoria, and Stellenbosch University, where accelerators and incubators are emerging (Swartz et al., 2020). The LaunchLab has graduated several organisations in the areas of agri-tech and food, clean-tech, paid media, edu-tech, fin-tech, and big data. Government initiatives to support female entrepreneurs have also been set up through the Department of Trade and Industry (DTI), such as the Isivande Women’s Fund (IWF), to provide favourable financial solutions to women owned businesses (Mandipaka, 2014). Technology for Women in business (TWIB) is another DTI programme which facilitates access to networks and support for female entrepreneurs in the ICT space. Since TWIB’s introduction, many women have been given the opportunity to leverage technology to expand their business operations (DTI, 2012). Other governmental agencies include Khula Enterprise Finance Limited and Ntsika Enterprise Promotion Agency which are aimed at improving access to loans and equity capital to Small Medium and Micro Enterprises (SMMEs). Ntsika Enterprise Promotion Agency also assists entrepreneurs in entrepreneurial and business training, business networks and information search. Informal support for women entrepreneurs exists in the form of free credit and advice from friends, relatives, and business partners. Of great importance is the role of informal institutions which encompass norms and values of society, attitude towards entrepreneurship and social acceptance. According to the GEM 2018 report, South African entrepreneurial culture is weak, characterised by welfare grant dependency, a hand to mouth me-too business mentality with a high failure rate, thereby entrenching negative perceptions about entrepreneurship (Herrington & Kew, 2018). We live in the digital age and countries, organisations and entrepreneurs who do not embrace the digital ecosystem are likely to lag from a technological standpoint. It is hoped that South African female entrepreneurs will be motivated to leverage the associated benefits that the digital ecosystem presents in order to reduce the gender divide in the entrepreneurial space. 4 The Entrepreneurial Dialogues report also notes that female entrepreneurs in South Africa receive less recognition and they lack both formal and informal entrepreneurial skills (Gore & Fal, 2019). W. Li, Du, and Yin (2017) emphasised the importance of institutional support for females as they are increasingly turning to entrepreneurship as a necessity. Thus, the role of the institutional environment in facilitating the entrepreneurship process can not be overlooked. It is therefore against this backdrop that we should examine the institutional factors that shape female entrepreneurial intentions. 1.3 Research problem The entrepreneurial gender disparity against women in South Africa is a cause for concern considering the important role of female entrepreneurs in the economy in terms of innovation, employment and wealth creation (Meyer & Mostert, 2016). According to the GEM 2017/2018 a significant gender gap exists in the entrepreneurship landscape where women only account for 31 percent of South Africa’s entrepreneurs (Herrington & Kew, 2018). The advent of the digital economy has improved the entrepreneurial ecosystem because of the ease of conducting business (Malik, 2017). However, generally, it is believed that females adopt technology at a lower rate than males (Kamberidou, 2020). As such, women need strong institutional support systems if the gender gap is to be reduced and for the economy to benefit from women’s enhanced involvement. The entrepreneurial space has been male dominated for decades but the gap has been slowly shrinking as women are forced by necessity to be entrepreneurs. Women’s entrepreneurship ambitions have however been hampered by the need to have a husband and/ or a male family member along to sign off any initiatives (Mandipaka, 2014). Female entrepreneurs are subjected to barriers that create hostile environments when compared to their male counter-parts and these challenges include inter alia, discrimination, lack of education and training, lack of exposure to markets, and difficulty in acquiring capital (Matiwane, 2005). Understanding the formation of EIs is key in entrepreneurship development, more especially in emerging economies like South Africa (Urban, 2013a). Literature 5 recognises that the digital environment can ease the burden on females and increase their chances of becoming entrepreneurs (Kamberidou, 2020; Malik, 2017). Shaw and Urban (2011) note that the institutional profile of a country, that is, the regulative, normative, and cognitive dimensions directly and indirectly affect entrepreneurial intentions. However, literature on how the institutional environment of a country interacts with the digital ecosystem in shaping EIs of females remains scarce. As such, it becomes imperative to investigate the influence of the institutional environment on female EIs in the digital ecosystem as this will help in building an enabling environment for aspiring female entrepreneurs to partake in the entrepreneurial ecosystem. 1.4 Research objectives The main objective of this research is to investigate the influence of institutional factors on female entrepreneurial intentions in South Africa as well as the moderating effect of the digital environment on this relationship. The sub-objectives are: 1. To investigate the influence of the regulatory dimension on female entrepreneurial intention. 2. To investigate the influence of the cognitive dimension on female entrepreneurial intention. 3. To investigate the influence of the normative dimension on female entrepreneurial intention. 4. To investigate the moderating effect of the digital environment on the influence of institutional dimensions on female entrepreneurial intention. 1.5 Significance of the study The need to promote and develop entrepreneurship has taken centre stage in many countries especially in South Africa, as governments aim to achieve economic prosperity. This study acknowledges various studies on how entrepreneurial intentions are affected by the institutional factors in different countries’ contexts (Díaz-Casero, Ferreira, Mogollón, & Raposo, 2012; Fatoki, 6 2010). Other studies also compared intentions across the gender divide (Malebana,2015). The contribution of female entrepreneurs to the South African economy was investigated by Mandipaka (2014) whereas Meyer and Mostert (2016) focused on the barriers and success factors of female entrepreneurs enrolled in an entrepreneurial program. Despite the presence of studies on the impact of the institutional environment on EI (Shaw & Urban, 2011; Urban, 2013a), little has been done on analysing female entrepreneurial intentions, which this study intends to focus on, with an added angle of the moderating effect of the digital environment. Therefore, this study makes an important contribution by extending literature on under-researched factors that affect entrepreneurial intentions. The digital age and technological developments are changing business models from traditional to platforms that leverage exponential networks, reducing transaction costs supported by connectivity and mobility. Women stand to benefit from the convenience of working and doing business anytime and anywhere. This aids in work life balance and higher productivity with a resultant contribution to employment and economic development (Kamberidou, 2020). However, for female entrepreneurial intentions to be ignited and developed into successful entrepreneurial sustained activity, strong institutional support will be instrumental. As such, this study hopes to guide and assist future researchers in assessing the combined influence of the digital environment and institutional factors in shaping female entrepreneurial intentions in South Africa. If female entrepreneurship development is regarded as a key driver of inclusive economic growth and development, a better understanding of the role of the institutional environment in influencing women’s entrepreneurial intentions is required. The findings will assist government and policy makers to accurately develop targeted policies, cultivate a socially inclusive environment and knowledge sharing culture for female entrepreneurs to thrive as well as reduce the gender gap. It will also assist the business community to engage better with its female stakeholders from a financial and network support perspective, while the aspiring female entrepreneur will be educated on existing possibilities in the entrepreneurial ecosystem. 7 1.6 Delimitations of the study The scope of this study is limited to: i. The South African context ii. Institutional factors which are: a. Regulative dimension (South Africa’s laws, policies and business support initiatives among others) b. Cognitive dimension (entrepreneurial knowledge, skills, training and education) c. Normative dimension (social norms, values and beliefs regarding female entrepreneurs in South Africa) iii. Female entrepreneurial intentions from an institutional theoretical point of view that is limited to the above dimensions. iv. Females across South Africa with a tertiary education. 1.7 Definition of terms i. Digital ecosystem- is an environment where there is wide use of digital facilities such as software, applications, mobile phones, digital banking facilities (J. Li, Westbrook, Callen & Georgiou, 2012). ii. Entrepreneurship- is the ability to realise and act on opportunities in one’s environment to produce and convert dreams into projects that facilitate living (Bozkurt, 2000). iii. Entrepreneurial Intention (EI)- is the willingness to start a business or become self- employed (Nguyen, 2018). iv. Institutions- “Rules of the game” of a society (North, 1990). Also referred to as institutional environment and used interchangeably in this report. v. Institutional dimensions- Kostova (1997) defines an institutional dimension or profile as “a set of all relevant institutions that have been established overtime, operate in that country and get transmitted into organisations by individuals”. These are made up of the regulatory, cognitive, and normative dimension. o Regulatory dimension- involves aspects like government rules, regulations, and policies that support businesses, as well as 8 facilitating entrepreneurship effort (Busenitz, Gomez, & Spencer, 2000). o Cognitive dimension- consists of the knowledge and skills of individuals regarding business start-ups (Farashah, 2015) o Normative dimension- it measures the degree to which entrepreneurship is valued by society (Busenitz et al., 2000) 1.8 Assumptions In order to complete this research, the following assumptions were raised: i. The respondents have enough knowledge about entrepreneurship and their responses are truthful and representative of their intentions. ii. The respondents have some knowledge of and the workings of the digital environment. 1.9 Report Structure The rest of this report is organised as follows: Chapter 2: This is the literature review in which the key terms and concepts pertaining to the study are elaborated. The key terms for this study are entrepreneurship, institutions, institutional dimensions, entrepreneurial intension and digital ecosystem. At the end of the literature review hypotheses are stated as possible solutions to the research objectives posed in Chapter 1. Chapter 3: This division of the report is about the methodology of the study, it aims to address the hypotheses that arose from the literature review and that were put forward as possible solutions to the research objectives. In this segment, the research approach, research design, population and sample, research instrument, procedure for data collection as well as procedures for data analysis and interpretation are outlined. Chapter 4: In this chapter, the results of the research methodology outlined in chapter 3 are presented in line with the objectives of the study. 9 Chapter 5: This section discusses and explains the results within the context of the literature reviewed in chapter 2. Thus, in this chapter, a detailed discussion pertaining to the hypotheses is presented and the results are compared and contrasted with the literature. Chapter 6: In this last chapter, the results of the study are integrated into the original research objectives outlined in Chapter 1, and answers to each research objective are provided. Thereafter, policy recommendations are drawn from the conclusions and areas for further research are suggested towards the end of the chapter. 10 CHAPTER 2. LITERATURE REVIEW 2.1 Introduction This chapter focuses on reviewing theoretical and empirical literature on the topic of study. In this chapter, key constructs of the study are discussed, the theoretical foundation of the problem is laid out, and hypotheses are formulated. The chapter begins by defining entrepreneurship and entrepreneurial intention; this is followed by a review of the theory of planned behaviour, the institutional theory of entrepreneurship and the digital ecosystem. The final part of the chapter outlines each objective and hypotheses and the conceptual model is presented. 2.2 Background discussion Entrepreneurship has become increasingly important in the modern world as it plays a crucial role in economic development (North, 1990). It helps resolve economic burdens like unemployment, poverty and low economic growth (Busenitz et al., 2000). Traditionally, it was implicitly believed that most entrepreneurs would be men, this is mainly due to the fact that most businesses in the past were male dominated (Estrin & Mickiewicz, 2009). However, the situation has changed; policy makers and governments across the globe are now paying attention to gender issues in entrepreneurship in line with Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) which aims to achieve gender equality by 2030. As stipulated in the SDG 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, gender equality and women’s empowerment in entrepreneurship is now at the centre of its efforts to speed up progress towards development goals (SDGfund, 2020). The phenomenon of female entrepreneurship is increasing globally, leading to the emergency of a large body of literature analysing aspects such as entrepreneurial intentions, barriers for female entrepreneurial success and the role of institutions in female entrepreneurship (Chinomona & Maziriri, 2015; Estrin & Mickiewicz, 2009; Kamberidou, 2020; Meyer & Mostert, 2016). Women across the world face several barriers preventing them from realizing their full potential (Okeke-Uzodike et al., 2018). Kamberidou (2020) posits that women in 11 entrepreneurship continue to face challenges in terms of financial capital, skills and limited access to business networks and digital devices and access to connectivity. The socio-economic environment of a country shapes the entrepreneurial behaviour of individuals in that particular country (Kostova, 1997). Literature acknowledges that the entrepreneurial ecosystem is largely affected by the external environment of a country (Busenitz et al., 2000; Kostova, 1997), which includes the institutions of a country. The three dimensions of the institutional profile of a country were introduced by Kostova (1997) and the following section discusses the relationship between institutional dimensions and entrepreneurship. In literature, entrepreneurship is defined in different ways. Spencer and Gómez (2004) highlight aspects of risk and uncertainty as key aspects of venture creation whereas Schumpeter and Redvers (1934) identify innovation and ground breaking ideas, new products, and new markets as part of the entrepreneurship process. In the same vein, Eckhardt and Shane (2003) develop the idea further by adding the exploiting, identifying, and evaluating of opportunities to make new products for profit. There are also various operational definitions of entrepreneurship in literature including Engle, Schlaegel and Dimitriadi (2009) who see entrepreneurship as the commencement of a business venture. This definition is widely used in entrepreneurship literature especially for emerging economies (Shaw & Urban, 2011). This study therefore follows the Engle et al. (2009) definition, thus regarding entrepreneurship as the formation of a new business venture by females in South Africa. 2.3 Theory of Planned Behaviour (TPB) – Entrepreneurial Intentions (EI) Successful entrepreneurship is regarded as an offshoot of entrepreneurial intent (Naushad, Faridi & Malik, 2018). Entrepreneurial intention is regarded as a state of mind that seeks to create new ventures and develop new business concepts 12 (Bird, 1988). Davidsson (1995) points out that the decision to start a business is planned over time and is preceded by intention. Intention however may not lead to action, implying that it may be an imperfect predictor of entrepreneurial activity. The definition of entrepreneurial intention used in this study is given by Engle et al. (2009) and Nguyen (2018) who define it as an individuals’ openness to venture into self-employment. This is in line with the view adopted in this report and coincides with the definition of entrepreneurship adopted. Several different measures of entrepreneurial intention categorised into short- and long-term intentions were suggested in literature (Reitan, 1996). Short term intentions are measured by the likelihood of engaging in new business in two years, whereas long term intentions are longer (Reitan, 1996). This study, however, adopts GEM’s definition of entrepreneurial intention, regarding it as the latent, non-entrepreneur population aged between 18- 64, who aspire to engage in entrepreneurial activity within the next three years (Herrington & Kew, 2018). The study of EIs is generally built from the TPB by Ajzen (1991) which is considered a benchmark model for studying intention across populations of different characteristics (Bird, 1988) . A person’s intention to perform an action is a central factor in this theory (Ajzen, 1991). Intention is influenced by attitude towards behaviour, perceived behavioural control and the subjective norm (Autio, Keeley, Klofsten, Parker & Hay, 2001). The theoretical model is depicted in Figure 1 and discussed in detail thereafter. 13 Figure 1: Illustration of TBP (Ajzen, 1991) Attitude towards behaviour This element considers the extent to which an individual favours or dislikes the behaviour in question. Thus, to decide on a course of action, an individual will consider all the available information and the consequences which influence their behaviour. Positive outcomes emanating from behaviour will lead to performance of action. Subjective Norm Subjective norms refer to perceptions and opinions of others, in society, regarding the proposed behaviour. This in turn has an influence on whether the behaviour will be executed or not (Farashah, 2015). 14 Perceived behavioural Control Perceived performance capability may hinder or encourage behaviour depending on available resources whether these are skill-related, physical or financial. Normally, people pursue behaviours they believe they will be able to execute in the case of extenuating circumstances. Several studies have applied the TPB in studying entrepreneurial intention. Liñán and Chen (2009) and Sivarajah and Achchuthan (2013) went further to test a model adapted from the TPB and concluded that the model was adequate for studying entrepreneurial behaviour across all nations. This was supported by Nabi, Linan, Iakovleva, Kolvereid, and Stephan (2011) who concluded that the theory can be applied in countries of all income levels, arguing that it is reliable and consistent. This report, however, does not intend to test the validity of this theory but rather use it as a conceptual model which encompasses the three predictors of intention from the theory. It embeds them into an institutional framework in the analysis of female entrepreneurial intentions in South Africa. 2.4 Institutional theory of entrepreneurship – Institutional factors The theoretical basis of this study attempts to explain the link between the institutional environment and entrepreneurship. Institutional theory is of considerable importance when it comes to studying entrepreneurship (Kazumi & Kawai, 2017). Applying institutional theory to entrepreneurship has become increasingly important because entrepreneurship is an economic behaviour embedded in the institutional framework of a country (Baumol, 1990). Institutions are viewed as “rules of the game” that shape the course of an individual’s behaviour or beliefs. These institutions have been broadly categorized into formal and informal institutions (North, 1990). Formal institutions consist of government policy and regulatory guides that shape entrepreneurial behaviour (North, 1990). Government policies and regulations have direct and indirect impacts on business activity, for example, high level taxes may deter investment. High compliance costs and bureaucracy in obtaining 15 business licences may also act as a barrier to entrepreneurship. Informal institutions, on the other hand, consist of the normative and cognitive dimension norms, traditions, customs, value systems and religions, and knowledge that govern human interaction (Scott, 1995). The way society values entrepreneurship and society’s knowledge and skills have a direct influence on entrepreneurial behaviour. The GEM 2017/2018 report acknowledges that entrepreneurial intentions in South Africa are adversely influenced by institutional factors such as red tape, labour regulations, corruption, lack of education among others (Herrington & Kew, 2018). When applying institutional theory to entrepreneurial intentions, Spencer and Gómez (2004), Engle et al. (2009) and Shahid, Imran and Shehryar (2018) introduced the three institutional dimensions that govern human behaviour, which are the normative, regulative and cognitive dimensions. Prior studies have examined the link between a country’s institutional framework and entrepreneurial intention in general. Institutional factors like lack of belief in oneself, inexperience, poor education, financial constraints, and poor business networks have been found to inhibit aspiring entrepreneurs from starting their own business ventures (Herrington & Kew, 2018; Urban, 2008). There are previous empirical studies that have attempted to establish the influence of institutional factors on female entrepreneurship (Kazumi & Kawai, 2017), concluding that informal institutional support for women has a positive impact on entrepreneurial self-efficacy in Japan. Yousafzai, Saeed and Muffatto (2015) found that the regulatory institutional dimension has a positive influence on women entrepreneurship. This study differs in that it applies institutional theory on entrepreneurial intentions of females in the digital ecosystem. The three dimensions of institutions are analysed in detail below. Regulative dimension The regulative institutional dimension is made up of government rules, regulations and policies that incentivise, constrain and regularize human behaviour (Spencer & Gómez, 2004). Government has at its disposal various tools that it can use to regulate business activity in a country. These tools include 16 aspects of the macroeconomic policy environment such as tax policy, labour laws and businesses legislation enacted through parliament. Taxes levied on businesses have an effect on business start-ups. High taxes may discourage new investments and also strict labour market regulations discourage start-ups as entrepreneurs struggle to cope with the costs associated with such regulations. The regulative environment offers physical and emotional incentives that remove the negative perception regarding entrepreneurship (Farashah, 2015). However, in instances where the environment is hostile to particular entrepreneurial activities, entrepreneurship is discouraged due to increased difficulties in obtaining the required business licences and permits (Garcia- Cabrera, Garcia-Soto, & Dias-Furtado, 2018). Government may implement support policies for new businesses, and reduce risks associated with starting a new business by offering tax incentives and financial support in the form of grants and protection of property rights to promote investment. For instance, the Broad Based Black Economic Empowerment (BBBEE) Act 53 of 2003 was enacted to accelerate economic transformation by supporting previously disadvantaged groups (BBBEC, 2017), and in this group, women are top on the list. The regulatory dimension has a strong influence on an individual’s decision to venture into entrepreneurship (Kujinga, 2016). Research has indicated that a favourable regulatory environment has positive implications on the formation and growth of new ventures in South Africa (Bosma, Wennekers, & Amorós, 2011). Countries with strong regulatory institutions usually have higher levels of entrepreneurial intentions (Farashah, 2015). Research has found evidence that resources offered by government for entrepreneurial support, tax incentives, business development assistance, universities, and export incentives can aid individual entrepreneurial efforts (Herrington & Kew, 2018; Spencer & Gómez, 2004). As such, the regulatory dimension has a strong effect on an individual’s EI (Kujinga, 2016). Despite the various support programs under the regulatory dimension that are offered to women in South Africa under the DTI, the gender gap remains wide, with fewer women expressing entrepreneurial intention (Herrington & Kew, 2018). The GEM and the Entrepreneurial Dialogues reports highlight that accessing 17 finance and government support sponsored start-up capital is not easy in South Africa and many people are not aware that such government support initiatives exist (Herrington & Kew, 2018). Other impediments to female entrepreneurs in South Africa include lack of education training, lack of access to finance, and inadequate resources (Chinomona & Maziriri, 2015). Thus, factors that inhibit entrepreneurship include uncertainty and inconsistencies in government policies and burdensome procedural requirements (Spencer & Gómez, 2004). Bureaucracy, corruption, inadequate subsidies, high tax rates also increase and heighten complexity and risk associated with business creation. (Farashah, 2015). Conclusions were also drawn from different studies in different countries where researchers emphasized that females should be given the necessary help to start a business, pointing out that lack of access to bank funding is hindering their entrepreneurial prospects (Welter & Kolb, 2006). This study is therefore driven by the need to get more female entrepreneurs engaged in the mainstream economy to bridge the entrepreneurial gender divide by leveraging digital tools for the digital ecosystem. As such, the regulative institutional framework of a country should play a vital role in encouraging more women to participate and venture into entrepreneurship. In conclusion, government has a role to play in encouraging entrepreneurship through creation of a supportive regulatory environment, especially targeting women, and fostering entrepreneurship through education and training, financial support, and consistent government policies. A supportive regulatory environment would increase entrepreneurial intentions of women in South Africa. In recognizing the influence of the regulatory dimension in shaping entrepreneurial intentions, this study proposes the following hypothesis: Hypothesis 1 (H1) Favourable perceptions of the regulative dimension have a positive influence on female entrepreneurial intention. 18 Cognitive Dimension The cognitive dimension is made up of aspects such as information, skills and knowledge that individuals have that are used to interpret and evaluate situations and opportunities (Spencer & Gómez, 2004). This dimension describes ideologies and logics that are widely shared and are deep rooted in a social setting (Garcia-Cabrera et al., 2018). Entrepreneurial behaviour is realised as a function of an individual’s underlying cognitions (Urban, 2013b). Busenitz et al. (2000) note that information and knowledge sets have become institutionalised within countries and thus access to knowledge and skills add to one’s confidence and locus of control, thus becoming key determinants of entrepreneurial intention. Knowledge and skills may be acquired from higher level technical training programs or learning from experiences of those already in business (Garcia-Cabrera et al., 2018). Generally, the cognitive dimension also encompasses aspects of self- efficacy and human capital. Self-efficacy refers to one’s perceived ability and capability to execute a behaviour (van der Westhuizen & Goyayi, 2020). Farashah (2015) notes that entrepreneurial self-efficacy, which he defines as an individual’s judgement of his or her ability to successfully start a business, has become an important antecedent to EI. Individuals who perceive themselves as having greater abilities to do better in business are likely to demonstrate greater intention to venture into entrepreneurship (Farashah, 2015). Self-efficacy has also been found to be greatly influenced by availability of information and use of ICT as people are constantly looking for ways of utilizing digital opportunities in venture start-ups (van der Westhuizen & Goyayi, 2020). Empirical research has shown that entrepreneurship promotion programs are a persuasive catalyst through demonstration of possible success and good social and economic benefits (Farashah, 2015). As such policy frameworks under the cognitive dimension may focus on increasing access to information which in turn increases positive perceptions. Education, skills, training and experience were found to influence entrepreneurial intentions in emerging economies (Urban, 19 2013b). Applying a socio-cognitive model of entrepreneurial career, Farashah (2015) found that access to information and personal experience were positively related to entrepreneurial intentions. This study takes a gender sensitive approach in analysing the extent to which the cognitive dimension influences female EI, a line of research that has not received wide attention in South Africa. Dennis Jr (2011) acknowledges the role of institutional support for women, pointing out that offering institutional support packages like training and education empowers women, thus perceiving themselves as capable of starting a business venture. Westhead and Solesvik (2016) found that entrepreneurship education has a positive effect on intention. They further suggested higher levels of connection alertness skills result in a higher intensity of intention for female students. Huarng, Mas-Tur and Yu (2012) point out that the level of education, occupational and sectorial experience, business expertise and managerial skills affect entrepreneurial intention. With a number of studies agreeing that a country’s cognitive environment influences entrepreneurial behaviour (Busenitz et al., 2000; Farashah, 2015; Spencer & Gómez, 2004; Urban, 2013c) in South Africa, most people, especially women (Meyer & Mostert, 2016), lack skills, business knowledge and resources in their ability to start new business ventures (Herrington & Kew, 2018; Urban, 2013a). From the discussion on the cognitive dimension, education, skills and knowledge are regarded as important determinants of individuals’ decision to venture into entrepreneurship. Therefore, this report hypothesises the following: Hypothesis 2 (H2) Favourable perceptions of the cognitive dimension have a positive influence on female entrepreneurial intention. Normative Dimension The normative dimension measures the extent to which residents of a country admire entrepreneurship, innovative thinking and value creativity (Busenitz et al., 2000). Values, norms and cultural beliefs are some of the factors that affect 20 entrepreneurial orientation under the normative dimension. Norms and values encompass social definitions of what is good for society and these have an influence on an individual’s evaluation of entrepreneurial processes (Garcia- Cabrera et al., 2018). Urban (2013c) argues that normative mechanisms are a result of a society’s structure which governs entrepreneurial behaviour. Under this dimension, beliefs and expectations of people influence who will and who will not become an entrepreneur (Krueger, Reilly, & Carsrud, 2000). Cognizant of the influence that the normative dimension may exert on intentions, there have been widespread calls for countries to reorient their values and behaviour towards entrepreneurship (Urban, 2013b). Therefore, this places greater emphasis on the need to promote a culture that values entrepreneurship in a society. A low value perception of entrepreneurship may be the result of associations of entrepreneurship with negative connotations of uncertainty and criminality leading to resistance in some cultures (Baumol, 1990). On the influence of culture, it was found that societal acceptance of entrepreneurship positively influences entrepreneurial activity (Krueger et al., 2000). Consistent with this report, a number of studies have examined the impact of culture, beliefs and norms, indicating that the role of women in the entrepreneurial ecosystem is often not appreciated (Kamberidou, 2020). A country or society that values women entrepreneurship, and supports them from grassroots to fruition, may encourage aspiring female entrepreneurs to initiate entrepreneurial activity. Negative attitudes towards women in business and gender disparities affect willingness of females to be actively involved in entrepreneurship (Vossenberg, 2016). Chinomona and Maziriri (2015) found that gender discrimination and negative perceptions from members of the community and family members discourages women from taking part in business start-ups. As such, there is a strong need for social support of female entrepreneurs so that their contribution is recognised, valued, and accepted in the country. This would invigorate entrepreneurial aspirations in females. 21 In conclusion, the normative dimension concerns issues to do with social norms, principles and ideologies, which are related to human behaviour, which have been found to influence individual intentions to venture into entrepreneurship (Farashah, 2015; Krueger et al., 2000; Westhead & Solesvik, 2016). As such, acknowledging the influence of the normative institutional dimension, the following hypothesis is proposed: Hypothesis 3 (H3) Favourable perceptions of the normative dimension have a positive influence on female entrepreneurial intention. 2.5 The Digital Ecosystem The terms digital environment, economy, or ecosystem, for the purpose of this study are used interchangeably, consisting of organisations, processes and people who are transforming business through engaging digital tools, platforms, models, skills, methodologies and mind sets. Sussan and Acs (2017) integrated the concepts of entrepreneurship and digital ecosystems to develop a model for the digital entrepreneurial ecosystem (DEE). They note that literature has overlooked the role of digital technologies, overlooking how institutions and behaviour of entrepreneurs may change as a result of developments in the digital space. The DEE is made up of digital infrastructure, digital users, digital entrepreneurship and the digital marketplace (Sussan & Acs, 2017). Digital infrastructure is said to include technological components and network systems which links users at local, national as well as at global level. Digital users refer to anyone who has access to digital technologies, whereas digital entrepreneurship involves doing business in the digital space (Sussan & Acs, 2017). 22 Figure 2: Conceptual model of the digital ecosystem (Sussan & Acs, 2017). The DEE is made up of four interrelated pillars which make it sustainable. In the digital ecosystem, users and agents (entrepreneurs) utilize digital infrastructure innovatively and creatively. Outcomes of their work are put in the digital marketplace in the form of e-businesses, e-health and e-government among other digital outcomes (Sussan & Acs, 2017). As such, digital users and institutions converge in the digital ecosystem. Institutions (both formal and informal) enable users to participate in the digital environment by enforcing legal and social contracts (Sussan & Acs, 2017). Entrepreneurs, both active and aspiring, exploit opportunities that come as a result of participation of users in the ecosystem thereby initiating entrepreneurial activity. Therefore, this model of the digital ecosystem is helpful in this report as it sheds light on how players in the digital space interact and how they initiate entrepreneurial activity. 23 2.5.1 The Digital Ecosystem, Institutions and Entrepreneurship The use of digital technologies has changed the entrepreneurial ecosystem through leveraging the internet to execute business processes or launch a new business or create new business platforms to gain market traction and scalability (Giones & Brem, 2017). Digital technologies are considered enablers to entrepreneurial transformation and activity (von Briel, Davidsson & Recker, 2018). The resulting elements take many forms including IT enabled innovations, digital platforms, digital centred products and services and digital infrastructures (Nambisan, 2017). Steininger (2018) found that IT plays a key role in entrepreneurship, pointing out that information systems act as facilitators and mediators of venture creation. IT facilitates flow of business information and operations, making starting a business easier. Dong (2018) argues that digital entrepreneurship has been studied mainly in the contexts of free markets, this left a gap in studying the same in the regulatory environment. According to Dong (2018), digital transformation may enable entrepreneurs to overcome barriers that come from the regulatory environment. Drawing from this argument, this report considers the possibility that the digital ecosystem may influence perceptions of females about the regulative dimension of the institutional profile of a country. Zhang and Li (2017) presented evidence on IT access and entrepreneurship performance in China as well as the interaction effect between IT and social capital. They concluded that access to mobile communication and internet has a positive influence on the performance of entrepreneurs, whereas IT interacts positively with social capital. The digital ecosystem presents an opportunity for gathering information on new products and evaluating different options. Thus, it acts as a source of knowledge for participants, which in turn enhance entrepreneurial operations (Elia, Margherita & Passiante, 2020). The underlying drivers of entrepreneurial intention debates have received wide attention in literature (Autio et al., 2001; Farashah, 2015; Shahid et al., 2018). Again, despite the presence of literature that links the digital ecosystem to 24 entrepreneurship, there is scarcity of studies on entrepreneurial intentions in the digital space. Thus, the role of the digital environment and its influence on entrepreneurial behaviour remains an under-researched area (Albashrawi & Alashoor, 2017; Dutot & Van Horne, 2015). In addition to the institutional factors, this study integrates the theory of planned behaviour and institutional theory with the interaction effect of the digital economy and institutional dimensions on entrepreneurial intentions. By leveraging technology, digital organisations improve the customer journey and in turn achieve customer lifetime value and sustained business. They achieve operational efficiency and reap the rewards of reduced transactional cost benefits of exponential networks (Dahlman, Mealy, & Wermelinger, 2016). The advent of the digital world has seen many businesses marketing their products on digital platforms and also performing all transaction digitally. This has improved businesses convenience and enabled firms to target a wider customer base. This study also recognizes the negative impact of a digital transforming economy in that unemployment levels soar through job losses because of digitalisation and automations as artificial intelligence and machine learning replace mundane activities (Fonseca, 2018). In the same breath, an opportunity for new jobs with new skill sets and more responsibility emerge, for example, in Germany for each job lost, 2.4 new jobs were created (Fonseca, 2018). It is important for women to get involved in transforming digitally earlier on because the wider the digital gap, the more difficult it is to catch up (Moon, Hossain, Kang & Shin, 2012). Research indicates that entrepreneurial success requires a high degree of innovation made possible by digital skills (Kamberidou, 2020). Prior studies acknowledge the digital economy will help women overcome the barriers they face in starting business and becoming successful entrepreneurs through leveraging low transaction costs, access to social networks and work life balance (Malik, 2017). It must be noted however that all these benefits without digital access nor digital training or knowledge transfer may hinder entrepreneurial aspirations. Therefore, a deliberate conscious effort by business, society, and government to improve digital literacy must be a priority. This ties in with the cognitive dimension discussed in the TPB as key drivers for perception, 25 embracing the digital environment to spur rather than scare aspiring female entrepreneurs into entrepreneurs should be the goal (Arbache, 2018). In summary, it can be inferred from literature that the digital ecosystem interacts with institutional factors through access to information, education and skills development, as well as facilitating ease of starting and operating new business ventures. Thus, the digital environment, in particular, moderates the relationship between institutional factors and entrepreneurial intention. With this recognition, the following hypotheses are formulated: 2.5.2 Hypothesis 4a (H4a) Perceptions of the digital environment moderate the influence of the regulative dimension on EI. 2.5.3 Hypothesis 4b (H4b) Perceptions of the digital environment moderate the influence of the cognitive dimension on EI. 2.5.4 Hypothesis 4c (H4c) Perceptions of the digital environment moderate the influence of the normative dimension on EI. 2.6 Conclusion of Literature Review Theoretical and empirical analysis has shown that the institutional environment of a country may influence decisions to venture into entrepreneurship. Literature also acknowledges that the digital environment affects entrepreneurial operations, and in relation to this report, it interacts with the institutional dimensions. As such, the conceptual model as hypothesised in this study is depicted in Figure 2. 26 Figure 3: Research Model. Source: Construction based on the ITE and TPB. H1 H2 H3 Regulative dimension Cognitive dimension Normative dimension Entrepreneurial Intention H Digital Environment H4a H4b H4c 27 CHAPTER 3. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY The empirical model used, research approach and design, sample size and sampling procedure, and definition of variables are presented in this chapter. The data collection procedure as well as validity and reliability of the research design are laid out. The chapter further outlines model estimation procedure, describing how objectives of the study were achieved. 3.1 Research approach This study is a post positivist philosophical oriented deductive quantitative approach, that is scientific and comprises the use of hypotheses and research questions to observe and measure the study objectives (Creswell, 2014). The quantitative research method quantifies and analyses variables using specific statistical techniques (Apuke, 2017). Quantitative research is preferred because it achieves high levels of data reliability due to controlled observations and minimizes subjectivity of judgement (Creswell & Creswell, 2017). It also enables the development of a theoretical framework, presented in a model, in order to conglomerate variables and examine their relationship (Fischer, Boone & Neumann, 2014). This study undertook a deductive approach, which involves verifying theories by testing hypotheses or answering questions that are derived from theory (Creswell, 2014). This type of approach to research allows for objectivity in the analysis and interpretation of data, as well as data generalizability (Creswell, 2014). Therefore, this study addressed the following: a) Who was assessed? – Females across South Africa. b) What was assessed? - Factors affecting entrepreneurial intention (EI) of females and the moderating effect of the digital environment on the impact of the factors. c) How were they assessed? - Structured questionnaire with closed ended questions. 28 3.2 Research design This cross-sectional study was based on a survey, which encompasses the use of scientific sampling methods with a designed questionnaire to measure the population’s characteristics through the utilisation of statistical methods. According to Creswell (2014), a survey is a form of quantitative research that is concerned with sampling, questionnaire, design, and administration for gathering data that enables analysis of behaviour or characteristics of respondents. The survey enabled the collection of demographic data, beliefs, perceptions, attitudes, motivations, and behaviour of respondents. Surveying a part of the population enables the results to be generalised to the whole population (Apuke, 2017). In the field of entrepreneurship, the need for surveys arise from the desire to understand complex economic and social phenomenon and could effectively fill the void that exists due to lack of a formal method of conducting systematic research in design. In addition, intensive studies enable the researcher to obtain detailed and relevant data the researcher did not anticipate finding on the onset. 3.3 Population and sampling frame Population The study population consisted of females across all South African provinces, including tertiary level female students studying in tertiary institutions. In quantitative research, it is important to know the size of the population understudy because such information helps the researcher to determine the appropriate sample size. However, in this study, the researcher was not able to get information about the total number of adult females across the country. Therefore, determination of appropriate sample size was inferred from literature. 29 Sample and sampling method Stratified random sampling was used to select females from different provinces as the respondents may not have homogenous characteristics. This type of sampling is used when the sample to be drawn from the population does not have homogeneous characteristics. It is preferred for its ability to reduce bias and provide a sample that is representative of the population under study (Etikan & Bala, 2017). In order to conduct a clear and effective survey, prior to the research a pilot survey was carried out where 10 females were randomly selected to complete the questionnaire, and necessary alterations were made to incorporate the feedback. Due to the quantitative nature of this study, the appropriate sample size should be selected to enable certain statistical tests to be conducted. Field (2013) points out that large sample sizes are always preferred regardless of the statistical technique employed. A sample size of at least 300 observations is recommended for factor analysis (Field, 2013). Therefore, this study targeted 300 or more responses, and the Kaiser- Meyer-Olkin (KMO) statistic, which ranges from 0 to 1 (with a value closer 1 suggesting that the sample is adequate for conducting factor analysis), was used to test for sampling adequacy in factor analysis (Field, 2009). The following table summarises the population and sample information used in this study. 30 Table 1: Research Techniques Population Females across South Africa Sample 302 females Geographic Area South Africa Design of Sample Stratified Collection Method Online Survey 3.4 The research instrument This study used an online self-administered questionnaire with structured closed ended questions using Qualtrics software. A research tool measuring the institutional environment of a country which was designed by Busenitz et al. (2000) was adopted for use in this study. EI questions were adapted from the EI questionnaire (EIQ) developed by Liñán and Chen (2009) and used by Shaw and Urban (2011) in their study conducted in the South African context. The institutional profile and entrepreneurial intention scales were adapted for the purpose of this research because they have been successfully tested in South Africa. The scale for the digital environment, which is the moderator variable, was developed by the researcher, inferring from literature. Though the digital environment scale was never tested in prior studies, reliability and validity analysis indicated that the scale was reliable and consistent and thus, could be used for hypotheses testing. Control variables included age, province, ethnic group and level of education of the respondents. All the items in the constructs were measured on a 7-point Likert scale, with a score of 1 representing strong disagreement and the highest score of 7 highlighting strongly agreement. There were no reverse coded questions in the questionnaire, hence the Likert scale was not reversed. The regulative dimension, normative dimension, cognitive dimension, and the digital 31 environment each consisted of 4 items per construct. The EI scale consisted of 6 items. The actual research instrument is attached in this document as Annexure B, and the table below summarises the research instrument as well as the sources from which the scales were adapted. Table 2: Research Instrument Items Construct Source 1-4 Control variables (Shaw & Urban, 2011; Urban, 2013a) 5-8 Regulative dimension (Busenitz et al., 2000; Urban, 2013a) 9-12 Cognitive dimension (Busenitz et al., 2000; Urban, 2013a) 13-16 Normative dimension (Busenitz et al., 2000; Urban, 2013a) 17-20 Digital Environment (Caceres-Diaz, Usero- Sanchez, & Montoro- Sanchez, 2019; Dong, 2018; Steininger, 2018; Sussan & Acs, 2017; Zhang & Li, 2017) 21-26 Entrepreneurial Intention (Liñán & Chen, 2009) Measurement of focal variables Dependent variable 32 Entrepreneurial Intention (EI) – The scale for measuring entrepreneurial intention consisted of 6 items adopted from Liñán and Chen (2009). Example questions included items like “My professional goal is becoming an entrepreneur." Independent variables - The influence of perceptions of institutional factors were measured in line with previous studies. The respondents were asked to rate a series of statements pertaining to their perception of the institutional environment on all the three dimensions. Regulatory dimension (RD) - Respondents were asked to note their perceptions on whether the government employs policies and initiatives that motivate and support female entrepreneurship. Cognitive dimension (RD) – Respondents were requested to provide their views on whether knowledge on how to launch or manage a business is vital in determining entrepreneurial intention. They were assessed on their level of knowledge about entrepreneurship or where to find markets for their products. Normative dimension (ND) - Some investigators have used specific individual characteristics, such as achievement, to determine entrepreneurial behaviour. On the other hand, other investigators have hypothesised that individuals who have greater willingness to take risks in cultures, where societal identity is based on achievement, are more entrepreneurial orientated. In this study, however, example questions included ‘female entrepreneurs are admired in this country” (Liñán & Chen, 2009), a question which interrogates support for females in society. Moderator variable Digital environment (DE) – The digital environment may change the way aspiring entrepreneurs perceive the institutional environment which in turn affects their EI (Caceres-Diaz et al., 2019). As such, this variable was expected to moderate the relationship between the institutional environment and EI. The respondents were asked to rate statements such as ‘The advent of the digital environment has made it easier for females to venture into entrepreneurship.’ 33 3.5 Procedure for data collection Primary data was collected from a target group of females in tertiary institutions across South Africa. Data collection began in August 2020 after requesting permission from the Wits University administration. The questionnaire links were sent with an introductory email to the institution, articulating the purpose of the research. After permission was granted, the University sent out the questionnaire to Wits students in the faculties of Law, Commerce, Arts, Health Sciences and Engineering. These links were also distributed via WhatsApp and Facebook networks in order to get a diverse range of respondents, including females that are not in tertiary institutions. The survey was conducted and administered using Qualtrics software which allows for automatic transfer of survey responses to the researcher’s database. For ethical considerations, consent for respondents to participate in the survey was first sought from Wits and from the participants themselves. The questionnaire was made available to the target population, through the institution, and both males and females participated though the targeted sample were females. Further, the researcher made sure that the questionnaire was compatible and easy to understand, and this was tested using a pilot survey of 10 respondents who completed the questionnaire with ease. Online surveys have become widely used in modern day data collection due to their efficiency and effectiveness as compared to direct interviewing of participants (Sue & Ritter, 2012). This study chose online data collection because it was less costly, feasible, less time consuming and could cover a wider geographical space, thus enabling the researcher to reach out to a large number of participants. 3.6 Validity and reliability There are different types of validity which include external, and internal or construct validity (Wetzel, 2011). Cooper and Schindler (2014) recognise that 34 designing a research procedure has its own problems and there are always questions about the validity of the findings. Thus, validity can be viewed as a question of whether a measure accomplishes its claim. The multi-item questionnaire was measured by different constructs for which reliability and validity were tested to minimise error. 3.6.1 External validity Taylor, Wald and Asmundson (2007) explain external validity as the ability to generalize research findings, across populations, settings, and epochs. Cooper and Schindler (2014) note that there are threats to external validity of a measure because the population from which the data is collected may not be the same as the one to which the survey results will be generalised. However, to ensure that the sample was representative and that results of this survey can be generalised, data was collected randomly. Again, the instrumented was previously tested in South Africa and was found to be valid (Shaw & Urban, 2011). 3.6.2 Internal validity Cooper and Schindler (2014) define internal validity as an assessment of whether the instrument employed actually measures what it purports to measure to the extent that results from the research are free from error and inferences can be made from them. Internal validity can be further categorized into convergent and discriminant validity (Salehi, 2012; Wetzel, 2011). Convergent validity maintains that items that are theoretically supposed to measure the same thing should be correlated (Salehi, 2012). On the other hand, discriminant validity maintains that variables that are not supposed to measure the same thing in theory are actually not related, thus they should be unique (Wetzel, 2011). As such, inter-item correlations were used to determine convergent validity whereas the factor correlation matrix was used to ascertain discriminant validity. Inter-item correlations that are greater than 0.3 suggests that items correlate well and they are measuring the same thing (Field, 2018). However, low correlations (<0.3) imply that the constructs are unique and not measuring the same thing. Exploratory factor analysis was used to measure internal validity of the instrument. 35 3.6.3 Exploratory factor analysis To test for construct validity, the study used exploratory factor analysis (EFA), a method that enhances scale reliability by identifying inappropriate items that should be eliminated. This method was used by Yu and Richardson (2015), they argued that it identifies dimensionality of constructs by examining relations between items and factors when the information of the dimensionality is limited. Field (2018) points out that the use of factor analysis arises because scientific research often deals with things that cannot be directly measured that are referred to as latent variables. Latent variables may thus be measured indirectly by a number of items and factor analysis is an attempt to statistically ascertain whether the item measures a single variable or not. Field (2013) identifies three main purposes of exploratory factor analysis; these include understanding the variable structure, designing a questionnaire in order to measure a certain variable and reducing large volumes of data into more manageable formats without losing relevant information about the data. SPSS software was used to conduct the EFA process which involves correlation analysis and selection of an appropriate method of factor extraction and factor rotation. 3.6.4 Reliability analysis Reliability concerns accuracy and precision to the research procedure and the ability of a measure to produce consistent results (Cooper & Schindler, 2014). To ensure research reliability and evidence sequence adherence, a research framework that includes objectives and procedures is key (Yin, 1994). Cronbach’s alpha was used to test for reliability of the scale. It is used in assessing the internal consistency of a survey questionnaire that involves multiple Likert-type items (Cronbach, 1951). If the Cronbach’s alpha is greater than 0.7, the scale is considered reliable. 36 3.7 Data analysis Following a deductive approach to research, data analysis was conducted using IBM Statistical Package for Social Scientists (SPSS) software. Data collected via Qualtrics was cleaned for data integrity and then exported into SPSS software to check for missing values and test for any violations of statistical assumptions and then finally test for validity and reliability of measurement scales. The following sections outline the procedure for data analysis as conducted in this study. Missing values analysis Field (2013) acknowledges that primary data analysis usually faces the problem of missing data and that may arise because of incomplete questionnaires due to reasons unknown by the researcher. An online survey was conducted, and several responses came back incomplete, which led to a missing value analysis being conducted. The steps followed in the missing value analysis process adopted the 10 percent rule by Little and Rubin (1987) who contend that list wise deletion can be performed to all cases that have more than 10 percent missing observation. Thus, in this study, these cases were removed from the data set and in cases where there were less than 10 percent missing observations, the expectation maximisation method was used to replace all missing values and ensure that the whole data set was complete. Other values that were deleted from the analysis were male responses as they fell outside the targeted sample. Descriptive statistics Descriptive statistics were used to summarise sample characteristics and to present demographic data. A key advantage of descriptive statistics is that large amounts of data are simplified and presented in a manageable format (Apuke, 2017). Correlation Analysis The Pearson correlation matrix was constructed to test for linear associations between the dependent variable and independent variables and among 37 explanatory variables themselves. Correlation analysis is important because it enables the researcher to have a rough idea of the underlying relationships between predictor variables and the outcome variable and it is also useful in testing for multicollinearity (Field, 2013). If the absolute value of the pairwise correlation coefficient is below 0.3, then the relationship is considered weak, while correlation coefficients above 0.9 (r>0.9) imply high correlation which suggests a serious problem of multicollinearity (Gujarati, 2004). As such, before carrying out multiple linear regression analysis, it was important to first perform correlation analysis. Regression assumptions Field (2018) notes that it is important to check what certain statistical assumptions hold before interpreting the results to make sure that the findings are reliable for guiding policy and can be used by future researchers. Thus, in this study, the following assumptions were tested before proceeding to estimation: absence of outliers, normality of residuals, homoscedasticity, autocorrelation and no multicollinearity. Outliers Field (2018) describes an outlier as value that is different from the rest of the data set. The presence of outliers in a data set results in estimation bias and inflated standard errors which affect statistical inferences like hypothesis testing and confidence intervals. Outliers can be detected in several ways, chief among them being box and whisker plots, standard deviation rule and the Turkey outlier labelling rule. Box and whisker plots, also referred to as the interquartile (IQR) range rule, were used in this study because of its popularity and availability in SPSS software. In SPSS, the multiplier “k” takes two values: 1.5 (IQR) and 3 (IQR), with k=1.5 signifying “out” values and k=3 representing extreme values. The IQRs will have no labelling if there are no outliers. Linearity 38 The classical multiple linear regression model assumes that the model is correctly specified as a linear function (Gujarati, 2004). The implication of this assumption is that the dependent variable should be linearly related to any independent variables and that the combined effects of predictor variables on the outcome can be found by summing their effects (Field, 2013).Violation of this assumption results in incorrect specification of the model, thus invalidating the whole model (Salvatore & Reagle, 2002).The Pearson correlation matrix was used to test for linearity in this report, whereby statistically significant correlation coefficients confirm that the model is correctly specified as a linear model. Normality of residuals Greene (2003) points out that in linear regression modelling, normality of the shape of distribution is of importance but researchers are normally concerned about normality of residuals. Residuals are assumed to be normally distributed. Violation of this assumption affects standard errors of regression which are used in hypothesis testing and constructing confidence intervals, thus leading to incorrect conclusions about the underlying relationships between variables (Gujarati, 2004). In this study, normality of residuals was visually assessed on SPSS using the normal probability plot (P-P), with values close to the diagonal line implying normal distribution. Homoscedasticity This assumption states that variance of the error term generated from the least squares model should be equal at each level of the predictor variables (Field, 2018). Violation of this assumption results in large standard errors of regression which in turn affect confidence intervals and hypothesis testing (Greene, 2003). The residual plot was used to test for homoscedasticity in this study, and there is equal variance if the scatter plot of residuals falls within the -3 to 3 range (Field, 2013). Autocorrelation 39 Autocorrelation, also known as serial correlation, is a problem that is common in time series data where observations might follow a natural ordering over time (Salvatore & Reagle, 2002). It becomes a problem in cross-sectional data if errors are correlated for any two observations (Field, 2018). The Durbin-Watson (DW) test was used to detect autocorrelation. The DW has critical values that range from 0 to 4, with a value close to 2 suggesting that there is no autocorrelation and a value greater than 3 and less than 1 implying that there is autocorrelation (Greene, 2003). Multicollinearity Multicollinearity measures the degree of linear associations among predictor variables in a model. In this study, the Pearson correlation matrix was used for testing. Multicollinearity is a serious problem in linear regression if the absolute value of the pairwise correlation coefficient is greater than 0.9 (Field, 2018) Using highly correlated independent variables in the same regression model results in indeterminate or invalid parameter estimates (Gujarati, 2004). A possible solution to the problem of multicollinearity is to drop one of the highly correlated variables guided by theory. Hierarchical multiple linear regression Hierarchical multiple linear regression was utilised for hypotheses testing in this study. It is a form of multiple linear regression which involves sequential entering of additional variables into the model with the aim of finding out how explanatory power of the model changes as more predictor variables are added Field (2018). Thus, it is employed to determine whether one or a set of explanatory variables significantly predicts the outcome while controlling for other variables in the model. Hierarchical regression was performed using the SPSS linear regression command, and variables were added in blocks, beginning with control variables and institutional factors were added one after the other to determine the change in explanatory power of the model (Field, 2018). Control variables which were categorical in nature were entered into the regression model as dummy variables 40 after dummy coding. The R-squared measures the percentage of variation of the dependent variable that is explained by the combined variations in independent variables. In hierarchical regression, if the R-squared increases after adding a predictor variable, it suggests that the variable is useful to the model since it improves explanatory power of the model. Since the main objective of this study was to investigate the influence of institutional variables on entrepreneurial intention in the digital environment, modelling linear regression alone would not be sufficient, hence moderation analysis was conducted. Based on the constructs described in section 3.4.1, the following linear regression model was estimated. 𝐸𝐼𝑖 = 𝛼 + 𝜕1𝐴𝑔𝑒𝑖 + 𝜕2𝐸𝑡ℎ𝑛𝑖𝑐𝑖 + 𝜕3𝐸𝑑𝑢𝑖 + 𝜕4𝑃𝑟𝑜𝑣𝑖 + 𝛽1𝑅𝐷𝑖 + 𝛽2𝐶𝐷𝑖 + 𝛽3𝑁𝐷𝑖 + 𝜀𝑖 … … … … … .1, where 𝛼 is the constant term, 𝜕𝑠 are dummy variable coefficients , and control variables (age, ethnic group, education level, province), 𝛽𝑠 are coefficients of independent variables, subscript i represents an individual element of the sample (cross sectional data) and 𝜀𝑖 is the residual term. Moderation analysis Apart from estimating the direct relationship between an outcome variable and a predictor variable, analysis may involve estimating the combined effect of two or more independent variables on the dependent (Field, 2013). This combined effect is called moderation or the interaction effect. A moderator variable stands between, or moderates, the impact of the independent variable on the dependent variable (Creswell, 2014). Thus, the main idea behind moderation analysis is to find out how the relationship between the outcome and predictor variable changes as a result of another variable. In this study, the digital environment enters the model as the moderator variable and the variable was multiplied by each institutional dimension to compute the interaction terms. To analyse the moderation effect of the digital environment on the factors affecting EI, three steps were followed: 41 1. The original equation was estimated without the interaction term. 2. The moderator variable was introduced by multiplying each independent variable with the moderator variable. Field (2018) emphasises that for the interaction term to be valid, both the predictor and moderator variable should be included. 3. In the final step, the change in the coefficient of determination (R-squared) was assessed. A significant change implies that the moderator variable is relevant in moderating the influence of the independent variables on the dependent. Therefore, in this report, it was determined how the strength or direction of the relationship between EI and each of the institutional dimensions is affected by the digital environment. If the R-squared changes and is significant, then there is moderation, and the reverse is true if it does not change. Changes in slopes of the predictor variables were also assessed to determine the impact of the moderator variable. Based on the outlined procedure, moderation analysis was performed by estimating the following three equations: 𝐸𝐼𝑖 = 𝛼 + 𝛽1𝑅𝐷𝑖 + 𝛽2𝐷𝐸𝑖 + 𝛾𝑅𝐷𝐷𝐸𝑖 + 𝜀𝑖 … … … … … 2, where RDDE is the interaction term and 𝛾 is the coefficient of the interaction term. Equation 2 tests the interaction between the regulatory dimension and the digital environment. 𝐸𝐼𝑖 = 𝛼 + 𝛽1𝐶𝐷𝑖 + 𝛽2𝐷𝐸𝑖 + 𝛾𝐶𝐷𝐷𝐸𝑖 + 𝜀𝑖 … … … … … 3 Equation 3 tests the interaction between the digital environment and the cognitive dimension (CDDE) 𝐸𝐼𝑖 = 𝛼 + 𝛽1𝑁𝐷𝑖 + 𝛽2𝐷𝐸𝑖 + 𝛾𝑁𝐷𝐷𝐸𝑖 + 𝜀𝑖 … … … … … 4 Equation 4 tests the interaction between the normative dimension and the digital environment (NDDE). 42 3.8 Limitations of the study Despite building from a strong theoretical and empirical ground, this study has its own limitations which are outlined in this section: • The study results may not be generalised to males since the focus was on females. • Krueger et al. (2000) argues that intentions are formed overtime, thus necessitating longitudinal analysis. However, this study is limited in this respect because it is cross sectional in nature, thus only covering a point in time, while making it difficult to infer causality • Limited time was also a significant constraint towards a more in-depth study. 3.9 Ethical considerations Ethical procedures for research exist to ensure dignity and avoidance of financial or emotional harm to respondents. Since this study involved human participants it was important to protect the rights of the participants and to make sure that the data collection process does no harm or result in loss of privacy (Cooper & Schindler, 2014). In order to ensure that ethical practices are adhered to, the researcher explained, in the form of an introductory letter, the benefits of the study, and the guarantee that the participants’ privacy and rights would be respected. Moreover, before collecting data, the researcher sought consent from the participants who were then informed about the objectives of the research and consideration of their right to anonymity. Thus, to get permission to collect data from different tertiary institutions, an introductory was obtained from the University administration. 3.10 Conclusion This chapter outlined the methodology followed in achieving the research objectives. The focus was on building a research model from theory as well as empirical studies. The research instrument used in this study was adopted from 43 previous studies that have successfully tested it in the South African context and other emerging countries. Sampling framework was discussed in line with procedure for data analysis and ethical considerations in primary research. Having outlined the research procedure, chapter four of this study presents the results of the model estimated. 44 CHAPTER 4. PRESENTATION OF RESULTS This chapter presents, analyses, and interprets results of the study as outlined in chapter 3. Sample characteristics are presented in the first section, followed by reliability and validity of measurement scales (the Cronbach’s Alpha and exploratory factor analysis). The final section presents hierarchical multiple regression analysis as well as diagnostic tests for assumptions of multiple linear regression. 4.1 Sample characteristics and demographic profiles of respondents A total of 602 responses were received from the online survey. Though the target sample was females, male respondents participated in the survey. 235 male respondents were eliminated from the sample, leaving a total of 367 female respondents. Of the 367 females, 65 responses were eliminated from the sample as they had more than 10 percent missing values (Little & Rubin, 1987). Thus, the sample size of 302 females after screening and deletion of missing data was used. The following tables now present descriptive statistics for the control variables used in this study. Table 3: Age AGE Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent Valid 18-29 225 74.5 74.5 74.5 30-39 57 18.9 18.9 93.4 40-49 14 4.6 4.6 98.0 50-59 5 1.7 1.7 99.7 60 and above 1 0.3 0.3 100.0 Total 302 100.0 100.0 Table 3 shows that majority of the respondents (74.5 percent) were between 18 to 29 years, followed by 30 to 39 years (18.9 percent), 40 to 49 years (4.6 percent), 50 to 59 years (1.7 percent) and 60 years and above (0.3 percent) 45 Table 4: Ethnic group Ethnic group Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent Valid Black 199 65.9 65.9 65.9 White 57 18.9 18.9 84.8 Indian 17 5.6 5.6 90.4 Colored 18 6.0 6.0 96.4 Asian 6 2.0 2.0 98.3 Others 5 1.7 1.7 100.0 Total 302 100.0 100.0 From table 4, black people were the dominant ethnic group constituting of 65.9 percent of the sample. White people made up 18.9 percent, followe