1 Entrepreneurial Orientation and Performance within the South African Minibus Taxi Industry A research report submitted to the Faculty of Commerce, Law and Management, University of the Witwatersrand, in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Management in Entrepreneurship and New Venture Creation Student Jessica Kier Supervisor Professor Boris Urban Wits Business School Date: 30 MARCH 2021 2 ABSTRACT The primary purpose of this research is to understand the relationship between the three dimensions of entrepreneurial orientation within the South African minibus taxi industry. This industry is pivotal to the South African economic structure and landscape as a whole. The taxi industry serves as the main mode of public transport in South Africa. A survey was used to conduct an empirical research study. A sample size of 120 participants was originally selected; however, of those 120, only 95 surveys were valid and used due to missing values in the data provided in the others. This sample size is representative of the population concerning the taxi industry. The research instrument included a 7-point Likert scale. Further, the instrument included demographic coverage and sections covering the three entrepreneurial orientations’ dimensions. The aim of this study is to understand the extent to which entrepreneurial orientation enables small- to medium-enterprise growth performance within the South African taxi industry. Empirical data to support research suppositions is difficult to access within the public domain, but this research identified and provided an analysis extracted from private enterprise which fills the gap in the current research literature space. The results indicated a weak positive influence between the three dimensions of entrepreneurial orientation and growth performance within the industry. Due to the significance of the findings, the results are not strong enough for generalising the same findings for the entire South African minibus taxi population. This industry is the main source of public transport within the country and needs to increase its literature in order to grow and further improve. Further findings can contribute to the understanding of the complexity that surrounds the industry’s atmosphere. The value of working to formulate constructive information on the taxi industry will allow for further engagement within the field. Key words: Entrepreneurship, growth, innovation, minibus taxi, SME, South Africa. 3 DECLARATION I, Jessica Kier, declare that this research report is my own work except as indicated in the references and acknowledgements. It is submitted in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Management in the Field of Entrepreneurship at the University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg. It has not been submitted before for any degree or examination in this or any other university. Jessica Kier ------------------------------------------------------------- Signed at ……………………SANDTON……………………………… On the 28 day of February 2021 4 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS I would like to formally acknowledge all those who have played a role in my academic journey. My parents, who have supported me and guided me with love and understanding. Without you both, I would not be where I am today. To my boyfriend, Lee, your encouragement and constant care is always appreciated. I would like to thank my supervisor, Professor Boris Urban for his expert mentoring and valuable insights. It was an honour to work under your supervision. My appreciation also extends to SA Taxi Finance, for their kind continued help, generous intuition into the industry and support during this research. 5 Table of Contents ABSTRACT ......................................................................................................................................................................... 2 DECLARATION ................................................................................................................................................................. 3 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS ................................................................................................................................................. 4 CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION ...................................................................................................................................... 7 1.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................................................................. 7 1.2 Theoretical background to the study .............................................................................................................. 9 1.3 Context of the study .............................................................................................................................................. 10 1.4 Problem statement ............................................................................................................................................... 10 1.5 Research purpose, research question and aims of the study ................................................................ 11 1.6 Conceptual/theoretical definition of terms ................................................................................................. 12 1.7 Contribution of the study ................................................................................................................................... 13 CHAPTER 2: LITERATURE REVIEW ......................................................................................................................... 14 2.1 Introduction ........................................................................................................................................................... 14 2.2 Literature review on entrepreneurial orientation ................................................................................... 15 2.3 Innovativeness ....................................................................................................................................................... 18 2.4 Risk-taking .............................................................................................................................................................. 19 2.5 Proactiveness ......................................................................................................................................................... 21 2.6 Environmental perceptions - dynamism ...................................................................................................... 23 2.7 Environmental perceptions - hostility ........................................................................................................... 23 2.8 Conceptual framework of hypothesis ............................................................................................................ 25 2.9 Conclusion ............................................................................................................................................................... 25 CHAPTER 3: RESEARCH METHODOLOGY .............................................................................................................. 28 3.1 Research methodology / paradigm ............................................................................................................... 28 3.2 Research design .................................................................................................................................................... 28 3.3 Population and sample ....................................................................................................................................... 30 3.4 The research instrument ................................................................................................................................... 31 3.5 Procedure for data collection ........................................................................................................................... 34 3.6 Data analysis and interpretation ................................................................................................................... 35 6 CHAPTER 4: PRESENTATION OF RESULTS ........................................................................................................... 38 4.1 Introduction ........................................................................................................................................................... 38 4.2 Demographic profile of respondents ............................................................................................................. 38 4.3 Validity of constructs ........................................................................................................................................... 41 4.4 Reliability ................................................................................................................................................................ 49 4.5 Descriptive statistics and correlation ........................................................................................................... 50 4.6 Regression ............................................................................................................................................................... 51 4.7 Results pertaining to Hypothesis 1 ................................................................................................................ 57 4.8 Results pertaining to Hypothesis 2 ................................................................................................................ 57 4.9 Results pertaining to Hypothesis 3 ................................................................................................................ 58 4.10 Summary of the hypotheses ........................................................................................................................... 58 CHAPTER 5: DISCUSSION OF THE RESULTS ......................................................................................................... 60 5.1 Introduction ........................................................................................................................................................... 60 5.2 Demographic profile of respondents ............................................................................................................. 60 5.3 Discussion pertaining to Hypothesis 1 .......................................................................................................... 62 5.4 Discussion pertaining to Hypothesis 2 .......................................................................................................... 64 5.5 Discussion pertaining to Hypothesis 3 .......................................................................................................... 65 5.6 Conclusion ............................................................................................................................................................... 68 CHAPTER 6: CONCLUSIONS, IMPLICATIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS .................................................... 70 6.1 Introduction ........................................................................................................................................................... 70 6.2 Conclusions of the study ..................................................................................................................................... 70 6.3 Implications and recommendations .............................................................................................................. 70 6.4 Limitations of the study ...................................................................................................................................... 71 6.5 Suggestions for further research .................................................................................................................... 72 REFERENCES .............................................................................................................................................................. 73 APPENDIX A: RESEARCH INSTRUMENT ......................................................................................................... 80 TAXI SURVEY ............................................................................................................................................................... 81 APPENDIX B: CONSISTENCY MATRIX .............................................................................................................. 89 7 CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION 1.1 INTRODUCTION South Africa has a unique context, and it is often inappropriate to apply case studies and experiences from western economies to Afrocentric emerging market conditions (Schiele, 1990). Public transport is essential to the South African infrastructure. Small to medium enterprises (SMEs) have become increasingly important to a country’s economic growth. SMEs create jobs and with this comes economic sustainability, an important element for a country like South Africa. New and promising entrepreneurs play an essential role in managing resources and opportunity in order to achieve their desired results (Carson et al., 1995). In regard to this, this study will examine the related factors of entrepreneurial orientation and their contribution towards the potential performance of SMEs in the South African minibus taxi industry. It is estimated that roughly 15-million to 16-million passengers travel daily in minibus taxis on the public roads (Fobosi, 2013). Today, the South African minibus taxi industry remains the critical pillar of the country’s public transport sector. Not only is it the most accessible mode of transport, but it is also the most affordable to the general public. The minibus taxi industry therefore is crucial for South African economic development (SA Taxi, n.d.). South Africa has comparatively low entrepreneurial activity, albeit with high intentions (Harrington, 2017). Entrepreneurship is an essential source of business success and national economic development (Ding and Abetti, 2003). With current economic challenges having an effect, the notion of creating greater entrepreneurial activity has become an important goal for many national governments (Cooney, 2012). This is because entrepreneurial activity increases employment and economic growth (Kirchhoff et al., 1988). In addition, entrepreneurial activity effects the economy at both regional and national levels (Wu, 2009). “Entrepreneurial orientation has become one of the most established constructs in entrepreneurship”, (Covin and Miller, 2014, pp 770-791). 8 The number of texts on the topic of entrepreneurial orientation has exceeded that of articles examining the broader topic of corporate entrepreneurship (Covin and Lumpkin, 2011). The importance of entrepreneurial orientation to the survival and growth performance of an organisation has been acknowledged in previous studies (Lumpkin and Dess, 2001). Research confirms three underlying dimensions of entrepreneurial orientation, as innovativeness, risk-taking, and proactiveness (Lumpkin and Dess, 2001). Understanding the importance of entrepreneurial orientation, is prevalent in determining how SMEs generate sustainable growth and build a competitive advantage in a hypercompetitive and dynamic environment (Sirmon, Hitt and Ireland, 2007). Small businesses in particular tend to excel at adaptability and flexibility (Smallbone et al., 2012). The taxi industry that consists of many SMEs, must demonstrate these characteristics in response to the COVID-19 crisis. The taxi industry faces implications due to the lockdown that was implemented in the country in March 2020. The taxis were only allowed to operate at 70% capacity and only permitted to travel during certain hours. However, no economist or strategist could have predicted how 2020 would play out. The outbreak and rapid spread of COVID-19 has disrupted lives, communities, and economies worldwide (John Hopkins, n.d.). A crisis such as the COVID-19 pandemic threatens the functioning and performance of a business (Williams et al., 2017). Even during this pandemic, taxis play a vital role as they transport essential workers as well as being pivotal in the functioning of the economy as a whole. The South African National Taxi Council (SANTACO) launched a disinfection program to aid the curb of the virus. In addition, the taxi drivers faced concern, for both their own safety as well as that of their commuters. To combat this, taxi ranks made sure sanitising innovations were introduced. SA Taxi donated R3m worth of protective equipment that was distributed to ranks across the country (SA Taxi, n.d.). Further, in order to reduce the financial burden felt due to COVID-19, payment relief for finance and insurance customers was implemented (SA Taxi, n.d.). 9 This response indicates the importance of the industry and the pivotal role it plays in the country’s socio economic framework. Research indicates that the environment is pertinent to business ventures due to external influences (Urban, 2017). 1.2 THEORETICAL BACKGROUND TO THE STUDY The presence of the entrepreneurial orientation dimensions has been linked to improved industry performance where ‘all the dimensions are central to understanding the entrepreneurial process’, (c). It is significant to emphasise that for the accumulation of knowledge to take place, future research that will add to the current knowledge based on entrepreneurial orientation should include the three core dimensions of entrepreneurial orientation (Lumpkin & Dess, 1996). Lumpkin and Dess (1996), argue that any enterprise is entrepreneurial provided they engage in an effective combination of innovativeness, risk-taking and proactiveness. Entrepreneurial orientation is a theoretically defined construct; there is no sole context that exists where “it can be argued on empirical grounds that the three dimensions should not be combined” (Covin & Lumpkin, 2011 pp. 855-872). Researchers must acknowledge that the dimensions of entrepreneurial orientation may form a collective ‘catchall’ (Miller, 2011). Yet, the dimensions will likely not constantly be equal in strength. Lumpkin and Dess (1996), show the usefulness of viewing the firm’s entrepreneurial orientation as a multidimensional construct. The potential benefits, could to the conclusion that entrepreneurial orientation improves performance. However, close examination of the literature has not conclusively established this relationship (Rauch et al., 2009; Wang, 2008). However, as mentioned by multiple scholars, the extent to which entrepreneurial orientation improves firm performance may depend upon additional factors (Rauch et al., 2009; Wang, 2008). 10 1.3 CONTEXT OF THE STUDY The exclusion in the apartheid era of black South Africans, from freely contributing to the country’s economy, created discrepancies and adversities, particularly within the socio- economic landscape (Human, 2006). After 1994, South Africa developed new polices and put in place some transformation measures and legislation in order to improve the residual conditions left behind by the apartheid government (Mkoka, 2012). Entrepreneurship and small business development have received growing attention by researchers, both locally and in the international arena (Herrington et al., 2009). The South African taxi industry is acknowledged as being entrepreneurial with many taxi owners identified as being an SME. According to SA Taxi Finance, one of South Africa’s leading financiers of minibus taxis, taxi owners are entrepreneurs who start and sustain their own business needs (SA Taxi, n.d.). Each taxi is full of opportunity and the industry itself runs on the backs of local entrepreneurs and their small business (SA Taxi, n.d.). The minibus taxi industry is considered a critical pillar of South Africa’s public transport sector. Not only is it the most available mode of transport but it is also the most affordable to the public. It is thus considered as the servant for the majority of the urban poor (Fobosi, 2013,). “The typical minibus taxi is a 16-seater minibus, typically white in colour. The most common model is the Toyota Quantum Ses’fikile or Hi Ace”, (SA Taxi, n.d. pp 3). The minibus taxis operate an unscheduled service on fixed routes which are self- regulated by taxi associations (SA Taxi, n.d.). The minibus taxis travel to remote places within South Africa, which is extremely difficult when using government public transport. 1.4 PROBLEM STATEMENT Since the early 2000s, South Africa’s early-stage entrepreneurial activity has been below average in comparison to that of all participating countries. 11 The taxi industry is pivotal to South Africa’s transport system (SA Taxi, n.d.). South Africa has a relatively high level of unemployment, so entrepreneurial activity is greatly encouraged by the political and economic policymakers of the country. “Regarding South Africa’s growing workforce but lack of formal employment opportunities, job seekers have turned more to the informal sector for employment”, (Ferreira & Rossouw, 2016, pp. 810). “Unemployment is the root of many other challenges such as inequality, poverty, labour unrest and slow development” (Ferreira & Rossouw, 2016, pp. 809 ). In order to combat the problem of unemployment, entrepreneurship must be used as a tool to fix the problem. For the achievement of sustainable success, entrepreneurs often need support from external sources. It is important to mention that the taxi industry does not benefit from any fiscal support. With little governmental policy intervention, the industry remains fragmented. 1.5 RESEARCH PURPOSE, RESEARCH QUESTION AND AIMS OF THE STUDY The purpose of this study is to understand the extent to which entrepreneurial orientation enables performance within the South African taxi industry, while taking into account environmental hostility and dynamism. Innovativeness, proactiveness and risk-taking make up the combination of the three dimensions of EO, (Wiklund, 1999,). Entrepreneurial orientation is an established construct that has attracted substantial research. This study examines the three constructs of entrepreneurial orientation mentioned above, in an industry that has little research surrounding it (SA Taxi, n.d.). However, the taxi industry is pivotal to South Africa’s public transport structure. Only 38% of South Africans make use of private transport, which establishes that the majority of the country relies on public transport for commuting purposes (SA Taxi, n.d.). The South African minibus taxi industry transports 69% of the available public transport market (buses contribute 19% and commuter trains 12%) making it a valuable contributor to the South African economy (Barrett, 2003). 12 Findings provide an understanding of the entrepreneurial orientation constructs behind the performance of SMEs within the taxi industry as well as which constructs are of higher importance in regard to performance. This study aims to gain clarity regarding entrepreneurial orientation and the South African taxi industry, using the following premises: 1. Taxi owners with high levels of entrepreneurial orientation innovativeness are associated with SME growth and performance within the taxi industry in South Africa. 2. Entrepreneurial orientation risk-taking relates to SME growth and performance within the South African taxi industry. 3. There is a positive relationship between entrepreneurial orientation proactiveness and SME growth and performance within the South African taxi industry. 4. Environmental dynamism will have a positive influence on the relationship between (a) entrepreneurial orientation innovativeness; (b) entrepreneurial orientation risk taking; and (c) entrepreneurial orientation proactiveness and growth performance. 5. Environmental hostility will have a positive influence on the relationship between (a) entrepreneurial orientation innovativeness; (b) entrepreneurial orientation risk-taking; and (c) entrepreneurial orientation proactiveness and growth performance. 1.6 CONCEPTUAL/THEORETICAL DEFINITION OF TERMS The key terms that will be used in this research are explained as follows: • Dynamism – Rate and unpredictability of change in the industry (Damanpour &Schneider, 2006). • Entrepreneurial orientation –“ A combination of three dimensions: innovativeness, proactiveness and risk-taking”, (Wiklund, 1999, pp 39- 50). • Hostility – Tough conditions including strict regulation and competition (Damanpour & Schneider, 2006). • Minibus taxi – A 16-seater vehicle used for public transport • SANTACO – South African National Taxi Council 13 • SME – Small to medium enterprise 1.7 CONTRIBUTION OF THE STUDY The focus of this study is on the minibus taxi industry in South Africa and the extent of entrepreneurial activity embedded within the taxi industry. This study will allow for other researchers to gain insight into an under researched sector. Empirical data to support research suppositions is difficult to access within the public domain, but this research will identify and provide an analysis extracted from private enterprise which will fill the gap in the current research literature space. This industry is a unique context so could not be applied to similar contexts as this study regards to findings strongly related to specific context. According to Lumpkin and Dess (1996), the effects of the dimensions of an entrepreneurial orientation vary according to context. This may enable future research into the specific potential that exists with reference to context and entrepreneurial orientation. 14 CHAPTER 2: LITERATURE REVIEW 2.1 INTRODUCTION Entrepreneurship and small business development are imperative to economic growth, particularly in emerging market economies. Research states that in an emerging economies, entrepreneurial activity is mostly represented by small- and medium scale enterprises (Lightelm, 2005; Lightelm 2006; Larossi & Clarke, 2011; Ene & Ene, 2014). Low levels of entrepreneurship prevail in South Africa compared to those in other developing countries (Hanson, 2009). The development of economic activity lies at the heart of entrepreneurship. Scholars have argued that entrepreneurship is an essential feature of high-performing firms (Covin & Slevin, 1991). Many companies have the belief that entrepreneurship is essential in a world that is fuelled by constant change. As the primary form of public transport in South Africa, the minibus taxi industry has a significant impact on the environment, society and the economy (Hanson, 2009). Each taxi operator serves as a micro business that contributes to the functioning of the South African economy. In order to get the 15- to 16-million passengers to and from their desired destinations on a daily basis, the taxi operator is a key member of the economic ecosystem. According to SA Taxi, as of September 2019, the institution currently has financed around 32,441 taxis on the roads, giving direct business to over 32,000 SMEs (SA Taxi, n.d.). The company states that each taxi benefits more than the owner, but the entire rank’s economy, including queue organisers, conductors and street traders, benefit as well. The importance of to the survival and performance of a firm has been acknowledged in previous studies (Lumpkin & Dess, 2001). Businesses that are fast growing attribute much of their success to high levels of entrepreneurial orientation (Dess & Lumpkin, 2005). When a business considers these levels of entrepreneurial orientation they create the opportunity for themselves to exploit new market opportunities, and if need be, to respond to potential threats effectively (Wiklund & Shepherd, 2003). The objective of this research is to explore the relationship between entrepreneurial 15 orientation and growth performance by integrating prior theory and empirical findings into a researchable whole within the context of the South African minibus taxi industry. This research study examines independent variables that form the three dimensions of entrepreneurial orientation: innovation, risk-taking and proactiveness. The study also examines the dependent variables of entrepreneurial growth performance among the South African minibus taxi operators. Factors that may affect this relationship through moderation are also considered. The data is collected around these factors. 2.2 LITERATURE REVIEW ON ENTREPRENEURIAL ORIENTATION Entrepreneurial orientation is a major topic within both the strategic management and entrepreneurship literatures (Covin, et al., 2006). The three dimensions of entrepreneurial orientation have been identified and used consistently in the literature, namely innovativeness, risk-taking and proactiveness. Foremost, studies began to explore how organisations can become more entrepreneurial (Brazeal, Schenkel, & Azriel, 2008). These studies focus on how those in managerial positions in the organisations could overcome the natural barriers to entrepreneurship (Hisrich and Peters, 1986). This early work did not directly test but rather assume that entrepreneurial orientation enhanced performance. To combat this, entrepreneurial orientation research emerged to empirically examine this issue. Past research of these entrepreneurial orientation dimensions has shown high correlations with each other (Bhuian, et al., 2005; Richard, et al., 2004; Stetz, et al., 2000; Tan & Tan, 2005). These three constructs of entrepreneurial orientation form the independent variables of this study. Research has shown that there is a relevance to understanding entrepreneurial orientation in relation to enterprise growth performance. Covin and Slevin (1991) explained that there is a reason for growing interest in research in the area of entrepreneurship. This is because there is a strong notion that entrepreneurship can lead to heightened growth performance in both new and established enterprises. 16 Studies show most used mediating factors concerns learning orientation (Wang, 2008), as well as innovativeness (Hult, Hurley, & Knight, 2004). Most studies find a positive performance relationship. However, the strength of this relationship varies significantly across various studies and contexts (Wales, Gupta, & Mousa, 2013). Performance is alleged to be a multidimensional and complex construct that has been measured using a range of indicators (Lumpkin & Dess, 1996). From an organisational perspective, performance relates to how well the organisation is managed as well as the value that customers and stakeholders derive from that organisation (Wu & Zhao, 2009). It is important to mention that a basic relevance concerning entrepreneurship and strategic management theory and research is the development of organisational performance (Mthanti, 2012). The performance of entrepreneurs can be measured through the growth of their businesses which can be seen in sales, number of employees and number of other businesses that the entrepreneur owns (Callaghan & Venter, 2011). It is common that researchers when reflecting on entrepreneurial orientation and firm growth performance reflect on a clear focus around financial performance. Therefore, it is a common practice among researchers to examine growth performance and profitability jointly (Kreiser & Davis, 2010). Table 2.1: Select studies of entrepreneurial phenomena in established organisations Author Focal entrepreneurial phenomenon Locus of entrepreneurship Relationship between entrepreneurship phenomenon and strategy Causally adjacent antecedents of the entrepreneurial phenomenon Causally adjacent outcomes of the entrepreneurial phenomenon Covin and Slevin (1991) Entrepreneurial orientation Not specified Reciprocal relationship between entrepreneurial Firm performance, strategic variables, Firm performance, strategic variables, 17 orientation and strategy managerial and organizational variables environmental variables, managerial and organisational variables Lumpkin and Dess (1996) Entrepreneurial orientation Not specified Strategy and entrepreneurial orientation are distinct, non casually related phenomena Not specified Firm performance Urban & Barreira (2010) Entrepreneurial orientation Top level management serving as a proxy for firms Reciprocal relationships between entrepreneurial orientation and technology orientation Firm performance, individual and organisational variables Firm performance and competitive capability of firms Rauch et al., (2009) Entrepreneurial orientation Not specified Enhancing a firm's performance Not specified Firm Performance Wiklund and Shepher d, (2003) Entrepreneurial orientation Not specified Strong & Positive relationship between entrepreneurial orientation and firm performance Not specified Firm Performance Hisrich and Peters (1986) Entrepreneurial orientation Managerial positions in organizations Assume correlation between entrepreneurial orientation and Firm Performance Not specified Firm Performance Source: Adapted from Ireland, Covin and Kuratko (2009:22) 18 2.3 INNOVATIVENESS Studies have found a positive relationship between innovation and firm or industry performance (Rauch et al. 2009). The minibus taxi industry is a thriving commercial industry which has a 69% public transport market share generating approximately R90bn in yearly revenue (Fobosi, 2019). Despite this, the minibus taxi industry is sadly lacking in technology advancement and usage when compared to other service organisations. The majority of the taxi passengers work in low-income jobs. Many of those jobs are paid in cash, especially in domestic work or garden employment. A large number of South Africa’s poorer commuters do not have bank accounts into which salaries can be paid, or bank cards with which to make payments. This means the industry is cash dominated. South Africa has a large part of the population that is unbanked. According to recent statistics this is estimated at around 11-million people (BuisnessTech, 2019). In a direct comparison to the unregulated nature of the taxi industry, the banking industry in the country is acknowledged as being well regulated. Despite the global move towards more technologically based payment methods, this industry relies on the origins of a cash-based system. Being the most popular form of public transport for the majority of the country, even if the industry were to move towards a cashless system, it would not benefit those who rely on the transport. The industry can therefore not be innovative in the classical technological sense. The cash nature of the business suits owners, who can avoid taxation, as well as drivers, who can earn excess profit off the top, but it also suits passengers very well. Schumpeter (1942) is one of the first to point out the importance of innovation in the entrepreneurial process. ‘He notes the innovation process as ‘creative destruction’. 19 Innovation in itself can be modelled on a process. In terms of this process understanding, a common distinction relates to factors that are inputs in the innovation process. This includes financial resources committed to the innovation task or the number of people working in R&D. In addition, the process also considers factors that are outputs, including but not limited to, number of patents, new services, products, or the manufacturing processes. (Urban & Mothusiws, 2014). The innovation process is highly complex and has risks involved. It is not enough for the industry to simply dedicate substantial resources to the innovation process. If the industry is unable to turn the resources into innovative offerings, these resources are wasted, and the performance of the industry is hurt (Lazonick, 2008). An innovative process that has benefited the industry, concerns that of a system that is truly embedded within the taxi culture. These hand signals are completely unique to the South African context. They are not taught in schools or advertised on television or in books. There is no formal manual one can download in order to gain insight into these signals. These signals form part of the innovative nature of the industry. Hypothesis 1: Innovativeness as an entrepreneurial orientation dimension has a positive impact on the growth performance of the South African taxi industry. 2.4 RISK-TAKING The minibus taxi industry continues to dominate the public transport sector. There has been an increase in commuter density, arising from rapid urbanisation. This trend is projected to increase. Statistics show that currently 63% of South African’s live in urban areas. However, by 2050 this number will increase to over 80%. (StatsSA, 2020). This will result in an increase in public transportation and public infrastructure requirements in urban cities. Bus and rail transport services, responsible for 1-million commuter trips per day in urban areas, receive government subsidies which consequently reduce the transportation cost for commuters. The minibus taxi industry, despite being the dominant form or public 20 transport and a key service linkage between the other public transport modes, receives no government subsidy, thus costs more that bus and rail, but offers a more reliable transportation service. For better performance and high returns, SMEs take risks such as collecting higher levels of debt, committing large amounts of resources, introducing entirely new products into new markets and investing in unexplored technologies (Urban & Mothusiws, 2014). The price of the minibus taxi has increased considerably over the past number of years. The Toyota Quantum diesel, considered to be the most common vehicle type purchased, has increased in price by over 50% (R166 300) from January 2014 to January 2021 (SA Taxi, n.d.). Minibus taxi fares over the same period have increased by 30% (R80) and 67% (R8) for the illustrative long distance (Johannesburg to Durban) and short distance (Soweto to Johannesburg) routes, respectively (SA Taxi, n.d.). The taxi industry uses 2- to 3-billion litres of fuel annually, which approximates to an average industry fuel spend of R30bn (SA Taxi, n.d). The full operational cost of these SMEs not recovered from fares, is borne by the minibus taxi operator. These operational costs include vehicle finance instalments, insurance, tracking devices, fuel, maintenance and repair costs. Risk-taking is defined as ‘the degree to which managers are willing to make large and risky resource commitments i.e. those which have a reasonable chance of costly failures’ (Miller & Friesen, 1978, p. 923). Risk-taking involves the taking of actions into the unknown. It is important to mention that the COVID-19 pandemic has had a negative impact on the global and South African economy. The minibus taxi, however, demonstrated its resilience. SA Taxi’s own published fleet data reflects that as the lockdown levels eased and as economic activity resumed, minibus taxi operators quickly returned to pre-lockdown levels of vehicle operations and average 21 distances travelled (SA Taxi, n.d.). However, profitability was impacted by the restrictions on passenger loads and fewer trips as passengers worked from home and school transport activity reduced. The security of the minibus taxi vehicle, the primary asset of the minibus taxi operator’s business is an asset that has a high risk of theft. SA Taxi’s proprietary data reflects that four of every 10 theft and hijack claims registered, represented valid theft claims (SA Taxi, n.d.). In order to combat this, the use of technology such as telematics or car tracking devices have been used. Technology as a resource has been moderately successful in recovering stolen vehicles. Vehicle safety and security remains a primary risk of the minibus taxi operator. Hypothesis 2: Risk-taking as an entrepreneurial orientation dimension has a positive impact on the growth performance of the South African taxi industry. 2.5 PROACTIVENESS The term proactiveness is defined in Webster's Ninth New Collegiate Dictionary (1991, p. 937) as “acting in anticipation of future problems, needs, or changes”. The minibus taxi industry is a critical pillar of the South African public transport sector, operating and competing with the heavily subsidised bus industry for more than five decades without receiving a cent from the government in the form of grants. The industry must therefore be proactive in its approach due to the lack of governmental intervention. Today, the taxi industry operates in a self-regulated context. It is no question that the nature of this industry is informal. Even though there is a lack of formal documentation as well as regulation, this industry survives due to the notion that routes and stops are well known to the drivers and passengers. These stops are not documented or formally marked, but that does not change the fact that they exist. These stops have been given informal names by both drivers and passengers and are used frequently. 22 Proactiveness is an opportunity-seeking, forward-looking perspective characterised by the introduction of new products and services ahead of the competition and acting in anticipation of future demand (Rauch et al., 2008). A proactive firm as described by Lumpkin and Dess (1996), is a leader not leader because it has the will and foresight to obtain new opportunities (Lumpkin & Dess, 1996, pp 135 - 172). Proactiveness can be defined as discovering “new opportunities which may or may not be related to the present line of operations, introduction of new products and brands ahead of competition, strategically eliminating operations which are in the mature or declining stages of their life cycle”, (Venkatraman, 1989 pp, 942- 962). The taxi industry in South Africa has been regarded as informal for many years, although it has elements of a formal industry. The formation of associations within the taxi industry have managed to resolve certain problems. These include reducing conflict and taxi violence. In vigorously dealing with the transport authorities the associations are proactive. In terms of previous research, firm-level proactiveness has been operationalised by enquiring about the business’s ability to lead rather than follow in the development of new procedures and technologies and the introduction of new products or services (Covin & Slevin, 1989). SA Taxi aims to broaden inclusivity and create shared value opportunities to ensure the sustainability of the sector (SA Taxi, n.d.). ‘Through its dedicated initiatives, SA Taxi has invested R3.5bn into empowering female entrepreneurs in the minibus taxi industry since 2008’ (SA Taxi, n.d, pp 3). ‘During this time, SA Taxi has increased its female client base by an average of 4.5% per annum, helping to create 8,473 female-owned SMEs and financing 12,092 vehicles’, (SA Taxi, n,d). Hypothesis 3: Proactiveness as an entrepreneurial orientation dimension has a positive impact on the growth performance of the South African taxi industry. 23 2.6 ENVIRONMENTAL PERCEPTIONS - DYNAMISM The current perception surrounding the taxi industry is that taxi operators are aggressive and unlawful. The taxi industry in South Africa has for decades suffered from a negative reputation and public perception. This can be seen as partly self-inflicted due to bad driver behaviour on the roads and incidents of taxi violence. News24 wrote that the taxi industry was very violent in response to harsh economic and social conditions, with taxi bosses still killing each other (News24, 2019). Public transport is essential to the South African infrastructure. Only 38% of South Africans make use of private transport, which establishes that the majority of the country relies on public transport for commuting purposes (SA Taxi, n.d.). In a developing country context like South Africa, policies have been implemented to promote entrepreneurial activity. Given the possibility that the minibus taxi industry creates entrepreneurial activity within a semi-unregulated context that is mainly unenforced, understanding the governmental influence and the institutional environment is important. Hypothesis 4: Environmental dynamism will have a positive influence on the relationship between (a) entrepreneurial orientation innovativeness; (b) entrepreneurial orientation risk-taking; and (c) entrepreneurial orientation proactiveness and growth performance. 2.7 ENVIRONMENTAL PERCEPTIONS - HOSTILITY A hostile environment forms when there is an abundance of competitors, unfavourable supply conditions, and strict regulations (Damanpour & Schneider, 2006). In the taxi industry this manifests with over 250,000 taxis operating within a self-regulated environment. The minibus taxi industry is acknowledged as being the dominant form of public transport in the country. This mode of transport serves 65% of people using public transport (SA Taxi, n.d.). 24 The industry supports many jobs, in an economy with an official unemployment rate of 26.7% (Boudreaux, 2006). Taxis, as a form of public transport, are relatively inexpensive and widely accessible to the South African public. They help millions of South African commuters, thus improving worker productivity and the economy as a whole. Taxis will normally depart from fixed terminals but stop anywhere along their designated route to pick up and drop off passengers. To catch a taxi, passengers will use hand signals in order to indicate where they are travelling. Five distinct role players make up the informal transport industry, namely the owners, the drivers, the passengers, the taxi associations, and the regulation authorities. Despite this lack of formal documentation, the taxi routes are well known to the drivers and passengers. The more passengers a driver picks up the more income he will make. Drivers work exceptionally long shifts, often starting long before sunrise and continuing until after dark. This nature of the business and that of the hardworking driver is often forgotten when the taxi stops in the middle of the road to fetch or drop a passenger. Instead, what is fuelled by the media and disheartened South African citizens is the negative reputation of the taxi industry as a whole. Hypothesis 5: Environmental hostility will have a positive influence on the relationship between (a) entrepreneurial orientation innovativeness, (b) entrepreneurial orientation risk-taking and (c) entrepreneurial orientation proactiveness and growth performance. 25 2.8 CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK OF HYPOTHESIS Based on the theoretical perspectives in this study, a conceptual framework is provided which displays the hypothesised links between the study variables (see Figure 2.1). Figure 2.1: Entrepreneurial orientation model with environment relations (Source: Developed by author) 2.9 CONCLUSION The South African minibus taxi industry is acknowledged as being the main form of public transport in the country. It provides a transport system to millions of commuters. In doing so, it enables increased levels of productivity and benefits the economy as a whole. The advancement of entrepreneurial activity can be seen on both local and national levels. The literature explains that entrepreneurship is a pivotal tool with regard to economic growth. The three constructs of entrepreneurial orientation form the independent variables of this H4&H5: Environmental hostility& Dynamism Industry Performance H3: Pro- Activeness H2: Risk Taking H1: Innovation 26 study, these being innovation, risk-taking and proactiveness. The combination of these dimensions formulate entrepreneurial orientation (Wiklund, 1999). For the purpose of this study, the independent variables are used in order to measure the constructs’ relationship between growth performance and the industry. Covin and Slevin (1991), explain that there is growing interest pertaining to this field of research due to the correlations between entrepreneurship and higher levels of enterprise growth performance. The taxi industry in South Africa is not heavily researched and with that, this study aims to contribute towards business insight with analysis and measurement of data. The literature provided explains that a mostly a positive growth performance relationship identified. However, the strength of this relationship is context specific. (Wales et al., 2011). With a negative perception, the industry can be connected towards environment hostility and dynamism. This is fuelled by the media as well as ongoing taxi violence. The study conducted focuses on the relationships between the variables in order to determine the relationship of entrepreneurial orientation and the South African taxi industry. The following relationships are tested. 2.9.1 Hypothesis 1 Innovation has a positive impact on the growth performance of the South African taxi industry. 2.9.2 Hypothesis 2: Risk-taking has a positive impact on the growth performance of the South African taxi industry. 2.9.3 Hypothesis 3: Proactiveness has a positive impact on the growth performance of the South African taxi industry. 27 2.9.4 Hypothesis 4: Environmental dynamism will have a positive influence on the relationship between (a) entrepreneurial orientation innovativeness; (b) entrepreneurial orientation risk-taking; and (c) entrepreneurial orientation proactiveness and growth performance. 2.9.5 Hypothesis 5: Environmental hostility will have a positive influence on the relationship between (a) entrepreneurial orientation innovativeness; (b) entrepreneurial orientation risk-taking; and (c) entrepreneurial orientation proactiveness and growth performance. 28 CHAPTER 3: RESEARCH METHODOLOGY This chapter will provide an overview of the methodology adopted for this research. The practical application of how the research aimed to be carried out, the population, sampling method, data collection procedure as well as the analysis of the data are discussed. The quantitative research approach is therefore considered viable for this study as it is objective and enables the assessment of entrepreneurial orientation through the guidance of theory (Hayton & Cacciotti, 2013). This research study employs theories to guide the development and testing of the five hypotheses. 3.1 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY / PARADIGM The aim of this research is to determine how the entrepreneurial orientation dimensions contribute to SME growth performance in the South African minibus taxi industry. The research design creates a formation that prescribes a structure to identify relationships between the variables. A quantitative approach is used for the purpose of this study. Quantitative analysis of data is used as it can provide precise means of testing relationships between the variables (Hayton & Cacciotti, 2013). The use of this method is that it is a reliable scientific means of testing relationships (Blumberg, Cooper, & Schindler, 2011). A research paradigm refers to the beliefs and values that guide the way in which a researcher solves a problem. Research paradigms are important as to how the work is studied and interpreted. Survey research methodology is suited towards a positive research paradigm. The positivist paradigm is usually validated by applying four criteria, namely internal validity, external validity, reliability and objectivity (Burns, 2000). 3.2 RESEARCH DESIGN Research design is a blueprint that is used to accomplish research objectives by responding to questions (Schindler, 2019). The research design provides a formal structure to identify the relationships between the variables used for this study. 29 There are two approaches to research design – longitudinal studies and cross-sectional studies (Schindler, 2019). For the purposes of this study, data from cross-sectional studies are used to analyse patterns between two or more variables. With the time constraints of this study and in order to analyse relationships, a cross sectional approach for survey research was used. Cross-sectional methodology using survey instruments attempts to test the effects of variables in this study concerning innovation, risk -taking and proactiveness. The survey, as the chosen methodological approach, allows for the collection of data through the use of structured questions. Pinsonneault and Kraemer (1993), defined a survey as a “means for gathering information about the characteristics, actions, or opinions of a large group of people” (p. 77). It is a low-cost option and allows for expanded geographic coverage which is important during the Covid-19 pandemic. In terms of advantages, this method is effective in that it allows for the respondents to report directly on their own answers. Survey research is also used to quantitatively describe specific aspects of a given population (Kraemer, 1991). This allows for the examining of relationships among variables. Survey research uses a selected portion of the population from which the findings can later be generalised back to the population (Kraemer, 1991). “Surveys are inclusive in the types and number of variables that can be studied, require minimal investment to develop and administer, and are relatively easy for making generalisations”, (Bell, 1996, p. 68). “It is important to note, however, that surveys only provide estimates for the population, not exact measurements (Salant & Dillman, 1994, p. 13)”. An entire industry cannot be measured, which is why a sample is selected. The disadvantage here is that an accurate mailing list is needed, and another disadvantage is that response rates may be low as well as skewed. Lastly, a disadvantage to be aware of in terms of this research context is that there is no probing for explanation. Biases can occur unintentionally or from a lack of response. 30 The main disadvantage of this method as pertaining to this study was the response rate from email and WhatsApp respondents. To combat this, the study was conducted manually to obtain the data in the given time frame as well as to assist in any language barrier concerns that may have arisen if the study were to go ahead virtually. 3.3 POPULATION AND SAMPLE 3.3.1 Population There are more than 250,000 minibus taxis on the South African roads (SA Taxi, n.d.). This is the population from which the sample wase drawn. A non-disclosure agreement with SA Taxi was signed in order to receive a sample database of existing clients. The non-disclosure ensured that the company was open to discuss the obtaining of this data base for academic purposes. In addition, the non-disclosure protects the privacy rights of the clients and ethical considerations are to be considered. According to the company, SA Taxi Finance, their database includes settled deals for 71,100 customers and 104,000 loans (SA Taxi, n.d.). All the financed loans have a mandatory telematics device installed and stream real-time data into a Google Cloud platform with real-time events (cross border monitoring, no-go areas and accident detections) and analytics (stops, binding spots, bases and trip details). This frequency data is event based and accumulates approximately 500-million points per month. There are currently 25-billion data points for the taxi movement for the last five years. 3.3.2 Sample and sampling method A sample consists of a portion of the target population and is carefully selected (Schindler, 2019). From the above-mentioned population, a sample was drawn of 180 respondents for the purpose of the study. Simple random sampling was the method used for this study. The participants were chosen based on availability and willingness to take part. This proved to be beneficial as surveys were handed out on location to potential respondents. According to Schindler (2019), a sample is a portion of the target population and this sample should accurately represent the population in order for data to be reliable. 31 The sample was taken from the SA Taxi database. The company currently has 32,900 minibus taxi loans on their books. The average loan has been on record for 30 months and split across the asset type new (75%) and pre-owned (25%). The book is heavily weighted towards Toyota Quantum Ses’fikile (88%) followed by Mercedes Sprinter (4%) and Nissan NV350 (3%). The loan book is spread across 26,400 customers (24% female, 76% male). The average age of a financed customer is 47 (SA Taxi, n.d.). According to the company, in terms of contact method, the communication is mainly telephonic. However, since the start of lockdown, 3,000 customers are registered on the WhatsApp platform. There are also communication channels via email and SMS. These customers are distributed nationally. Below is a table showing this distribution (SA Taxi, n,d): Table 3.1: Distribution by province 3.4 THE RESEARCH INSTRUMENT Decisions regarding the measuring of entrepreneurial orientation must be based on a firm understanding of the theoretical nature of the construct. entrepreneurial orientation as a construct is intended to measure the extent to which an organisation is entrepreneurial. Qualtrics is online software that is used to design and distribute data. The research instrument must not be too confusing or ambiguous (Schindler, 2019). 32 This survey used closed-ended questions. This requires the respondent to choose from among a given set of responses (McIntyre, 1999, p. 75). The choices form a continuum of responses. The research instrument included a seven-point Likert scale. The use of this seven-point scale will allow for a greater analysis of the respondents’ evaluation. The seven-point Likert scale is reasonable to create and is used for evaluation with regard to how much the respondent agrees or disagrees (Schindler, 2019). A seven-point Likert scale was used to test independent and dependent variables ranging from (1) Strongly disagree to (7) Strongly agree. Entrepreneurial orientation was measured using this seven-point scale adapted from Covin and Slevin (1990). The predominant way of measuring entrepreneurial orientation is using the Miller/Covin and Slevin (1989) instrument which is shown in Table 3.2 (Covin et al, 1989). The scales are chosen due to past research establishing instrument validity and reliability, which confirms that the entrepreneurial orientation factor structure is consistent with the three dimensions of innovation, risk-taking and proactiveness (Covin & Lumpkin, 2011). For the purpose of this research, each entrepreneurial orientation dimension is tested separately. The instrument was divided into blocks. Each block represented an entrepreneurial orientation construct. The instrument began with demographic questions, followed by questions on innovation, risk-taking, proactiveness and the environment, divided into blocks respectively. Table 3.2: Research instrument scales Scale Operationalisation Literature Support 33 Independent variables: Entrepreneurial orientation: innovativeness, proactiveness and risk taking. Entrepreneurial orientation is a measure of entrepreneurship in an organisation that looks at both the degree and frequency of events with respect to innovativeness, risk, and proactiveness. Frequency of entrepreneurship was measured by using summative measures of these three dimensions as they apply to the organisation. entrepreneurial orientation can be viewed as a firm’s placement along a continuum ranging from conservative to entrepreneurial. Measured along a seven point Likert scale ranging from ‘strongly disagree = (1) to strongly agree = (7)’. Covin and Lumpkin (2011); Covin et al. (1989); Lumpkin and Dess, (1996); Rauch et al., 2009.; Miller/Covin and Slevin (1989) Dependent variables: Growth performance Growth performance was operationalised as an index commonly used performance measures pertaining to performance and growth. These included items such as, profitability, number of vehicles owned growth performance was treated as a perceptive measure for the past three years (performance over three years is broad enough time-space to account for seasonal and cyclical variations in business practices and performance). Used same scale as for IVs. Lumpkin and Dess, (1996); Kreiser and Davis, (2010); Callaghan and Venter, (2011) 34 Environmental Hostility & Dynamism The environmental dimensions of dynamism and hostility are selected. This is due to the modest correlations reported between these two dimensions (Zahra, 1993). ‘Environmental dynamism (5- items) and hostility (6-items) are measured with a 7-point Likert scales’. Used same scale as for IVs. Damanpour and Schneider, (2006); Uzkurt et al., (2012), Urban and Heydenrych, (2015), Zahra, (1993). 3.5 PROCEDURE FOR DATA COLLECTION Due to Covid-19 it was not safe to collect data on the ground. Data was collected between November 2020 and December 2020. The survey was created on Qualtrics. This system was selected due to its functionality and ease of use. It is important to mention that originally this form of methodological approach was to be administered via email and WhatsApp; however, due to time constraints the rate of email addresses and WhatsApp responses were too slow. Time was allocated accordingly to collect data manually. This was done by printing out the surveys and allowing respondents to fill them out. SA Taxi allowed the use of their premises to hand out surveys and collect them at the end of the day. This took a full working week. Once all the hard copies were collected, the data was then recorded manually onto Microsoft Excel. In order to ensure ethical measures were taken into account, the respondents were not incentivised in any way to participate in this research survey. Nowhere in the survey did it require participants to fill out any personal information, to ensure the participants remained anonymous. The participants were requested to participate completely voluntarily in the survey. 35 Lastly, the first question of the survey was “I consent to participate” or “I do not consent”, which allowed the option for the respondents to ensure consent is adhered to. In addition, the participants were assured that there were no right or wrong answers and that their participation was greatly appreciated. University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, insists that all its research be conducted following the very highest ethical standards. All students who are conducting research are required to gain ethical clearance from the university in order to begin the data collection process. According to the university, if one fails to obtain ethical clearance before the research is started, then this may lead to a breach of research integrity. The ethical clearance certificate was granted by the University on 25 November 2020 and the protocol number is as follows: WBS/BA1122787/558 3.6 DATA ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION The data collected from the completed questionnaires was then analysed using Statistical Package for the Social Sciences (SPSS). SPSS is an electronic system that is especially used for descriptive statistical analysis. By using SPSS, the data from the survey can be analysed and extracted in order to obtain the data that will inform the study. Firstly, the data needs to be cleaned. This means for all the respondents that did not consent to participation, their data would be discarded. During the cleaning process the incomplete questionnaires are deleted and not be statistically analysed. The data is assessed for any missing values in the data set, meaning if a respondent did not fully answer the question it will not interfere with the data that is collected. This is done to ensure quality results. The following methods of analysis were used for the purpose of this research: 3.6.1 Descriptive statistics This method of analysis was used in order to describe the sample of the study. The demographic data collected in the survey is presented in chapter 4, sub section 4.2. The 36 demographic data is presented in charts and graphs to categorise the results. 3.6.2 Correlation analysis Correlation analysis is used to evaluate the relationship between two variables; it generally tests the direction and strength of the relationship (Newbold, et al., 2013). The correlation coefficient was used in order to assess the relationship of the three hypotheses. 3.6.3 Multiple regression models To assess the dependent variables on the three independent variables, the multiple regression tool is used. This is done to examine the independent variables in terms of the three dimensions of entrepreneurial orientation and hostility and dynamism on the dependent variable, growth performance. 3.7 Validity and reliability of research The data used for this study is data is collected using multi-item and Likert scales; therefore, it was important to ensure that the constructs were valid and scales reliable. Exploratory factor analysis was used to assess the validity of the data. There are several types of validity; however, this research concerns two major varieties being internal validity and external validity. These two varieties will be addressed: 3.7.1 External validity External validity occurs when the observed causal relationship can be generalised across persons, settings as well as times (Schindler, 2019). External validity is concerned with the ability of factors and their resulting impact on the ability to generalise the research results. External validity should allow the results of the research to be extended to the minibus taxi industry in South Africa as a whole. 3.7.2 Internal validity In contrast to the above, according to Schindler, (2019), internal validity can be defined 37 as the ability of a research instrument to measure what it is alleged to measure. This test measured how valid the survey was that was sent out to the respondents from the sample. In SPSS the validity test is done by using the Pearson Correlation. 3.7.3 Reliability Reliability is concerned with the degree to which a measurement is free of random or unstable error (Schindler, 2019). To ensure this, the research and data collected will need to be transparent and consistent. A reliability test indicated how reliable the questions are that were asked in the survey in order to ensure consistent results. These tests are important to run as questions can be valid yet not reliable. To test this in SPSS, reliability analysis was used in order to test the Cronbach Alpha score. The result indicates if the factors that are being compared are correlated. Reliable instruments can be used with assurance that there is no interference from situational or transient factors (Schindler, 2019). In the event a scale is not reliable it therefore cannot be valid. With these requirements fulfilled, the research can be considered more valid in that the data represents what it is supposed to. The next chapter presents and describes the results of the data analysis. 38 CHAPTER 4: PRESENTATION OF RESULTS 4.1 INTRODUCTION The data collection administered via the survey was broken down into various categories, starting with demographics. The demographic profile of the respondents is firstly be addressed. The demographic data includes gender, age, education, parental involvement as well as duration in the industry. This is then followed by the results pertaining to each of the hypotheses. In terms of the hypotheses for this study, there was no valid construct with regard to the environment. Therefore, the hypothesis to do with the moderating effect of environment on the relationship between each of the entrepreneurial orientation dimensions on performance could not be assessed. At the end of the data collection process, it was identified that 120 respondents provided data. Of these 120, 25 were removed because they lacked all the data points for analysis. Missing values affect the data, so the sample was made up of 95 respondents. The data was captured on Microsoft Excel and imported to the system SPSS in order to be analysed. The outputs of the analysis are presented below. 4.2 DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE OF RESPONDENTS 4.2.1 Gender With regard to the demographic data, the results presented in Figure 4.1 indicate that majority of the respondents were male (77%) while the other 23% were female (23%). 39 Figure Error! No text of specified style in document..1: Respondent gender 4.2.2 Age Figure Error! No text of specified style in document..2 presents the age distribution of the respondents. It can be noted that 95% of the respondents were 35 years or older. Only 1% were 18 – 24 years and 5% were between 25 – 34 years old. Figure Error! No text of specified style in document..2: Respondent age 77% 23% Male Female 1% 5% 15% 35% 31% 14% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 Pe rc en ta ge o f r es po nd en ts Age (years) 40 4.2.3 Education The respondents’ highest attained level of education is presented in Figure Error! No text of specified style in document..3. Close to one in every two respondents had no formal schooling (48%), followed by 41% that had grade 12 as their highest attained level of education. A proportion of 3% went to college, 5% had diplomas, while 2% of the respondents had degrees. Figure Error! No text of specified style in document..3: Highest level of education 4.2.4 Familial involvement The respondents were asked if their parents or family relatives were involved in the taxi industry. The results presented in Figure Error! No text of specified style in document..4 show that more than half of the respondents indicated that their parents or relatives were either definitely involved or probably involved in the taxi industry. 48% 41% 3% 5% 2% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% No formal schooling Grade 12 College Diploma Degree Pe rc en ta ge o f r es po nd en ts Education level 41 Figure Error! No text of specified style in document..4: Highest level of familial involvement 4.2.5 Experience The last point with regards to the demographic data regards the respondents’ involvement within the industry. Most of the respondents had been involved in the taxi industry for five years or more (88%). The results are illustrated in Figure Error! No text of specified style in document..5. Figure Error! No text of specified style in document..5: Length of time in the taxi industry 4.3 VALIDITY OF CONSTRUCTS Exploratory factor analysis (EFA) with Principal Axis Factoring method and ProMax rotation were conducted for the dependent variable separately and all the independent variable items in one model. The dependent variable EFA was conducted separately. This was due to the fact that some items from the dependent were loading together with items from the independent variable. 31% 22% 3% 2% 42% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% Definitely yes Probably yes Might or might not Probably not Definitely not Pe rc en ta ge o f r es po nd en ts Parents involved 2% 10% 88% 1-2 years 2-4 years 5 years + 42 Validity of the dependent variable The Kaiser-Meyer-Olkin Measure of Sampling Adequacy value was 0.613 as shown in Table Error! No text of specified style in document..1. This was greater than the required value of at least 0.5, indicating that the sample was adequate for conducting EFA. The Bartlett's Test of Sphericity was significant (p-value = 0.000 < 0.05). This implies that the items within the performance construct were correlated strongly enough to support the conducting of EFA. Table Error! No text of specified style in document..1: KMO and Bartlett’s test – dependent variable Table Error! No text of specified style in document..2 presents the total variance explained. The results indicate that one factor was retained as one factor had an eigen value greater than 1. The retained factor explained 63.635% of variance of the initial three items in the retained factor as shown by a cumulated initial eigenvalue percentage of 63.635. Table Error! No text of specified style in document..2: Total variance explained – dependent variable Factor Initial Eigenvalues Extraction Sums of Squared Loadings Total % of Variance Cumulative % Total % of Variance Cumulative % 1 1.909 63.635 63.635 1.503 50.089 50.089 2 .699 23.295 86.929 Kaiser-Meyer-Olkin Measure of Sampling Adequacy. .613 Bartlett's Test of Sphericity Approx. Chi-Square 59.716 df 3 Sig. .000 43 3 .392 13.071 100.000 Extraction Method: Principal Axis Factoring. The scree plot in Figure Error! No text of specified style in document..6 confirms that there was only one construct as indicated by a steep slope between factor 1 and factor 2. This shows that only one factor explained most of the variation in the initial items. Figure Error! No text of specified style in document..6: Scree plot – dependent variable The composition of the retained factor and the factor loadings are presented in Table Error! No text of specified style in document..3. It can be moted that all the three items that initially hypothesised to be in the performance were retained in the factor. All the items loaded highly onto the retained factor with a minimum factor loading of 0.518. This was greater than the minimum requirement of at least 0.4. This indicates that the performance construct was valid. 44 Table Error! No text of specified style in document..3: Factor matrix – dependent variable Factor 1 PERF1 Industry supportive .939 PERF3 It takes three years to become proficient .593 PERF2 I am satisfied with my chances of growing .518 Extraction Method: Principal Axis Factoring. a. Attempted to extract one factor. More than 25 iterations required. (Convergence=.001). Extraction was terminated. 4.3.2 Validity of the independent variables The KMO and the Bartlett's Test of Sphericity results are presented in Table Error! No text of specified style in document..4. The KMO value was 0.690, which was greater than the minimum requirement of at least 0.5. This indicates that the sample was adequate for conducting EFA. The Bartlett's Test of Sphericity was significant (p-value = 0.000 < 0.05). Thus, indicating that the items within the constructs were correlated strongly enough to support the conducting of EFA. Table Error! No text of specified style in document..4: KMO and Bartlett’s test – independent variables Kaiser-Meyer-Olkin Measure of Sampling Adequacy. .690 Bartlett's Test of Sphericity Approx. Chi-Square 255.391 df 36 45 Sig. .000 The total variance explained results shown in Table Error! No text of specified style in document..5 indicate that the EFA retained three factors instead of the four initially hypothesised independent variables and moderator variable. This is shown by three factors with eigenvalues greater than 1. The retained three factors explained 67.150% of variance of the initial items in the retained factors. This is as indicated by a cumulated initial eigenvalue percentage of 67.150. Table Error! No text of specified style in document..5: Total variance explained – independent variables Fact or Initial Eigenvalues Extraction Sums of Squared Loadings Rotation Sums of Squared Loadingsa Tota l % of Variance Cumulativ e % Total % of Variance Cumulativ e % Total 1 3.09 9 34.435 34.435 2.676 29.729 29.729 2.283 2 1.70 9 18.989 53.424 1.166 12.952 42.681 1.672 3 1.23 5 13.726 67.150 .728 8.088 50.769 1.933 4 .777 8.632 75.782 5 .604 6.711 82.493 46 6 .564 6.262 88.755 7 .439 4.879 93.634 8 .354 3.934 97.569 9 .219 2.431 100.000 Extraction Method: Principal Axis Factoring. a. When factors are correlated, sums of squared loadings cannot be added to obtain a total variance. The scree plot in Figure Error! No text of specified style in document..7 confirms that there were indeed three factors as by a steep slope between factor 1 and factor 4 and the line graph flattens after factor 4. This indicates that most of the variance was explained by the first three factors. 47 Figure Error! No text of specified style in document..7: Scree plot – Independent variables The pattern matrix presented in Table Error! No text of specified style in document..6 indicates the final construct composition for the independent variables. The innovation construct retained all the three items that were in the hypothesised construct, while the risk-taking construct had the two risk-taking items and one item that had initially been hypothesised to be in the proactive construct. Lastly the proactive construct had two items that were hypothesised to be in the proactive construct and one item that had initially been hypothesised to be in the environment construct. The items “PRO1 Technology”, and “PRO2 Regulatory” were removed during EFA because they had factor loadings less than 0.4, the minimum required factor loadings for an item to belong to a factor. The environment construct had two items only, namely “ENV1 Competitive” and “ENV2 Environment is aggressive”. These were eliminated during EFA because they were less than the minimum requirement of at least three items in a construct. Thus, there was no valid construct for environment. The retained items loaded highly (factor loading >0.4) onto their respective factors. This indicates that there were valid constructs for innovation, risk-taking, and proactiveness. 48 Table Error! No text of specified style in document..6: Pattern matrix independent variables Factor 1 2 3 Innovation INNO3 Idea Gen .81 8 INNO2 The industry is often bringing in new P/S .75 3 INNO1 I consider myself to be innovative .69 2 Risk -Taking RT2 Encouraged to take risks .705 RT1 Leaders encourage risk .664 PRO3 Opportunities .654 Proactiveness PRO4 Proactive awarded .763 ENV3 Changing environment .604 PRO5 Innovation .600 Extraction Method: Principal Axis Factoring. Rotation Method: Promax with Kaiser Normalization. 49 a. Rotation converged in 5 iterations. 4.4 RELIABILITY Cronbach’s Alpha was computed for the items retained in each construct to assess reliability of the scale. The results are presented in Table Error! No text of specified style in document..7. It can be noted that there was acceptable reliability level for each of innovation (3 items, α = 0.798), performance (3 items, α = 0.703), and risk-taking (3 items, α = 0.701) as they had Cronbach’s Alpha values greater than 0.7. There was poor reliability for proactiveness (3 items, α = 0.662) as the Cronbach’s Alpha was less than 0.7. This was, however, greater than 0.5, below which the reliability level becomes unacceptable. Since the Cronbach’s Alpha values for each of the constructs was acceptable or poor but still acceptable, a composite scale was constructed for each construct. The composite scale was computed by calculating the average of the items within each construct. Table Error! No text of specified style in document..7: Reliability of scale Construct Number of Items Cronbach's Alpha Reliability level Innovation 3 .798 Acceptable Performance 3 .703 Acceptable Risk -Taking 3 .701 Acceptable Proactiveness 3 .662 Poor 50 4.5 DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS AND CORRELATION The descriptive statistics and the Pearson’s correlation for the final constructs is presented in Table Error! No text of specified style in document..8. The results show that proactiveness (mean = 5.08 ± 1.57) was the highest rated construct followed by performance (mean = 5.06 ± 1.59), innovation (4.74 ± 1.71) and risk-taking (2.71 ± 1.54) was the lowest rated construct. The correlation results show that there was a weak positive and significant correlation between performance and each of innovation (r = 0.265, p-value < 0.01), and proactiveness (r = 0.259, p-value < 0.05). There was a weak, positive and insignificant correlation between performance risk-taking (r = 0.077, p-value > 0.05). Table Error! No text of specified style in document..8: Descriptive statistics and correlation Descriptive Statistics Pearson Correlation Construct Mean SD 1. 2. 3. 4. 1. Innovation 4.74 1.71 1 2. Risk-Taking 2.71 1.54 .250* 1 3. Proactiveness 5.08 1.57 .405** .144 1 4. Performance 5.06 1.59 .265** .077 .259* 1 *. Correlation is significant at the 0.05 level (2-tailed). **. Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed). 51 52 4.6 REGRESSION Multiple regression with innovation, risk-taking, and proactiveness as the independent variables and performance as the dependent variable was applied to assess the hypotheses. There are certain regression assumptions made and these were tested before interpreting the regression results. Regression assumptions diagnostics Test for Outliers Multiple regression and most other models require that there be no outliers (extreme values) that negatively impact on the quality of the model. This assumption was tested by plotting a boxplot for all the variables in the model. As indicated in Figure Error! No text of specified style in document..8, the set of boxplots to the left indicates that there were a few outliers for the risk-taking variable. Numbers outside the whiskers of a boxplot are outliers. All the outliers were on the higher end of the scale for the construct. The outliers were eliminated by replacing them with the next highest values that are not outliers. The boxplot to the right shows the boxplots after eliminating the outliers. It can be noted that the final constructs had no outliers. This implies that the no outlier assumption was met. The model was fitted with the variables that had no outliers. 53 Figure Error! No text of specified style in document..8: Boxplots – before and after removing outliers Test for Linearity It is also assumed that there is a at least a linear relationship between performance and each of innovation, risk-taking, and proactiveness. This was tested by plotting scatter plots as illustrated in Figure Error! No text of specified style in document..9. A line of best fit drawn within each scatter plot shows that there is a linear relationship between each independent variable and the dependent variable. This implies means that the linearity assumption was also met. Figure Error! No text of specified style in document..9: Scatter plots of independent variable against dependent variable 54 Test for normality The third assumption is the normality assumption, which assumes that the regression residuals are normally distributed. This assumption was tested by plotting a histogram on the regression standardised residuals as shown in Figure Error! No text of specified style in document..10. It can be noted that almost all the bars on the histogram fit below the superimposed normal curve. This indicates that the residuals are either normally distributed or at least approximate the normal distribution as required. This means that the normality assumption was met. 55 Figure Error! No text of specified style in document..10: Histogram of regression standardised residuals Test for multicollinearity It is assumed that there is no multicollinearity, which means that there are no independent variables that have a very strong relationship that negatively impact on the regression model. The variance inflation (VIF) values shown in Table Error! No text of specified style in document..9 are all below the cut-off of 10, above which there will be a worry about multicollinearity. This implies that the no multicollinearity assumption was also met. Table Error! No text of specified style in document..9: Test for multicollinearity Collinearity Statistics Tolerance VIF Innovation .799 1.252 56 Risk-taking .935 1.069 Proactiveness .834 1.199 Test for homoscedasticity It is also assumed that there is there no homoscedasticity, which means that the error terms are assumed to be the same for all values of the independent variables. This assumption was tested by charting a scatter plot of the regression standardised residuals against the regression standardised predicted values as indicated in Figure Error! No text of specified style in document..11. The scatter plot showed values randomly dotted around the zero line with no obvious pattern. This indicates that the homoscedasticity assumption was also met. Figure Error! No text of specified style in document..11: Scatter plot of regression standardised residuals 57 Regression results Table Error! No text of specified style in document..10 presents the regression model summary. It can be noted that proactiveness, risk-taking, innovation explained only 9.8% of variance in performance as indicated by an r-square of 0.098 shown in Table Error! No text of specified style in document..10 Table Error! No text of specified style in document..10: Model summary Mode l R R Square Adjusted R Square Std. Error of the Estimate Durbin-Watson 1 .313a .098 .068 1.53220 2.335 a. Predictors: (Constant), Proactiveness, Risk-taking, Innovation b. Dependent Variable: Performance The ANOVA shown in Table Error! No text of specified style in document..11 indicates that a model with proactiveness, risk-taking, and innovation was significant in predicting performance. This is because the p-value of the model was less than 0.05 as indicated by F(3, 91 )= 3.291, p-value = 0.024. Table Error! No text of specified style in document..11: ANOVA Model Sum of Squares df Mean Square F Sig. 1 Regression 23.176 3 7.725 3.291 .024b Residual 213.636 91 2.348 Total 236.812 94 58 a. Dependent Variable: Performance b. Predictors: (Constant), Proactiveness, risk-taking, Innovation The coefficients presented in Table Error! No text of specified style in document..12 indicate the individual contribution of each of proactiveness, risk-taking, and innovation in predicting performance. The results revealed that none of innovation (p-value = 0.091), risk-taking (p-value = 0.974), and proactiveness (p-value = 0.099) was significant in predicting performance. This is because the p-vales were greater than 0.05. Table Error! No text of specified style in document..12: Coefficients Model Unstandardised Coefficients Standardise d Coefficients t Sig. Collinearity Statistics B Std. Error Beta Toleranc e VIF 1 (Constant) 3.272 .613 5.33 8 .00 0 Innovation .177 .104 .190 1.70 9 .09 1 .799 1.25 2 Risk-taking .003 .106 .003 .032 .97 4 .935 1.06 9 Proactiveness .184 .110 .182 1.66 8 .09 9 .834 1.19 9 59 a. Dependent Variable: Performance 4.7 RESULTS PERTAINING TO HYPOTHESIS 1 H0: There is no impact between innovativeness growth performance within the South African taxi industry. H1: Innovation has a positive impact on the growth performance of the South African taxi industry. The results presented in Table Error! No text of specified style in document..12 show that although innovation (β = 0.190, t-value = 1.709, p-value = 0.091) had a positive impact on performance, the impact was not significant. The impact was positive because the coefficient of innovation (β = 0.190) was greater than zero. The impact was, however, not significant because the p-value was greater than 0.05. This shows that the null hypothesis could not be rejected at 5% significance level. This implies that there was no sufficient evidence at 5% significance level to suggest that there is a positive impact between innovativeness and growth within the South African taxi industry. 4.8 RESULTS PERTAINING TO HYPOTHESIS 2 H0: There is no impact between risk-taking and growth performance within the South African taxi industry. H2: Risk-taking has a positive impact on the growth performance of the South African taxi industry. The results presented in Table Error! No text of specified style in document..12 show that although risk-taking (β = 0.003, t-value = 0.032, p-value = 0.974) had a positive impact on performance, the impact was not significant. The impact was positive because the 60 coefficient of risk-taking (β = 0.003) was greater than zero. The impact was however not significant because the p-value was greater than 0.05. This shows that the null hypothesis could not be rejected at 5% significance level. This implies that there was no sufficient evidence at 5% significance level to suggest that there is a positive impact between risk-taking and growth within the South African taxi industry. 4.9 RESULTS PERTAINING TO HYPOTHESIS 3 H0: There is no impact between proactiveness and growth within the South African taxi industry. H3: Proactiveness has a positive impact on the growth performance of the South African taxi industry. The results presented in Table Error! No text of specified style in document..12 show that although proactiveness (β = 0.182, t-value = 1.668, p-value = 0.099) had a positive impact on performance, the impact was not significant. The impact was positive because the coefficient of proactiveness (β = 0.182) was greater than zero. The impact was, however, not significant because the p-value was greater than 0.05. This shows that the null hypothesis could not be rejected at 5% significance level. This implies that there was no sufficient evidence at 5% significance level to suggest that there is a positive relationship between proactiveness and growth within the South African taxi industry. 4.10 SUMMARY OF THE HYPOTHESES Table Error! No text of specified style in document..13: Summary Hypothesis Supported/ Not Significant/ Not H1 Innovation has a positive impact on the growth performance of the South African taxi industry. Supported Not Significant 61 H2 Risk-taking has a positive impact on the growth performance of the South African taxi industry. Supported Not Significant H3 Proactiveness has a positive impact on the growth performance of the South African taxi industry. Supported Not Significant 62 CHAPTER 5: DISCUSSION OF THE RESULTS 5.1 INTRODUCTION This chapter is the discussion of the results as well as an explanation of the findings with reference to the relevant literature. First, the demographic profile of the respondents of the sample will be addressed. This will include the findings and any comparison as to what was planned to be obtained and what was indeed obtained. Differences will be explained accordingly. Second, a discussion pertaining to each of the hypotheses in relation to the literature will follow. Only the three hypotheses concerning the dimensions of entrepreneurial orientation will be discussed. As previously highlighted in chapter 4, there was no valid construct for the environment. The discussion of the results will therefore not include hypotheses 4 and 5, as the requirements for analysis were not met. 5.2 DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE OF RESPONDENTS 5.2.1 Gender The sample size is reflective of the industry as a whole. It is majority male orientated. However, 23% of the respondents were female. This indicates that although the industry is male dominated by an overwhelming majority, there is female involvement. The sample size therefore coincides with SA Taxi’s loan book that is spread across 26,400 customers of whom 24% are female, and a majority of 76% are male (SA Taxi, n.d.). Despite being a male-orientated industry, the results coincide with a growing female base. ‘SA Taxi has increased its female client base by an average of 4.5% per annum’, (SA Taxi, n.d.). Thus, indicating a growing inclination towards female involvement. 5.2.2 Age 63 The average age of a financed customer is 47 (SA Taxi, n.d.). In terms of the age demographic, the results indicate that most of the respondents fall into the category of 35 and above. Only 1% of the respondents were between 18 and 24. This indicates that the industry is not majority youth based but instead tends toward an older age group. The findings are therefore consistent with regard to the sample size of a majority being over 47 years old. 5.2.3 Education This industry is not one that is founded upon high levels of education. A staggering statistic from the data collected highlights that most of respondents had no formal schooling (48%). Grade 12, the highest level of school education, was attained by 41% of the respondents. This industry can therefore be said to be an opportunity for those who are lacking formal education to create an income. College or university is therefore not a necessary requirement for entry into the industry. 5.2.4 Familial involvement Being an unregulated industry, the means of entry is not linear. However, 53% of the respondents indicate some familiar involvement in the industry. This indicates some type of a grounding based on familial expertise. 5.2.5 Experience The results indicate with an overwhelmingly high majority that the respondents have been involved for over five years. Hardly any of the respondents were newcomers into the industry. Being an unregulated industry, level of entry and experience coincide. 64 5.3 DISCUSSION PERTAINING TO HYPOTHESIS 1 H1: Innovation has a positive impact on the growth performance of the South African taxi industry. Research findings showed that entrepreneurial orientation generally has a positive effect on business performance in the United States, Europe and other developed countries (Hughes & Hosman, 2012). However, several studies, like that of Wiklund and Shepherd (2005) show that these studies are context sensitive. This is in line with the findings of this research. The results indicate that, although there is a positive impact between innovation and growth performance, the impact is not significant. However, there is an impact between the independent variable, innovation, and dependent variable, growth performance. This is shown in the results as when innovation increases so too does growth performance. The findings for this hypothesis show a weak positive relationship between innovativeness and growth performance within the South African taxi industry. The results are not strong enough for generalising the same findings for the entire population. Therefore, it can be deduced that there is no general concrete evidence to imply that innovation is guaranteed to be related to growth performance within this industry. There is agreement in previous literature that entrepreneurial orientation positively influences industry performance (Rauch et al., 2009). ‘Of the original three dimensions that constitute the entrepreneurial orientation construct, innovativeness is the one dimension that meets with the greatest degree of consensus regarding its positive relationship with firm growth performance’ (Rauch et al., 2009:779). ‘Moreno and Casillas (2008, p. 507) state that strategy of innovation in new products and new processes has a positive and significant influence on an industries growth rate’. 65 However, these studies have largely been done in developed economies, leaving a gap in the research with regard to developing economies (Gupta & Batra, 2015). In terms of the South African minibus taxi industry, as in many other African countries, minibuses dominate the public transport space. ‘Critical to an understanding of the minibus taxi industry is the fact that the industry is very dynamic – it is not easy to understand, and is also dangerous’ (Karol, 2006). The industry is said to be very complicated in how it operates. According to President Cyril Ramaphosa (2020), the industry is acknowledged as being the lifeblood of the South African public transport system. At the Taxi Lekgotla in 2020 it was stated that government have an ‘aspiration to see the minibus taxi industry overcome its challenges, adapt in response to the demands of modern public transportation, and ultimately to grow and thrive’. In order for this to be achieved, government acknowledge that at the core of their endeavours is formalisation, regulation and economic empowerment (Taxi Lekgotla, 2020). The Lekgotla further states that