Earnings management by banks operating in emerging markets - The case of BRICS countries Relebohile Tigeli A research report submitted to the University of the Witwatersrand, Faculty of Commerce, Law and Management in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Management in Finance and Investment Supervisor Professor Thabang Mokoaleli-Mokoteli Date 22 May 2024 ii DECLARATION I, Relebohile Tigeli, solemnly affirm that the Research Report submitted herein embodies my intellectual efforts. This work, to the best of my knowledge, is original and has not been published or submitted elsewhere. This report is being tendered to partially fulfill the academic requirements for the Degree of Master of Management in Finance and Investment at the esteemed Wits Business School (WBS), University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg. I have ensured that any literature, data, or works referenced in this report, which is the intellectual property of others, have been appropriately cited and acknowledged in the reference section. Furthermore, I declare that I have received authorization from a panel constituted by the research committee of the WBS to undertake this research. This work has not been previously submitted for any degree or examination at any other University. Signed: _______________________________________ ________________day of_____________________20________________in_____________ 22 MAY 24 MASERU iii DEDICATION This work is first and foremost dedicated to God, the source of my strength and wisdom. Without His guidance, this journey would not have been possible. To my beloved family, this achievement is a testament to your unwavering support and love. To my parents, Malebakeng and Hlapane Tigeli, who have always believed in my dreams and took care of my precious daughter, Keratiole “Kierra” Tigeli, while I embarked on this academic journey. Your sacrifices have not gone unnoticed and this achievement is as much yours as it is mine. To my sister, Jabs, your belief in me and your daily encouragement have been my pillars of strength. You have walked this journey with me, hand in hand, from the sleepless nights preparing for tests and exams to the finish line. Your support has been invaluable. To all my siblings, Baxx, Lee, Boet Kay, Malo, and Diva, your encouraging words and belief in my dream have been a source of motivation. Your faith in me has propelled me forward. To my partner, my number one supporter and cheerleader, your belief in me surpasses my own at times. Your unwavering support has been a beacon of light in this journey. Lastly, to my daughter, Kiky (Kierra), thank you for your understanding and support while mummy was away. Your love and encouragement have been my driving force. This achievement is dedicated to you. May the experience of pursuing dreams and passions firsthand illuminate your path. May this sacrifice plant a seed in you that will propel your wings to fly today and in the future. This work is a testament to the power of dreams, the importance of family, and the strength of the human spirit. It is a reminder that with God, supportive loved ones, and a steadfast belief in oneself, anything is possible. iv ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS I extend my heartfelt gratitude to Professor Thabang Mokoaleli-Mokoteli, my esteemed supervisor, whose unwavering support and guidance were instrumental in shaping every facet of this research endeavor. Her expertise in the field, insightful feedback, and commitment to academic excellence have been invaluable. Her ability to challenge my thinking, while also providing constructive criticism, has significantly enhanced the quality of my work. I am truly grateful for the privilege of working under her mentorship and the knowledge and skills I have gained throughout this journey. I am deeply indebted to the Central Bank of Lesotho for providing me with the opportunity to pursue my master’s degree on a full-time basis. Their generous support, both financially and in granting study leave, made it possible for me to fully immerse myself in the academic pursuit of knowledge. This experience has been transformative, and I am thankful for the Central Bank’s commitment to fostering continuous learning and professional development. A special acknowledgment goes to my colleague and companion on this academic journey, Khaitseli (Katleho Mphuthing). From navigating challenging modules to the intricate process of research report writing, Khaitseli has been a supportive teammate, sharing the highs and lows of this academic expedition. The camaraderie and collaborative spirit brought immense joy to the entire research experience. I would also like to express my gratitude to the Wits Business School research panel committee and Ms. Meisie Moya, the Programme Manager, for their unwavering support and guidance. Their contributions have enriched this research project. Finally, I extend my deepest thanks to my family and friends for their unwavering encouragement and understanding throughout this academic pursuit. Their patience and belief in my aspirations have been a source of inspiration. This research would not have been possible without the collective support of these individuals and organizations. Thank you for being integral parts of this academic milestone. v ABSTRACT This study was motivated by the intriguing phenomenon of earnings management within commercial banks, particularly in the BRICS nations. The choice of BRICS countries was driven by their significant role in the global economy and their unique challenges regarding regulatory practices and economic structures. The primary objective of this study is to investigate the extent and strategies of earnings manipulation within BRICS commercial banks, shedding light on both its motivation and the factors that drive such behaviour. Utilizing the Beneish Manipulation Score (M-score) model, the study identifies earnings manipulators from non-manipulators. Through the panel regression, the study elucidates the underlying objective of earnings manipulation and the factors influencing such behaviour. The findings reveal that some banks manipulate their earnings, however, this phenomena is observed in less than 30% of the sampled banks. Notably, the identified purposes for such manipulation include income smoothing, capital management, and signaling strategies. Moreover, the findings also highlight the pivotal role Factors such as management compensation, firm size, and profitability act as catalysts for earnings management, while high leverage and superior audit quality serve as deterrents. Despite the growing body of literature on earnings management, there is a noticeable gap in research focusing on BRICS nations. This study addresses this gap and underscores the need for regulatory authorities to re-assess management compensation structures, enforce stricter auditing requirements, and monitor banks’ profitability metrics. It emphasizes the importance of a robust accounting framework and stringent auditing practices for ensuring transparency and accountability in the banking sector of BRICS countries. To our knowledge, this is the first study to examine the extent, strategies, and influencing factors of earnings management within commercial banks in BRICS nations, offering valuable insights for policy formulation. vi Table of Contents DECLARATION ............................................................................................................................................... ii DEDICATION ................................................................................................................................................. iii ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS ................................................................................................................................ iv ABSTRACT ...................................................................................................................................................... v LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS AND SYMBOLS .................................................................................................... viii LIST OF FIGURES AND TABLES ....................................................................................................................... x CHAPTER 1 .................................................................................................................................................... 1 1.1 Introduction .......................................................................................................................... 1 1.2 Background of the Study ....................................................................................................... 1 1.3 Problem Statement ............................................................................................................... 5 1.4 Research Objectives and Questions ...................................................................................... 7 1.5 Significance of the Study ....................................................................................................... 8 1.6 Benefits of the Study ............................................................................................................. 9 1.7 Structure of the Thesis .......................................................................................................... 9 Chapter Summary ........................................................................................................................... 10 CHAPTER 2 LITERATURE REVIEW ........................................................................................................... 11 2.1 Introduction ........................................................................................................................ 11 2.2 Theoretical Underpinning ................................................................................................... 11 2.2.1 Information Asymmetry .................................................................................................. 11 2.2.2 Agency Theory ................................................................................................................. 13 2.3 The Role of Accounting ....................................................................................................... 16 2.3.1 The Role of the Auditor ................................................................................................... 18 2.4 Earnings Management ........................................................................................................ 19 2.5 Reasons for Earnings Management .................................................................................... 20 2.6 Methods Used in Earnings Management ............................................................................ 21 2.7 Methods to Detect Earnings Management ......................................................................... 23 2.8 Earnings Management and Corporate Governance ........................................................... 23 2.9 Factors Influencing Earnings Management ........................................................................ 25 2.10 Impact and Consequences of Earnings Management in Banks .......................................... 27 CHAPTER 3 METHODOLOGY .................................................................................................................. 29 3.1 Introduction ........................................................................................................................ 29 3.2 Data and Data Sources ........................................................................................................ 29 vii 3.3 Research Design .................................................................................................................. 29 3.3.1 Detecting earnings management by banks in emerging markets .................................. 29 3.3.2 Determining factors influencing earnings management. ............................................... 31 3.3.3 Variable definition ........................................................................................................... 32 Chapter Summary ........................................................................................................................... 35 CHAPTER 4 RESEARCH FINDINGS ........................................................................................................... 36 4.1 Introduction ........................................................................................................................ 36 4.2 Univariate analysis .............................................................................................................. 36 4.3 Detection of earnings manipulation using M-score ........................................................... 41 4.4 Determining the purpose of earnings manipulation .......................................................... 45 4.5 Factors influencing earnings manipulation ......................................................................... 48 Chapter Summary ........................................................................................................................... 50 CHAPTER 5 DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION .......................................................................................... 51 5.1 Introduction ........................................................................................................................ 51 5.2 Discussion of the Findings ................................................................................................... 51 5.3 Conclusion ........................................................................................................................... 54 REFERENCES ................................................................................................................................................ 56 viii LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS AND SYMBOLS AAA American Accounting Association ABEM Accrual-Based Earnings Management ADF Augmented Dickey-Fuller AQI Asset Quality Index AUDITQUALITY Measured by Auditor Independence Rotation BOARD Board Size BRICS Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa COMP Management Compensation DEPI Depreciation Index DSRI Day Sales in Receivables Index EBTP Earnings Before Taxes and Provisions EM Earnings Management FEM Fixed Effects Model FSIZE Firm Size GAAP Generally Accepted Accounting Principles GMI Gross Margin Index GMM Generalized Method of Moments H₀ Null Hypothesis H₁ Alternative Hypothesis I(0) Order of Integration at level I(1) Order of Integration at first difference IASB International Accounting Standards Board IFRS International Financial Reporting Standards ITC International Trade Commission LEVERAGE Financial Leverage LEVI Leverage Index ix LLP Loan Loss Provision LM Lagrange Multiplier LOAN Total Customer Loans M-score Manipulation Score NPL Non-performing Loans POLS Pooled or Panel Least Squares PROFIT Profitability R&D Research & Development REM Random Effects Model REM Real Activities Earnings Management SA & G Selling, Administration & General Expenses SGAI Sales General and Administrative Expenses Index SGI Sales Growth Index SIGN One Year Ahead Change in Earnings Before Taxes and Provisions T1 Tier 1 Capital TATA Total Accrual to Total Assets ΔGDP Real Gross Domestic Product Growth Rate ε Error Term μ Residual or Error Term x LIST OF FIGURES AND TABLES Figure 1 Year-on-year descriptive stats plot over the sample period Figure 2 BRICS descriptive plot of variables per country Table 1 Yearly variable descriptives Table 2 Description of variables by country Table 3 Augmented Dickey-Fuller test for each variable Table 4 M-score of likely and unlikely manipulators Table 5 Persistence in the manipulation by BRICS banks Table 6 Test of Income smoothing, Capital Management and Signaling over the sample period for bank likely manipulators and unlikely manipulators Table 7 Factors influencing earnings manipulation over the sample period 1 CHAPTER 1 1.1 Introduction This chapter introduces earnings management and its significance in the banking sector, especially in an emerging market context. This chapter is organized as follows: Section 1.2 presents the background. Section 1.3 discusses the research problem. Section 1.4 outlines the research objectives. Section 1.5 presents the gap in the literature. Section 1.6 discusses the benefits of the study. Section 1.7 presents the structure of the thesis, and the chapter summary concludes the chapter. 1.2 Background of the Study Financial reporting is a fundamental process in the banking sector, providing stakeholders with crucial information about a bank’s financial performance and position. Accurate and reliable financial reports are vital for making informed decisions, such as whether to invest in the bank or assess its creditworthiness and compliance with regulatory requirements. Over the years, the concept of financial reporting has evolved significantly, driven by the increasing complexity of financial transactions and the need for greater transparency and accountability. The introduction of accounting and reporting standards such as the International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) has been a major development in this field. These standards were designed to ensure the quality, transparency, consistency, and comparability of financial reporting globally (Palea, 2013). The use of IFRS in banks, particularly IFRS 9 Financial Instruments, has had a profound impact on the way banks account for financial instruments. This standard deals with the classification and measurement of financial assets and liabilities, impairment of financial assets, and hedge accounting. It introduces an expected credit loss model for recognizing loss allowance to financial assets, which can have a significant impact on banks’ reported financial position. Empirical studies have shown that the adoption of IFRS improves the quality of financial statements, enhancing the comparability and reliability of financial information across different jurisdictions (Iatridis, 2010). Auditors play a vital role in the financial reporting process by independently examining and verifying the accuracy and fairness of a bank's financial statements. They conduct audits in accordance with relevant auditing standards, such as the International Standards on Auditing (ISA), and provide an objective opinion on whether the financial statements present a true and fair view of the bank's financial position and performance (Krishnan, 2009). This independent verification enhances the credibility and reliability of financial reports, thus increasing investor confidence and contributing to the stability of the financial system. 2 Earnings figures contained in the annual reports are a cornerstone of financial information, providing valuable information about a company’s financial health and performance to investors and other stakeholders (Chen et al., 2010). They serve as a primary source of financial information in capital markets and act as a good indicator of a company’s future cash flows and its going concern status. However, the integrity of these earnings figures can sometimes be compromised by a practice known as earnings management. This involves the use of discretion by managers in financial reporting and transaction structuring to alter financial reports. Managers tend to manipulate company earnings for various reasons, including misleading stakeholders about the company’s true economic performance or influencing contractual outcomes tied to reported accounting figures. Often, managers employ this practice to achieve specific earnings targets or objectives (Jones, 1991; Burgstahler et al., 2006). The concept of earnings management has been extensively studied in the literature, with seminal works by (Healy & Wahlen, 1998) providing a comprehensive overview of the methods and implications of this practice. In the banking sector, earnings management can occur through various channels. Managers may select accounting procedures and accruals that maximize the value of their bonus awards when based on earnings-based bonus schemes (Healy, 1985). The executives of banks may engage in income-increasing opportunities to maximize the compensation packages that are linked to the bank’s performance (Klein, 2002). Furthermore, banks may engage in earnings management when in need of external financing, they may present low credit risk and higher reported income to attract more depositors (Kanagaretnam et al., 2004). There are various techniques used in earnings management, some of which have been the subject of extensive empirical research. Techniques such as window dressing and the creation of secret reserves are used to adjust a company’s financial statements to present a favorable financial position at the reporting date. For example, a company might postpone payments to suppliers so that the bank balance will be high at the end of the reporting period. Another example is when a company changes the valuation of inventories to increase or decrease profits. In banks, one common technique is the manipulation of loan loss reserves and provisions to influence reported profitability and credit risk. Off-balance sheet transactions, such as securitizations or special purpose entities, are another method used to manipulate financial results by affecting the recognition and disclosure of assets, liabilities, and income. These techniques can give stakeholders a misleading impression of the bank’s performance. Furthermore, banks may engage in regulatory arbitrage, taking advantage of gaps or inconsistencies in regulations to achieve their desired accounting results. For example, banks can issue securities to increase regulatory capital, while repurchasing common stock, allowing them to manage their risk. This often causes concerns about 3 whether banks are following regulations properly and can make it difficult for regulatory authorities to assess the financial risks present in banks. The motivation for earnings management in the banking sector is multifaceted. At its core, it often lies in the desire for managers to meet or beat earnings benchmarks, such as analyst forecasts or prior-year earnings (Dechow et al., 2012). This can be achieved by intentionally manipulating earnings to create a more consistent and predictable pattern, which can enhance the perceived financial stability of the bank and attract potential investors. Another significant motive for earnings management is to avoid regulatory scrutiny and intervention. By presenting a more favorable view of the company’s financial position, managers can potentially avoid regulatory action that could disrupt the bank’s operations or negatively impact its reputation. Additionally, managers may manipulate financial records for their gain, which can result in higher bonuses or other forms of compensation linked to the performance of the bank (Schipper, 1989). These practices can boost the value of the company by presenting a more favorable view of its financial position, potentially attracting investment and increasing the company’s stock price. Earnings management is particularly important in the banking industry, especially in emerging market economies. Banks play a vital as intermediaries, taking savings from individuals and businesses and directing them toward investments and productive activities (Allen et al., 2014). They provide credit to entrepreneurs and businesses, allocate capital to different sectors of the economy, and offer essential payment and settlement services. As a result, the financial health and reporting practices of banks can have a significant impact on overall economic stability (Bushman & Williams, 2012). The emerging markets environment is a good laboratory to assess earnings management because of the unique and sometimes weak economic, regulatory, and institutional features that characterize emerging markets, which may create incentives and opportunities for earnings management practices (W. Li et al., 2017). These markets often have less mature regulatory frameworks, weaker enforcement mechanisms, and information asymmetry, which can enable banks to engage in earnings management more easily (Leuz et al., 2003). South Africa’s banking sector, in particular, provides an intriguing case study for examining earnings management. The country has a dynamic emerging market economy with a mix of local and international banks operating within its borders. However, recent developments such as the global financial crisis, increasing regulatory scrutiny, and challenges in the domestic economic environment have placed pressure on banks to maintain profitability while adhering to strict reporting standards (Chaity & Islam, 2021). For example, an increase in cybercrime over the past few years posed a significant challenge 4 to the South African banking industry, which in turn increases the concern around the potential earnings management practices that distort the true financial position of banks, is a significant concern. Earnings management in banks is not just a matter of academic interest; it can lead to systemic risk and jeopardize the stability of the financial system (Ceccobelli & Giosi, 2019). This is because banks play a crucial role in the economy, and any instability in the banking sector can have far-reaching effects. For instance, earnings management can distort the true financial position of banks, leading to the misallocation of resources and potentially causing financial crises. Recognizing the critical nature of this issue, various stakeholders, including regulators and investors, have a vested interest in closely monitoring the financial reporting practices of banks to ensure transparency and accountability (Chaity & Islam, 2021). This is particularly important in the context of emerging markets, where regulatory frameworks may be less developed and enforcement mechanisms may be weaker. By exploring the prevalence of earnings management in the banking sector with a particular focus on emerging markets, this research aims to contribute to the existing literature by providing insights into the financial reporting practices of banks operating in these markets. Specifically, it aims to provide a comprehensive understanding of earnings management practices within the BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) banking sector. The BRICS countries represent some of the largest and most influential emerging markets in the world and their banking sectors play a crucial role in their respective economies. They encompass about 26% of the world’s land area and 42% of the world’s population, with a combined GDP of about 25% of the global economy (Aaron, 2022). Understanding the prevalence, motivations, and factors driving earnings management practices in this sector is essential for ensuring the integrity of financial reporting, promoting investor confidence, and maintaining stability in emerging market economies. Earnings management practices can vary significantly across different countries and regions due to differences in regulatory environments, corporate governance structures, and cultural norms. By focusing on the BRICS countries, this research aims to shed light on the unique characteristics and challenges of earnings management in these major emerging economies. This research will delve into the specific techniques used for earnings management in these countries, the regulatory environment that may enable or constrain such practices, and the potential impacts on the financial health and stability of banks in these markets. The findings of this research could provide valuable insights for policymakers, regulators, and investors, and contribute to the development of more effective strategies for mitigating the risks associated with earnings management in the BRICS banking sector. 5 1.3 Problem Statement Accounting information plays an important role in addressing the information problems that arise between borrowers and depositors in banks. Banks hold loans, which are typically long-term assets, while their deposits are short-term liabilities. This creates a maturity mismatch that can expose banks to the risk of runs if the value of their assets falls below the value of their depositors’ claims (Diamond & Dybvig, 1983). Accounting information is essential for addressing this risk by providing transparent and reliable information about the bank’s financial position and performance. Additionally, accounting information is essential for the prudential regulation of banks. Regulators use accounting information to set capital requirements and assess banks’ compliance with regulatory standards. Accurate and reliable accounting information is vital for ensuring the safety and soundness of the banking system. Extant literature confirms that banks engage in earnings management practices, including manipulating loan loss provisions. This practice compromises the accuracy and reliability of the bank’s accounting information which in turn undermines the ability of depositors and regulators to assess the bank’s financial position and performance, potentially increasing the risk of runs and regulatory failures. The BRICS nations - Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa - play a significant role in the global economy, accounting for a sizable proportion of the world’s population and are projected to remain the main drivers of growth in the world economy by 2030. As emerging economies, they exert a considerable impact on global trade and economic growth. However, each of these nations faces unique challenges in terms of regulatory practices and economic structures, making them compelling subjects for study. Earnings management practices in banks can involve a variety of techniques and this study focuses on income smoothing, capital management, and signaling. Income smoothing involves manipulating reported earnings to create a more consistent pattern by deferring profits in good periods to a period when the bank will make losses, potentially hiding the true volatility of the bank’s performance. Stakeholders may perceive banks with stable earnings as less risky (Gebhardt & Novotny-Farkas, 2011). Regulatory capital requirements serve as a safeguard to ensure that banks have sufficient reserves to absorb losses arising from credit risk, such as the risk of default. However, it is important to note that some banks may engage in capital management practices, such as manipulating provisions for non- performing loans, to meet regulatory requirements and present a more favorable financial picture. This highlights the importance of vigilant oversight and enforcement of regulatory standards to ensure the accuracy and reliability of financial reporting. Signaling refers to the use of earnings management 6 practices to convey private information to the market. Banks may engage in this practice to signal private information to reflect their financial strength or prospects to investors. By engaging in these practices, banks can influence the perceptions of stakeholders and the consequences may be significant. (Ozili, 2021) found that African banks audited by a Big 4 auditor use loan loss provisions to smooth income, especially during recessionary periods. This suggests that banks may engage in earnings management practices to present a more stable financial performance to stakeholders. (Amidu & Kuipo, 2015) found that almost all the 330 banks in the 29 African countries sampled engaged in some management of their earnings during the period 2002-2009, with bank activity mix and funding models explaining bank earnings quality. These findings highlight the widespread nature of earnings management practices in African banks and suggest that factors such as bank activity mix and funding models may play a role in driving such behavior. Despite these studies, there seems to be a need to continuously understand the magnitude of the earnings management phenomena by banks in different emerging market environments characterized by weak institutions, low economic growth, and weak legal systems. Understanding earnings management by banks in emerging markets is imperative as banks serve as key intermediaries by mobilizing savings from individuals and businesses and channeling them toward investment and productive activities (Allen et al., 2014). They facilitate credit provision to entrepreneurs and businesses, allocate capital to different sectors of the economy, and provide essential payment and settlement services (Allen & Santomero, 2001). This fosters innovation, entrepreneurship, infrastructure, and economic development. Consequently, the financial well-being and reporting practices of banks have far-reaching implications for overall economic stability (Bushman & Williams, 2012). Therefore, there is a pressing need to understand the extent of earnings management in these emerging markets and its drivers. This study aims to address this gap, providing valuable insights that can inform policy formulation and regulatory practices, ensuring that earnings management does not become economically destructive. By doing so, this study will contribute to enhancing the safety and soundness of the banking system in these critical economies. This makes the study of earnings management in BRICS a critical and urgent matter. Banks may engage in earnings management practices to signal stability, attract investors, influence stock prices, or comply with regulatory requirements (Kanagaretnam et al., 2004). However, manipulating earnings can distort the perception of a bank’s financial health and solvency, potentially misleading stakeholders and causing systemic risks (Bushman & Williams, 2012). Moreover, it can misallocate capital and resources, as investors rely on financial statements and information for decision-making (Leuz et al., 7 2003). Earnings management practices can have far-reaching consequences for financial stability, investor confidence, and the efficient allocation of resources (Bushman & Williams, 2012). When banks engage in earnings management, it can have a negative impact on their efficiency and increase systemic risk. (Chaity & Islam, 2021) found that an increase in the practice of earnings management leads to a significant reduction in banks’ efficiency. This is because earnings management can distort the true economic performance of the bank, making it more difficult for managers to make informed decisions and allocate resources efficiently. Earnings management can also increase systemic risk by obscuring the true level of risk present in the banking system. If banks engage in practices such as manipulating loan loss reserves or using off-balance sheet transactions to hide risks, this can make it more difficult for regulators to accurately assess the level of systemic risk and respond appropriately to mitigate it. Policy-makers and investors need, to name a few, to understand the extent of earnings management in emerging markets and its drivers so that appropriate policies can be adopted to ensure that this practice does not become economically destructive. 1.4 Research Objectives and Questions The objectives of this study are outlined as follows:  To assess the extent to which banks in emerging markets engage in earnings management practices.  To investigate the earnings management strategies used by banks in emerging markets.  To establish the factors (regulatory, institutional, economic) that drive the earnings management by banks in emerging markets. The related research questions are stated as follows:  To what extent do banks in emerging markets engage in earnings management practices?  What are the strategies used by banks in emerging markets to manage earnings?  What are the regulatory, institutional, and economic factors that influence earnings management in emerging markets? 8 1.5 Significance of the Study Earnings management in banks has been a topic of interest for researchers, with numerous studies conducted in both developed and emerging markets. In developed countries, studies have found that earnings management through discretionary loan loss provisions can negatively affect the efficiency of banks. For example, (Proença et al., 2023) found that discretionary loan loss provisions negatively affected the efficiency of Eurozone banks. However, when non-discretionary provisions were included, the impact of loan provisions on allocative efficiency was positive. This highlights the importance of properly defining earnings management when analyzing its effect on banking efficiency. In emerging markets, research on earnings management in banks is less extensive. (Lassoued et al., 2017) investigated the relationship between ownership structure and earnings management in the banking industry of emerging markets. The findings are that banks with more concentrated ownership use discretionary loan loss provisions to manage earnings. (Y. Li et al., 2018) conducted a study to examine the effect of real earnings management on bank lending decisions in China. Their findings indicate that firms engaging in higher levels of real earnings management were able to secure more loans at lower costs, suggesting that banks may not be effective in detecting such practices. Additionally, (Ujah et al., 2017) investigated the relationship between bank structure, earnings management, and bank performance in international markets, with a focus on non-foreign banks in emerging countries. The study found that bank market structure and earnings management negatively affect bank performance, especially in banks with higher levels of concentration and earnings management. Despite these studies, there remains a gap in the literature on the prevalence and strategies used by banks in emerging markets to manage earnings. The gap further extends to the factors (regulatory, institutional, and economic) that drive earnings management by banks in emerging markets. This study aims to fill this gap by conducting a comprehensive analysis of earnings management practices in emerging markets looking at the BRICS countries' banks, by examining their prevalence, motives, and factors that drive earnings management by banks in emerging markets. Despite the importance of accurate and reliable accounting information for ensuring the safety and soundness of the banking system, research into earnings management practices in emerging markets, especially in BRICS, is limited. As far as we know, this is the first study to assess the prevalence of earnings management practices in the BRICS countries. This gap in the literature limits our understanding of earnings management practices in BRICS banks and their potential consequences for the banking system. Manipulating earnings can distort the perception of a bank’s financial health and solvency, potentially 9 misleading stakeholders and causing systemic risks (Bushman & Williams, 2012). Moreover, it can misallocate capital and resources, as investors rely on financial statements for decision-making (Leuz et al., 2003). Therefore, understanding the nature, extent, and consequences of earnings management is crucial for ensuring transparency, accountability, and stability in the banking sector. 1.6 Benefits of the Study The research findings may have significant implications for various stakeholders including, policymakers, banks, investors, and academics. For regulators and policymakers, the study provides insights into the effectiveness of existing regulations and highlights areas where regulatory reforms may be needed to mitigate earnings management practices (Leuz et al., 2003). By understanding how banks engage in earnings management and the impact of these practices on financial reporting and stability, policymakers can develop effective regulatory frameworks to promote transparency and reduce systemic risks. Banks can gain insights into the consequences of earnings management practices and the importance of transparent financial reporting in building trust and credibility (Kanagaretnam et al., 2004). Banks can develop effective internal controls and risk management strategies to ensure the accuracy and reliability of their financial reporting. For investors, the study can reveal the risks associated with investing in banks and provide insights into how banks engage in earnings management practices so that they can make informed decisions (Bushman & Williams, 2012). Overall, this research contributes to the academic literature on earnings management in emerging markets, specifically in the BRICS countries' banking sector. It addresses a knowledge gap and provides valuable insights into the motivations, techniques, and consequences of earnings management practices. 1.7 Structure of the Thesis The final thesis will be structured as follows: Chapter two, delves into a comprehensive review of the existing literature on earnings management, highlighting key findings and gaps in the current understanding. Chapter three outlines the methodology employed in our research, including a description of the data sources, sample selection criteria, and analytical techniques used. This allows for an in-depth exploration of our research. Chapter 4 presents the research results and Chapter 5 discusses the findings in relation to the existing literature and concludes the research. 10 Chapter Summary Chapter 1 of the thesis provides an introduction to the topic of earnings management in banks, with a focus on emerging markets, particularly BRICS countries. The chapter discusses the background of the study, highlighting the importance of financial reporting in banks and the potential consequences of earnings management. The problem statement highlights the limited research into the prevalence and motivations of earnings management in emerging markets. The research objectives and questions aim to assess the extent to which banks in emerging markets manage their earnings, to investigate the earnings management strategies used by these banks, and to establish the regulatory, institutional, and economic factors that drive earnings management by banks in emerging markets. The significance of the study is discussed, highlighting its potential contributions to the development of effective measures to address earnings management practices. The benefits of the study are outlined, including its potential implications for various stakeholders such as regulators, policymakers, banks, investors, and academics. Finally, the structure of the thesis is presented, outlining its organization into five chapters. 11 CHAPTER 2 LITERATURE REVIEW 2.1 Introduction This literature review aims to provide a comprehensive analysis of earnings management. The review begins by examining the subject's theoretical foundations, focusing on Information asymmetry and Agency Theory. Subsequently, it scrutinizes the role of accounting, including an evaluation of the impact of accounting standards on the quality of financial statements, an exploration of management discretion in accounting, and an assessment of the function of auditors. The review then proceeds to investigate earnings management in general and in the banking sector, including an analysis of the motivations for its use and the methods employed. Furthermore, it examines techniques for detecting earnings management. It also evaluates the interplay between earnings management and corporate governance and the factors that influence earnings management. Finally, the review concludes by discussing the ramifications and consequences of earnings management. 2.2 Theoretical Underpinning 2.2.1 Information Asymmetry The separation of ownership is common in companies where different individuals hold ownership and control. In such a situation, managers look after the firm and have access to all the information related to the business, while owners depend upon the managers to get this information. This can result in information asymmetry, where the information may not reach the shareholders in the same manner as it does the managers (Panda & Leepsa, 2017). Due to this imbalance in information access, managers possess greater information asymmetry. This can lead to a divergence of interests between shareholders and managers, where managers may exploit their informational advantage and manipulate financial results for personal gain (Steyn & Stainbank, 2013). For example, Enron Corporation is a well-known case where managers used their informational advantage to manipulate financial results for personal gain, which led to the collapse of the company and significant losses to the shareholders. The theory of information asymmetry owes its development to the seminal contributions of three distinguished economists: George Akerlof, Michael Spence, and Joseph Stiglitz. Their collective work has provided a comprehensive theoretical framework that has greatly enhanced our understanding of this phenomenon. (Akerlof, 1970) introduced the concept of information asymmetry. He posited that in many 12 markets, such as those for used cars or insurance, sellers often possess more information about the product or service than buyers. This imbalance of information can lead to a market failure, where high- quality goods are driven out of the market, leaving only the inferior products, or ‘lemons’ behind. (Spence, 1973) extended the theory of information asymmetry to the labor market. He suggested that potential employees often have more information about their own abilities and productivity than employers. To overcome this asymmetry, employees may signal their ability to employers by acquiring certain levels of education. (Stiglitz & Weiss, 1990), through his extensive work on market screening, brought the concept of information asymmetry into mainstream economic discourse. He argued that markets could potentially correct for information asymmetry through screening and signaling mechanisms. However, he also cautioned that these mechanisms are not always effective and can lead to further market inefficiencies. The pioneering work of these proponents has been instrumental in the development and popularization of the theory of information asymmetry. The theory of Information Asymmetry, while influential, is not without criticism. A primary critique lies in the theory’s assumption that the party with less information is incapable of enhancing their knowledge or devising strategies to counteract the information asymmetry. This critique challenges the theory’s static view of information distribution and highlights the dynamic nature of information acquisition in real-world scenarios. For instance, investors and regulators often employ various mechanisms to verify or ‘screen’ the information provided by banks, thereby mitigating the effects of information asymmetry. Furthermore, the theory presupposes that the party with more information will invariably exploit this advantage, an assumption that does not always hold true in practice. There are instances where banks, despite possessing more information, opt for transparency about their financial health. This strategic move is aimed at fostering trust with depositors and investors, thereby enhancing their reputation and market standing. This critique underscores the importance of considering the strategic behavior of parties involved and the potential for altruistic or reputation-driven actions that deviate from the theory’s predictions. Information asymmetry between managers and shareholders creates opportunities for earnings management, as managers have greater discretion in choosing accounting policies and making estimates (Dye, 1988; Trueman & Titman, 1988; Leuz et al., 2003). (Richardson, 2000) provides empirical evidence that information asymmetry is positively related to the level of earnings management. The intensity of information asymmetry increases during earnings announcements when the quality of earnings is low, particularly for companies where earnings are the main source of information for market participants. 13 According to (Bhattacharya et al., 2008), poor-quality earnings can provide informed traders with a greater information advantage. These traders can better process available earnings-related information, giving them a competitive edge over less-informed traders. To promote fair market participation and reduce information asymmetry, companies need to ensure that the quality of their earnings is increased or improved. Improving the transparency of information disclosure can effectively inhibit earnings management and promote companies’ accounting reporting quality to reduce investment risk. (Hunton et al., 2006) found that improved transparent reporting requirements could reduce earnings management attempts or change the focus of earnings management attempts to less visible methods. (Jo & Kim, 2007) found that firms with extensive disclosures are less likely to face information problems, leading to fewer earnings management and better post-issue performance. Additionally, (Dai et al., 2013) suggest that information forecasts can decrease the information asymmetry between managers and owners, reducing the possibility of earnings management. Moreover, corporate governance plays a crucial role in reducing information asymmetry between managers and shareholders. Measures such as the appointment of independent directors to the board, the establishment of an effective audit committee, increased transparency in financial reporting and disclosures, and active engagement with shareholders (Cormier et al., 2010; Elbadry et al., 2015) can foster better corporate governance. These measures not only reduce the risk of earnings management but also decrease information asymmetry. Drawing from the theory of Information Asymmetry, we gain a comprehensive understanding of the dynamics of information distribution. This perspective becomes particularly relevant when applied to emerging markets, where less developed regulatory frameworks may provide banks with more opportunities to exploit information asymmetries. The theory emphasizes the role of transparency and accountability in financial institutions as pivotal strategies to counteract the adverse effects of information asymmetry. This nuanced comprehension can serve as a guide for future research and policy- making in the field, especially in the context of emerging markets. 2.2.2 Agency Theory Agency theory is a concept that explains conflicts that may arise in the relationship between business principals and their agents. An example of this relationship is the one between shareholders (principals) 14 and company managers or executives (agents). In this relationship, principals authorize agents to act on their behalf by delegating decision-making authority to them (Jensen & Meckling, 1976). However, agency theory recognizes that the interests of principals and agents may not always align, leading to what is known as the agency problem. This problem, defined as a situation where there are differences in priorities, opinions, and interests between the two parties, can result in agents not acting in the best interests of the principal. (Jensen & Meckling, 1976) boldly state that this problem exists in every organization. (Eisenhardt, 1989) concurs and extends the problem further to include risk sharing that occurs when the shareholders and managers have different attitudes and preferences toward risk. Principals are risk-neutral and focused on maximizing profits, while agents are risk-averse and focused on securing their benefits. The agency problem can manifest through earnings management practices. This is where managers, driven by the desire to maximize their gain, may manipulate financial reports, thereby prioritizing their short-term gain over the long-term interests of the company. Accounting information, particularly earnings, is critical in assessing managers’ performance, and bonus schemes can offer incentives for managers to choose accounting procedures and accruals that optimize the value of their bonus rewards (Healy, 1985). Managers may use discretionary accruals and select income-increasing procedures to maximize their bonus earnings or select income-decreasing procedures, a strategy referred to as “taking a bath” when earnings are low and targets will not be met (Dechow, 1994). However, firms that include non-financial performance measures in their bonus contracts tend to have lower levels of discretionary accruals compared to firms that rely solely on financial performance measures (Ibrahim & Lloyd, 2011). Several mechanisms have evolved to mitigate agency problems. For instance, compensation plans that align the interests of managers with those of the firm by tying a portion of their income to the firm’s success (Bodie et al., 2014) through the granting of company stocks (Jensen & Meckling, 1976). Additionally, boards of directors may take action to remove underperforming management. Shareholders may also exert their influence to replace underperforming boards of directors. Furthermore, other firms may acquire underperforming firms, which may then replace the existing management with their own (Bodie et al., 2014; Kini et al., 2004), this compels managers to perform efficiently. (Fama, 1980) advocates that competing firms in the market also discipline firms by monitoring the whole team's performance. (Core et al., 1999) add that the periodic review of executive compensation motivates managers to work harder for the better performance of the firm. 15 The application of agency theory in this research is particularly relevant as it provides a framework to understand the motivations behind earnings management practices. By understanding the agency problem and the factors that contribute to it, we can gain insights into why managers might manipulate financial reports to prioritize their short-term gain over the long-term interests of the company. Despite the robustness of Agency Theory in explaining the dynamics of principal-agent relationships, it is not without its gaps and criticisms. The theory’s assumption of self-interest, which suggests that agents are primarily motivated by their own benefits, has been challenged. This perspective overlooks the possibility that agents may also be driven by other factors such as ethical considerations, professional pride, or a genuine interest in the success of the company. This critique suggests a more nuanced understanding of agent motivation, one that incorporates both self-interest and other-regarding preferences. However, proponents of Agency Theory argue that financial incentives, being quantifiable and universally desirable, are more effective and straightforward to implement. Another critique is the theory’s assumption of rationality, which suggests that both principals and agents are fully rational and will always make decisions that maximize their utility (Jensen & Meckling, 1976). However, decision- making can be influenced by a range of factors including emotions, cognitive biases, and social influences (Kahneman & Tversky, 1979). They developed a theory called the certainty effect, which explains that individuals often assign value to outcomes that are certain, compared to those that are merely probable. The theory often focuses on financial incentives as the primary mechanism for aligning the interests of principals and agents (Jensen & Meckling, 1976). This narrow focus can overlook the potential effectiveness of non-financial incentives, such as recognition, job satisfaction, or opportunities for learning and development (Herzberg, 1968). The theory also assumes a difference in risk aversion between principals and agents (Ross, 1973). However, this may not always hold true, and the risk preferences of principals and agents can be more complex and varied (Mitnick, 1975). Agency theory offers a lens through which we can examine the complexities of principal-agent relationships. This perspective is particularly pertinent in emerging markets where regulatory structures may be less mature. The theory underscores the importance of aligning incentives and implementing robust governance as strategies to counteract agency problems. It lays a solid foundation for the exploration of earnings management practices in emerging markets and highlights the necessity for stringent regulatory frameworks and transparency in mitigating agency problems. 16 2.3 The Role of Accounting Accounting is an information system that produces reports about the economic activities of entities for stakeholders, providing information about their economic situation and performance over time (Vokshi & Krasniqi, 2017). It identifies, measures, and communicates economic information to permit informed judgments and decisions by users (American Accounting Association, 1966). For accounting to be effective, it requires a well-designed system for managing and recording data, as well as the capability to deliver valuable information to its users (Alexander et al., 2007). The role of accounting is to provide relevant and reliable financial information to users, including present and potential investors, lenders, and other creditors (International Accounting Standards Board, 2010), to help them make informed decisions. Accounting involves recording, classifying, and summarizing financial transactions to produce financial statements that provide information about a company’s financial performance and position. Stakeholders use this information to make decisions about resource allocation and risk assessment. Earnings information is important in explaining stock price changes (Ball & Brown, 1968), demonstrating the value relevance of financial statement information. The quality of financial accounting information is crucial for the functioning of capital markets (Xing & Yan, 2019). In addition to providing financial information to external users, accounting also ensures compliance with laws and regulations, such as tax laws and financial reporting standards. Accounting helps companies meet their legal obligations by providing a framework for recording and reporting financial information following relevant laws and regulations (Horngren et al., 2012). Additionally, (Garrison et al., 2010) highlight the use of accounting information for budgeting and performance evaluation, reinforcing the importance of accounting in both external reporting and internal decision-making. Furthermore, Accounting standards and practices can influence the reporting of financial information and provide opportunities for companies to engage in earnings management. Companies may use different accounting methods or estimates to affect reported earnings (Healy & Wahlen, 1998). However, it is important for accounting to provide transparent and accurate information to users. A notable example of the dire effects of accounting irregularities is the Steinhoff scandal in 2017, leading to a drop in the share price of the company. Investor protection plays an important role in influencing international differences in corporate earnings management (Leuz et al., 2003). Stronger investor protection can improve the quality of financial statements by introducing stricter disclosure requirements and more effective 17 enforcement mechanisms, which can reduce the incentives for companies to engage in earnings management. International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) are a set of accounting standards developed and maintained by the International Accounting Standards Board (IASB). These standards provide guidelines for reporting particular types of transactions and events in financial statements. The adoption of IFRS aims to improve the quality of financial reporting by providing a common accounting language understood globally by investors and other users of financial statements (Okpala, 2012; Palea, 2013). The adoption of IFRS enhances the quality of financial reporting (Bodle et al., 2016; Okpala, 2012; Mensah, 2020) and imposes relatively more disclosure requirements in financial statements. For example, companies can provide detailed disclosures regarding specific assumptions and judgments, such as those related to revenue recognition, determining the transaction price, and measuring obligations for returns, refunds, and other similar obligations. This can improve financial reporting quality and provide more information to users. The adoption of IFRS improves investment efficiency, especially for cross-border transactions, increases the cross-border flow of capital, and triggers greater interest from foreign investors and foreign analysts (De George et al., 2016). However, there are also challenges associated with IFRS adoption. The transition to IFRS can be costly for many firms (Pawsey, 2017) with costs like staff training, and companies may face difficulties in interpreting and applying the standards. Additionally, different countries tend to adopt IFRS through the implementation of options that are closely related to their culture (Nobes, 2013), which may hamper global comparability in financial reporting. There may also be inconsistencies in enforcement across different jurisdictions. Nonetheless, while there are challenges associated with IFRS adoption, it has proved to improve the quality of financial reporting by enhancing transparency, comparability, and reliability. This can help boost investor confidence and attract more capital to organizations that adopt IFRS. In the context of financial reporting, management is responsible for preparing financial statements that are free from material misstatement, whether due to fraud or error and for the effective operation of the internal control system and related processes (International Auditing and Assurance Standards Board, 2006). Management discretion in accounting refers to the flexibility afforded to managers in interpreting 18 and applying accounting standards. This discretion is influenced by various factors, including their reporting incentives, and those of other participants in the financial reporting process, such as auditors and supervisory boards (Ball et al., 2000, 2003; Leuz et al., 2003; Watts & Zimmerman, 1986), and the institutional environment of firms (Hail et al., 2010; Kothari, 2000). Managers are often required to use their professional judgment when deciding if, and to what extent, certain events or transactions should be included in the earnings for the current period. This includes impairments, provisions for bad debts, and accruals. Managers have to report earnings that more accurately reflect the underlying economics of their firms (Hail et al., 2010). However, this discretion can also be misused to misrepresent events and transactions to deceive outsiders about the firm’s performance or to influence contractual outcomes in a favorable manner (e.g., (Healy & Wahlen, 1998; Watts & Zimmerman, 1986). There are conflicting views on management’s discretion in earnings. On one hand, more discretion in earnings is associated with opportunistic earnings management and poor earnings quality (Kothari, 2000; Ahmed et al., 2013; Ernstberger et al., 2012; J. Francis et al., 2005). On the other hand, managerial discretion in earnings is viewed as informative (Arya et al., 2003; Ewert & Wagenhofer, 2013, 2015, 2019; Sankar & Subramanyam, 2001), as it conveys managers’ private information and enables them to report earnings that more accurately reflect firms’ current and future performance (Hail et al., 2010). The consequences of limiting managerial discretion in earnings may likely mitigate opportunistic earnings management but may prevent managers from incorporating private information into earnings. A stricter enforcement of accounting standards by auditors and other governing bodies can reduce managers’ ability to exercise discretion (e.g., (Hitz et al., 2012; Jamal & Tan, 2010; Lu & Sapra, 2009) but it can also lower the informativeness of accruals (Windisch, 2021). 2.3.1 The Role of the Auditor Audit refers to a skilled examination of company records, accounts, and vouchers to enable the auditor to verify the balance sheet of a company. External auditors carry out the independent audit of the financial statements and report their findings to the shareholders through an external audit report. An auditor must use their professional judgment and skill, despite relying on information from relevant personnel (Normanton, 1966). 19 The role of the auditor is to assure stakeholders that the financial statements are free from material misstatements, which can help reduce earnings management practices (Azad et al., 2023). The auditor can achieve this through their ability to detect and report misstatements in the accounting systems or financial statements (DeAngelo, 1981). A high-quality external audit can have an influential role in reducing earnings management practices by increasing the likelihood of detecting and deterring such practices (Frankel et al., 2002). The auditor’s report must be accurate and reflect the reality of a company’s financial standing to present a true and fair view of the financial statements. For this to happen, the auditor must be competent enough to give a sound professional opinion (Sutton, 1997). The auditor is obligated to detect and report fraud to management and the nature and effects of the fraud reported to the shareholders of the company. Audit partners with industry specialization can reduce real activity earnings management because they can better assess their clients’ business risk and will protect their reputation than other auditors (Hsu & Liao, 2023). This suggests that auditors with specialized knowledge and expertise in a particular industry are better equipped to detect and deter earnings management practices. Another study found that auditors charge not only for accrual-based earnings management but also for real earnings management because it increases the litigation risks and audit complexity they face by dampening firms’ long-term fundamentals (Choi et al., 2022). This highlights the potential costs and risks associated with earnings management practices and underscores the importance of the auditor’s role in detecting and deterring such practices. 2.4 Earnings Management Several authors have defined earnings management as the use of accounting techniques to produce financial reports that may be misleading to investors and other stakeholders. For example, (Jones, 1991) and (Burgstahler et al., 2006) define earnings management as the use of accounting techniques to produce financial statements that present an overly positive view of a company’s business activities and financial position. (McNichols, 2000) defines earnings management as the process of taking deliberate steps within the constraints of generally accepted accounting principles to bring about a desired level of reported earnings. Other authors focus on specific contexts in which earnings management may occur. (Chen et al., 2010), for example, define earnings management as the practice of private equity issuing firms overstating their earnings in the quarter preceding private equity placement announcements to 20 achieve a desired outcome. (Healy, 1985; McNichols & Wilson, 1988; Schipper, 1989) define earnings management as a purposeful intervention in the external financial reporting process with the intent of obtaining some private gain. There are two types of earnings management and these are accrual-based earnings management (ABEM) and real activities earnings management (REM) (Brian Lee & Vetter, 2015). REM is achieved through the manipulation of operational, investment, and financing activities thereby creating an impression that the firm has achieved goals relating to the normal course of business (Elleuch Hamza & Bannouri, 2015; Zang, 2012; Dutzi & Rausch, 2016; Brian Lee & Vetter, 2015). Lack of or inadequate understanding of the firm’s business operations makes the identification of REM difficult (Elleuch Hamza & Bannouri, 2015; Ferentinou & Anagnostopoulou, 2016). Sales discounts, selling, administration & general expenses (SA & G), and research and development expenses are some of the accounting transactions manipulated in REM (Ferentinou & Anagnostopoulou, 2016; Gunny, 2010). The effects of REM may be negligible in the short term. REM directly affects cash flow and thus if engaged for long periods it (REM) may result in firm bankruptcy. ABEM takes place through the manipulation of accounting choices allowed by Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP) to alter the true performance of the firm such as accounting policies and estimates (Roychowdhury, 2006; Gunny, 2010). The accounting standards guide, among others, the recognition and measurement of accounting transactions. The flexibility with which the accounting standards are applied makes ABEM to be easily identifiable by some stakeholders (Elleuch Hamza & Bannouri, 2015). This is more so with auditors as they (auditors) are required to have a good understanding of the accounting standards. Depreciation and provision for doubtful debts are some of the accounting transactions through which ABEM takes place. ABEM does not affect cash flow directly but its impact is more pronounced on accruals instead of on cash flow. 2.5 Reasons for Earnings Management The extant literature presents various reasons for earnings management. (Healy, 1985) and (Klein, 2002), argue that bonus schemes offer incentives for managers to choose accounting procedures and accruals that optimize the value of their bonus rewards. In addition, when a company links its CEO’s compensation to its performance, the CEO may have a potential incentive to engage in earnings management practices. (McNichols & Wilson, 1988) argue that managers may manipulate earnings in response to the firm's 21 optimal financing, production, investment, and marketing strategies. (Jones, 1991), states that firms may attempt to decrease earnings through earnings management during import relief investigations by the United States International Trade Commission (ITC). External and internal pressures also come into play, as (McNichols, 2000; Schipper, 1989; Dechow et al., 2012), contend that managers manage positive earnings to meet earnings targets, avoid covenant violations, and influence compensation contracts and stock prices. As in other industries, multiple factors drive earnings management in the banking sector, reflecting the dynamic nature of the industry. (Ceccobelli & Giosi, 2019) highlight that the motivations behind such practices often revolve around attracting investment and manipulating stock prices. The pursuit of a stable earnings stream creates an impression of reduced riskiness, resulting in advantages such as higher stock prices and lower borrowing and capital costs (Gebhardt & Novotny-Farkas, 2011). (Greenawalt & Sinkey, 1988), who suggest that managers employ income smoothing to decrease the perceived risk associated with a bank’s earnings, support this perspective. Conversely, (Kanagaretnam et al., 2003) propose that bank managers may engage in income smoothing as a means to attract external financing. By presenting a more stable financial position, banks may be more successful in attracting investors and securing capital from external sources. However, it is important to acknowledge that motivations for earnings management can vary depending on the specific circumstances of each bank. While some banks may primarily focus on attracting investment and manipulating stock prices, others may engage in earnings management in response to regulatory pressures and meeting performance targets set by stakeholders. Additionally, banks operating in different economic environments or facing specific challenges may have unique motivations for employing earnings management techniques. 2.6 Methods Used in Earnings Management In the REM front, managers manipulate operating, investing, and financing activities through, discretionary expenditures, productions, inventory, sales, sales of long-term assets, stock repurchases, and financial instruments (Xu et al., 2007). (Bange & De Bondt, 1998) found that firms adjust research and development (R&D) spending to minimize the gap between reported earnings and analysts’ forecasts. (Jackson & Wilcox, 2000) found that managers grant sales discounts in the last quarter to avoid reporting losses and decreases in earnings. (Herrmann et al., 2003) used income from the sale of long-term assets 22 and marketable securities to minimize the gap between management’s earnings forecasts and reported earnings. Concerning ABEM, one commonly adopted approach is the use of the aggregate accruals model, where total accruals are used as a proxy for discretionary accruals. (Healy, 1985; Jones, 1991; Dechow et al., 1995) have adopted this approach, with the latter making adjustments to revenue and receivables. Another approach is the use of specific accruals models, where a particular accrual is used as a proxy for discretionary accruals. For instance, (McNichols & Wilson, 1988) focus on the provision for bad debts as a proxy for discretionary accruals. Additionally, researchers have employed various proxies to detect earnings management practices, including abnormal accruals (Klein, 2002), the tendency to avoid small losses, the magnitude of total accruals, smoothness of earnings relative to cash flows, the correlation between accounting accruals and operating cash flows (Burgstahler et al., 2006), and quarterly discretionary current accruals (Chen et al., 2010). In the banking sector, the two primary methods used to manipulate earnings are income smoothing and signaling. (Kanagaretnam et al., 2004) found evidence of income smoothing among banks in Canada by loan loss provisions. (Kwak et al., 2009) found a positive relation between discretionary loan loss provision and the demand for external financing, realized securities gains, and prior year taxes, whereas a negative relation to capital and pre-managed earnings. Additionally, a study found a negative relationship between the ratio of loan loss reserves to gross loans and cost efficiency (Ab-Hamid et al., 2018). Loan loss reserves serve as the first method banks normally use to cover losses on loans due to defaults and non-payments and are usually a better indicator of the bank’s stability on its lending base compared to nonperforming loans (Abuzayed et al., 2018). Additionally, (Cohen et al., 2014) provided evidence of real earnings management practices through the discretionary realizations of security gains or losses. (Elnahass et al., 2014) discuss how bank managers accelerate or delay the sale of loans or other securities to affect the timing of gains and losses on sale to change cash flows. Further research that supports REM through realized securities gains or losses includes (A. Beatty & Harris, 1999; A. L. Beatty et al., 2002; Cornett et al., 2009; Leventis & Dimitropoulos, 2012; Abdelsalam et al., 2016). 23 2.7 Methods to Detect Earnings Management In terms of detecting earnings management, (Dechow et al., 1995) evaluated alternative accrual-based models for detecting earnings management by comparing the specification and power of commonly used test statistics across the measures of discretionary accruals generated by the models. They found that all of the models appear well specified and that a modified version of the model developed by (Jones, 1991) exhibits the most power in detecting earnings management. (Kaur et al., 2014) also use the Modified Jones model and Beneish M-Score to detect earnings management, with the latter using five financial ratios. The results revealed an M-score of greater than -2.22 signaling the use of earnings management. Additionally, (Roychowdhury, 2006) uses abnormal production costs, abnormal discretionary expenses, and abnormal levels of cash flow from operations to detect earnings management. In the banking sector, the commonly used techniques to detect earnings management practices are loan loss provisions (Ceccobelli & Giosi, 2019). Other researchers that use loan loss provisions include (Garšva & Rudzioniene, 2012; Curcio & Hasan, 2015). A study conducted by (A. L. Beatty et al., 2002), uses the classification and measurement of fair value securities to identify earnings management practices in financial institutions. The timing of securities sales can have an impact on the profits and losses associated with these assets and can play a significant role in earnings management. (Alves Dantas et al., 2013) take it a step further by developing and validating a two-stage model for the identification of discretionary management actions using gains obtained from securities. The study found evidence of income smoothing using securities and the classification of available-for-sale securities among the actions taken by management. 2.8 Earnings Management and Corporate Governance Corporate governance refers to the system of rules, practices, and processes that control and direct a company. Corporate governance mechanisms significantly influence earnings management practices and disclosure. For instance, (Biswas et al., 2022; Mensah & Boachie, 2023) found that board gender diversity significantly moderates the relationship between corporate governance mechanisms and earnings management practices, contributing to improved board quality by fostering creativity, critical thinking, reducing bias, and enhancing problem-solving capabilities. Having women directors can intensify the monitoring process and reduce managers’ opportunistic behavior. (Huber & DiGabriele, 2021) provide evidence that corporate governance also positively influences disclosure. Similarly, (Xie et al., 2003; Klein, 24 2002) showed that corporate governance practices affect earnings quality. (Klein, 2002) found a negative relation between audit committee independence and abnormal accruals, as well as a negative relation between board independence and abnormal accruals. These results suggest that boards structured to be more independent of the CEO are more effective in monitoring the corporate financial accounting process. The effectiveness of an audit committee’s oversight connects to specific accounting and auditing expertise. (Dhaliwal et al., 2010; Sharma et al., 2009) stipulate that former auditors are suitable members to strengthen the audit committee’s effectiveness. (Ozili & Outa, 2018) found that former auditors on the audit committee are associated with lower earnings management, suggesting that audit committee members with auditing expertise and background contribute to the effective monitoring of earnings management practices. (Xie et al., 2003) found that board and audit committee meeting frequency and members with corporate or financial backgrounds are associated with firms that have lower discretionary current accruals. (de Haan & Vlahu, 2016) state that the expertise of directors is particularly crucial in the financial industry, leading to an increased demand for audit committee directors with significant knowledge and experience in financial reporting. Such expertise will enhance the audit committee’s effectiveness and lead to better oversight of management’s behavior. (Ittonen et al., 2020) examine the association between earnings management and former auditors on the audit committee in US banks. The results indicate that US banks with former auditors on their audit committee exhibit lower levels of income-increasing as well as absolute discretionary loan loss provision. However, there is some debate on whether appointing affiliated former audit partners to executive positions is beneficial or detrimental to financial reporting quality. Studies by (Menon & Williams, 2004) argue that such appointments report higher levels of abnormal accruals, indicating an increased risk of manipulating financial statements. (Dowdell & Krishnan, 2004; C. Lennox, 2005; C. S. Lennox & Park, 2007; Menon & Williams, 2004) concur that the recruitment of afflicted auditors deteriorates financial reporting quality and compromises the auditor’s independence. On the contrary, (Dart & Chandler, 2013) report that investors do not view hiring a former auditor by an audit client as a threat to the auditor’s independence. 25 2.9 Factors Influencing Earnings Management Several factors can influence earnings management, including debt levels, the size of the firm, industry type, and industry tenure. 2.9.1 Debt levels and earnings management According to positive accounting theory, companies with higher debt are more likely to violate debt covenants and may engage in earnings management activities (Press & Weintrop, 1990; Watts & Zimmerman, 1986). For example, (Franz et al., 2014) found that at higher debt levels, a higher financial distress cost leads to more earnings management due to pressures to meet debt covenants. Additionally, (DeFond & Jiambalvo, 1994) detected income-increasing discretionary accruals in financially distressed firms to avoid debt violations, while (Azad et al., 2023) found that managers of distressed firms manipulate earnings downward during debt renegotiation to obtain better terms in contract renegotiations. According to (Wang & Lin, 2013), the increased profitability of the group reduces the member firms' susceptibility to earnings management because of its debt levels. Thus, firms belonging to a profitable group are less likely to experience default and the terms in their debt contracts are favorable. 2.9.2 Firm size and earnings management The relationship between firm size and earnings management has been widely studied in the literature. (Y. Kim et al., 2003) found that small-sized firms tend to engage in more earnings management to avoid reporting losses, compared to large- or medium-sized firms. Conversely, large- and medium-sized firms are more likely to exhibit aggressive earnings management to avoid reporting decreases in earnings, compared to small-sized firms. Other studies have found mixed results. For instance, (Setyoputri & Mardijuwono, 2020) found that the size of a company does not affect earnings management, while (Burgstahler & Dichev, 1997) found that both large and small firms engage in earnings management. According to (Becker et al., 1998; J. R. Francis & Krishnan, 1999), large firms audited by one of the Big 5 accounting firms report lower levels of discretionary accruals, despite having high overall levels of accruals. In contrast, (Jahmani & Niranjan, 2015) found that firm size has a positive impact on earnings management. These findings suggest that the role of firm size in earnings management is complex and may vary depending on the context. 26 2.9.3 Industry type and earnings management A firm’s industry can significantly affect its earnings management practices due to unique characteristics such as business activities, accounting practices, and regulations (Chevalier, 1995). Firms within the same industry often share similar characteristics, which can further influence their earnings management practices (Chevalier, 1995). Earnings management activities vary across industries (Wasiuzzaman, 2018) influenced by factors such as accounting standards, industry-specific taxes, and capital market structures (Burgstahler et al., 2006; McNichols, 2000). Studies have found evidence of higher occurrences of earnings management attempts in some industries compared to others (Nelson et al., 2002; Rath & Sun, 2008), and industry variables such as capital intensity, volatility, and profitability can help explain these variations (Wasiuzzaman, 2018). The study found that volatility only explains smoothing measures, while profitability only explains discretionary measures. Additionally, a study analyzing 12 firms from different industries found that the type of earnings management activity varied across industries, with firms in the services sector engaging in income-decreasing earnings management and firms in the non-services sector engaging in income-increasing earnings management (Goel, 2012). 2.9.4 Industry tenure and earnings management Several factors affect industry tenure and earnings management. On the one hand, longer employee tenure can be positively associated with earnings management through real activities manipulation (REM) when managers persuade employees that their actions benefit the firm's long-term survival (Cho et al., 2021). On the other hand, long-tenured employees may be better at detecting real activities manipulation due to their greater knowledge and experience of daily operations, resulting in a negative relationship between employee tenure and real earnings management (Cho et al., 2021). In terms of audit firm tenure, previous research has shown that longer audit firm tenure is associated with lower levels of earnings management and, as a result, higher earnings quality (e.g. (Gul et al., 2009; Johnson et al., 2002; El Guindy & Basuony, 2018) discovered a negative relationship between audit firm tenure and earnings management for UK firms that had not changed their accounting standards. Longer audit firm tenure improves audit quality without compromising auditor independence. (Hsu & Liao, 2023) found that industry specialization and audit firm tenure have a negative effect on earnings management. 27 2.10 Impact and Consequences of Earnings Management in Banks The consequences of earnings management can be far-reaching and can have negative impacts on the accuracy and transparency of a company’s financial reporting (Klein, 2002). It can also reduce the quality and reliability of financial reporting, impair the usefulness of accounting information for decision-making, increase the cost of capital, and damage the credibility and reputation of the firm and its managers (Schipper, 1989). Additionally, it can affect the efficiency of resource allocation and the credibility of accounting standards (McNichols, 2000). Sophisticated investors may not be able to uncover the true value of firms when they engage in earnings management (Chen et al., 2010). This can result in investors not asking for a fair discount when purchasing the shares of private issuing firms. Earnings management can also have negative consequences such as loss of reputation or loss of employment for managers who engage in it (Dechow et al., 2012). Several companies have faced scandals due to earnings management practices. For instance, Enron hid its financial condition using complex financial instruments, which ultimately led to its bankruptcy. Similarly, Worldcom capitalized expenses that should have been expensed, resulting in the stock price plummeting and bankruptcy. Tyco International’s executives used accounting tricks to inflate earnings and misused company funds, causing the stock price to fall and the CEO convicted of fraud. Xerox International manipulated revenue from long-term leases and deferred expense recognition, leading to a falling stock price and a large fine. Wells Fargo employees created unauthorized accounts to meet sales targets, which resulted in a large fine and damage to the bank’s reputation. These examples demonstrate the consequences of unethical earnings management practices. The consequences of earnings management in the banking sector can be significant. Engaging in such practices can undermine investor confidence, compromise the effectiveness of regulatory oversight, and potentially lead to adverse market reactions and systemic risks. For example, the 2008-2009 financial crisis, which had a profound impact on both the economy and the financial sector, has been linked to earnings management practices (Filip & Raffournier, 2014). Given the critical role that banks play in the economy, it is essential for regulators and other stakeholders to closely monitor earnings management practices in this sector. Recent studies have provided evidence of the negative impact of earnings management on banks’ performance. (Martens et al., 2021) found that efficiency is negatively associated with earnings management, indicating that engaging in such practices can lead to a decline in efficiency and stifle a firm’s growth and competitiveness. (Proença et al., 2023) reported that earnings management negatively affects banks’ profitability, prevents efficient resource allocation, and causes costs to exceed 28 minimum levels. Similarly,(Mangala & Singla, 2021) found that earnings management reduces the return on equity, return on assets, and net interest margin. These findings suggest that earnings management has major negative implications for banks’ financial performance, both in the short term and in the long term. 29 CHAPTER 3 METHODOLOGY 3.1 Introduction This chapter presents the research methodology used in this study to investigate the existence and underlying motives as well as drivers of earnings management practices in BRICS banks. The Chapter is organized as follows: Section 3.2 presents data and data sources. Section 3.3 presents the research design and the chapter summary concludes. 3.2 Data and Data Sources The data used in this study is obtained from the income statements and balance sheets of sample companies. The focus is on earnings and loan loss provisions from the income statement and the corresponding allowance for loan and lease losses from the balance sheet, which represent the total amount of loan loss reserves that banks set aside to cover potential losses on their loan portfolios. Commercial banks listed on the stock exchanges of the BRICS countries as the selected emerging markets will be included in the sample and they must have annual time-series data for loan loss provisions and at least four consecutive years of data for key variables such as earnings, total assets, and total equity. Banks that do not meet these requirements are excluded from the sample to ensure that the analysis is based on reliable and consistent financial reporting. The sample period is 10 years (2013 to 2022). Data is collected from sources such as Data Stream, Bloomberg, BRICS countries' Stock Exchanges, and sample banks’ websites. 3.3 Research Design 3.3.1 Detecting earnings management by banks in emerging markets The first part of this analysis investigates the existence of earnings management practices by banks operating in emerging markets, represented by BRICS countries, which include Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa. Beneish M-score model is used to identify banks that are likely manipulating their earnings. The model uses eight variables related to financial ratios, and it distinguishes earnings manipulators from non-earnings manipulators. The indicators used in the M-score are the Day Sales in Receivables Index (DSRI), Gross Margin Index (GMI), Asset Quality Index (AQI), Sales Growth Index (SGI), 30 Depreciation Index (DEPI), Sales General and Administrative Expenses Index (SGAI), Leverage Index (LEVI) and Total Accrual to Total Assets (TATA). The M-score greater than the benchmark of (-2.22) is flagged as an earnings manipulator, while that less than the benchmark is not a likely manipulator (Beneish, 1999). The M-score model is measured by the following equation: 𝑀 − 𝑠𝑐𝑜𝑟𝑒 = −4.84 + 0.920(𝐷𝑆𝑅𝐼) + 0.528(𝐺𝑀𝐼) + 0.404(𝐴𝑄𝐼) + 0.892(𝑆𝐺𝐼) + 0.115(𝐷𝐸𝑃𝐼) − 0.172(𝑆𝐺𝐴𝐼) + 4.679(𝑇𝐴𝑇𝐴) − 0.327(𝐿𝐸𝑉𝐼) With banks identified and flagged as earnings manipulators, we will use financial data for these banks to test the purposes of earnings management. To ascertain the purpose and practice of earnings management, we employ a specific accrual-based model and conduct a regression analysis with loan loss provision serving as the dependent variable. The independent variables include non-discretionary variables such as non-performing loans and total customer loans, as well as discretionary variables such as earnings before taxes and loan loss provisions, regulatory capital, and a sign variable. Specifically, we test to determine whether banks manage earnings for income smoothing, capital management, or signaling. Income smoothing refers to the practice of using accounting techniques to reduce fluctuations in reported earnings. Capital management refers to the manipulation of financial statements to meet regulatory capital requirements. Signaling refers to the use of financial statements to convey information to investors or other stakeholders. The model determining the purposes of earnings management in banks is presented as follows: 𝐿𝐿𝑃𝑖,𝐽,𝑡 = 𝛼0 + 𝛼1𝑁𝑃𝐿𝑖,𝐽,𝑡 + 𝛼2𝐿𝑂𝐴𝑁𝑖,𝐽,𝑡 + 𝛼3𝐸𝐵𝑇𝑃𝑖,𝐽,𝑡 + 𝛼4𝑇1𝑖,𝐽,𝑡 + 𝛼5𝑆𝐼𝐺𝑁𝑖,𝐽,(𝑡+1,𝑡) + ∆𝐺𝐷𝑃𝐽 + 𝜀𝑖,𝐽,𝑡 (1) Where; i = bank, t = year, J = country LLP = loan loss provision ratio to total assets, NPL = non-performing loans to total assets, LOAN = total customer loans to total assets, EBTP = current earnings before profit and taxes and provisions to total assets, T1 = regulatory capital divided by risk-weighted assets that occurred, SIGN = one-year-ahead change in earnings before taxes and loan loss provisions to total assets, ∆GDP = real gross domestic product growth rate, a proxy for the state of the economy and ε = the residual or error term. 31 3.3.2 Determining factors influencing earnings management. The second segment of this analysis delves into the factors influencing earnings management within BRICS banks. To facilitate this, a dynamic panel estimation, specifically the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM), is employed. GMM effectively addresses issues of serial correlation, heteroscedasticity, and endogeneity inherent in a model (Alimi, 2015). Consequently, it is particularly suited to handle the dynamic nature of data related to the factors influencing earnings management and its practices. The panel regression and GMM regression analyses are conducted using the student version of Eviews 13. In this model, the measure of earnings management derived from the first stage of analysis serves as the dependent variable, while the factors influencing earnings management are treated as independent variables. Earnings management (EM) represents the discretionary component of loan loss provision (a proxy for earnings management). This portion captures a portion of LLP that cannot be explained by the model, which is assumed to represent discretionary loan loss provisions. While the independent variables are represented by management compensation (COMP), the size of the board of directors (BOARD), firm size (FSIZE), profitability (PROFIT), financial leverage (LEVERAGE), and audit quality represented by auditor independence rotation (AUDITQUALITY). The coefficients of the independent variables in the regression model represent the impact of each independent variable on earnings management, after accounting for the effects of all other variables in the model. This approach ensures a comprehensive understanding of the dynamics at play in earnings management within BRICS banks. The model determining the factors influencing earnings management in banks is presented as follows: 𝐸𝑀𝑖,𝑡 = 𝛽0 + 𝛽1𝐶𝑂𝑀𝑃𝑖,𝑡+𝛽2𝐵𝑂𝐴𝑅𝐷𝑖,𝑡 + 𝛽3𝐹𝑆𝐼𝑍𝐸𝑖,𝑡 + 𝛽4𝑃𝑅𝑂𝐹𝐼𝑇𝑖,𝑡 + 𝛽5𝐿𝐸𝑉𝐸𝑅𝐴𝐺𝐸𝑖,𝑡 + 𝛽6𝐴𝑈𝐷𝐼𝑇𝑄𝑈𝐴𝐿𝐼𝑇𝑌𝑖,𝑡 + 𝜇𝑖,𝑡 (2) Where; 𝛽0 = a constant and 𝛽1 𝛽2 𝛽3 𝛽4 𝛽5 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝛽6 = the coefficients of the independent variables LEVERAGE = is measured by debt to total assets, PROFIT = is measured by return on assets, FSIZE = natural logarithm of total assets and is used to control for bank size, AUDITQUALITY = is measured by auditor independence rotation being the number of years since the last change, and μ = the error term. 32 The estimates of the coefficients for each of the independent variables represent the relationship between these variables and earnings management. 3.3.3 Variable definition 3.3.3.1 Days Sales in Receivables Index (DSRI): The DSRI is a measure that compares the ratio of receivables to sales in year t with that of year (t - 1). If the DSRI is greater than 1, it indicates that the percentage of receivables to sales in year t is higher than in year (t - 1). A large increase in the DSRI could be due to a change in credit policy to inflate revenue, and thus, a large increase in the DSRI is associated with a higher likelihood that revenues/earnings are overstated. 𝐷𝑆𝑅𝐼 = ?