Prevalence and correlates of Campylobacter and Salmonella species in small-scale broiler poultry, Gauteng, South Africa, 2020-2021 Shira Rebeka Amar A Research Report submitted to the Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science (Epidemiology). Johannesburg, June 2022 ii DECLARATION I, Shira Rebeka Amar, declare that this research report is my own original work. Where another person’s work has been used (either from a printed source, internet or any other source), it has been acknowledged and referenced in accordance with the guidelines of the Wits School of Public Health, University of the Witwatersrand. I have not used work previously produced by another student or any other person to hand in as my own. I have not allowed, and will not allow, anyone to copy my work with the intention of passing it off as his or her own work. This research has not been submitted previously for any other degree or examination at any other institution. Shira Rebeka Amar Signed: Date: 22/06/2022 iii DEDICATION In loving memory of my mother, Ruth Lapinsky Amar (1960-2021) י“ ”צָמְאָה לְךָ נַפְשִׁ Psalm 63:2 iv ABSTRACT Background Campylobacter spp. and non-typhoidal Salmonella enterica (NT S. enterica) serovars are commonly isolated zoonotic bacteria associated with foodborne disease in humans. Colonisation of broilers with these pathogens compromises food safety for consumers of poultry products. Prevalence estimates of Campylobacter spp. and NT S. enterica serovars in local small-scale broiler production systems are sparse. Furthermore, biosecurity measures practiced in these production systems are not documented. This study aimed to estimate the prevalence of Campylobacter spp. and NT S. enterica serovars among small-scale broilers and examine the correlation of biosecurity practices with Campylobacter spp. positivity in Gauteng Province, South Africa. Methods Secondary cross-sectional data from a survey of 30 small-scale broiler farms was analysed. Farmers completed a farm management and biosecurity questionnaire. Cloacal swabs from 900 broilers were cultured using standard methods for Campylobacter spp. and Salmonella. Isolates were identified using a real-time polymerase chain reaction test. Farm and bird-level prevalence was calculated. Biosecurity correlates of Campylobacter spp. were identified using univariable and multivariable logistic regression while accounting for clustering of broilers by farm. Potential confounders such as season, antibiotic use and age at slaughter were adjusted for. Results NT S. enterica serovars were not isolated (0% (0/900), 95% CI (0.0– 4.0%)). In contrast, Campylobacter spp. were detected in 49.8% of broilers (448/900, 95% CI (46.5–53.1%)) with an overall farm prevalence of 90% (27/30, 95% CI (73.4–97.9%)). Campylobacter coli was dominant (65.4%, 316/483) over C. jejuni (34.6%, 167/483). Among sampled broiler farms, 53.3% (16/30) applied rodent control methods and 56.7% (17/30) used soap and disinfectant for poultry house hygiene. Exposures correlated to Campylobacter spp. positivity included open-walled naturally ventilated houses compared to free-range housing (OR= 3.82 95% CI (2.09 – 6.97)), drinking water treatment (OR=86.81 95% CI (4.56 – 1651.50)) and unsealed feed bags or feed spillage (OR= 12.48, 95% CI (2.88 – 54.12)). Conversely, the summer season (OR=0.06, 95% CI (0.02–0.20)) was protective. v Conclusion Campylobacter spp. were highly prevalent in sampled broilers while no NT S. enterica serovars were isolated. Appropriate drinking water treatment and correct feed management of high- quality feed and improved hygiene of poultry houses emerged as important biosecurity and farm management practices that may reduce the odds of Campylobacter spp. positivity in small-scale production systems. These findings may be used to improve the health of broilers produced in small-scale systems and promote food safety for consumers in this market sector. vi ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS I am deeply grateful to the following people and organisations. My co-supervisors, Dr Sumaya Mall and Dr Liesl De Boni, for their support and mentorship. Thank you for meticulously reviewing my work and investing ‘significant’ time and energy into this project. Dr Zvifadzo Matsena Zingoni and Prof Jonathan Levin for their helpful advice on the statistical analysis of the data. I would like to thank Gauteng Veterinary Services (GVS) at the Gauteng Department of Agriculture and Rural Development for granting me access to their data and for the opportunity to assist in the development and upskilling of small-scale poultry farmers. I am grateful to Dr Peter Geertsma and all of my colleagues at GVS who welcomed me to the team and collected the data. Sincere thanks to Mr Gerbrand van der Zel for his contribution to the data collection. Thank you to the South African Field Epidemiology Training Programme at the National Institute for Communicable Diseases for this opportunity. Special thanks to Dr Alex de Voux and Ms Hetani Mdose for their valuable supervision. To my siblings, Rachel, and Gilad, my extended family and family-in-law, and friends who are like family, thank you for your immeasurable support in trying times. To my mother, Ruth, of blessed memory, thank you for providing me with every opportunity to excel and for being passionate about my interests always. “May Hashem lift up his face toward you and give you peace” (Numbers 6:26). Lastly, to my loving husband, Yoni. You have carried me through. When I count my blessings, I count you twice. vii CONTENTS DEDICATION ......................................................................................................................... iii ABSTRACT .............................................................................................................................. iv ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS ...................................................................................................... vi CONTENTS ............................................................................................................................. vii LIST OF TABLES ..................................................................................................................... x LIST OF SUPPLEMENTARY MATERIALS ......................................................................... xi LIST OF APPENDICES .......................................................................................................... xii NOMENCLATURE .............................................................................................................. xiii CHAPTER 1 - INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................. 1 1.1 Background ...................................................................................................................... 2 1.1.1 Foodborne campylobacteriosis and salmonellosis .................................................... 2 1.1.2 Public health importance of campylobacteriosis and salmonellosis ......................... 6 1.2 Literature Review ............................................................................................................. 7 1.2.1 Literature search strategy ........................................................................................... 7 1.2.2 Prevalence studies of Campylobacter spp. and non-typhoidal Salmonella enterica serovars in poultry and poultry products ............................................................................ 7 1.2.3 Studies of Campylobacter spp. and non-typhoidal Salmonella enterica prevalence in poultry and poultry products limited to the African continent ......................................... 13 1.2.4 Biosecurity and management practices associated with colonisation of poultry by Campylobacter spp. .......................................................................................................... 15 1.2.5 Biosecurity and management practices associated with colonisation of poultry by non-typhoidal Salmonella enterica serovars .................................................................... 16 1.3 Problem Statement ......................................................................................................... 17 1.4 Justification .................................................................................................................... 18 1.5 Research Question .......................................................................................................... 18 1.6 Aim ................................................................................................................................. 18 viii 1.7 Objectives ....................................................................................................................... 19 CHAPTER 2 - METHODS ...................................................................................................... 20 2.1 The primary data ............................................................................................................ 21 2.1.1 Data source .............................................................................................................. 21 2.1.2 Setting ...................................................................................................................... 21 2.1.3 Study population ...................................................................................................... 21 2.1.4 Study sample............................................................................................................ 21 2.1.5 Sampling strategy .................................................................................................... 21 2.1.6 Data collection process ............................................................................................ 22 2.2 Present study .................................................................................................................. 22 2.2.1 Study design ............................................................................................................ 22 2.2.2 Sampling strategy .................................................................................................... 22 2.2.3 Precision and power calculation .............................................................................. 22 2.3 Data management ........................................................................................................... 23 2.4 Exposure variables ......................................................................................................... 24 2.5 Outcome variable ........................................................................................................... 25 2.6 Descriptive analysis........................................................................................................ 25 2.6.1 Descriptive statistics of study sample ...................................................................... 25 2.6.2 Prevalence estimates ................................................................................................ 25 2.7 Inferential analysis ......................................................................................................... 26 2.7.1 Univariable analysis ................................................................................................ 26 2.7.2 Multivariable analysis.............................................................................................. 26 2.8 Ethical considerations .................................................................................................... 26 CHAPTER 3 – RESULTS ....................................................................................................... 28 3.1 Characteristics of the study sample ................................................................................ 29 3.1.2 Biosecurity and management practices of the study sample ................................... 30 3.2 Campylobacter and non-typhoidal Salmonella enterica prevalence estimates .............. 31 ix 3.3 Logistic regression model .............................................................................................. 32 3.3.1 Univariable correlates of Campylobacter colonisation ........................................... 32 3.3.2 Multivariable correlates of Campylobacter colonisation ........................................ 34 CHAPTER 4 – DISCUSSION, RECOMMENDATIONS AND CONCLUSION .................. 35 4.1 Key study findings ......................................................................................................... 36 4.2 Contextualisation of key findings .................................................................................. 36 4.3 Limitations of the study.................................................................................................. 41 4.4 Recommendations .......................................................................................................... 43 4.5 Conclusion ...................................................................................................................... 45 REFERENCES ........................................................................................................................ 46 SUPPLEMENTARY MATERIAL .......................................................................................... 58 APPENDICES ......................................................................................................................... 62 Appendix A: Plagiarism declaration .................................................................................... 62 Appendix B: Turnitin cover page ......................................................................................... 63 Appendix C: Ethics waiver .................................................................................................. 64 Appendix D: Letter of permission to use data...................................................................... 65 Appendix E: Farmer consent form ....................................................................................... 66 Appendix F: Poultry biosecurity and management questionnaire ....................................... 67 x LIST OF TABLES CHAPTER 1 - INTRODUCTION Table 1.1: Campylobacter spp. prevalence estimates in poultry and poultry products from observational studies .................................................................................................................. 8 Table 1.2: NT S. enterica prevalence estimates in poultry and poultry products from observational studies ................................................................................................................ 10 CHAPTER 3 - RESULTS Table 3.1: Description of the study sample, Gauteng Province, 2020-2021…………………. 27 Table 3.2: Biosecurity and farm management exposure variables and Campylobacter status of 30 small-scale broiler farms, Gauteng Province, 2020-2021………………………………….28 Table 3.3: Campylobacter spp. and non-typhoidal S. enterica prevalence estimates, Gauteng Province, 2020-2021…………………………………………………………...……….…….30 Table 3.4: Univariable logistic regression findings of possible exposures correlated to Campylobacter spp. positivity, Gauteng Province, 2020 – 2021……………………………...30 Table 3.5: Variables correlated with Campylobacter spp. positivity in the final multivariable model, Gauteng Province, 2020-2021………………………………………………………...32 xi LIST OF SUPPLEMENTARY MATERIALS Supplementary A: Manipulations of exposure and outcome variables .............................. 587 Supplementary B: Exposure variables of interest in the analysis ........................................ 59 Supplementary C: Final logistic regression model equation ................................................ 60 xii LIST OF APPENDICES Appendix A: Plagiarism declaration .................................................................................... 61 Appendix B: Turnitin cover page ......................................................................................... 62 Appendix C: Ethics waiver .................................................................................................. 63 Appendix D: Letter of permission to use data...................................................................... 64 Appendix E: Farmer consent form ....................................................................................... 65 Appendix F: Poultry biosecurity and management questionnaire ....................................... 66 xiii NOMENCLATURE All-in-all-out system A strategy used in animal rearing to minimise spread of infectious diseases. In this system, all animals are emptied from an area/premises and the area is cleaned and disinfected without any animals inside, before a new group of animals is introduced. Only animals of the same age group are reared at one time. Antimicrobial resistance The ability of a microbial pathogen to survive exposure to an antimicrobial agent that previously was able to destroy and control the microbe. Antimicrobial resistance arises through genetic mutations and transfer of genes. Biosecurity A set of management and physical measures that aim to reduce the risk of introduction, establishment and spread of animal diseases, infections or infestations, to, from and within an animal population. Broiler Chicken raised for the purpose of meat production. Caecum / caeca A pouch within the digestive tract: the blind-ending tube connected to large intestine in digestive tract of poultry. Carcass rinse fluids Fluids sampled after rinsing an animal carcass with water. Cloaca A common cavity at the end of the digestive tract for the release of excretory and reproductive products in birds and reptiles. Colonise/ colonisation The presence of a microorganism on or in a host, with growth and multiplication of the organism, but without interaction between host and organism. Commensal/ commensalism An organism (such as a bacteria) in a biological relationship that benefits from the interaction while the other organism is not harmed nor receives any benefit. Contaminate/ contamination The presence of a microorganism on a body surface or an inanimate object. Flock A group of animals of one kind (referring to birds or sheep). Litter A mixture of material used for bedding in a poultry house (e.g., sunflower husks, wood shavings, spilled feed, and feathers/excretions from the poultry that were housed.) https://www.oie.int/fileadmin/Home/eng/Health_standards/tahc/2018/en_glossaire.htm#terme_risque xiv Partial depopulation Early removal of a portion of birds from a poultry house while leaving some birds remaining in the house. Poultry All domesticated birds, including backyard poultry, used for the production of meat or eggs for consumption, for the production of other commercial products, for restocking supplies of game, or for breeding these categories of birds, as well as fighting cocks used for any purpose [1]. Prevalence The proportion of a population with a specific characteristic in a given time period. Salmonella enterica, non- typhoidal (NT S. enterica) In this research report, this refers to serovars in the genus Salmonella, species enterica and subspecies enterica (I) that are associated with foodborne disease. Examples of these serovars are S. Enteritidis and S. Typhimurium. Non- typhoidal refers to all serovars excluding Typhi, Paratyphi A, Paratyphi B, Paratyphi C, or Sendai [2]. Serovar A grouping of micro-organisms based on their cell-surface antigens. Small-scale farm A farm that produces livestock or agriculture in a small area of land without advanced equipment or technology. Small-scale farms generally have a lower output compared to the commercial sector. Zoonosis A disease of animals that may be transmitted to humans. 1 CHAPTER 1 - INTRODUCTION This chapter presents an overview of foodborne disease related to Campylobacter spp. and non- typhoidal Salmonella enterica (NT S. enterica) serovars. The chapter focuses on the disease epidemiology in developing countries. The public health impact of foodborne disease is discussed. A critical review of the literature, synthesising studies of the prevalence of Campylobacter spp. and NT S. enterica serovars in poultry and poultry products worldwide; and associated farm biosecurity and management factors is then presented. This is followed by the aim and objectives of the research study. The chapter headings are: 1.1 Background 1.1.1 Foodborne campylobacteriosis and salmonellosis 1.1.2 Public health importance of campylobacteriosis and salmonellosis 1.2 Literature Review 1.2.1 Literature search strategy 1.2.2 Prevalence studies of Campylobacter spp. and non-typhoidal Salmonella enterica serovars in poultry and poultry products 1.2.3 Studies of Campylobacter spp. and non-typhoidal Salmonella enterica prevalence in poultry and poultry products limited to the African continent 1.2.4 Biosecurity and management practices associated with colonisation of poultry by Campylobacter spp. 1.2.5 Biosecurity and management practices associated with colonisation of poultry by non-typhoidal Salmonella enterica serovars 1.3 Problem Statement 1.4 Justification 1.5 Research Question 1.6 Aim 1.7 Objectives 2 1.1 Background 1.1.1 Foodborne campylobacteriosis and salmonellosis Foodborne diseases including campylobacteriosis and salmonellosis compromise food safety and contribute to morbidity and mortality globally and in Africa [3–7]. The World Health Organisation (WHO) estimated that 582 million cases of foodborne illness occurred worldwide in 2010, resulting in 25.2 million disability adjusted life years (DALYs) lost [3]. Despite a high burden of disease, a relatively low estimate of worldwide mortality due to foodborne disease was reported by the WHO, at 5 deaths per 100 000 population [3]. The public health threat posed by foodborne disease is not uniform in all nations as regional mortality rates vary widely [3]. Africa had a disproportionately high death rate due to foodborne disease (14 deaths per 100 000 population), compared to a low of 0.5 deaths per 100 000 population in Europe [3]. Second only to viral causes, bacterial pathogens predominate in foodborne disease cases worldwide [5,8]. Campylobacter spp. and non-typhoidal Salmonella enterica (NT S. enterica) serovars are among the most commonly isolated zoonotic bacteria associated with foodborne disease [3,5,6]. In 2010, 95.6 million campylobacteriosis cases and 78.4 million non-typhoidal salmonellosis cases occurred globally [3]. These ubiquitous pathogens are associated with substantial morbidity [3,5]. It is estimated that foodborne Campylobacter spp. and NT S. enterica serovars resulted in a combined 4.3 million DALYs lost globally in 2010 [3]. Foodborne diseases may also cause society to incur considerable economic losses [9,10]. The average cost per foodborne disease case in the United States was estimated at $2 422, while total annual costs specific to Campylobacter spp. and non-typhoidal Salmonella amounted to $7.9 million and $6.5 million respectively [9]. Aetiology and epidemiology Campylobacter spp. are gram-negative bacteria in the genus Campylobacter and family Campylobacteraceae. Several Campylobacter spp. may cause disease in humans, animals or both. Campylobacter jejuni and Campylobacter coli are commonly implicated species in foodborne disease cases [11–13] and C. jejuni is the predominant species in most geographic areas [12]. In 2017, 84.4% of Campylobacter cases with species information in the European Union (EU) were identified as C. jejuni and 9.2% were reported as C. coli cases [4]. Although the clinical signs caused by either species are often indistinguishable, C. coli may cause up to 3 25% of all campylobacteriosis infections [12]. Transmission of Campylobacter spp. from environmental sources or through horizontal transmission results in colonisation of the caecum, cloaca, large intestine and jejunum [14]. Once colonised, broilers act as a bacterial reservoir, contaminate the rearing environment and transmit Campylobacter spp. horizontally throughout the flock. Poultry carcasses may become contaminated with intestinal microflora during the slaughter process [14]. Although Campylobacter spp. will not proliferate outside of the digestive tract of warm-blooded animals, these microbes survive for several weeks in food products, especially if stored at low temperatures [11,12]. In contrast to NT S. enterica serovars, vertical transmission through eggs is not relevant to the epidemiology of the disease [15]. Salmonella enterica subspecies enterica is an intracellular pathogen of warm-blooded mammals and comprises more than 2000 serovars [16]. These gram-negative bacilli of the genus Salmonella in the family Enterobacteriaceae are important contributors to the worldwide foodborne disease burden [17]. S. enterica serovars may be classified as typhoidal or non-typhoidal. Typhoidal serovars are specialised pathogens that are restricted to human hosts and have no animal reservoir. Human infection results in systemic disease known as enteric fever or typhoid, mainly in developing countries [16]. Non-typhoidal serovars occur worldwide and are generalised pathogens with a broader host range of animals and humans [16]. Of the NT S. enterica serovars, S. Enteritidis (SE) and S. Typhimurium are the most frequently reported serotypes associated with foodborne disease [18]. Foodborne disease caused by NT S. enterica serovars results from consumption of contaminated animal-derived products, most notably eggs, fresh produce or poultry products. Infection may also occur from direct contact with an infected animal or more rarely from person-to-person transmission [17,19]. Salmonella serovars that are specific to poultry (S. Gallinarum and S. Pullorum) are not included in the scope of this research. Clinical symptoms Individuals affected by foodborne campylobacteriosis or non-typhoidal salmonellosis present with gastroenteritis of varying severity [11,25,26]. Campylobacteriosis symptoms include fever, abdominal cramps, vomiting, dehydration and diarrhoea which may be bloody. Usually the disease will resolve after five to seven days but there is risk of severe complications including septicaemia, peripheral neuropathies, arthritis and cardiovascular abnormalities [11,12,27]. Guillain-Barré syndrome is associated with C. jejuni infection specifically [12,13]. 4 Foodborne salmonellosis presents clinically as diarrhoea, abdominal cramps and fever. In some cases it may progress to bacterial meningitis, reactive arthritis or endocarditis [11,21]. More severe or fatal cases of campylobacteriosis and salmonellosis may occur in children under five years of age and in immune-compromised or elderly individuals [21,26,27]. Prevalence, distribution and risk factors Prevalence data for human campylobacteriosis in developing countries is limited, in part by the lack of dedicated surveillance systems [13,28], under-reporting and non-specific disease symptoms [29]. A number of longitudinal studies have been conducted. A Malawian study conducted over a ten-year period detected Campylobacter spp. in 21% of children hospitalised with diarrhoea [30]. Similarly, in Kenya, a cohort study isolated Campylobacter spp. from 5% of children who died in hospital due to diarrhoea. Notably, NT S. enterica was isolated from 20% of the mortalities [31]. Prevalence of Campylobacter species in children aged less than five years in Ethiopia was estimated at 10% using meta-analysis techniques [32]. These African studies suggest that Campylobacter is commonly detected in children suffering from diarrhoea in multiple African states [30–32]. The global and regional burden of non-typhoidal salmonellosis has been investigated by multiple researchers using various methods [33–36]. A recent systematic review synthesised data from 35 studies and estimated the global incidence of non-typhoidal salmonellosis in 2017 at 7.5 cases per 100 000 person-years. Sub-Saharan Africa had the highest incidence of all regions at 34.5 cases per 100 000 person-years [35]. It is estimated that 93.8 million gastrointestinal illnesses (of which 80.3 million are foodborne) caused by NT S. enterica serovars occur annually [34]. African incidence estimates ranged from 1.4 to 2520 cases per 100 000 population per year, with higher incidence rates occurring in children and in inhabitants of rural areas [36]. Risk factors for campylobacteriosis and salmonellosis may vary in high versus low-to-middle income countries [37–42]. In high-income countries, important risk factors for salmonellosis include eating raw or undercooked poultry meat and eggs [41]. In contrast, in developing countries, using pit latrines or rivers and canals as toilets and drinking water from a non-piped source are associated with disease [39]. Case-control studies in the Netherlands and Tanzania demonstrated that foodborne transmission involving consumption of poultry and undercooked meat were the greatest risk factors for campylobacteriosis [38,40,42]. In a systematic review and meta-analysis carried out using eight observational studies conducted in Ethiopia, 5 consumption of animal products, illiterate mothers and the status of mothers’ personal hygiene were significantly associated with the prevalence of Campylobacter spp. in children aged under five [32]. Contact with farm animals [38] and domestic animals [32] may also increase the risk of campylobacteriosis. Risk factors for foodborne disease are diverse and highlight that animals and animal products are important sources of disease, regardless of socioeconomic conditions. Bacterial colonisation of poultry Campylobacter spp. are commensal organisms in poultry. Therefore, birds that are colonised with the bacteria are clinically healthy and are asymptomatic [15,20]. Isolated studies have suggested that young poultry birds with intestinal bacterial colonisation may experience diarrhoea and weight loss with mild gastrointestinal pathological lesions [15]. Similarly, poultry that are colonised with generalist NT S. enterica serovars (this excludes the poultry- specific agents S. Gallinarum and S. Pullorum) are sub-clinically infected since these microbes are commensals in poultry [21]. There is no evidence that production at the farm-level is reduced by colonisation of poultry with generalist NT S. enterica serovars or Campylobacter spp. The poultry farm presents a critical control point for the reduction of human foodborne campylobacteriosis and salmonellosis. Poultry farmers may be able to reduce the incidence of human disease by limiting colonisation of poultry at the farm stage of the poultry production chain [22]. Disease surveillance in small-scale broilers Many small-scale broiler farmers do not produce for export purposes, for which regular Salmonella monitoring is a requirement [23]. These producers may also bypass the use of registered abattoirs where meat inspection is conducted [24]. Therefore, there is limited justification to maintain broilers free of NT S. enterica and Campylobacter spp. in small-scale production systems that cater to informal local markets. It is challenging to incentivize broiler farmers to control NT S. enterica serovars and Campylobacter spp. as bacterial colonisation does not directly reduce production [15] or profit. To promote food safety in small-scale production systems, the production of broilers free of NT S. enterica serovars and Campylobacter spp. should enable improved access to high-quality markets and an associated increased profitability. 6 1.1.2 Public health importance of campylobacteriosis and salmonellosis Campylobacter spp. and NT S. enterica serovars are established causes of zoonotic foodborne disease and pose a risk to human health worldwide [3,4,11,25]. The WHO’s 2010 data synthesis on the global and regional disease burden of foodborne diseases established that the rate of DALYs for foodborne diseases was highest in the African region [3]. Of the 22 foodborne diseases considered, those caused by invasive and non-invasive NT S. enterica serovars resulted in the greatest (4.07 million) foodborne DALYs in 2010. Campylobacter pathogens caused 2.1 million foodborne DALYs in 2010 and 1390 illnesses per 100 000 person years globally [3]. The impact of these pathogens was reiterated in a similar study focused on the high-income region of the United States. Both NT S. enterica serovars and Campylobacter spp. resulted in considerable DALYs lost annually (32900 and 22500 DALYs respectively) [5]. Moreover, vulnerable populations such as children aged five and under are more likely to experience severe disease caused by foodborne pathogens and are disproportionately affected by foodborne disease, with 38% of an estimated 582 million foodborne illnesses occurring in children under five years [3]. Economic fallout resulting from campylobacteriosis and salmonellosis may be substantial. It is estimated that the food-pathogen pairs that incurred the highest costs in the United States were Campylobacter spp. in chicken ($6.9 billion) and Salmonella serovars in poultry ($2.8 billion) [9]. Morbidity and mortality due to campylobacteriosis and salmonellosis is associated with social and economic losses and may burden the healthcare sector [3,11]. Further negative implications of foodborne disease relate to antimicrobial drug resistance (AMR) [43,44]. The routine use of fluoroquinolones and other antibiotics in poultry farms has been associated with increased AMR of Campylobacter spp. and NT S. enterica serovars in both humans and animals [13,21,45–47]. Campylobacter spp. are documented to continuously develop new mechanisms for AMR [48,49]. Some of these mechanisms lead to resistance to single drugs but multi-drug resistance has also developed and cases of drug-resistant human campylobacteriosis are an emerging food safety risk [48,50]. Effective treatment of salmonellosis in humans is limited by resistance of the pathogen to certain antimicrobials [51,52]. In a study in the United States, 2.8% of NT S. enterica isolates were resistant to clinically important fluoroquinolones and 2.5% of isolates were resistant to a third-generation cephalosporin [51]. Overall, in the United States and Europe there is a low to moderate level 7 of antimicrobial resistance in NT S. enterica isolates however certain serovars have demonstrated an increasing trend of single or multi-drug resistance [51,52]. 1.2 Literature Review 1.2.1 Literature search strategy PubMed and Google Scholar databases were searched on a regular basis between July 2020 and October 2021. Material discussing foodborne disease caused by Campylobacter species and NT S. enterica serovars, prevalence studies of these bacteria in poultry or animal-derived food products were retained. Publications that studied risk factors or associations with these pathogens in food-producing animals or on farms were also extracted. Material was restricted to English publications. Search terms that were used included: (‘Campylobacter’ OR ‘Campylobacteriosis’ OR ‘Campylobacter jejuni’ OR ‘Campylobacter coli’) OR (‘Salmonella’ OR ‘Salmonellosis’ OR ‘S. enterica’ OR ‘Salmonella Enteritidis’ OR ‘non-typhoidal Salmonella) AND (‘prevalence’ OR ‘burden’ OR ‘presence’ OR ‘risk factor’ OR ‘factor’ OR ‘correlates’ OR ‘incidence’ OR ‘association’) AND/OR (‘poultry’ OR ‘broiler’ OR ‘chickens’ OR ‘poultry products’ OR ‘chicken meat’ OR ‘food-producing’ OR ‘farm’). Different permutations of these terms were used. The abstracts were used to select literature that would be relevant to the current study. The full text papers were downloaded and managed using Mendeley reference software. Studies that were included in the literature review were in most cases observational studies, meta-analyses or systematic reviews about the prevalence of Campylobacter spp. or NT S. enterica serovars in poultry or poultry products and factors associated with the presence or absence of disease. 1.2.2 Prevalence studies of Campylobacter spp. and non-typhoidal Salmonella enterica serovars in poultry and poultry products A number of studies estimating the prevalence of both Campylobacter spp. and NT S. enterica serovars in food producing animals and animal products have been conducted in countries across all income levels [4,47,53–72]. The studies were predominantly conducted in the large- scale, commercial poultry sector with knowledge gaps concerning the small-scale poultry sector [56–60,71,72]. The prevalence studies were conducted between 2001 and 2020 with small (n=7) and larger (n=2835) sample sizes [61,62]. Poultry at different stages of the production chain including at the farm-level, abattoir, processing plant and in the retail, environment were sampled. Since prevalence estimates have been found to vary at these 8 different stages [73,74], it is difficult to compare the prevalence findings for Campylobacter and NT S. enterica serovars. Additionally, these prevalence studies utilised a variety of sample types including cloacal and caecal contents, carcass swabs and washes, duodenal samples, faeces or litter and environmental samples. Isolation of Campylobacter spp. was not equally successful for all types of samples. For example, Campylobacter spp. was detected from a greater proportion of broilers using laboratory testing of cloacal swabs in charcoal Amies medium compared to testing of caecal contents collected during necropsy [75]. Importantly, multiple studies have demonstrated that PCR methods to screen and confirm Campylobacter spp. from a variety of samples are superior to culture techniques [76–78]. Therefore, prevalence studies that relied only on traditional culture methods may present under-estimates. Due to the varying sample types and diagnostic tests used, it has been challenging to estimate a global prevalence statistic of either pathogen in broiler populations. Broadly, Campylobacter spp. are highly prevalent in broiler populations in developing and developed nations (see Table 1.1, tabulated in order of descending prevalence). A combination of bacterial culture and polymerase chain reaction testing of gastrointestinal samples including caecal contents and cloacal swabs detected a prevalence range of 5.9%-100% [55,56,58– 60,64,65,71,76,79]. Prevalence findings from faecal samples had a more narrow range of 7%- 78% [57,61,62,64,72,80]. Despite these findings, it is not known if small-scale production systems have comparable Campylobacter spp. burdens. Table 1.1: Campylobacter spp. prevalence estimates in poultry and poultry products from observational studies Country Year Sample Sample size Prevalence Reference Brazil 2010 Farm litter 40 100%, (40/40) [71] Pooled caecal content 40 100%, (40/40) Carcasses 40 with faecal contamination 17.6%, (7/40) (C. jejuni) 40 without faecal contamination 58.8%, (23.5/40) (C. jejuni) France 2008 Pooled caeca and carcasses 425 carcasses 87.5%, (372/425) [68] 425 pooled caecal samples 77.2%, (328/425) South Africa 2016 Faecal samples 100 78%, (78/100) [80] Iran 2009 Caecal swabs 100 76%, (76/100) [60] Belgium/ Denmark 2002- 2004 Gastrointestinal tract 56 broiler flocks 73%, (41/56) [69] Morocco 2017 Cloacal swabs 105 71.4%, (75/105) [79] South Africa 2008- 2009 Caecal contents 56 rural chickens 68%, (38/56) [55] 140 commercial free-range chickens 47.1%, (66/140) 9 Country Year Sample Sample size Prevalence Reference 133 industrial broilers 47.4%, (63/133) Lebanon 2016 Caecal contents 227 67%, (152/227) [65] Neck skin 227 17.2%, (39/227) Kenya (Kibera) 2018 Chicken meat (retail) 28 64%, (18/28) [61] Faeces/litter 7 43%, (3/7) Kenya (Dagoretti) 2018 Chicken meat (retail) 25 60%, (15/25) [61] Faeces/litter 18 33%, (6/18) Thailand 2012- 2014 Caecal samples 442 57%, (252/442) [56] New Zealand 2007 Whole carcasses (skin) 163 carcasses 44.8%, (73/163) [70] Bangladesh 2019 Cloacal swabs 84 pooled cloacal swabs from 84 broiler farms 40.5%, (34/84) [59] Spain 2010- 2012 Cloacal swabs 2221 38.1%, (846/2221) [58] South Africa 2003 Fresh and frozen chicken carcasses 99 carcasses 32.3%, (32/99) [54] United States of America 2010- 2011 Faecal samples 400 29.5%, (118/200) [72] Australia 2016 Faecal and environmental samples 1856 28.3%, (526/1856) [57] Denmark 2009- 2010 Faecal samples 2835 flocks 14%, (388/2835) [62] Iceland 2016- 2018 Faecal and caecal samples 857 flocks 7%, (41/857) [64] South Africa Unknown Cloacal swabs 408 5.9%, (24/408) [76] Campylobacter spp. have been isolated from numerous food-producing animals and animal- derived food products [63,67]. A recent meta-analysis of observational studies conducted between 1980 and 2019 in predominantly high-income countries in Europe and North America analysed the global pooled prevalence of Campylobacter spp. in food products of animal origin [67]. Poultry meat was found to be the food source primarily responsible for human exposure to the pathogen. The highest prevalence of Campylobacter spp. in sampled livestock (including cattle, pigs, broilers, hens, goats and sheep) was detected in broilers. Broiler carcasses and livers had a prevalence of 52.3% and 65.5% respectively. The meta-analysis suggested that the highest prevalence (14.1%) of C. coli was identified in broilers and that prevalence of C. jejuni in broiler meat was 33.7% (95% CI 30.7%-36.8%) [67]. Importantly, studies that were included utilised varying diagnostic methods (morphological identification, biochemical or PCR testing) which may differ in sensitivity and bias the results. 10 Observational studies that estimated the prevalence of NT S. enterica serovars in broiler poultry have generally isolated NT S. enterica at a lower level than Campylobacter spp. (see Table 1.1 and Table 1.2, tabulated in order of descending prevalence). Developing countries had a high burden of NT S. enterica-colonised or contaminated broilers, (38.6% prevalence in Senegal [81] and 42% prevalence in Bangladesh [82]) but, there is evidence that some high-income countries have comparably high prevalence rates (22% prevalence in Canada [83] and 13% prevalence in a combined survey of Belgium and Denmark [69]). NT S. enterica prevalence estimates ranged between 0%-42% and were determined from a range of samples (including cloacal swabs, carcasses and litter) (see Table 1.2) using diverse diagnostic methods [82,84]. Gaps regarding NT S. enterica prevalence at the on-farm rearing stage and specifically in small- scale production systems remain. Table 1.2: NT S. enterica prevalence estimates in poultry and poultry products from observational studies Country Year Sample Sample size Prevalence Reference Bangladesh 2016 Cloacal swabs 60 42%, (25/60) [82] Senegal Unknown Pooled faecal samples 57 35.1%, (20/57) [81] Chicken carcass skin 57 38.6%, 22/56 Chicken carcass muscle 57 29.8%, 17/56 Chicken meat (restaurant) 42 14.3%, (6/56) Canada 2012- 2013 Chicken carcasses and breast/thigh pieces 2732 22%, (597/2732) [83] South Africa Unknown Fresh and frozen chicken carcasses 99 19.2 %, (19/99) [54] Nigeria 2019 Faecal and environmental samples 558 15.9%, (89/558) [85] Trinidad Unknown Carcass swabs and carcass rinse fluids 450 14.2%, (64/450) [86] Belgium/ Denmark 2002- 2004 Gastrointestinal tract 56 broiler flocks 13%, (7/56) [69] Iran 2018 Faecal samples 110 11,8%, (13/110) [87] Zimbabwe 2003- 2005 Pooled cloacal swabs 2833 10%, (283/2833) [88] Nepal 2019 Faecal and environmental samples 288 9%, (26/288) [89] United States of America 2010- 2011 Faecal samples 400 8.8%, (35/400) [72] France 2008 Pooled caeca and carcasses 425 batches 7.5%, (32/425) [68] Brazil 2010 Farm litter 40 5%, (2/40) [71] Pooled caecal content 40 0%, (0/40) Carcasses 120 0%, (0/120) Ethiopia 2013- 2014 Pooled fresh faecal droppings 549 4.7%, (26/549) [90] South Korea 2013 Raw poultry meat 80 3.7%, (3/80) [91] Ethiopia 2017- 2018 Cloacal swabs, faecal droppings, feed samples and floor swabs 836 2.9%, (24/836) [84] New Zealand 2007 Whole carcasses 163 0%, (0/163) [70] 11 European prevalence estimates for Campylobacter spp. and NT S. enterica serovars in animals and animal products have been reported by multiple researchers [4,68,69,92]. The European Food Safety Authority (EFSA) reviewed data from European Union-coordinated zoonoses monitoring systems to determine a 37.4% Campylobacter prevalence in fresh broiler meat and 12.3% prevalence in live broilers in 2017. At flock level, the European Union had a 3.31% Salmonella prevalence [4]. The EFSA findings present an overall picture of the burden of disease on the continent. Cross-sectional studies limited to a single European state offer higher prevalence estimates for both pathogens. French and Danish research produced comparable prevalence results for Campylobacter spp. of 77.2%-87.5% prevalence depending on the type of sample in France [68] and 73% flock-level prevalence in Denmark [69]. NT S. enterica prevalence findings were 7.5% and 13% in France and Denmark respectively [68,69]. The Danish study employed multi-sampling techniques (duodenum, crop and caecum) in contrast to other prevalence studies [69]. The researchers emphasised that this multi-sampling technique was necessary to detect NT S. enterica and may be related to the slightly higher NT S. enterica prevalence estimate compared to others in Europe [4,69]. Sampling strategies such as using slaughter batches as the sampling unit and pooling samples for analysis [68] may have led to an over-estimation of the true bacterial prevalence. The available research indicates that Campylobacter spp. are present at a greater prevalence than NT S. enterica serovars in European broiler populations. The selection of sample type or the stage of broiler production at which sampling occurs may affect prevalence findings in observational studies. Higher Campylobacter spp. prevalence estimates were found based on whole carcass sampling (87.5%) versus caecal sampling (prevalence of 77.2%) [68]. This may illustrate that contamination of the skin of the carcass occurs in the slaughterhouse. Evisceration of carcasses has been shown to contaminate neighbouring carcasses and can contaminate the following slaughter batches which may have entered the slaughterhouse disease-free [46,68]. The slaughter process itself, rather than true colonisation of the digestive tract of poultry may cause an apparent increased prevalence of Campylobacter in samples tested at the point of slaughter. Conflicting results concerning the effect of faecal contamination on prevalence estimates were reported from Brazil [71]. Caecal contents had a prevalence of 100% and carcasses without obvious faecal contamination had a higher Campylobacter jejuni prevalence (58.8%) than those with obvious faecal contamination (17.6%). In contrast, prevalence estimates for Campylobacter coli were lower and suggested that faecal contamination increased the bacterial burden: 70.6% based on caecal samples, 12 11.6% in carcasses with macroscopic faecal contamination and 9.8% in carcasses without visible faecal matter [71]. These findings demonstrate the importance of the slaughter process in determining the risk of exposure to the consumer. These existing data also point to the gaps in knowledge of pre-slaughter bacterial prevalence and on-farm bacterial loads. Investigation of the prevalence of Campylobacter spp. and NT S. enterica serovars in chicken products in the retail or restaurant chain has established that chicken products pose a risk to food safety. Heavy burdens of Campylobacter spp. were detected in Kenyan (prevalence of 60- 64%) [61], Thai (prevalence of 56.8%) [93] and Australian (prevalence of 84%) [94] chicken meat and offal products. A high proportion (70.7% and 44.8% respectively) of raw chicken samples in the United States [95] and New Zealand [70] were also contaminated with Campylobacter spp. These prevalence findings do not necessarily measure colonisation with Campylobacter spp. Rather, the results are probably an indication of contamination of the carcass which may occur at slaughter, during processing or in a retail setting. Similar to prevalence studies conducted at the abattoir or processing plant, NT S. enterica serovars were detected at a lower prevalence than Campylobacter spp. in retail or restaurant chicken products. Chicken served at street restaurants in Senegal had a NT S. enterica prevalence of 14.3% [81] and NT S. enterica was not detected in 163 retail chickens in a New Zealand based study [70]. Research focused on the retail stage of production fails to account for possible on-farm sources of bacteria. The bacterial burden of broiler poultry may fluctuate depending on the stage of production. A recent systematic review and random-effects meta-analysis investigated the prevalence of Campylobacter and NT S. enterica in the farm environment, processing and retail stages in the United States [74]. Campylobacter prevalence was estimated at 59.2% at the retail level. The highest prevalence of Campylobacter was found during processing (60.9%-97.9%) and environmental samples at farm level had the lowest prevalence at 15.8%. NT S. enterica prevalence in these three stages (farm environment, processing and retail) followed a different pattern with the farm environment at a higher prevalence (22.9%) than the retail stage (19%). Processing-level prevalence estimates ranged from 14.3%-68.6% [74]. The meta-analysis was limited since some study groups included a low number (n=2) of studies in the analysis. Although there was high heterogeneity between the study groups, the meta-analysis model was fitted with multiple moderating variables to account for this concern. 13 1.2.3 Studies of Campylobacter spp. and non-typhoidal Salmonella enterica prevalence in poultry and poultry products limited to the African continent Animal reservoirs of Campylobacter spp. or NT S. enterica serovars are recognized to be highly prevalent in the African region. A random effects meta-analysis published in 2019 addressed the prevalence of both Campylobacter spp. and NT S. enterica serovars in food- producing animals and food products in 27 African countries [66]. The research indicates that Campylobacter could be isolated from 37.7% (95% CI 31.6–44.3) of all poultry samples. Isolation of Campylobacter was highest (73.8%) from external poultry samples (defined as skin or feathers) and lowest based on poultry meat or organs (21.3%). Gastrointestinal samples yielded a prevalence of 40.2%. Regionally, Central Africa had the highest prevalence (91.2%) while Northern Africa had a prevalence of only 24.2%. Contamination of the external carcass by Campylobacter spp. from other animals or faecal matter during slaughter or possibly pre- slaughter can be reinforced by the meta-analysis’ findings of higher prevalence from external samples as opposed to all other sampling areas. NT S. enterica serovars were detected in 13.9% (95% CI 11.7–16.4) of poultry samples. Similarly, external poultry samples had the highest prevalence of NT S. enterica (28.5%) and poultry meat or organs had the lowest prevalence (13.2%). The prevalence in gastrointestinal samples was similar at 13.4%. NT S. enterica prevalence was higher in Southern Africa than in Northern Africa with prevalence values of 28.2% and 10.5% respectively [66]. The meta-analysis included 247 studies, 25 of which were carried out before 2000 and four of these were published nearly 70 years ago. However, the remaining 222 studies took place between 2000 and 2016. The studies that were analysed employed various laboratory techniques and some diagnostic procedures were not fully explained. Therefore, comparability of study findings is limited. While Campylobacter spp. and NT S. enterica serovars were detected throughout the continent, this study emphasises that these pathogens are not equally prevalent in all African countries. A comprehensive review of studies estimating the prevalence of Campylobacter spp. in food- producing animals and in humans by African region and country also illustrated the variability of Campylobacter prevalence by geographic location [63]. This review did not include NT S. enterica prevalence estimates nor did the authors undertake meta-analysis. The studies reviewed collected various types of poultry samples including fresh and frozen chicken from the retail environment and carcasses at point of slaughter [63]. African estimates of Campylobacter prevalence in poultry products range from 9.6% (n=680) in Egypt to 90% 14 (n=150) in Cameroon [63]. Though all of the studies included in the review used culture techniques for isolation of Campylobacter spp., prevalence estimates varied widely [63]. South African studies that focus explicitly on Campylobacter spp. or NT S. enterica bacterial isolation from poultry or poultry products are limited. A local study to examine the incidence of NT S. enterica serovars in food-producing animals, animal feed and environmental sources isolated NT S. enterica serovars in 5% (9031/180298) of samples [53]. SE was the most commonly isolated serovar – with 21.5% of the isolated NT S. enterica serovars detected from poultry on farms, poultry meat and poultry houses [53]. In an observational study limited to poultry carcasses in Gauteng Province, Campylobacter was isolated from carcass rinse fluids in 32.3% of sampled fresh and frozen retail chickens and NT S. enterica was detected in 19.2% of samples. Importantly, this prevalence study may have been limited by the small sample size (99 samples) included in the analysis [54]. This study was conducted at the retail level and did not address the prevalence of these pathogens at farm-level or at the abattoir specifically. Data concerning bacterial prevalence of Campylobacter spp. in South Africa’s commercial poultry sector is sparse but more available than that of the small-scale poultry sector. A cross- sectional study conducted in KwaZulu-Natal Province, South Africa compared the prevalence of Campylobacter spp. among chickens in different production systems (rural production, commercial free-range systems and industrial broiler production) [55]. The findings indicated that chickens reared in a rural setup had the highest prevalence of Campylobacter (68%) while commercial free-range chickens and industrial broilers had lower and equal prevalence estimates of 47% [55]. Though this study was limited by a small sample size (56 rurally- produced chickens, 140 samples from the commercial free range farm and 133 samples from industrial broilers) it offers a unique perspective on the effect of differing production systems and related farm management practices on the prevalence of the pathogen in broilers [55]. No similar study that contrasts production systems could be identified for comparison. Discordant prevalence estimates of Campylobacter spp. in commercial chickens have been estimated in KwaZulu-Natal Province (78% based on 100 faecal swabs) [96] and North West Province (5.9% from 408 cloacal swabs) [76]. The available research indicates that South African poultry and poultry products are a reservoir of Campylobacter spp. and NT S. enterica serovars and act as a human disease exposure risk [53–55,76,96]. Prevalence data specific to the small- scale poultry industry in South Africa is lacking. 15 1.2.4 Biosecurity and management practices associated with colonisation of poultry by Campylobacter spp. In principle, the risk of bacterial contamination of poultry carcasses during later stages of processing may be reduced by implementing strategies at the primary stages of production which take place at the farm level [97]. Specifically, faecal contamination of carcasses at the abattoir may be prevented if the presence of Campylobacter bacteria in poultry faeces is addressed at the source [98]. It is estimated that the prevention of high rates of Campylobacter spp. colonization in poultry has the potential to reduce human cases related to poultry meat consumption by 7-10% [99]. Numerous epidemiological studies have examined the effect of biosecurity on colonisation of poultry with Campylobacter spp. [45,50,58–62,97,99–102]. However, the majority of these studies were conducted in high-income countries in Europe and North America. The literature review could not identify a South African study. The literature that examines the relationship between biosecurity practices and Campylobacter prevalence is largely focused on the commercial poultry sector [58,60,62,99–101] as opposed to small-scale or backyard operations. A single study of small-scale chicken farms in a low to middle income peri-urban area was identified [61]. Various biosecurity and management practices associated with an increased risk of colonisation with Campylobacter spp. are presented in the literature. These include: increasing age of birds in the flock [45,58,59,102], age at slaughter greater than 45 days [60] and 35 days [62], increasing number of poultry houses on the farm [45,50,100,102], increasing age of the poultry house building [59,62,101], the practice of partial depopulation [45,58,102], increased number of farm workers in the poultry houses [62,102] and increased number of personnel visits to the houses per day [102]. Poor cleaning and disinfection of poultry houses and the surrounds [50,59,102] as well as a non-cement floor material that is not easy to clean [61] were also associated with an increased risk of Campylobacter colonisation. Less than 10 years of farming experience and the use of rice husk as a litter material were significantly associated with Campylobacter prevalence in a 2019 Bangladeshi cross-sectional study, although causality cannot be determined using this study design [59]. It was argued that the presence of other livestock on the farm or nearby [45,58,100] and rodents or insects in the poultry house [45,58] are factors associated with an increased risk of bacterial colonisation. 16 A number of exposures have had contradictory effects on Campylobacter spp. colonisation of poultry in reported literature. Examples include the presence of other livestock on the farm [50,102], the presence of wildlife [50,102], pets (dogs and cats) [50,58,102], rodents and rodent control, insects [50,102] and length of time the poultry houses are left empty between flocks (downtime) [50,100–102]. Additional management practices with inconclusive predictive or protective effects include: water source and water disinfection [45,50,58,100,102], flock size and stocking density [45,50,59,102]. The heterogeneity of these findings may be related to unmeasured confounders (possibly broiler breed and breed-related disease susceptibility, or effect of in-feed antibiotics), varying laboratory diagnostic methods and different study environments (namely commercial farming versus informal production). Aspects of methodological design such as sample type and stage of production would also possibly contribute to these conflicting findings. The literature highlighted that scientific knowledge of biosecurity interventions that could contain the spread of Campylobacter was inconsistent. Practices that could reduce the risk of Campylobacter colonisation are mostly related to the use of a hygiene barrier or entrance room. This is a station at which hand-washing, house-specific boots and clothes, overshoes and foot baths are used [45,50,58,101,102]. Conversely, foot baths may also increase the risk of colonisation if not properly used, replenished and maintained [45]. The all-in-all-out system in place of partial depopulation [45,50,102], use of dedicated equipment for each poultry house [50], staff training and limited access to key personnel only [50] are also important biosecurity measures to reduce colonisation in broilers [50]. A review of biosecurity-related literature suggested that vehicle disinfection and gates for each poultry house may be important in reducing the prevalence of Campylobacter on the farm [50]. An Iranian cross-sectional study conducted on commercial broiler farms suggested that the use of antibiotic drugs in the first two weeks of production and an increasing level of education of the farmer were protective factors [60]. Though many possible sources of disease on the farm were identified, evidence for control was conflicting. No clear target for improved disease control at the farm-level was identified [45,50,102]. 1.2.5 Biosecurity and management practices associated with colonisation of poultry by non-typhoidal Salmonella enterica serovars Given that the epidemiology of NT S. enterica serovars and Campylobacter spp. in broiler production systems differ, biosecurity and management practices of importance to these diseases may also diverge. Limited research is available concerning NT S. enterica serovars 17 and associated biosecurity and management practices. The available literature primarily discusses commercial poultry farming which generally operates with greater resources than the small-scale poultry industry. Most studies discuss vaccination as a tool for Salmonella prevention without addressing the role of basic biosecurity in the spread of Salmonella serovars [103–105]. Totton et al.’s [103] random effects meta-analysis of the effect of biosecurity and vaccination on NT S. enterica serovars in broiler poultry was limited by the minimal number of relevant studies available for analysis. Of the 22 studies addressing vaccination against NT S. enterica serovars, the majority were conducted in high income countries in Europe and North America. Vaccination with a modified-live S. Typhimurium vaccine (investigated in nine studies) was found to reduce the risk of colonisation in broilers [104]. A single observational study in Canada that investigated risk factors for colonisation with NT S. enterica serovars in broilers, found that the odds of bacterial colonisation for chicken houses that were not permanently locked was 2.6 times the odds of colonisation for chicken houses kept permanently locked [106]. A similar study in the Netherlands identified that NT S. enterica prevalence increased with increasing flock size [73]. The feed supplier also had a significant effect on prevalence, suggesting that contaminated feed material is an important risk factor [73]. Additional factors associated with colonisation and contamination with NT S. enterica serovars include: a downtime less than one month, having less than five fans in the poultry house, farms with less than four houses [87] and on-farm disposal of waste [85]. In common with findings from studies dealing with Campylobacter colonisation [45,58,100], the presence of other livestock on the farm increased the risk of NT S. enterica in poultry [85]. Epidemiological research concerning biosecurity and management practices associated with NT S. enterica colonisation in broilers is not as comprehensive as that related to Campylobacter colonisation. Based on the available literature, farm-level biosecurity and management practices offer important control points which may be used to limit the entry of NT S. enterica serovars into the human food-chain. However, specific biosecurity practices relevant to small- scale producers have not been conclusively identified. 1.3 Problem Statement Colonisation of broiler poultry with Campylobacter spp. and NT S. enterica serovars compromises food safety and facilitates the transmission of foodborne zoonotic disease to consumers of poultry products [11,21,25–27,46,107]. A limited number of studies have estimated the prevalence of Campylobacter spp. or NT S. enterica serovars in the South African 18 commercial poultry population [53–55] and even less research has been conducted in the small- scale broiler sector [55]. Although it is accepted that effective biosecurity practices can reduce harmful bacteria at the farm-level, few data concerning management and biosecurity correlates of disease exist for African-based small-scale poultry production systems. 1.4 Justification Currently, the prevalence of Campylobacter spp. and NT S. enterica serovars in small-scale broiler units in South Africa is not known. The local small-scale broiler sector probably presents substantial food safety and public health challenges related to Campylobacter spp. and NT S. enterica serovars. Baseline prevalence estimates are important for monitoring disease trends and evaluating the effect of disease control interventions in poultry populations. In addition, information on the prevalence of these organisms may be used to guide policies and control measures within this production sector. This would assist to improve the health of small-scale poultry populations and possibly expand poultry product exports. Numerous studies [45,50,97,99,102] in high-income countries and commercial poultry enterprises examined the benefits of biosecurity practices on these diseases in poultry. However, small- scale farms in developing countries have not been the subject of such investigations. The findings of this study could provide evidence for effective and practical biosecurity measures to target important foodborne bacterial pathogens in small-scale broiler production systems. Practical methods to reduce colonisation of birds with pathogens at the farm may be useful in mitigating the risk of foodborne disease in humans [99,107]. 1.5 Research Question Which biosecurity or farm management practices are associated with the prevalence of Campylobacter spp. and NT S. enterica serovars in small-scale broiler production systems in Gauteng Province, South Africa? 1.6 Aim This study aimed to estimate the prevalence of Campylobacter spp. and NT S. enterica serovars in small-scale broiler production systems in Gauteng Province and determine the correlation of 19 farm biosecurity and management practices with isolation of Campylobacter spp. and NT S. enterica serovars. 1.7 Objectives 1. Estimate the prevalence of Campylobacter spp. and NT S. enterica serovars in the small- scale broiler sector in Gauteng Province. 2. Describe the farm-level biosecurity and management practices implemented on small- scale broiler farms in Gauteng Province. 3. Examine the association of implemented biosecurity and management practices with isolation of Campylobacter spp. and NT S. enterica serovars in small-scale broilers in Gauteng Province. 20 CHAPTER 2 - METHODS This chapter provides information about the primary data source and data collection processes. For the present study, the methods used for data management and descriptive analysis of the small-scale farms and biosecurity practices are then presented. Finally, the methods applied for inferential analysis to investigate farm management and biosecurity correlates of Campylobacter spp. positivity using logistic regression are indicated. The chapter headings are: 2.1 The primary data 2.1.1 Data source 2.1.2 Setting 2.1.3 Study population 2.1.4 Study sample 2.1.5 Sampling strategy 2.1.6 Data collection process 2.2 Present study 2.2.1 Study design 2.2.2 Sampling strategy 2.2.3 Precision and power calculation 2.3 Data management 2.4 Exposure variables 2.5 Outcome variable 2.6 Descriptive analysis 2.6.1 Study participants 2.6.2 Prevalence estimates 2.7 Inferential analysis 2.7.1 Univariable analysis 2.7.2 Multivariable analysis 2.8 Ethical considerations 21 2.1 The primary data The present study is a secondary analysis of the primary data described below. 2.1.1 Data source The data source was operational data collected by Gauteng Veterinary Services (GVS), Gauteng Department of Agriculture and Rural Development (GDARD). The primary data were not collected for the purposes of a primary scientific study. The data were collected as part of routine GVS disease surveillance activities for Campylobacter spp. and Salmonella serovars. Routine biosecurity audits were conducted simultaneously at the sampled farms by GVS officials to assess and improve the farming practices on emerging small-scale broiler farms. 2.1.2 Setting Data were collected from November 2020 to May 2021 across three areas of Gauteng Province (Pretoria, Randfontein and Germiston). 2.1.3 Study population The study population was all small-scale broiler farms in Gauteng Province that had a flock size of between 100 and 120 000 broilers. 2.1.4 Study sample GDARD’s study sample was 30 consenting small-scale broiler farmers (10 farms each in Pretoria, Randfontein and Germiston). At each farm, 30 broiler birds were sampled, therefore, there were 900 poultry samples in total. 2.1.5 Sampling strategy No complete register of small-scale broiler farms in Gauteng Province exists. Therefore, the size of the small-scale broiler industry is not known and can only be estimated. A representative sample of small-scale broiler farms were selected from a list of 45 farms known to GDARD using stratified random sampling. Small-scale broiler farms were divided into three strata based on area and 10 farms were randomly selected per area using simple random sampling. At each farm, 30 broiler birds were sampled using simple random sampling. 22 2.1.6 Data collection process After the farmer provided written informed consent [Appendix E], a trained GVS veterinary official conducted an inspection of the farm and completed a questionnaire with the farmer using the EpiCollect5 mobile application [Appendix F]. The questionnaire collected demographic information about the farmer and data about farm management and biosecurity practices. A unique reference number was generated for each farm and used to label the laboratory submission form. The veterinary official then collected cloacal samples from 30 broiler birds using swabs with Amies charcoal-based transport medium. The cloacal swabs were kept at a cool temperature and transported to the Agricultural Research Council – Onderstepoort Veterinary Research (ARC-OVR) laboratory on the same day as sample collection. Standard methods for bacterial culture of Salmonella (ISO 6579 of 2002) and Campylobacter spp. (ISO 10272-1 of 2006) were applied. ISO 6579 of 2002 is used to detect any Salmonella serovar and is not limited to NT S. enterica serovars. Speciation of positive Campylobacter culture results was performed using a real-time polymerase chain reaction (PCR) test. Since these bacteria are not normally present, growth of any Salmonella serovar or Campylobacter spp. by bacterial culture qualified as a positive result, and no cut-off value was required for interpretation. 2.2 Present study 2.2.1 Study design A cross-sectional study design was applied for this secondary data analysis. 2.2.2 Sampling strategy Data collected from all 30 farms (900 birds) were included in the analysis. 2.2.3 Precision and power calculation The sample size was not calculated since it was predetermined by the primary data. A precision calculation was manually performed using the below formula where p was the expected prevalence and n was the sample size. For this calculation, a prevalence of 75% was assumed. A precision estimate, or measure of uncertainty, of 2.8% was obtained. This suggests that the true prevalence may lie between 2.8% lower or higher than the calculated value. 23 𝑃𝑟𝑒𝑐𝑖𝑠𝑖𝑜𝑛 = ±1.96 √ 𝑝 (1−𝑝) 𝑛 × 100 = ±1.96 √ (0.25)(0.75) 900 × 100 = 2.8% Power of the prevalence analysis was calculated with Stata version 15 (StataCorp, College Station, TX, USA) using the power calculator [108]. A moderate design effect of 1.5 was used to account for clustering of birds within farms, therefore, the effective sample size was 300. At a significance level of 5%, the sample had over 90% power (93%) to detect as significant a difference in prevalence of 10% versus 25% between two equally sized groups. When a more conservative design effect of two was used (effective sample size = 228), a power of at least 80% (84%) was still demonstrated to detect as significant a difference between a prevalence of 10% and one of 25%. Therefore, the study is adequately powered to detect any large effects on prevalence. 2.3 Data management The questionnaire data and the laboratory results data were received in two separate Microsoft Excel (Office 365, 2016) files. Using Stata version 15 (StataCorp, College Station, TX, USA), the files were merged using the unique reference number that was captured in both documents. The data were cleaned using Microsoft Excel and Stata version 15. A variable to denote Campylobacter status of a farm was created using the frequency of Campylobacter cases per farm, where a farm with one or more cases was positive and a farm with zero cases was negative. In order to describe the study sample of farms by Campylobacter status, sociodemographic variables and basic farm characteristics (type of housing, size of the flock and type of management system) were included. Farm-level prevalence estimates were estimated using the binary outcome variables, Campylobacter status and NT S. enterica status that had a positive or negative value. Bird- level prevalence was calculated using numerical outcome variables, total Campylobacter positive birds and total NT S. enterica positive birds, which took on values from 0 to 30. The investigation of possible correlates between bacterial prevalence and farm management and biosecurity practices required the Campylobacter binary outcome variable and 31 exposure variables of interest from the biosecurity questionnaire. Some exposure variables were created from a combination of two or more variables in the original data. The details of these adjustments are presented in Supplementary A. 24 2.4 Exposure variables The exposure variables included in the analysis are presented in four categories. These are socio-demographic, farm management, biosecurity and other. Supplementary B contains additional information about these variables. Socio-demographic variables: Sex of owner Education level of owner Area State support Farm management variables: Target market All-in-all-out system Flock size House structure Number of poultry houses Stocking density ≤ 15 birds/m2 Days rested between cycles Age at slaughter or selling in weeks Drinking water treatment Open water body less than 1 km away Water source Storeroom Number of farm workers Feed bags open/spilled Dogs/cats around houses Antibiotic use Salmonella vaccination Biosecurity variables: Overalls provided Gumboots provided Access control Foot bath used and replenished at least daily Fenced and gated chicken houses Bird-proofed houses Rodent control Hand hygiene Clean house with water/soap and disinfectant Disinfection of vehicles entering farm Other variables: Season 25 2.5 Outcome variable For the inferential analysis, a binary outcome variable based on the laboratory results for Campylobacter spp. (positive or negative) and NT S. enterica serovars (positive or negative) was used. 2.6 Descriptive analysis 2.6.1 Descriptive statistics of study sample Characteristics of the small-scale broiler farms were described by Campylobacter spp. status (positive or negative). Categorical variables were described using frequency and percent of farms. The median and interquartile range for the non-normally distributed continuous variables were presented. 2.6.2 Prevalence estimates Prevalence estimates and 95% confidence intervals were calculated using the proportion command in Stata version 15. If one or more broilers from a farm was positive on culture for Campylobacter spp. or NT S. enterica serovars, the farm was considered as a positive farm. Farm-level prevalence was estimated using the total number of Campylobacter-positive farms as the numerator and the total number of farms sampled for Campylobacter as the denominator. Bird-level prevalence of Campylobacter was calculated using the total number of Campylobacter-positive bird samples as the numerator and the total number of birds sampled for bacterial culture as the denominator. The proportion of C. coli and C. jejuni species was also determined. Since there were no indeterminate results, all laboratory results were used to calculate the prevalence of Campylobacter. The same methods were used to calculate the farm- level and bird-level prevalence of NT S. enterica serovars. The bird-level prevalence of Campylobacter spp. in three areas of Gauteng Province was estimated using the number of Campylobacter-positive birds in Germiston, Tshwane and Randfontein respectively as the numerator, and the total number of birds sampled in each area as the denominator. 26 2.7 Inferential analysis Inferential analysis was conducted at the bird-level using logistic regression. The data were aggregated by farm; therefore, frequency weights were applied to represent the frequency of Campylobacter positive and negative birds per farm. Observations in the dataset were also clustered by farm. This was accounted for using the clustered sandwich estimator (vce (cluster clustervar) option [109] in Stata version 15. Using this method, the standard errors allow for intragroup correlation instead of requiring that observations are independent within groups. 2.7.1 Univariable analysis Univariable analysis to determine the association of the individual exposure variables with the binary outcome variable was conducted using simple logistic regression. All exposure factors with a p-value less than or equal to 0.2 were considered as potentially significant and were eligible for inclusion in the multivariable model. 2.7.2 Multivariable analysis Using the potentially significant variables identified from the univariable analysis, backward stepwise elimination with a p-value cut-off of 0.1 was used to select the final multivariable model. Variables that were expected to behave as confounders as indicated by literature or through logical reasoning (routine antibiotic use, season [92,110–112] and age at slaughter [92,110–112]) were retained in the model regardless of the p-value in order to account for potential bias. In the final model, those variables with a p-value less than 0.05 were considered significant. Variables with a p-value between 0.05 and 0.1 were considered as marginally significant. A post-regression link test for model specification was applied [113]. The unadjusted (univariable analysis) and adjusted (multivariable analysis) odds ratios together with 95% confidence intervals and p-values for each included predictor variable were reported. 2.8 Ethical considerations An ethics waiver was obtained from the Animal Research Ethics Committee of the University of the Witwatersrand in December 2020, certificate reference ‘Waiver 04-12-2020-O’ [Appendix C]. Permission was granted by GDARD to access to the primary data used in the 27 present study [Appendix D]. Personal identifiers were removed prior to accessing the data. Participants of the primary surveillance activities gave written informed consent [Appendix E]. 28 CHAPTER 3 – RESULTS In this chapter, the characteristics of the small-scale broiler farms sampled, including farm biosecurity and management practices are described. The prevalence estimates for Campylobacter spp. and NT S. enterica serovars at farm and bird level are then presented. Finally, the exposure variables that correlated with Campylobacter spp. colonisation in the univariable and multivariable analyses are reported. The chapter headings are: 3.1 Characteristics of the study sample 3.1.2 Biosecurity and management practices of the study sample 3.2 Campylobacter spp. and non-typhoidal Salmonella enterica serovars prevalence estimates 3.3 Logistic regression model 3.3.1 Univariable correlates of Campylobacter spp. colonisation 3.3.2 Multivariable correlates of Campylobacter spp. colonisation 29 3.1 Characteristics of the study sample Descriptive analysis was conducted at farm-level (Table 3.1). Among sampled small-scale farms practicing informal poultry production, local trade in live birds was predominant (24/27, 88.9% of Campylobacter positive farms and 2/3, 66.7% of non-colonised farms). In the Campylobacter positive group, the majority of farm owners were male (16/27, 59.3%) and had attained either further or higher education levels (11/27, 40.7% each). Farms located in Tshwane were positive for Campylobacter (10/10, 100%). Farms from which Campylobacter spp. were isolated mainly practiced all-in-all-out management (17/27, 63%) and had a smaller median flock size of 900 birds (IQR 235 – 2500) compared to a median of 1000 birds (IQR 1000 – 1200) in Campylobacter negative farms. Open-walled and naturally ventilated poultry houses were predominant in both Campylobacter positive (26/27, 96.3%) and Campylobacter negative farms (3/3, 100%). Most farms were sampled during summer (19/30, 63.3%). Table 3.1: Description of the study sample, Gauteng Province, 2020-2021 Characteristic Campylobacter negative farms (N=3) Campylobacter positive farms (N=27) Total sampled farms (N=30) n % n % n % Sex of farm owner Male 0 0 16 59.3 16 53.3 Female 3 100 11 40.7 14 46.7 Education level of owner Declined/unknown 0 0 2 7.4 2 6.7 Intermediate (grade 4-6) 0 0 1 3.7 1 3.3 Senior (grade 7-9) 0 0 2 7.4 2 6.7 Further education (grade 10-12) 1 33.3 11 40.7 12 40 Higher education (college/tertiary) 2 66.7 11 40.7 13 43.3 Area Germiston 2 66.7 8 29.6 10 33.3 Tshwane 0 0 10 37 10 33.3 Randfontein 1 33.3 9 33.3 10 33.3 State supported farm No 3 100 21 77.8 24 80 Yes 0 0 6 22.2 6 20 Target market Abattoir 1 33.3 2 7.4 3 10 Live birds 2 66.7 24 88.9 26 86.7 Informal slaughter 0 0 1 3.70 1 3.3 All-in-all-out management No 1 33.3 10 37 11 36.7 Yes 2 66.7 17 63 19 63.3 Flock size Median [IQR] 1000 [1000-1200] 900 [235-2500] 1000 [300-2400] Structure of poultry house Free range permanently/part of day 0 0 1 3.7 1 3.3 Open walls, natural ventilation 3 100 26 96.3 29 96.7 Season at sample collection Autumn 0 0 11 40.7 11 36.7 Summer 3 100 16 59.3 19 63.3 30 3.1.2 Biosecurity and management practices of the study sample Biosecurity measures to prevent the introduction and spread of pathogens were inconsistently implemented in the small-scale broiler farms (Table 3.2). Treatment of drinking water (such as chlorination) was not practiced in the majority of farms (25/27, 93% of Campylobacter positive farms). Just over half of all farms utilised borehole water. In most Campylobacter positive farms, feed, cleaning equipment and disinfectant were stored separately. Spillage of feed bags occurred in a third of colonised poultry farms and the presence of dogs or cats near to the poultry houses was common. Antibiotic use was common across the study sample. The provision of gumboots and overalls was inconsistent in both Campylobacter positive and Campylobacter free farms. Use of footbaths and the regular change of disinfectant used in the footbaths were poorly implemented. Rodent and bird control methods were not used in the majority of Campylobacter positive farms. Few farms practiced hand hygiene and disinfection of vehicles entering the farm. It was also evident that 48% (13/27) of farms had poor poultry house cleaning and disinfection practices. Table 3.2: Biosecurity and farm management exposure variables and Campylobacter status of 30 small- scale broiler farms, Gauteng Province, 2020-2021 Exposure variable Campylobacter negative farm (N=3) Campylobacter positive farm (N=27) Total sampled farms (N=30) n % n % n % Number of poultry houses Median [IQR] 1 [1-1] 1 [1-2] 1 [1-2] Stocking density ≤ 15 birds/m2 No 0 0 5 18.5 5 16.7 Yes 3 100 22 81.5 25 83.3 Poultry house rest days Median [IQR] 8 [7-21] 9 [7-14] 8.4 [7-14] Age at slaughter/selling (weeks) 4 1 33.3 3 11.1 4 13.3 5 0 0 8 29.6 8 26.7 6 2 66.7 13 48.1 15 50 7 0 0 3 11.1 3 10 Drinking water treatment No 3 100 25 93 28 93.3 Yes 0 0 2 7 2 6.7 Open water body ≤ 1km from farm No 3 100 20 74 23 76.7 Yes 0 0 7 26 7 23.3 Water source Borehole 1 33.3 15 55.6 16 53.3 Municipal 2 66.7 12 44.4 14 46.7 Storeroom None 0 0 9 33.3 9 30 Separate for feed, cleaning equipment and disinfectant 1 33.3 11 40.7 12 40 Single storeroom 2 66.7 7 25.9 9 30 Number of farm workers Median [IQR] 3 [2-3] 2 [1-4] 2[2-4] Feed bags open/spilled No 3 100 19 70.4 22 73.3 Yes 0 0 8 29.6 8 26.7 31 Exposure variable Campylobacter negative farm (N=3) Campylobacter positive farm (N=27) Total sampled farms (N=30) n % n % n % Dogs/cats around poultry house No 0 0 11 40.8 11 36.7 Yes 3 100 16 59.2 19 63.3 Antibiotic use No 0 0 6 22.2 6 20 Yes 3 100 21 77.7 24 80 Salmonella vaccination No 3 100 26 96.3 29 96.7 Yes 0 0 1 3.7 1 3.3 Overalls provided No 1 33.3 16 59.2 17 56.7 Yes 2 66.7 11 40.8 13 43.3 Gumboots provided No 2 66.7 10 37 12 40 Yes 1 33.3 17 63 18 60 Access control No 1 33.3 14 51.9 15 50 Yes 2 66.7 13 48.1 15 50 Footbath used and disinfectant changed daily No 0 0 14 51.9 14 46.7 Yes 3 100 13 48.1 16 53.3 Fenced farm and gated poultry house No 0 0 12 44.4 12 40 Yes 3 100 15 55.5 18 60 Bird-proofed poultry houses No 1 33.3 16 59.2 17 56.7 Yes 2 66.7 11 40.8 13 43.3 Rodent control No 1 33.3 13 48.1 14 46.7 Yes 2 66.7 14 51.9 16 53.3 Hand hygiene No 2 66.7 18 66.7 20 66.7 Yes 1 33.3 9 33.3 10 33.3 Clean house with water/soap and disinfectant No 2 66.7 11 40.8 13 43.3 Yes 1 33.3 16 59.2 17 56.7 Disinfection of vehicles entering farm No 2 66.7 25 93 27 90 Yes 1 33.3 2 7 3 10 3.2 Campylobacter and non-typhoidal Salmonella enterica prevalence estimates The prevalence of Campylobacter spp. at farm-level was high (27/30, 90%), and half of the broilers sampled were positive for Campylobacter on culture (448/900, 49.8%). Prevalence ranged widely between three areas of Gauteng Province (59/300, 19.7% to 214/300, 71.3%). The dominant Campylobacter species isolated was C. coli (316/448, 70.5%). No NT S. enterica serovars or any other Salmonella serovar were cultured from the broiler samples (Table 3.3). The 95% confidence interval suggests that a prevalence of up to 17.2% at farm-level and 4.0% at bird-level was possible. 32 Table 3.3: Campylobacter spp. and non-typhoidal S. enterica prevalence estimates, Gauteng Province, 2020- 2021 Campylobacter spp. n/N Prevalence estimate (%) 95% confidence interval Farm-level 27/30 90 73.4 – 97.9 Bird- level Any Campylobacter spp. 448/900 49.8 46.5 – 53.1 C. coli 316/448* 70.5 66.1 – 74.7 C. jejuni 167/448* 37.3 32.8 – 41.9 Germiston area 59/300 19.7 15.3 – 24.6 Tshwane area 175/300 58.3 52.5 – 64.0 Randfontein area 214/300 71.3 65.9 – 76.4 Non-typhoidal S. enterica serovars n/N Prevalence estimate (%) 95% confidence interval Farm-level 0/30 0 0.0 – 17.2 Bird-level 0/900 0 0.0 – 4.0 *Prevalence estimates for C. coli and C. jejuni include 35 samples that were co-infected with both Campylobacter species. 3.3 Logistic regression model 3.3.1 Univariable correlates of Campylobacter colonisation Inferential analysis was conducted at bird-level, using 900 poultry observations. Findings from the univariable analyses of all exposure variables are tabulated (Table 3.4). The demographic variable for education level of the owner was eligible for inclusion in the multivariable model. Variables relating to farm management that were potentially significant were state support of the farm and poultry house structure. Biosecurity related exposures that were considered for inclusion in the multivariable model were: the presence of an open water body less than one kilometre from the farm, treatment of drinking water, feed spillage or open feed bags, the provision of gumboots and the application of rodent control measures. The summer season was also an exposure of potential significance. Table 3.4: Univariable logistic regression findings of possible exposures correlated to Campylobacter spp. positivity, Gauteng Province, 2020 - 2021 Variable % Campylobacter positive, n/N Unadjusted OR (95% confidence interval) p value Education level of owner Declined/unknown 18.3%, 11/60 Reference Intermediate (grade 4-6) 90%, 27/30 40.10 (13.37 – 120.25) <0.001 Senior (grade 7-9) 46.7%, 28/60 3.90 (0.60 – 25.23) 0.153 Further education (grade 10-12) 58.9%, 212/360 6.38 (1.43 – 28.55) 0.015 Higher education (college/tertiary) 43.6%, 170/390 3.44 (0.91 – 13.02) 0.069 State support Yes (vs. no) 17.8%, 32/180 3.52 (0.81 – 15.34) 0.094 All-in-all-out Yes (vs. no) 48.8%, 278/570 0.90 (0.29 – 2.76) 0.848 33 Variable % Campylobacter positive (n/N) Unadjusted OR (95% confidence interval) p value Poultry house structure Open walls, natural ventilation (vs. free range permanently/ part of the day) 51.3%, 446/870 14.73 (8.41 – 25.78) <0.001 Flock size 1.00 (1.00 – 1.00) 0.810 Poultry house rest days 1.00 (0.92 – 1.08) 0.941 Open water body ≤ 1km from farm Yes (vs. no) 76.7%, 161/210 4.61 (1.14 – 18.75) 0.033 Water source Borehole (vs. municipal) 57.3%, 275/480 1.92 (0.63 – 5.82) 0.252 Storeroom None 61.9%, 167/270 Reference Separate for feed, cleaning equipment and disinfectant 48.9%, 176/360 0.59 (0.16 – 2.18) 0.428 Single storeroom 38.9%, 105/270 0.39 (0.09 – 1.75) 0.221 Stocking density ≤ 15 birds/m2 Yes (vs. no) 47.1%, 353/750 0.51 (0.12 – 2.27) 0.380 Access control Yes (vs. no) 46%, 207/450 0.74 (0.24 – 2.24) 0.592 Number of poultry houses 1.09 (0.79 – 1.51) 0.589 Age at slaughter/selling (weeks) 1.01 (0.52 – 1.93) 0.983 Drinking water treatment Yes (vs. no) 96.7%, 58/60 33.46 (7.01– 159.71) <0.001 Footbath used and disinfectant changed daily Yes (vs. no) 49%, 235/480 0.93 (0.31 – 2.81) 0.901 Dogs/cats around poultry house Yes (vs. no) 53%, 302/570 1.42 (0.45 – 4.48) 0.549 Fenced farm and gated poultry house Yes (vs. no) 43.3%, 234/540 0.52 (0.17 – 1.59) 0.253 Hand hygiene Yes (vs. no) 42.3%, 127/300 0.64 (0.19 – 2.16) 0.470 Number of farm workers 1.15 (0.89 – 1.47) 0.287 Bird-proofed poultry houses Yes (vs. no) 47.2%, 184/390 0.83 (0.27 – 2.54) 0.747 Antibiotic use Yes (vs. no) 51.4%, 370720 1.38 (0.45 – 4.25) 0.572 Feed bags open/spilled Yes (vs. no) 68.8%, 165/240 2.93 (0.82 – 10.49) 0.098 Gumboots provided Yes (vs. no) 58.1%, 314/540 2.34 (0.74 – 7.47) 0.150 Overalls provided Yes (vs. no) 56.3%, 219/390 1.57 (0.50 – 4.92) 0.437 Rodent control Yes (vs. no) 39.2%, 188/480 0.40 (0.13 – 1.20) 0.101 Season at sample collection Summer (vs autumn) 34.4%, 196/570 0.16 (0.05 – 0.49) 0.001 Clean house with water/soap and disinfectant Yes (vs. no) 52.7%, 269/510 1.32 (0.44 – 3.98) 0.627 Disinfection of vehicles entering farm Yes (vs. no) 36.7%, 33/90 0.55 (0.10 – 2.91) 0.483 34 3.3.2 Multivariable correlates of Campylobacter colonisation The unadjusted and adjusted odd ratios of variables correlated with Campylobacter positivity in the final multivariable model are presented (Table 3.5). The odds of Campylobacter colonisation among broilers that received treated drinking water was 86.81 times the odds of colonisation for broilers drinking untreated water. Campylobacter spp. positivity among broilers reared in an open-walled poultry house structure was 3.82 times as likely compared to broilers reared in free-range production systems. The odds of Campylobacter positivity where feed bag spillage occurred was 12.48 times the odds of positivity where feed bags were sealed. The summer season had a protective effect, with 94% reduced odds of colonisation compared to the autumn season. The following two variables were not statistically significant since the p values were greater than 0.05 and the 95% confidence intervals included the value of 1. Antibiotic use appeared to decrease the odds of Campylobacter positivity by 60%, but this exposure was only marginally significant (p value = 0.088). Lastly, for every one-week increase in the age of broilers at slaughter compared to four weeks of age, the odds of isolating Campylobacter were reduced by 37% (p value = 0.148). The equation for the final logistic regression model is presented in Supplementary C. Table 3.5: Variables correlated with Campylobacter spp. positivity in the final multivariable model, Gauteng Province, 2020-2021 Variable Unadjusted OR (95% confidence interval) p value Adjusted OR (95% confidence interval) p value Poultry house structure Open walls, natural ventilation (vs. free range permanently/ part of the day) 14.73 (8.41 – 25.78) <0.001 3.82 (2.09 – 6.97) <0.001 Age at slaughter/selling (weeks) 1.01 (0.52 – 1.93) 0.983 0.63 (0.34 – 1.18) 0.148 Drinking water treatment Yes (vs. no) 33.46 (7.01 – 159.71) <0.001 86.81 (4.56 – 1651.50) 0.003 Antibiotic use Yes (vs. no) 1.38 (0.45 – 4.25) 0.572 0.40 (0.14 – 1.15) 0.088 Feed bags open/spilled Yes (vs. no) 2.93 (0.82 –10.49) 0.098 12.48 (2.88 – 54.12) 0.001 Season at sample collection Summer (vs autumn) 0.16 (0.05 – 0.49) 0.001 0.06 (0.02 – 0.20) <0.001 The linktest to investigate misspecification errors showed that the t-test for hatsq was not significant (p value = 0.869). The linktest provided some evidence that the final model was correctly specified, accounted for all relevant variables and did not include irrelevant variables. 35 CHAPTER 4 – DISCUSSION, RECOMMENDATIONS AND CONCLUSION In this chapter, the major prevalence findings for Campylobacter spp. and non-typhoidal S. enterica serovars and significant biosecurity or farm management correlates are discussed in the context of the available previous literature. This discussion is then followed by the limitations of the study and recommendations for small-scale broiler farmers and consumers, as well as for future research in this field. Finally, the key contributions of this research are presented in the conclusion. The chapter headings are: 4.1 Key study findings 4.2 Contextualisation of key findings 4.3 Limitations of the study 4.4 Recommendations 4.5 Conclusion 36 4.1 Key study findings This cross-sectional study aimed to estimate the prevalence of Campylobacter spp. and NT S. enterica serovars in small-scale broiler production systems in Gauteng Province. Farm management and biosecurity correlates of these pathogens were also investigated. A high prevalence of Campylobacter spp. in small-scale broiler production systems, dominated by C. coli, was determined. Conversely, NT S. enterica serovars were not isolated from sampled broilers. Important biosecurity measures such as hand hygiene, water treatment and disinfection of vehicles entering the farm were not practiced by many sampled farms. The multivariable logistic regression model that accounted for clustering of observations by farm, identified three farm management and biosecurity correlates of Campylobacter spp. positivity. Open-walled and naturally ventilated poultry house structures compared to free-range production systems was positively correlated with isolation of Campylobacter spp. Predictive practices included feed spillage or unsealed feed bags and drinking water treatment. The summer season had a protective effect. Factors that remained in the final model but were not statistically significant included age in weeks at slaughter or selling and the use of antibiotics in the poultry cycle. 4.2 Contextualisation of key findings The high prevalence of Campylobacter spp. in this study sample concurs with a previously estimated 47.1% prevalence in commercial free range chickens in South Africa [55]. However, the same study reported a Campylobacter spp. prevalence that was nearly 20% higher (68%) in chickens produced in a rural setting [55]. The authors did not define ‘rural farming systems’ but these may be comparable to the small-scale production systems sampled in the present study. Therefore, present study results indicate a lower Campylobacter spp. prevalence in small-scale broilers than previously demonstrated in South Africa. A declining local prevalence was also supported by an observational study conducted in 2016 in Kwa-Zulu Natal Province that described a 78% Campylobacter spp. prevalence in commercial broilers [96]. Conversely, lower Campylobacter spp. prevalence estimates (40.1%) were suggested by a recent meta- analysis of African-based prevalence studies [66]. This difference in prevalence may be due to different sample types (caecal contents and faecal swabs versus cloacal swabs) [75], diagnostic